How will the Supreme Court decision on Obamacare affect the president's chances for re-election?
March 28th, 2012
05:00 PM ET

How will the Supreme Court decision on Obamacare affect the president's chances for re-election?

FROM CNN's Jack Cafferty:

If the Supreme Court rules the Affordable Care Act is unconstitutional this summer, it would be a huge embarrassment for President Barack Obama.

Health care reform has been the president's signature issue. He spent his first two years in office - and a whole lot of political capital - getting this thing through Congress.

And now - two years later - the health care law's not looking so healthy.

CNN's Jeffrey Toobin says he thinks the law will be struck down, describing the Supreme Court hearings as a "train wreck" for the Obama administration.

Some would argue it's been a train wreck from the start. Remember Congress crafted this 2,700-page monstrosity behind closed doors. No transparency for the public but plenty of access for the lobbyists. Few lawmakers even read it. Then-Speaker Nancy Pelosi told Democrats, "We have to pass the bill so that you can find what's in it." Real statesmanship.

Not everyone agrees that a Supreme Court rejection would hurt the president politically.

CNN's James Carville says it would be "the best thing that has ever happened to the Democratic Party." Carville says Democrats would be able to show they tried, and when health care costs keep rising, they could lay the blame on the GOP's shoulders.

Some say if the Supreme Court rules against it, Republicans will lose a top election issue - the repeal of what they call “Obamacare.”

Others suggest the health care law won't be a major election issue if Mitt Romney is the GOP nominee because he created similar legislation when he was governor of Massachusetts.

Here’s my question to you: How will the Supreme Court decision on Obamacare affect the president's chances for re-election?

Interested to know which ones made it on air?

Ed in Philadelphia:
I believe it will hurt because as his comments to Medvedev have shown, a second term will be a free-for-all. We also know that he will start over and this time the bill will be even more transformative. People will not want to have this fight again.

Let the court throw it out. Then run a few stories about how people who can and want to buy insurance are denied coverage, then go broke and/or die because of it. Run a few more stories about people who can buy insurance but did not, then end up in the ER and have the taxpayer and/or insured pay for their care. This should go over well with voters.

People will not vote for or against Obama based on this Supreme Court decision. It's the economy, stupid, all over again. If people PERCEIVE that their lives are better or getting better, then Obama wins. If they perceive that their lives are worse or getting worse, then Obama could lose.....Killing of Bin Laden means more to the everyday Joe than Obamacare...

Gary in Arizona:
If we were to liken it to a game of chess, it would be similar to him losing his Queen since it's the most impressive piece in his game. For those unfamiliar with chess, it would be the same as his horse throwing a shoe coming out of the gate at the racetrack. And for those unfamiliar with horse racing, it would simply be a political setback of serious proportions.

Against Mr. Romneycare, the Supreme Court decision will make no difference in President Obama's re-election. None.

Jack, Probably the same as if gas prices remain high, people are unemployed, the Afghan war continues to go badly, and on and on and on....he may be toast.

soundoff (245 Responses)
  1. Rich McKinney, Texas

    I don't think it will mater at all. Medical care is a fluid commodity. It morphs and changes. It is like diseases that come and go and viruses that get resistant to drugs. We have to adapt to them or we become victims of them. Obamas healthcare is not all bad but it needs a lot of work. This court decision is part of the fine tuning of it.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:06 pm |
  2. jk in MN

    It's the first ruling (Citizen's United) that is more of a problem than the Health Care Ruling in my opinion. I don't think much of America trusts "Slick Mittens" Romney – the court ruling won't change that.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:12 pm |
  3. Karl in Flint, MI

    Either way, the GOP will be spending so much time and effort defending RomneyCare as "different" from it's twin brother, ObamaCare" so the GOP won't look like a bunch of ignorant hypocrites, that it can only help Obama.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:13 pm |
  4. John from Alabama

    Jack: It will hurt the president, but remember Romney had the same plan in Masschusetts. The people who will be hurt are the working poor, young people, young married couples, and children. In 1965, people said Medicare would not work, and yes there is some fraud, but it is a shining example of taking care of seniors through out the world. We should let the dust settle before declaring the entire Affordable Health Care Act unconstitutional. I believe it could work itself out, if allowed to start for real in 2014.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:15 pm |
  5. Mike Danahy

    Against Mr. Romneycare, the Supreme Court decision will make no differaance in President Obama's re-election. None.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:15 pm |
  6. monila75

    This should make his chances for President, excellent; we will know that the Judges are not fair and in the hands of the Republicans. Just like every body has to have Auto Insurance when they start driving and are on there parents insurance until they move out, health insurance whould be voted on in that same way. A lot of people got to the emergency room of a hospital when they are sick because they don't have health insurance. If they are working and a penalty is charged this will help the taxpayers from having to pay the whole bill. There are other positives also to the health insurance policy. I hope they keep it. time for America to grow up and stop cheating the American people of such benefits.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:16 pm |
  7. Herman Portland OR

    I think either a way the Supreme Court rules on Obama Care the President should not be hurt too much. He will have to run on the other accomplishments he has made in the first term. The election will be about how the American people feel about the pace of the recovery and the unknowns like fuel prices and the prospects for a lower unemployment rate and feeling comfortable with 4 more years of current policies.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:18 pm |
  8. JD in NH

    I don't think it will affect his re-election either way. If they uphold it, he's got bragging rights. If they toss it, he's got a new cause: Medicare Part E (for everyone). We should go the Medicare route anyway since it would solve the current Medicare problem by having younger, healthier people buy in.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:21 pm |
  9. Mike in Toronto


    Because the alternatives to re-electing the President are so incredibly weak I think the decision will have little to no effect to the President's bid for re-election.

    The President now has 4 years of experience in the position and the country – make that the world can't afford 4 more years of on the job training for a President Romney.

    Personally, I think if the Supreme Court does deny Obamacare it could lead to a single payer – single tier Universal Healthcare program that truly cuts costs, will save your economy and improve the healthcare for every American.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:22 pm |
  10. C. Martin-Wood from Alabama

    Unless a majority of Americans are drinking lead-laced water (entirely possible), it shouldn't affect his chances at all. No intelligent human being could possibly vote for a Romney or - Goddess preserve us - a Santorum.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:26 pm |
  11. Ed from California

    Jack, the Koch appointed court will drive the masses out this election. You will see two hundred million pissed off Americans heading to the polls to throw out every republican that they can find. And then you'll see Medicare for all! As it should have been from the beginning.....yes, Congress and Obama did blow that chance while they had it. Do we want to go back to the way it was? Denied coverage, discrimination...aka.... pre-existing conditions, keeping your kids on the plan until 26y/o. If we lose ours, so should Congress and the Supreme Court, but, they're royalty. I keep forgetting that part.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:28 pm |
  12. Pete in Georgia

    Assuming this is a serious question, WHAT re-election ???

    March 28, 2012 at 2:31 pm |
  13. DT - Saint Paul, MN

    Not at all. Do you think those of us in support of the law will view a bad judgement as a slight against Obama?

    March 28, 2012 at 2:34 pm |
  14. Larry from Georgetown, Tx

    I voted for President Obama and will vote for him again regardless of the Health Care issue. Unfortunately, it doesn't matter because the rest of the idiots that will vote this year will believe, once again, the claims of the GOP and Romney will win and we the ordinary people will lose.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:34 pm |
  15. Doug Ericson

    May His Clownieness, Judge Scalia can make Congress shorten the bill. That way, this Doby Gillis of the Supreme Clowns Court, won't have a nervous breakdown over the prospect of having to read all 2700 pages of the bill. Since I havn't read one page of the Bill, I really don't know what is in it either. Now I wonder if anyone has actually read the whole Bill. In any case, Obama is going to win re-election, because the folks in the middle will vote for the devil they know, over the devil they don't know, everything else being equal. Doug, Pepperell, MA.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:37 pm |
  16. calaurore9

    Until the decision directly affects people's daily lives, it won't matter. If it gets turned down and people have to pay more or can't get care, then it'll help Obama.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:40 pm |
  17. Bill of New Mexico

    75% want the Health Care Law repealled while only 50% want Obama defeated.

    Consider the 25% difference. Can they be predicted?

    If the Health Care Law is found unconstitutional, then it is possible that these 25% are relieved and might vote for Obama..

    But if the Health Care Law is upheld, then these 25% may decide that the way to get rid of the Health Care Law, is to vote in more Republicans. All 4 Republican candidates are promising to repeal that law.

    Therefore if the Supreme Court finds the Health Care Law unconstitutional, it helps Obama to be re-elected.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:43 pm |
  18. Cheryl in Bluffton, SC

    In a very important way, it won't matter at all, Jack: Two years later, President Obama's opponents still don't have an alternative of their own. "Repeal and replace" – with what? Something beats nothing, every time.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:43 pm |
  19. Steve, Clifton, Virginia

    Should the Supreme Court rule that portions of Obama-care are unconstitutional, those voters who are already anti-Obama will be energized but their energy will energize the 30 million additional Americans who benefited from Obama-care. Long and short of it, President Obama will suffer only minor setbacks in his efforts for re-election. Let us not forget that former President Bush was re-elected despite the fact that portions of the Patriot Act were found to be unconstitutional, so why not President Obama

    March 28, 2012 at 2:45 pm |
  20. Gary in San Jose, California

    It will not affect Obama's re-election chances. The people against Obamacare were not going to vote for him and the ones for Obamacare will admire him taking it to the mattresses for them. The current Republican Party approach to the problem will alienate large demographics and actually help Obama in his re-election bid.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:46 pm |
  21. Annie, Atlanta

    No matter the decision, the right will howl and blame the President. And if we wind up with Republicans in charge again, which isn't out of the realm of possibilities given the American electorate's propensity for voting against their own best interests, when their parents and grandparents or even themselves get vouchers that don't cover their health insurance needs and start dying from lack of care, that too will be Barack Obama's fault. Everything is Barack Obama's fault, going all the way back through the history of mankind.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:46 pm |
  22. James - Alexandria, VA

    It will hurt but not his chances for re-election because he has done alot of good in other areas that are positives just look at the auto industry. I am going to vote for him based on that and the fact that he has more common sense then the members of Congress and the entire GOP put together.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:48 pm |
  23. Noel Sivertson New Mexico

    I doubt it will have an effect one way or the other. It's not his fault the court will rule one way or the other. It may improve his chances if it is repealed because it gives the Republicans one less issue to campaing on.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:54 pm |
  24. Phyllis G. Williams

    How will the Supreme Court's decision on Obamacare affect
    the president's chances for re-election?

    The people know already that the President was trying to help them,
    so the president's chances for re-election will rest in the wisdom of the people
    who are hoping that the judges will judge righteously as Deut. 1: 17
    "Ye shall not respect persons in judgment, but ye shall hear the small
    as well as the great, ye shall not be afraid of the face of man,
    for the judgment is God's".

    March 28, 2012 at 2:54 pm |
  25. B.O'Connor-Ontario, Canada

    I don't think the Supreme Court decision will affect Obama's re-election much. Although the spin is that Obamacare is the worst thing that could happen to Americans, stats show about 50% approval and there are a lot of positives to the plan -e.g. can't be refused due to a pre-existing condition and children covered under parents. If the President loses this one, his followers will still be there and he might even get votes from Republicans who approved the plan and wondered why their party fought to shoot it down. There are those who would never vote for him regardless of what happens to Obamacare. People should take notice that the GOP has not come up with a better plan (surprise, surprise). As far as the mandate being unconstitutional, if the gov't can dictate that we buy car insurance, wear helmets when we ride a bike, wear seat belts when driving, how is healthcare any different?

    March 28, 2012 at 2:55 pm |
  26. Bizz, Quarryville Pennsylvania

    I think this could come back to bite the Republican Party in the backside and help Obama's reelection. If Obama care gets defeated in the Supreme Court, we will start to see a rapid rise in healthcare costs and people being refused health care because of pre-existing conditions. The responsibility for this happening will be laid solely in the laps of the Republican Party and rightly so. When fewer and fewer people are able to afford health care and only the wealthy will be able to have health care, then our transformation into a rich and poor nations will be completed. It has already been stated one of the reasons Dick Cheney received a heart transplant was because he had excellent health insurance and money to pay for it.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:55 pm |
  27. Julia, Fayetteville, NC

    We already know who we will vote for since it will be Romney vs. Obama. Obamacare did a lot of good for a lot of us people. Hopefully the Court will be mindful of the good parts of Obamacare and keep those parts. This thing with the Court will not determine his 2d Term. It will determine what they decided. Romney will be the deciding factor on Obama's second term just like McCain/Palin was the deciding factor for his first term.

    March 28, 2012 at 2:57 pm |
  28. Max Brooks from Florida

    Even Obama knows that Obamacare is a failure and if it gets axed, that could actually help Obama win the next election because then he could use a more efficient healthcare idea as a campaign point. Now that the majority of Americans support marijuana legalization, whichever candidate includes marijuana as a campaign point in their healthcare idea is going to win.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:05 pm |
  29. Dan from Stewartstown PA

    I tend to agree with James Carville's assessment, but what's the good of being able to blame the Republicans? No matter who's to blame, we the people will contnue to not be covered for pre-existing conditions, will not have procedures and medications covered at the whim of Insurance company bureaucrats and bean counters and will continue to see exorbitant pay and bonuses for the "Masters of the Good Ole' Boy" networks that run; consult for; lobby for; and vote to continue the current system as it now exists.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:10 pm |
  30. Michael Bindner, Alexandria VA

    Either way, the results will inflame both sides, so its a wash, Jack. The last 3 minutes of yesterday's argument had the Administration admitting that the mandate should be considered a tax, so it will likely be upheld on those grounds. Game over, except for the right wing backlash.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:13 pm |
  31. Ralph Spyer

    The Emergency Medical Treatment act requires hospitals to provide care to anyone needing emergency healthcare treatment regardless of citizenship, legal status or ability to pay[.a unfunded mandate].Obama wants American to pay for this unfunded mandate, and the Republicans are against . All the judges have government health insurance that we pay for. The court will rule against Obamacare just like they ruled for Bush. and Obama will get re elected because he tried.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:18 pm |
  32. Gary H. Boyd

    If we were to liken it to a game of chess, It would be similiar to him losing his Queen since it's the most impressive piece in his game. For those unfamiliar with chess, it would be the same as his horse throwing a shoe coming out of the gate at the track. And for those unfamiliar with horse racing, it would simply be a political setback of serious proportions.

    Gary in Scottsdale, Arizona

    March 28, 2012 at 3:18 pm |
  33. bob z. from pa.

    it is a shame what this man has done to our country . his health care bill would have put us in such a big hole we would never get out . hope this opens more people eyes at what he trying to do to our country destroy it

    March 28, 2012 at 3:19 pm |
  34. Greg in Arkansas

    Not much...
    For two years, all we heard from the GOP was constant the chanting of "Repeal and Replace"
    For two years, the Obamacare supporters have been asking "replace with WHAT"
    If it is overturned, the GOP will have to come up with the "WHAT" or at least tell us HOW THEY plan to fix the problems with healthcare.......and crying "Torte Reform" ain't going to satisfy the millions of Americans that can no longer afford to get sick or buy health insurance.....

    March 28, 2012 at 3:19 pm |
  35. Jenna Roseville CA

    How will the Supreme Court decision on Obamacare affect the president's chances for re-election?

    It will not effect him either way. Obama has done so much more than just the Patient Protection and Affordability Act since taking office. If it fails the GOP will lose more on this than Obama.

    Roseville CA

    March 28, 2012 at 3:19 pm |
  36. Dave, Orlando, FL

    The decision of five fools who have no understanding of and, in the last 12 years, have not based their decisions on any conceivable interpretation of the U.S. Constitution, will not affect Obama’s chances. Our decisions will be based on the fact that Obama did not reform healthcare in the way he promised; with the public option – remember? They will be based on the fact that Obama has paid only lip service to or ignored all of his other promises. And they will be based on the fact that Obama caved on every confrontation with the opposition – before the confrontation even took place.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:21 pm |
  37. Ed from MD

    Most would see it as our constitutional safeguards working and in place. But if you went out and bought a lot of healthcare stocks you might feel angry and vote for Romney instead.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:22 pm |
  38. Matt

    Probably the same if gas prices remain high, people are unemployed, the Afghan war continues to go badly, and on and on and on....he may be toast.


    March 28, 2012 at 3:23 pm |
  39. Mitoosense Ft Lauderdale Florida

    Obama Care regulates the citizen and ignores cost and insurance profits. It will usher in more corruption and rationed health care. Worst idea since prohibition. Citizens will be indentured servants of their employers and Oligopoly System

    March 28, 2012 at 3:26 pm |

    Oh, I just can't wait until the High Court throws out parts or all of Obamacare, then the accusations of "Racist" Justices will begin! Racism in this country is TWICE as bad as it was before Obama was elected!

    March 28, 2012 at 3:27 pm |
  41. Wilhelm von Nord Bach - Las Vegas

    I agree with James Carville. it also shows what happens when you have Republican "activist judges" packing the Supreme Court and the ONLY chance to rein them in is IF there is a Democratic President. Roberts, Thomas, Alito and Scalia are pure partisan Republicans who proved that "precident" means NOTHING to them with their nhalf baked "Citizen's United" ruling.

    they are a BAD JOKE that has been played on the American people.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:28 pm |
  42. Mr D

    Maybe this will be a precurser to the end of big government. Pelosi and Obama can spend their retirement years reading the 2700 pages that started it all. Nothing like a good history lesson.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:30 pm |
  43. james in greenville nc

    Jack, the Supreme Court decision will not affect Obama's reelection. The Obama faithful know in their hearts that Obama is high above any Supreme Court decision. The true Obamamites are like the whirling dervishes of old. Those loyal to Obama will disregard the Supreme Court and will dance to the tune of Obamanism. His reelection is assured. There are too many special interest groups and Obama has each and every one drinking from the cup of salvation. Or cup of something.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:32 pm |
  44. Liz H

    There are many aspects and pieces tha tare not unconstitutional, and if entire aca is overturned then certain descriminatory practices will remain in place..(ie)..see below.
    Insurance companies can charge women more for the same coverage in 33 states. The #ACA makes that discrimination illegal in 2014.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:36 pm |
  45. Andre R. Newcomb

    I think that the entire bill ought to be struck down. I don't think that doing so would impact the election . . . maybe . . . depends on the timing of the decision and the resulting dialogue. Teddy and all of D.C. has been wrestling with this since the end of WWII and FDR's New Deal. Establishing international respect and mechanisms for finance is the continuing need. So many differences everywhere and issues of trust. As far as Obama's re-electability - I don't think that THIS will be the determining factor. There OUGHT to be other things that OUGHT to be in the dialogue: unearned Nobel Peace Prize, sweeping change in the Middle East that is hugely unfair and unconscionable, huge money problems (TARP, bail-outs,Stimulous, Solyndra, international trade deficits, etc.). I don't know that 'the people' have the patience nor the inclination to consider such. Attention spans become selfish in short order. There are STILL questions about birth status that I think are credible.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:41 pm |
  46. Jenny from Nanuet, New York

    If the Supreme Court upholds Obamacare, he'll be proven to have accomplished more than most modern-day presidents. If they strike it down, the Democrats will be highly energized to make sure Obama is re-elected so that the Supreme Court doesn't get any more conservative justices in the next 4 years. No matter what happens, if Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee, the subject will be off the table since he was the Godfather of Obamacare.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:45 pm |
  47. Hubie North MS

    Jack a good question and a sad question, only GOD know how He is going to let this play out. But for such He will keep on taking care of His children.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:45 pm |
  48. Nate NC

    What's worse is if there is 5-4 split vote further showing that republicans, no matter what branch, are fighting democrats rather than trying to promote the greater good. Still, Obama has nothing to worry about because the republican candidates are beating themselves up.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:48 pm |
  49. David of Alexandria VA

    It really won't matter. Thise people who voted for him because they thought he would do something like this will vote for him again to either re-do this or move on to the next left-handed agenda item. Those who voyted against him becauise they thought he would do something like this will vote against him again to either keep im from re-doing this or keep him from doing something as pervasively intrusive and expensive. In any case, the GOP had better come up with their alternative pretty quickly or they won;t actually have a say in this issue.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:52 pm |

    I cant understand why the courts dont look at Reagancare,this law lets illegala go to hosp.emergency room run up huge bills and let all the insured people pay for the illegals.Reagan wrecked the country.There is mandate we buy car insurance and mandate to wear seat belts

    March 28, 2012 at 3:52 pm |
  51. Terry in Virginia

    If the SCOTUS strikes down all or part of "Obamacare," it may sting a bit but it won't hurt Mr. Obama's chances for re-election. First, after the "Citizens United" and "Bush v. Gore" decisions, the SCOTUS has lost a lot of respect among average citizens. Most of these Justices now appear to be just another part of the GOP hierarchy, which is sad because I once believed that the SCOTUS was above such mundane pettiness. Also, if the SCOTUS tosses Obamacare, what does that tell you about Romneycare? We've heard Mr. Romney feebly try to defend his plan but the man who crafted Romneycare also crafted Obamacare and he says there's little difference. So, if the SCOTUS tosses Obamacare, the real question should be how soon will Massachusetts scrap Romneycare? Second, have you seen or heard the crop of candidates vying for the GOP nomination? Get real. Even on his worst day, Mr. Obama is better than any of those clowns.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:53 pm |
  52. andy Lynn, MA

    The answer is that the president's re-election chances all hinge on the spin doctors. Can they convince the American public that it is the Republicans fault that 30 million voters will not health insurance. Funny thing about health care; you hate paying until you find yourself in the hospital and realizing that you don't have insurance and WILL HAVE to pay. Remember, homelessness is only one serious illness/injury away.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:54 pm |
  53. Joe Fattal

    None whatsoever. After the discussion he had off mike with the Russian President that man will be in the White House for another term.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:54 pm |
  54. Paul From Austin Texas

    Dont't think so. When it gets down to it the whole plan will not be through out. The manditory mandate that all must get insurance or be fined will be through out. Most of the rest will remain making the President looking good on this issue in the end. We all need some form of change and this with some omissions my just be the start.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:55 pm |
  55. Dave - Phx

    It won't change my opinion or vote. I cannot in good conscience vote for a meglomaniacal, bigoted, hateful, religous zealot, and that is all the Repbulicans have to offer anymore.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:55 pm |
  56. Kim , Dodge City, Ks

    The election of a president should not be determined by a single issue. Unfortunately, we have a large segment of the populace that is extremely ill-informed, politicaly bi-polar, and responds only to hate and race rhetoric. The truth is, the medical-industrial complex and their lobbyists will never allow anything that approaches affordable and all encompassing health care. The President needs to focus on all the other horrendous policies the Republicans have planned, and bring those to light.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:56 pm |
  57. Tyler Carelli

    Kingston, New York
    I think that the president can only come out of this situation ahead. Healthcare was one of his big campaign issues in 2008, and it would anger people who have been helped by the law as well as most rational people. Besides, Mitt Romney would much rather cut all government healthcare programs, and don't even get me started on Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich.

    March 28, 2012 at 3:59 pm |
  58. Rebecca from Georgia

    It would be devastating yes but I will still vote for Obama because his only fault is not losing his temper enough. Obama needs to raise some hell. He's being trampled on because he's soft-hearted and soft-spoken nature. He's a genuine good guy and the rest of the political arena senses it as weakness which IT'S NOT. Obama is the best choice for us in the coming years. I consider no one else even close to being a good choice.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:00 pm |
  59. Michael, from Smiths, Alabama

    It would be a blow for Obama's re-election chances, but I don't see it being one so devastating to him. He could always use the repeal of the healthcare reform law as a campaign tool against whoever the Republican nominee ends up being. Plus, outrage from the voting population would make it easier for Obama to introduce a new healthcare reform law, which would leave things like individual mandate open for the people to vote on.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:08 pm |
  60. Thinkforyourself, OK

    Obama can only run on his Failed Presidency. I think We the People are beginning to see what 40+ million of us saw in 2008. Obama is an ideologue, who leans very heavily to the Left. Think Karl Marx. The United States will never be the same, (for the worse) after Obama leaves. When in your lifetime has a sitting President SO DIVIDED this country in the same way Vlad Lenin divided Russia? I am 60, and I cannot think of one. Why haven't YOU and others like YOU, told the truth about Obama's past??

    March 28, 2012 at 4:11 pm |
  61. Rajiv Shaw, Mt. Pleasant, UT

    I think the polarization effect will galvanize a support from the have nots that will boost Obama's already double digit poll advantage even higher. The GOP should never have gotten so involved with partisan politics, and will pay for it.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:12 pm |
  62. donna from cleveland

    if they do toss it i agree with other posters that it will invigorate the democratic base. the current conservative justices of the united states supreme court are so bought and paid for. time for some real revolt.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:14 pm |
  63. Joanie Bach

    A negative decision will make Obama, & the Democrats in the Seante look incompetent. They passed the Law
    using kickbacks (Nebraska and Louisiana) and other dishonest ploys – and zero Republican votes. We read the bill and could not believe all the taxes, for example commencing in 2014 sellers of their homes will pay 3.8% fed tax, and many more. The tanning tax is hilarious too. But they were for the middle class....baloney !
    The Healthcare bill is about power grab.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:15 pm |
  64. buckfigben

    Only the GOP would fight tooth and nail to dismantle something then turn around and nominate someone who architected a similar plan. I think this is a blessing in disguise. GIve the DEMS back control and let us pass the healthcare reform we all want. This time don't play nice with the GOP. Do it our way. It's funny Jack, I've seen plenty of good that Obamacare has already done, and I have yet to see any real damage, unless you count hypothetical angry rhetoric.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:16 pm |
  65. The all potent one

    As long as the media keeps the lies going about the great track the economy is on and how unemployment is down it shouldn't hurt to much. What would really hurt is if the masses stop listening to the media and did some research on their own

    March 28, 2012 at 4:17 pm |
  66. James Barton

    Think Dems have had our fill of Obama as well. This 2700 page so called bill is now being re ruled and they make up the rules as they go. This is a nutty Administration. Not American like at all.
    James B

    March 28, 2012 at 4:18 pm |
  67. Angry American

    Throw it out and Obama out with it!

    March 28, 2012 at 4:19 pm |
  68. al from orlando

    I'm not sure about the court trying to see if those 2000 pages in six hours to determine if their coverage is affected. Can
    they really vote for all of us?

    March 28, 2012 at 4:20 pm |
  69. Russell R. Pankey

    The Supreme Court has more knowledge and integrity than the U.S. Congress and I will accept their
    final decision on the "ObamaCare". matter.
    Russ Pankey, Sun Lakes, Arizona

    March 28, 2012 at 4:21 pm |
  70. Nina Fox

    There would be a definite ripple effect to the 2012 election for Obama if the healthcare law would be denied.

    Hopefully Americans are tired of paying for those who are not willing to be responsible and want to leach off of government subsidies. Individuals, who do not provide themselves with healthcare insurance and then flee to the emergency room for a “sniffle” overloading hospital emergency rooms and causing obscene costs for the tax paying American is creating a breeding ground for irresponsibility.

    If nothing else, the Obama medical care will hold ALL Americans responsible. It’s about time!!! Now if we can only regulate the pharmaceutical’s monumental profits!!.

    Nina in Southern California

    March 28, 2012 at 4:22 pm |
  71. Jim

    Little if any effect. The US is so polarized that this issue has already been factored into the calculus.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:23 pm |
  72. Peggy

    Why does any ruling that this conservative court makes reflect badly on President Obama? If the mandate is struck down, it just means we have to elect Democrats in November to get a new and better law passed!! All of these people who are against the law already have health insurance anyway so why should they care?

    March 28, 2012 at 4:24 pm |
  73. Renee, Illinois

    Ditch the individual mandate, which most definitely is unconstitutional, and bring back the single payer and/or the public option. In other words, what they should have done in the first place. Contrary to popular opinion in this country a single payer system can be a mixed public and private system. And rejecting it because it works in Europe doesn't prove Americans are better and stronger, just getting dumber. Have we really sunk so low in this country that we're willing to reject systems that work just because we didn't come up with them first? Fix the system and Obama's chances soar. Don't fix it and I'm not sure it matters, we'll just keep fighting about it from one administration to the next. While we're fighting anybody who can't afford it can just die, I suppose, but then that seems to be the plan on the right.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:24 pm |
  74. Deb from Texas

    This will help Obama immensely and activate he liberal base. I'm so teed off right now I might vote twice. An activist Supreme court is what the GOP has given us.I'm really mad!! Obama will make hay out of this one.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:25 pm |
  75. Willy Johns in Orange TX

    How will the Supreme Court decision on Obamacare affect the president's chances for re-election?

    Obama is retiring come January. Maybe he can successfully design his library. God know he was a worthless president.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:25 pm |
  76. L.A., Germantown, MD

    Win or lose in the Court, Obama gets points for trying. In terms of the election, a win here might help but so might a loss because reform proponents will get more resolute. So in policymaking, better to just do what's right and not think too much about the polls.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:25 pm |
  77. Peggy, St. Louis

    Why does any ruling that this conservative court makes reflect badly on President Obama? If the mandate is struck down, it just means we have to elect Democrats in November to get a new and better law passed!! All of these people who are against the law already have health insurance anyway so why should they care?

    March 28, 2012 at 4:25 pm |
  78. Dixon

    This will be a boost for Obama and and a liability for Republicans. Obama has been the only President since Clinton to take on the issue of healthcare and at least deliver something for the American people designed to alleviate the problem. From following the court's arguments, it is clear that the conservative judges already had their minds made up to kill this law before the arguments were even heard. The vast majority of Americans that need this law, and the insured Americans looking for relief on the high insurance premiums will make the Republicans pay come fall when the Democrats will retake the House, retain the Senate and re-elect Obama. They will have another go at rebooting the bill. I also think that this is the reason the Supreme Court Justices should only be seated for 10 years. I think term limits for all public officials is an idea who's time has more than come!

    March 28, 2012 at 4:25 pm |
  79. Mike in Minneapolis

    My guess is that SCOTUS will strike down the mandate but keep the rest, such as the clause that says insurance companies can't drop someone or exclude them for a pre-existing condition. Those costs will be passed on to us, thus making medical treatment very, very expensive. The GOP will of course blame Obama for that, but whether that happens between June and November is a tough one to call.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:26 pm |
  80. al from orlando

    Obama cares. Jesus cared.Cost is irrelevant. A few fish and a loaf of bread divided worked once.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:26 pm |
  81. tonyl

    This will clearly drive the all uninsured to rally around this issue. The uninsured are the people at the low end of the economic scale and they are the ones to sit at home during elections. The single moms and people on fixed incomes etc. This gives dems an issue to push and blame GOP for high medical costs and collusion with the insurance companies.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:26 pm |
  82. dkeith of VA

    look at all of these one sided opinions, good job CNN

    March 28, 2012 at 4:28 pm |
  83. Jerold Tabbott

    Frankly, I don't see any difference between Romneycare and Obamacare. Both – both – are clearly violations of individual liberty, free choice, which our Constitution was specifically written to protect. The individual mandate is unconstitutional period. Both should be ruled unconstitutional.

    Considering all the other serious damage Obama has done to industry and the economy and the entire national debate, hopefully this failure will help remove him from office. Quite frankly, anyone but Obama would do a better, and more responsible job.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:28 pm |
  84. Peter T

    I suspect this will energize progressives as to the importance of electing Democrats not just for legislation, but because of the Supreme Court. First Citizens United and now (potentially) this? if that doesn't motivate them, nothing will.

    Also, this is just one less rhetorical arrow in the GOP quiver ("activist judges!") to energize the conservative base since they got the decision they wanted.

    The REAL question though is this: what are we going to do with the millions of people who will fall through the health care cracks again? The ones who will get bankrupted or actually die because of the lack of meaningful health care reform?

    March 28, 2012 at 4:28 pm |
  85. JeanneLH

    Drug companies will win big if Obamacare is in anyway struck down. Drug companies contribute heavily to GOP candidates for this very reason. The GOP doesn't have any warm fuzzy feelings for the middle class. The democrats are the only ones trying to salvage our middle class. So much work went into that and the GOP stood there with their arms across their chests shaking their head "no". Obama tried hard, too hard in my opinion, to reach across the aisle...

    March 28, 2012 at 4:29 pm |
  86. Ed in Philadelphia

    I believe it will hurt because as his comments to Medvedev have shown what we all know, a second term will be a free for all, we also know that he will start over and this time the bill will be even more transformative. People will not want to have this fight again.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:29 pm |
  87. al from orlando

    Maybe Romney no care will replace it.He certainly would not expand hiss Mass. mess.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:30 pm |
  88. Aaron

    It would only prove that the supreme court legislates from the bench and is owned by the 1%. As if this wasn't already known by the citizens united ruling. It would also pave the way for another democrat in 2016. The public is already sour with all the politicians but especially the republicans.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:33 pm |
  89. Jim, Denver CO

    No the outcome won't affect President Obama's re-election chances. Those of us who have brains know that the ACA is something this country needs and that he is a better choice than the GOP 4 Stooges.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:33 pm |
  90. Deb from Texas

    GOP health care plan: 1. the 1% have it, you don't. 2. Close all the emergency rooms. Die in the streets. (Now the GOP can really clean up).

    March 28, 2012 at 4:33 pm |
  91. jdoe

    Let the court throw it out. Then run a few stories about how people who can and want to buy insurance are denied coverage, then go broke and/or die because of it. Run a few more stories about people who can buy insurance but did not, then end up in the ER and have the taxpayer and/or insured pay for their care. This should go over well with voters.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:33 pm |
  92. spiked3

    Didn't one of the justices ask, "How can we mandate retirement insurance (social security) and not health insurance?" I guess that means it will have to become a government run program, or it and social security should go away. And James is correct, nothing would make the democrats happier. Go ahead Republicans, push the button.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:34 pm |
  93. Tracy W

    The only reason this health care bill got pushed through is because Obama is the first African-American president. The liberals in congress, were not going to let this fail and make the president look bad. They cost most the blue dog democrats their elections, by pressuring them into supporting this legislation. Amazing.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:35 pm |
  94. Jackie McCardell Jr.

    Jack, the only way the decision will have a negative repercussion for POTUS is if the law is voted down by a 6-3 or 7-2 margin. If it appears to be a partisan decision, then Obama will come out the victor. SCOTUS is not immune from partisanship. How can this mandate be unconstitutional, but the requirement to purchase auto insurance constitutional?

    March 28, 2012 at 4:35 pm |
  95. Ed from Colorado

    It may in fact help him, when the backlash happens and many of the people helped so far, are again left in the dark. Back to letting the insurance companies have a free-for-all. Competition is great, EXCEPT when you don't have a job or can't afford any insurance. Get ready to expand the emergency rooms!

    March 28, 2012 at 4:36 pm |
  96. Richard Cronshey

    People will not vote for or against Obama based on this Supreme Court decision.....It's the economy stupid all over again....If people PERCEIVE that their lives are better or getting better, then Obama wins....If they perceive that their lives are worse or getting worse, then Obama could lose.....Killing of Bin Laden means more to the everyday Joe than Obamacare...

    March 28, 2012 at 4:37 pm |
  97. pmangr

    I think they should remove the mandate that requires hospitals to treat people who don't have insurance. Get rid of the freeloaders and watch everyone change their tune on "Individual Mandates"

    March 28, 2012 at 4:37 pm |
  98. clear view

    it will just be another obama failure, and the democrats and the media will blame republicans, maybe even george bush. the right leaning court justices are bad , the left leaning are good - i thought the court was supposed to rule based on the constitution and rules of law, not party affiliation - kagan worked for obama for gods sake, how can she rule fairly? politics in american is severly broken and divided

    March 28, 2012 at 4:38 pm |
  99. Chris in Florida

    I think Obama's chances actually improve if the law is struck down or the mandate is struck down. The Republican's signature issue is to repeal it. With that tire deflated, there isn't nearly as much enthusiasm for either Romney or the Catholic Guy (Santorum) ......If the core of the healthcare law is thrown-out, and the House stays republican, Obama will not be able to enact his socialist agenda. Republicans are seriously energized about ObamaCare, and that anger will abate if the law is neutered by the SCOTUS. Bottom line: Romney or Santorum don't command a big enough base to topple Obama if the Health Care Law is gutted by the Court, but it will not matter. The House can keep him in-check and his legacy will be next-to-nothing.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:38 pm |
  100. Dan-Nashua, NH

    Carville's comments says it best. Considering that the GOP has used every ounce to block the healthcare law, and their constant insistence not to use the Congress to repeal it only shows that the GOP did not want to dirty their hands, by doing the work that the Congress is invested of them in U.S. Constitution, and sidestep any fallout that would be against them by trying to repeal it by legislative means. All the three days showed us that the GOP used the Supreme Court to do their dirty work, and take the fall for the GOP majority in Congress to sidestep the will of the people of this country!

    March 28, 2012 at 4:38 pm |
  101. bettyjohnson

    this may quite the people that is always holler. i am tired of them not getting insurance. this would make every body do it . i dont understand people.and i thought the supreme court always went by the law. . i dont think we need to pay them a life time salary to uphold a party. american is going to the dogs.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:38 pm |
  102. Kevin Footman, East Stroudsburg Pa.

    Voters made up their minds years ago as to whether or not they were going to vote in favor of re-electing, or not re-electing our president. If I were him, I would pack up my wife and kids and return to Hawaii for some peace and quiet. For attempting to govern this great nation from the middle, all he's received is grief and resistance from both the far Right and far Left. What ever happened to compromise?

    March 28, 2012 at 4:38 pm |
  103. Joi Gibson

    If the Supreme Court strikes down the ACA, I think it might actually help the President. After the Citizens United decision, the Supreme Court, I think, lost its credibility in the eyes of a lot of people. Striking down this law and going back to the status quo, which is what the Republicans want, will not sit well with many. Hopefully, they will see a President who is willing to go to the mat to ensure that health care is obtainable, and therefore will vote for this President as opposed to voting for a man who thinks the free markets are just groovy and will take care of everything.

    West Palm Beach, FL

    March 28, 2012 at 4:38 pm |
  104. TP

    Ironic that even our Supreme Court did not want to delve into the 2700 pages of details in this law and parse it into what is constitutional or not. Even our politicians and judges don't have the time and willingness to read such a huge document. There should be a law on the length and complexity of legislation so that citizens can actually read and understand these documents

    March 28, 2012 at 4:40 pm |
  105. DN

    The President has health insurance. The Supreme Court Justices have health insurances. Congress has health insurance, so do you, Jack. President Obama was trying to do something for the great good. He's covered but far too many Americans are not. This was an act of altruism by the President. It should not matter what the Court's decision is, but that doesn't mean people will not act out of pure selfish political interest come election time.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:40 pm |
  106. Jo

    No, because the people have lost faithful in the Supreme Court since the 2000 Presidential election. If it goes away, its a win for the GOP til people realize what they are losing. The GOP has no answers for Health Care and if it goes away then they will have to come up with some ideas which again they don't have expect shouting private sector at the top of their lungs. I think the mandate will go, but that will be it. If anything, it will show how lazy Scalia is and hypocritical it will be for a group of people who get insurance from us, to say No to 40 million Americans, because the GOP said so. Carvill is right, it will energize the Dems into fighting back and maybe getting the public option.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:41 pm |
  107. cliff

    How will it effect the election? Speaking as a Liberal if this is a 5.4 vote and it appears to be strictly politically motivated rather than legally, I myself will be outraged. And I know a good many who will agree with me. To say it won't matter because Healthcare is fluid is nothing short of wreckless and niave. There are right now people dependent on Obamacare for simple survival sake. Children with prior conditions will now be refused, premiums in order to take them will sky rocket and some of those Children will suffer or even die as a result. Tell the mother of her dead child that Healthcare for her dead child is fluid.

    And I will say this, Toobin is simply wrong. He says there are at least 5 votes to strike down the Healthcare. No, there are exactly 5. This is completely politically motivated. So I think what will happen is that Liberals will be finally energized and Obama will be re-elected but the House will still be controlled by the right wing, let the elderly and poor and disabled die, right wing crazies. And that will mean 4 more years of bickering, no votes and stagnation. In short what will be the effect? Nothing.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:42 pm |
  108. Richard

    I think the fat lady is starting to warm up for her song. I am sure the fat lady wants Obamacare stopped, what would be next the government requires you to exercise.

    The comments comparing health insurance to auto insurance just go to show how little people understand about this issue. No one is forced to own a car, if Obamacare goes fully in to effect you have no choice but to buy health insurance.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:42 pm |
  109. becky, Las Vegas

    As long as he is still running against a Repugnican and/or Ron Paul, Obama is in for another four.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:42 pm |
  110. Gail, Plano TX.

    Jack: I agree with James Carvillw completely. That said, I am sure the President will be re-elected in November regardless of the Supreme Court decision on the bill. I am however, seriously worried about the GOP stealing the election. They are treacherous, have no conscience, would throw theiir first born under the bus to defeat President Obama.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:43 pm |
  111. Francisco A in Phoenix, AZ

    Im not concerned about how the Supreme Court ruling is going to impact President Obama and his bid for re-election. I'm concerned about all the children, seniors and vulnerable neighbors who will loose their coverage. This is not about politics!!! This is about the health our neighbors, friends and family.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:43 pm |
  112. Dick S

    I think the only way it will affect the election is if it has an impact on the projected deficit anticipated in 2014 and beyond. If it is (and I don't think it is) "shown" to be budget neutral, I don't think it hurts Obama. If repeal is shown to reduce anticipated deficit, then Obama takes a big credibility hit in his election bid.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:43 pm |
  113. Mark in BC NV

    You and everyone else on this blog, you're not my responsibility! Get your own health care insurance and quit depending on the government for your solutions. Talk about lazy, incompetant, and a plantation mentality of Americans. You all discuss me with your "entitlement" mentality. Show me in the Constitution that the Feds are required to give you health care? I'll wait. God I hate what Americans have become.
    Mark in BC NV

    March 28, 2012 at 4:43 pm |
  114. Make the right decision

    This would be great news for the Romney campaign. The other candidates are saying that he is the worst Republican to go against the President when dealing with the Affordable Care Act. This now will not be an issue if it is deemed unconstitutional by the Supreme Court. So this not only changes the game for President Obama but also for the Candidates. But anyway no one on the Dems side appeared to want to have anything to do with this law.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:44 pm |
  115. RC, Cincinnati

    I agree with Carville and I think that if the judgment from the justices is too harsh that republicans will have
    created for lack of a better word–an uproar in the democratic party. First their stance on women's issues
    and now this. I don't think this is going to be a winning strategy for them at all in the end. Obama may suffer
    some immediate harm politically but i think when the dust settles–if the Supreme Court strikes this down it will
    be a real blow for the republicans in the end. At some point we all have to ask the question how far do we let the insurance companies go with their discriminatory nature and what in the world are we as americans going to do about it?

    March 28, 2012 at 4:44 pm |
  116. David - Arizona

    So goes Obamacare, so goes the president's re-election chances. Which is exactly as it should be. In passing health-care reform, he did what no other other president before him had done–he wasted two years spinning his wheels while he should have been full-tilt on jobs.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:44 pm |
  117. Ram Riva

    Don't believe it will affect his reelection...it will only exhibit the "US Supreme Court" to what they really are....a partisan body of Justices financed and controlled by the GOP.....a 5 to 4 vote will show to everyone in the world precisely that...

    March 28, 2012 at 4:44 pm |
  118. Brian Wickremasinghe - Woodland Hills

    A positive decisions by the Supreme Court will certainly be of advantage to Obama, but his victory is almost assured regardless. Just look at the possible competition. Other than "Obama Bashing" Non of them have spoken on issues. The average American is bright enough to see through the "Republican Negativity".

    March 28, 2012 at 4:44 pm |
  119. MnTaxpayer

    It will not affect the election. It dosen't change the choices: Romney, Santorum , or Obama.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:47 pm |
  120. BCC in LA

    It's definitely a failure of Congress and the President to put a law in place that is unconstitutional. But that is why the Supreme Court is there to protect us from over reaching politicians despite our own bias. But I don't think that it's enough of a failure in light of who he is running against that he will not get re-elected. However, if the economy tanks second half of the year all bets are off.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:48 pm |
  121. PTP

    What everyone keeps missing is that the 2,700 pages have exploded to nearly 11,000 since the bill's passage...if you do not believe it, ask your local representative.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:48 pm |
  122. Tom from Virginia

    He'll campaign on the point that it's "not my fault, I didn't write it".

    March 28, 2012 at 4:49 pm |
  123. Mike

    I don't think it will matter either way. What's so crazy is that the people comprising the socio economic group that can most ill afford the cost of health insurance, let alone health care, are the ones that are most vehemently opposed the President and anything he does. It’s a sad day. We have become a nation of haves and have not’s, and as a result our nation will become even more divided. We are a nation in decay. Whether in healthcare, infrastructure, or education, we are falling behind the rest of the world because we no longer have the ability to communicate and come to a consensus on what is best for our country.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:49 pm |
  124. Artr

    If overturned, the repub conservatives in the SCOTUS and the repub conservatives in Congress can join hands and shout "NO" to the country. In addition to running against Congress, Obama can also run against the SCOTUS. With energized progressive it can only be a positive for Obama's re-election and given that he's running against Mr. 1% Etch a Sketch, it could turn into a landslide.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:49 pm |
  125. Gangadaran S. Shepherd

    If the healthcare bill is struck down on the basis of constitutionality I wonder who would be the real loosers! certainly not those politicians who oppose this healthcare because their health care for themselve and their families are very secure.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:50 pm |
  126. Richard

    It doesn't really matter for the President. Either way people have made up their minds. Does anyone remember the last government program that was run well? One that was not full of corruption and mismanagement? Look at the Post Office, Social Security and Medicare. What makes anyone think that the governement running or controlling anything would make it better?

    March 28, 2012 at 4:51 pm |
  127. ELC

    The greatest voting impact will be among the marginalized and disenfranchised who pulled the lever for Obama in 2008, believing that his healthcare agenda would benefit them directly. A favorable ruling will enhance voting support from that same demographic, while an unfavorable ruling will alienate those whose greatest needs would have been met by Obamacare. However, alienation won't necessarily transition to GOP votes, as many may simply choose to not go to the polls this November.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:52 pm |
  128. tom Bulger, Canandaigua, ny

    Carville is right. Every parent who now has coverage on their child and loses that coverage will be manic about throwing Republicans out of office. They'll be homicidal if the child dies. Same is true for everyone who has their insurance company drop them. Same for people who get cancer and lose their bankruptcy protection. It is a Bush Supreme Court, so we won't be surprised when they screw up.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:53 pm |
  129. Dave in WA

    If the court had wanted to look impartial it would have taken up the case after the election. Credit that act to the chief justice himself. Will the decision affect the president's chances are re-election? They think so. Otherwise the question wouldn't even be asked.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:53 pm |
  130. Gigi Oregon

    I'm not worried about over turning Obama care by the supreme Court but I'm worried about the politics of the court. I thought they were to leave their views outside the court room. Do we really live in a Democracy? I think it will benefit President Obama and the Democrats. There are more people needing help with health care in the United State of America in the Democrat camp than the Elite Republican Camp.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:53 pm |
  131. Allan

    What a political circus this has become. The idea of a seperate Judicial Branch was to remove it from politics so that our best legal minds could deliberate on matters of substance without the interference of political influence. Apparently the Surpreme Court has reached ipad popularity – with people sleeping out for three days in advance to get their spot! Wether the ruling helps or hurts Obama is irrelevant – this is a decision on defining the limits on Congressional power that has far reaching consequences well beyond current political theatre.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:54 pm |
  132. Uncle Remos of Nevada

    The court's decision will not affect my vote - I am voting for whoever is on the other side of the ballot opposite the guy running the ship now -

    March 28, 2012 at 4:54 pm |
  133. OBDAG63 in Appleton, WI

    I don't believe it will hurt Obama's chances for reelection. In fact it would just mean some modifications need to be made. If we remember that the law was drafted behind closed doors why is Obama to blame in the first place? If anyone will be hurt it is the Republicans since I have no reason to believe they have any healthcare proposal to replace Obamacare with at all. If they do have anything they should have put it on the table years ago. They complain a lot but never seem to have any alternative to offer of substance. So I think the Republicans would be hurt the most if the Supreme Court rules against Obama's healthcare plan – bearing in mind he wasn't the person that drafted the document in the first place. Hay, republicans, put up or shut up.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:55 pm |
  134. Paul - North Carolina

    Jack, you're sounding more like a Tea Party stooge every day. If the Republican side of the aisle had cooperated even a little while the bill was being debated we could be on the way to having a world class health care system. The conerstone would have been a single payer option. But instead they fought and obstructed every aspect of the bill and what finally passed is the result. So if the dangerously conservative Supreme Court strikes it down it is the Republicans who should be embarrassed. It won't hurt Obama at all in November and once the American people understand what they've lost I agree with Carville; it's the best thing that could happen for the Democrats.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:55 pm |
  135. Pat

    President Reagan passed EMTALA. This law essentially enslaved hospital emergency departments, forcing them to provide services without any guarantee of payment, so this fake conservative Reagan is a Socailist. This is the root cause of all increases to our healthcare.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:56 pm |
  136. Loren

    How can the Supreme Court decision on Obamacare affect the President's re-election chances when most of the media will be putting a President-friendly spin on whatever the result is? If we look at the last several presidencies and issues like the economny, health, military spending, one can predict how the media will report these issues by looking at which party holds the Presidency. Regardless of how the issue is impacting the country, the Republican will be pilloried, while the Democrat will be treated as if he is coated in teflon. By failing to objectively report the news, the media is failing the American people and our country.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:56 pm |
  137. steve

    Gets back to basics: Is it better to try and fail than to not try at all? This country...and just about all who are really knowledgeable agree...ranks well below many sophisticated nations in positive healthcare outcomes. And their costs are dramatically lower. Obama will ultimately be seen as trying to bring US health care into the 21st century. His real problem is that he is ahead of his time. Try declaring social security and medicare unconstitutional and the issue becomes crystal clear.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:56 pm |
  138. Louise of Missouri

    The decision is of no consequence to me -- our ship of state is heading towards the rocks and taking on water and I think that Italian Carnival Cruise Ship Captain wouldcould do a better job then Mr Obama

    March 28, 2012 at 4:56 pm |
  139. mb2010a

    It's a win / win situation for President Obama...if anything it will hurt the Republicans more, especially the Supreme Court which will have lost all of it's credibility.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:57 pm |
  140. Nancy, Tennessee

    If the Supreme Court declares Obamacare unconstitutional, it will not hurt President Obama in his bid for re-election. James Carville is right on. He tried. The Republicans lose whether the bill is knocked down or upheld – they are the party of NO. NO does not solve any problems with our broken health care system that affects ALL Americans. Just go with your loved one to the emergency room who is possibly having a heart attack. The ER - full of non-emergency patients. Just try to buy insurance not through an employer with anything they can call pre-existing. Premiums are high and coverage is limited. The system is broke!

    March 28, 2012 at 4:57 pm |
  141. Burbank from CA

    It won't hurt Obama much in the election because the opposition is very underwhelming.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:57 pm |
  142. Steve in Houston

    Hopefully the court strikes down the whole thing – it's won't be the ruling Tubin – the law was already a train wreck. This will better illustrate that Obama may be a good public speaker, but he is inexperienced and doesn't know how to govern. How does this hurt the Romney camp? If I was in the Romney camp, I would keep saying that Romney was able to do what Obama couldn't because the republicans know that this is a state issue for each individual state to decide for themselves. Healthcare is not best handled at the national level, but Obama decided to make it the centerpiece of his psuedo-socialist agenda – well congrats, B.O. – well done! Put it right on the mantle next to Solyndra!

    March 28, 2012 at 4:58 pm |
  143. Johnny Russell

    Well Jack, the majority of the Supreme Court justices are Republican appointees. It is only fitting that they watch out for the interests of big insurance companies as they do big oil companies and big everything else. "Citizens United" was just the first assault on Americans’ rights from this band of fools.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:58 pm |
  144. Joe - Utah

    I am really scared to get my hopes up until the Court actually strikes down Obamacare. However, inside I am as excited as a kid on Christmas morning. The Court overturns Obamacare we can only hope that it will signal the end to the worst president this country has ever seen. I am trying to be guarded, but I am so excited.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:59 pm |
  145. JiminNM

    Supreme Court Justices who defend the Constitution and vote to repeal the Obama healthcare law need to take the time to prepare briefs with sufficient content to cause dissenting Justices to be impeachable and impeached.

    March 28, 2012 at 4:59 pm |
  146. Pete/Ark

    Dunno Jack. Maybe after they actually announce a decision I could make a guess...unlike news analysts, my tarot deck is imprcise.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:00 pm |
  147. John in Kansas

    If the law is struck down, then Romney will have to say more than "just let the free market sort out the problem." Women's healthcare is starting to become a real thorn in the side of the GOP. Not only are there many provisions in the law pertaining to women's healthcare, furthermore, it is generally the woman of the family that takes the children to the doctor’s office or hospital. Nothing upsets a mother more than their child is sick and can not get healthcare. Under Obamacare, children can stay on their parent’s healthcare plan to age 26. The GOP governors were promoting all those absurd ultrasound prior to abortion laws. The GOP is creating a huge gender gap problem for themselves.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:00 pm |
  148. OBG

    We will have to wait for the election to see the effect. But based on the comments in this forum the decision will continue to divide this nation, much like Roe v Wade.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:00 pm |
  149. Jay

    Jack, I fully expect the justices to strike down the whole law after their ruling in the Citizen's United decision. However, I will be voting for a second term for President Obama in the hopes that he will issue an executive order creating the single payer system we all wanted in the first place. The health insurance companies will then be forced to lower the price of their premiums in order to compete with it. Also, the President should finally resolve the Supreme Court problem by eliminating or creating more positions on Supreme Court, as well as advocating for Congress to pass a constitutional amendment that will overrule the Citizens United v Federal Election Commission decision.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:01 pm |
  150. DaleW in MA

    It'll just make us informed citizens hate the corrupt corporations and their 'elected' minions even more. There will be a renewed effort by the 99% to change things and disrupt 'business as usual' inside the beltway. With Bush/Gore 2000, citizens united and this fiasco, 'justice' and healthcare in this country is only for the wealthy!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:06 pm |
  151. Ziggy

    I almost wish that Clinton's attempt at changing our healthcare system had been adopted – it would have been done with and couldn't have been any worse than what we have now. I bet most people don't even understand it.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:06 pm |
  152. Annette from Greenville, SC

    I don't think it will have much impact on President Obama's likelihood for reelection. Since being in office, he has scored other wins despite huge obstacles from the Republican guard. The ACA was always a compromise, a handout by politicians to special interests. The President knows that. This likely defeat will bring further hardship to hundreds of Americans but I believe it will ultimately lead to a universal health care system modelled on Medicare, which is what should have been enacted in the first place. This defeat will gird the Democrats and those of us who are appalled by the current status quo into fighting with all our might and that will do the trick.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:08 pm |
  153. john

    if the "family" decides to whack affordable health care, the people will see this as the same bunch of clowns, (basically) that gave Bush the election, they will be seen for what they are, and who they represent!!!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:09 pm |
  154. exCONservtv

    This thing will happen in time. The ignorant will get educated. The racists will die off. Old conservatives will lose their coverage and die. People will have had enough of the lobbyists. There will need to be a lot more suffering before things get better.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:10 pm |
  155. Tina from WI

    Who knows Jack. At least the President will still have his health insurance if the law gets repealed whether he's re-elected or not. I may never be able to afford it.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:10 pm |
  156. longshot

    It will matter to the independents who are in favor of healthcare bill. Once this is taken away, and people lose benefits, children lose coverage, sick people stop treatments, the voters will again see that the GOP is not on the side of the average American. This will help the Dems win re-election and push through single payer.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:11 pm |
  157. jdoe

    Republicans want the insurers to decide whom and what they will cover. People already know that even if they can and want to buy insurance, they may be denied. If insurers decide to not pay a claim, people have no recourse other than a long and expensive court battle, something a sick person doesn't have the time or money for. If they get too sick to work, they can lose their insurance and go broke paying for treatment, or worse. This puts most Americans at risk, unless they're very wealthy.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:11 pm |
  158. johnny57

    People need to remember that it is not called Obamacare. It is called the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA). People need to remember that this was a bill that went through congress, and then to the president. It would be disappointing if they took down the whole rule. We need to make improvements on the health care front.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:11 pm |
  159. Collin

    It probably won't matter either way. If it is upheld, then it can be tweaked down the road – the beauty of legislation is while it is slow, it can still be fluid. If it is struck down, it may actually help anyway – it will galvanize those who care about the issue to vote for him and the Democrats – ask them to work on something like a single payer system. The real problem is that a lot of this is basically bought and paid for by the insurance companies. The law(s) need to be made for the people's best interests, not business – that is where the real problem lies.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:11 pm |
  160. cdonohoe

    I thought this was lame from the beginning. Why make the teeth of this bill not start until you're out of office?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:12 pm |
  161. Collin

    Ideally we would have a single payer system that covers everyone and then if you want, you can buy more from insurance companies who will have to compete for business. The single payer system, implemented correctly, would help lower health care costs overall.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:14 pm |
  162. Mark from Louisiana

    I don't know about the election, but if it's repealed I bet the stock market goes up a bunch.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:15 pm |
  163. Bis

    The Supreme Court already chose 1 President. Now they conveniently take on a controversial issue that could affect the outcome of the upcoming election. The Supreme Court should stop playing politics. If they had a sense of obligation to ALL the American people, they would defer any ruling on ths topic until after the election.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:17 pm |
  164. KC

    Obama' unconstitutional socialist policies, that include socializing the best medical system in the world are a complete and total failure. His presidency will go down in history as the worst. Hey Nancy – are YOU serious?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:17 pm |
  165. Martha Campbell

    It will not affect his re-election, but it will be a huge embarrassment for the Supreme Court. It will be a political decision as opposed to a decision based on fairness. Politics should not rule our Supreme Court.

    Jamestown, PA

    March 28, 2012 at 5:18 pm |
  166. Aztec Phil

    Skimming over the responses to your question, Jack, it appears that if Obamacare is repealed (God forbid!), it won't make a shred of difference. Obama will be re-elected. He has shown by his hard work on this issue that he has the best interests of the nation at heart and people recognize this. They do not see this in any of his political opponentsI have to agree. It looks like this president is turning into a national hero of sorts opposing an egocentric, greedy conservative culture of ignorance and buffoonery.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:19 pm |
  167. elobogrande

    Attention poor people: Go to the emergency room when you need a doctor's help. Let them charge an arm and leg for the little service they provide (and they must by law) Pay $1 a month for the rest of your life. The greedy buzzards that are preventing you from health care...they will pay the bill in increased cost of their insurance. ONLY the lawmakers and wealthy elite deserve health care...the rest should go off into the woods and die. Why, that must be God's will. Nazi Germany must have been good...we're becoming just like it.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:19 pm |
  168. Larry,Springfield,Ohio

    Jack,pretty simple if its upheld he loses the election,if it's shot down,the people win back their liberty>

    March 28, 2012 at 5:20 pm |
  169. Stephanie in Seattle

    I doubt it will effect it at all. These guys...on both sides... have learned to spin everything so much to a country that's ill informed so people will keep their heads buried in the sand and vote for the obama no matter what. I don't know where they're getting this info that it's lowering cost of heath care of coverage. We, like nearly everyone I talk to has had their insurance rates go up, coverage go down and I don't see any costs of care going down. IT's been a complete and total disaster and all the guys on the left have to say is that the right wants people to die and the non-thinkers in this country fall all over themselves getting to the voting booth to vote for the guy that is enabling them.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:20 pm |
  170. Rick from Ohio

    We will not know until June, But I love to be a fly on the wall listening to the Justice's Friday Conference. Suppose there is some give and take to declare the mandate unconstitutional 6-3 and in return the rest of the law is upheld. There has to be some dealing on this as Justice Roberts may want a larger majority than 5-4. Overturning the mandate while upholding the rest of the law would really put the politicos in a bind.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:20 pm |
  171. Andason Tashi

    It might affect the chances in the short run but not in the longterm, as compared to other candidates without a proposal Obama has proposed something the public loves. others in the GOP are simply out to makesure Obamacare fails without any real proposal to replace it. What becomes of the millions of uninsured if the politically divided supreme court strikes the people's will down.?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:21 pm |
  172. Patricia/Georgia

    Thomas Jefferson feared the power of the supreme court as he was afraid they would start to make laws rather than interpret them. It seem, after all these years, he is right i.e. Citizens United. As for the health care law ..it should not be overturned because there are too many good things in it. Republicans gave up their chance to criticize it when t hey walked away from it. They could have worked with this president and gotten a law they felt was better but they would rather see him and the country fail.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:21 pm |
  173. lolo

    It won't matter to me at all. The GOP field stinks to high heaven and I will not vote for neither one of them. They are such hypocrits and liars.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:21 pm |
  174. Monika (Ohio)

    I don't think it will necessary affect the election, but it is incredibly sad for Americans that any attempt to reform the health care system will likely be dismantled. Yes, the process of passing the ACA was messy, but healthcare is messy and any attempts to reform healthcare will be complicated. We are now left without solutions, the republicans definitely have no answers.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:21 pm |
  175. Steven D

    Very little effect. Everyone is more concerned about the economy. Mitt Romney the new Republican nominee I assume, has the same outline that he drafted. So was is the difference? Actually it might hurt the Republicans, the party of no.
    Personally I think if states force mandatory car insurance why cant the govt force heath care? Why cant states mandate what they want and dont want. My god lets get our act together now.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:21 pm |
  176. Alisa Brown

    It's the Affordable Care Act, not Obamacare, and it makes some excellent progress towards insuring all Americans have health care coverage. It is a shame that it may be struck down by the Supreme Court. How is this mandate different than requiring drivers to have auto insurance?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:21 pm |
  177. Brandon

    Broken down in 3 parts of the decision. If the entire law is struck down, the backlash in health care could actually HURT the campaign. Republican campaigns would take a route of "What will he try next". If the mandate were alone to be struck down; the short term would be great for democrats but the long term would lead to nothing being done alone as far as cost control goes and insurance prices would be likely to rise astronomically on healthy individuals continuing to keep them from the market. If it is all upheld, while it would be a major platform for anyone but Romney, it would have little effect for anyone but Obama as he would campaign his accomplishment.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:22 pm |
  178. ted wa.

    it won't change anything politically but it does show that the judges are true to their ideology not the constitution

    March 28, 2012 at 5:22 pm |
  179. Sandra from Texas

    Remember, we the people have the attention span of a gnat. Unless the decision is reached the same week as the election, it probably won't affect his chances at all.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:23 pm |
  180. Matt from Topeka, KS

    Jack I thought it would be terrible for Obama's odds in November. Now I'm not as sure for two reasons. For perspective, I am a registered Democrat who will be very torn if Romney is the GOP nominee. First I agree with what Carville said yesterday. Enthusiasm! It's what the GOP is lacking. Second I think it draws more attention to Romney's similar bill in MA. If Obama's is unconstitutional, doesn't it at least raise questions about Romney's ability to affect legal laws?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:23 pm |
  181. retief1954

    If the conservative justices have anything to say about it, it will DOOM Obama's chances of re-election. They're conservatives, after all, and despite their bogus claims of "country first", their REAL top priority is getting Obama out of office by any means necessary. BTW, for the posters here trying to say that Obama will go down as the worst president in history... never fear. George W Bush CAN'T BE TOUCHED in THAT category. It's not even close.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:23 pm |
  182. Frank W

    It is a win/win for President Obama either way it goes.The public remembers the Supreme Court's interference with the Bush/Gore election – so they will hold this against them. I agree with Carville – let the Republicans inherit the Health Insurance issue. If you remember the last time they had a chance they remained inactive and we all watched the costs skyrocket. How quickly the public forgets.
    Frank W.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:23 pm |
  183. Andason Tashi

    because we should understand that was Obama's trademark promise and achievement during his campaign election in 2008, we should learn to respect politicians who keep their promise and reject those who are just out to ensure healthcare law fails without and alternative in store

    March 28, 2012 at 5:23 pm |
  184. Jay D- Harrison, NY

    This will be a knockout blow for President Obama. The republicans will focus on the almost 3 years of low jobs growth and weak economy, while the President and the dems pushed an unconstitutional universal health care bill as their number one priority.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:23 pm |
  185. Howard

    Why do you (the media) insist on calling it "ObamaCare"?? He did not write this plan, it's nothing like the healthcare plan he proposed when campaigning. This is a scaled up version of a late 90's republican plan that has been tweaked by lobbyists to favor the insurance companies. Other than signing it, what makes it Obama's?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:23 pm |
  186. Dean, Lakewood, NJ

    I don't think it will matter who gets elected. I just want the same health care our congressional leaders have. They get free medical care because it's paid for by the tax payers. I guess I have to pay for my own helath insurance and pay for theirs as well. It sounds like the people who elected them are getting the usual raw deal.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:24 pm |
  187. Gary in IL

    If he survives all of the other incompetence, the failure to pass a law that is unconstitutional wont even get noticed by the voters. This will come down to three things – gas prices, unemployment rate, and how well he can lie to Americans while telling the Russians his true thoughts . . .

    March 28, 2012 at 5:24 pm |
  188. wayne leonard from illinois

    President Obama's re-election is the least of our worries. If the government cannot force us to buy health insurance, then it can't force us to do anything else, like buy car insurance, pay taxes, buy car plates, fishing and hunting licenses, nor will it be able to tell corporations they can't polute the enviornment, commit insider tradeing etc. The government may loose the ability to govern. Anarchy will flourish.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:24 pm |
  189. Kenneth Delgado

    From one who does not have insurance and is not an Obama supporter

    A failure in Obamacare is not a negative vote for Obama but rather a positive vote for the Supreme Court and the democratic process of the USA

    March 28, 2012 at 5:24 pm |
  190. Hjens in Colorado

    Not one iota, Jack. The clown show the Republicans put on in their presidential primary guarantees Obama's victory. What the Supreme Court decision will do is knock down a lousy Heritage Foundation-Newt Gingrich-Mitt Romney spawned health care plan that favors the insurance industry and pave the way for a beneficial single-payer expansion of Medicare that Obama should have pushed for in the first place. In the end the health insurance industry and its GOP pimps will turn out to be the losers.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:25 pm |
  191. Ted

    The president signed a bill that he had no idea what was in it. Pelosi said sign it so he did. It was overbudget the day it was signed. The C B O says it will cost a half a trillion more already, and it is not even half way in effect. Instead of calling it Obamacare it should be called Titanic 2.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:25 pm |
  192. Dave

    It really depends on whether or not the court overturns just the mandate or the entire law. If the court overturns just the mandate then Obama can still claim victory for taking on the problem of healthcare in this country and use it to sell himself to those voters that are undecided. If the court overturns the law completly, then Obama and the Democrats will have to explain why they wasted so much time on a dead law when so many people were out of work and losing their homes. If the law is upheld in total, then Obama is going to have much bigger problems getting elected because average Americans do not like being held hostage by anyone, let alone major insurance companies.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:25 pm |
  193. Steve,

    I've spent the last three days listening to the audio tapes in regards to Obama Care hearing at the Supreme Court this week. It is crystal that if the rest of the country listens to the audio tapes President Obama will be a one term President.

    Especially when you listen to the Medicade/Medicare arguments.

    People...if you want to be considered informed you must rely on listening to the audio tapes of those Supreme Court arguements.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:25 pm |
  194. Brad

    Jack, I think the real question is, "How does this end up in the hands of the Supreme Court?"

    At both the State and the Federal levels of Govt we are seeing important legislation passed without serious vetting. Afterwhich they all head out the door on vacation shouting Let the Courts handle it. Did any of these idots actually attend law school?

    Tarpon Springs FL

    March 28, 2012 at 5:25 pm |
  195. Lillith Keys

    I don't know why CNN and Jeffrey Toobin keep making such a big negative deal out of this getting struck down. The President only did the bill to help people – it's not like he is getting any remunieration from it! For heaven's sake, at least he's trying to help people who don't have enough for health care. More than you can say for any Republican I know of. and it seems to me that if it is struck down, the Republicans don't have that issue on the table anymore in the November election. Obama care has been their mantra – what will they talk about when that is gone?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:25 pm |
  196. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    President Obama will be in a position to make the case that big insurance wins again and that Republicans support them and not healthcare for the American people.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:25 pm |
  197. Mike

    ObamaCare is not the only way of reforming health care coverage. It's too big, too expensive, and had to bypass the legitimate rules of Congress to be passed. The Speaker who pushed it through isn't even Speaker anymore – doesn't that say something? As a college kid about to go into the small business workforce, I'm not looking forward to the bulky coverage I don't need!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:25 pm |
  198. shawn

    Obama will benefit greatly! Women, Seniors and Parents of sick children will lose medical benefits they are already receiving. This will hurt the any candidate that will run against and celebrate the fall of the ACA.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:26 pm |
  199. Andason Tashi

    It is time for the supreme court to respect the will of "we the people" and back of our health care law, because in the first place, we elected obama and his administration to ensure the healthcare reform goes through.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:26 pm |
  200. MC from Reno NV

    Are you kidding. With only 1/2 of Americans paying taxes, additional burdens on the other 1/2 are only going to make them angrier. That will out weigh the need for medical reform. Most agree reform is needed, but only a few will be made to pay. Tell the truth to all americans that their FICA and Medicare taxes on wages earned will spiral out of control on Obamacare, and few would be "for" the plan, or 'for' his re-election. Two things – Tort Reform and Interstate Insurance Offerings are the only way.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:27 pm |
  201. donna

    The Repubs are so busy with womens' twitchybowlers that I doubt this will matter one way or the other. There are so many Repubs crying fowl ove who started "War on Women" but it's the Repubs who keep talking about it it and filing all these crazy vagina laws. Holy Uterus, it is 2012, not 1900. Obamacare is not perfect but it is better then any Republican has or will ever offer and is a good step in the right direction. Just not big enough!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:27 pm |
  202. Joseph Palen

    Since almost no one knows much about what is in the bill, the public debate consists of whether you like Obama (and "Obamacare") or you don't. I don't think it will change many minds among the decided, but may affect some independents, who are looking for some reason to finally decide.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:27 pm |
  203. Craig in NY

    The Supreme Court SHOULD declare the Obamacare unconstitutional because it is an attempt by the administration to transform the country into a totalitarian state, which one can now understand why last year the Communist Party USA endorsed Obama, and the Congressional Democrats, for re-election (see bit.ly/cpusapres).
    As a veteran from the Vietnam Era, when we were fighting communism, I will NEVER vote for anyone who has the endorsement of communists!
    President Reagan, and even Truman, are turning over in their graves to see communists endorsing a sitting American president and Congressional members for re-election!
    We defeated communism, and now we're willing to vote that victory away?! OUTRAGEOUS

    March 28, 2012 at 5:28 pm |
  204. Gil Labbe

    The annulment of of this mistake will fuel the growing "buyers' remorse"of those in the middle of our political spectrum who bought into O'bama rhetoric in 2008. However, as after Carter, it will take a decade to undo the harm caused by this administration to our country's economy and world position.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:28 pm |
  205. Pam from Texas

    If anything it will help President Obama's reelection. Our son is 23 years old and on our insurance plan. He also has pre-existing conditions. If the SCOTUS eliminates the mandate, there are millions of us who will not be happy. And it will impact the voting booth tremendously. How is it that I am required by law to have insurance on my car? How is it that I'm required by law to have house insurance? How is it if I didn't get flood insurance I lose everything I have? So how is it if I cannot get access to health insurance I lose everything through bankruptcy? The SCOTUS should be viewing this through the lens of the law not politics. Good grief, Clarence Thomas just sits there. Scary. Huh?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:28 pm |
  206. db

    Jack, I have read most of the posts here. I find it disheartening that the pure argument of whether or not the government has limits to its authority is missing from the discussion. I don't think the Justices would vote a political agenda. They are there to arbitrate the laws of the land. The argument is what are the limits to the interstate commerce act and not really medical care – for or against – doesn't matter. What will be the rules of the land? db from Texas

    March 28, 2012 at 5:28 pm |
  207. elobogrande

    This Republican is voting for President Obama's re-election. The nut jobs are putting the Wham-way salesman first, the American version of Taliban second, the Mad-Hatter third, and the only presidential candidate they have is dead last! Really?

    March 28, 2012 at 5:29 pm |
  208. Michael

    He was the lead agent who dove into this mess. Whoever has to deal with it will be dancing with a whale. I'm tired of his rhetoric . I'm tired of his politically expeditions tack.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:29 pm |
  209. Sheldon, Deloraine, Manitoba, Canada

    It will have no impact. Those who are going to vote for Obama will still vote for him. Those who will not, will not. Doesn't matter what the outcome of this case. Republicans started by saying "repeal and replace". Knowing that this proposal is one they have trumpeted for years, all the candidates now say is "repeal". The replace was only applicable to replace Obama, not replace legislation.

    US elections are decided on personalities, and issues that the politicians create to run on to get voters fired up. The moment you hear a politician of all stripes tells you he/she has the solution, run for the hills. Your pocket is being picked, and your intelligence is being insulted. Solutions will require co-operation, and none of them want to co-operate with the other side. A politicians definition of co-operation, is you must unequivocally agree with me on all points.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:29 pm |
  210. diogeron

    The only precedent the 5 conservative Supremes respect is supporting Republicans when they get the chance, like when they over-ruled the unanimous FL Supreme Court ruling and handed the election to Bush. These activist judges make Earl Warren look like a strict constructionist!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:29 pm |
  211. Diane Dagenais Turbide

    Democrats and independents will be even more Fired up!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:30 pm |
  212. Thom Richer

    Obama did his best for all the people and has been chastised for it. Republicans and the wealthy have done their best to protect their interests at the expense of the middle, lower classes and the poor and are heralding themselves as heroes for doing so. This is not really about a workable health care plan to begin with. It is about a mutually arranged and deliberate action taken by the Republican Party and Congress to make certain this administration fails at any cost. That means obstructing any and all of Obama's efforts politically and economically. Their efforts are for the few and the many are merely collateral damage to them. A futile battle and waste of a precious 4 years without any humanitarian regard for Americans. Obama will win anyway. I only hope once he is in his second term the Right will come to their senses and represent the American people again by a concerted effort to work with Obama and not against him.

    Thom Richer
    Negaunee, MI

    March 28, 2012 at 5:30 pm |
  213. Jim Knope

    It amazes me that so many conservatives are against this thing. The rate at which health care costs are rising SOMETHING has to be done and will be done. It may take another 5 years to get bad enough that Congress must act, but the pressure will build until they do. OK, so what are the options if the mandate goes down, not much other than a single payer system and finally owning up to the fact that we cannot provide every service for every human being. If you want to call that 'Death Panels' that is your word, not mine.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:30 pm |
  214. Tom from Des Moines (retired attorney)

    Your question implies the begging of another question – when will you people stop chasing shiny things and yelling the sky is falling. Toobin especially. A train wreck? Your chief legal dude should know better. A pointed question by a justice doesn't automatically mean that that jurist is somehow showing his or her hand. They ask tough questions because that's their job. Please stop trying to reduce his very important matter into some sort of athletic contest based upon a dubious reading of tea leaves, even if it does help sell soap.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:31 pm |
  215. Jeff, Chicago

    If obamacare gets overturned, it will really hurt obama's chances. It will make him look weak, as what he describes as his "crowning achievement" will be overturned because it was overreaching. People on the left can spin it any way they like, but a loss would be devastating for obama.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:32 pm |
  216. S Pedersen

    I am not sure how it will affect the election, but one thing I cannot wrap my mind around is that this is even up to the Supreme Court. As a person who grew up outside the US, I can simply not fathom how a relative small group not elected by the people, can overturn something that is decided by a much larger elected group of people that has the mandate of the people. It is impossible that the justices can consider this case without letting their personal political conviction influence the outcome. Why does people accept that the Supreme Court legislate from the bench. Unless I am mistaken, the court can take up any case they deem to be of greater importance to the country. When will they consider the electoral process? –the presidential election? Wait, scratch that one of the list. They have already done that one!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:32 pm |
  217. Jay from Harrison, NY

    This will be a knockout blow to President Obama's re-election. The republicans will site President Obama and the dems working on an unconstitutional univeral health care law for almost two years as their number one priorty while jobs and the economy are still suffering for over 25 million Americans.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:33 pm |
  218. Bob

    It will be a boon for President Obama and the Dems if the entire healthcare law is overturned. If the individual mandate only is overturned, most of the country will probably heave a sigh of relief. The insurance companies make out like bandits either way. The only thing insurance companies are worried about is a system in which all Americans could get affordable, quality healthcare through a not-for-profit, government run system that did NOT include insurance companies. In that case, anyone who wanted to get extra coverage through an insurance company could do so, of course. At the next election and for years after that the Republicans will pay the price for being against anyone but the wealthy having access to good and affordable healthcare. Those against universal healthcare, remember that the premiums you pay to an insurance company do not cover everything; you probably have deductibles and co-pays and you can't see whatever doctor you want unless you get prior approval from the insurance company or you pay significantly more to do so. Sick people don’t make good workers, or a healthy economy or a secure nation. Healthy Americans will make a strong, healthy and safe country.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:33 pm |
  219. Jim in Oklahoma

    If the mandate and then most or all of the law is stricken by a 5-4 vote, it could motivate the democrat base, because it would highlight the importance of the next presidential term on the composition of the Supreme Court.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:34 pm |
  220. Daryl Baltimore

    The President does not have to worry, IT'S A DONE DEAL. GOD is going to show all of those that do not believe that GOD is doing his WILL through OUR PRESIDENT!!!!!!!!!!! The Supreme Court can not make better decisions than THE SUPREME BEING OF THE UNIVERSE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:34 pm |
  221. diogeron

    If the law had been billed as "Medicare for everyone" and was a single payer system, like the VA, it would have been popular, except for the "keep your government hands off my Medicare" Tea Party crowd. Still, if "Robot Romney" is the nominee, it won't matter all that much for Obama's re-election.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:34 pm |
  222. Sam From West Palm

    I think the Supreme Court will make their decision along party lines. If the Affordable Healthcare Act is ruled unconstitutional by the highest court in the Republic, we, the American People, will know that he fought for us.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:35 pm |
  223. Linda in Texas

    The shame is not on the president it is on the Justices who are clearly letting partisan views make their decision. It is a shame that the highest court in the land can not get past party views and focus on innocent children who need this healthcare to live, but who may be facing certain death because they have exhausted insurance caps. President Obama will be just fine! He will be re-elected and he will go down in history for achieving this great feat for America, and the republicans will be remembered for stealing healthcare from millions and as the cause of increasingly rising healthcare costs until healthcare goes bankrupt.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:35 pm |
  224. Elijah Aradion Magutu

    Obama's chances of re-election are 50% given the likely GOP nominee and will increase if the so called obamacare is struck out by the supreme court.Who is the real looser in this circus? the American people who have no insurance and cannot afford to pay upfront.The supreme court is a political court and a political ruling will be very consistent with its nature.The world is watching if the supreme court of the free world will blink and cave to sectional interests crushing the health care interests of its poor masses.The billions spent in wars can pay for all the health care for the poor in the free world.A good constitution should be responsive to the interests and changing welfare of the people and not stuck in a framed gear.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:36 pm |
  225. allen in Houston

    It is not what the Liberals think , or what the Conservatives think, it is about what the Independents Think. A failure of a major law to be ruled constitutional will send a message to independents. And I do not think it will be a positive message.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:36 pm |
  226. Ted

    Obama care was to work if E V E R Y O N E had to take it..Well we know how that went. This is why no matter what the court says it will not work. Obama will get re-elected because he will blame Bush and the G O P for whatever goes wrong.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:36 pm |
  227. RickFromDetroit

    I don't know if it will make any difference. Most people have never used the health care system for a serious injury or illness so the only thing they know about health care is how much it will cost them. People who are familiar with the current health care system will support any reform since they know what a disaster the system is. It appears that most people have already made up their minds except those who are still wondering why Pres. Obama traded the Public Option for the unpopular Individual Mandate.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:37 pm |
  228. HURRICANEPAUL from Hawaii

    Jack, the Democrats knew that their bill would not get the 6o votes in the Senate necessary to pass Obamacare, so they used 'deem & pass' and 'reconcilliation', dirty political tricks that skirted Congressional protocal, something candidate Obama said he wouldn't do.

    If the Supreme Court decision goes against Obama, he will have two chances of being reelected this November, fat and slim.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:37 pm |
  229. michelle shogren

    This president had no experience in being in charge of anything except neighborhood organization and His term so far has only shown that he really like to give speeches most of all. I would hope that this might make the electorate think about 4 more years .

    March 28, 2012 at 5:37 pm |
  230. Patricia Ann Reed Olonode

    No effect on the Supreme Court ruling that will be worst than put $10,000.00 bet on our Lifes. Bush problems are still there. We don't want a Great Gambler for President

    March 28, 2012 at 5:37 pm |
  231. Robert Hofler

    However this is decided, it will galvanize the public against not Obama but the Supreme Court.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:38 pm |
  232. diana

    my God you guys,,can't you see what he's doing to this country,?? He's playing footsy with the enemy,did'nt you see the open mic comments he was making to the Russians,,?? are you stupid,?? He's trying to sell us out,,!!! He wants us poor,,defensless and unarmed,,,,god why can't you people see what he's doing,,?????!!!!!!!!!!!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:40 pm |
  233. Zaiah

    It depends on how he plays it. If he lets it die and leaves it alone it wont do much to his re election efforts and it will win huge points for the democrats once america realizes it needed the bill. I'd rather him fight and promise to create a new bill, one that would let people opt out of the individual mandate with the understanding that if they don't pay a penalty then a hospital may set a very low cost threshold for them should they need care. I call it the Good Samaritan/Freeloader clause. Since they claim they dont want or need healthcare and what is running up costs is when they eventually do need it, let the hospital make the decision whether or not to treat them or save it for paying customers.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:40 pm |
  234. kaibab

    An embarrassment to the President? Hardly. Based on the intellectually simplistic and, frankly, dishonest positions the conservative justices seem to have decided to use long ago, this will be another huge stain on the reputation of the Supreme Court. Clearly, the majority of the Roberts court is so committed to its narrow, elitist ideology that the best American justice can hope for is a quick turnover of the current members of the Court and quick reversals of decisions that are proving so disastrous to our democracy and our society. The memory of this Court will live in infamy alongside the Court that was responsible for the Dred Scott decision.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:41 pm |
  235. Fred in Sonoma, California

    President Obama can cut the losses that will result from an adverse Supreme Court ruling by making an honest attempt at bi-partisan compromise before the election. He had the best chance he'll ever have to pass his legislative program when Congress was controlled by his party, and now he's simply got to get real, get practical, and find middle ground. Unfortunately, he appears determined to double-down and further divide us, and that will be his undoing.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:41 pm |
  236. mttrailboss

    Since I am a little above the 'poverty' line and cannot afford Medicare Part B or qualify for Medicaid, and will be penalized for it. The next election means a lot me.., food on the table for my family or buying health care insurance ? Mike in Montana

    March 28, 2012 at 5:45 pm |
  237. Rob Pasco - Sarasota FL

    Am afraid it will mobilize Democrats who might otherwise not turn out in big enough numbers!

    March 28, 2012 at 5:45 pm |
  238. jojo

    This did not need to be a train wreck. The Democrats chose to craft this thing behind closed doors, plenty of access to lobbyists, few law makers read it. It appears they did this as a power grab via the mandate.
    The US needs to finally fix how their healthcare system is delivered/paid for. This should have been worked on together by both parties.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:45 pm |
  239. Fernando from dallas tx

    Dont know dont care. Obama care is an embarrassment to the country. Isnt it a little late for obama to be doing this

    March 28, 2012 at 5:45 pm |
  240. ddblah

    It will probably hurt him. But, it may be the beginning of a nationalized medicine because we simply can not afford the present system any longer. By the time, we are bankrupt, we then have absolutely no other choices.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:46 pm |
  241. ricardo1968

    If the law is struck down I think it will convince people that the GOP is not interested in governing the country, but in engineering failure in vain hopes of winning their petty blame games. Long since time to throw them out.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:46 pm |
  242. Lori

    It WILL be good news either way. If the health care law is upheld, then at least we have SOME health care reform which is urgently desperately needed. If it is struck down, then the clear solution is to expand Medicare to those of all ages. We needed a single-payer system and we got this rube-goldberg compromise because Obama mistakenly assumed the GOP would act in good faith and put politics aside for the good of the country. He was so very wrong in that assumption that he is unlikely to make that mistake again.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:48 pm |
  243. JiminNM

    Takers and users will vote to take more from others. Takers and users don't want to have to set priorities; they want it all now and believe it is a basic right to have whatever they want whenever they want it. I grew up without much, but my parents took care of me and my brother and paid for health insurance before they spent money on discretionary items.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:49 pm |
  244. Brent

    It depends on how both sides spin it. If the majority of Americans are truly against this law, and the narrow (5-4) margin of conservative justices is able to repeal it, it could serve as a reminder to Americans that one of the most critical aspects of the President's job is appointing Supreme Court justices. If Obama is re-elected, then the 5-4 margin has a good chance of being turned into 5-4 the other way if one of the current conservative justices retires.
    Even though health care won't be on the docket in the next 4 years, something of similar value may be, and the conservative voices in America (the apparent majority that is opposed to this law) may vote GOP in hopes of assuring that the current 5-4 majority is upheld If anything, 8 years of a GOP candidate would likely mean a 6-3 majority by the end of the term, as well as some younger conservative reenforcements.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:50 pm |
  245. Randy Rush

    I don't think it would affect the election.People forget fast,and a lot of people like Obama.

    March 28, 2012 at 5:51 pm |