Global impact if Iran protests are successful
FROM CNN's Jack Cafferty:
After a week of mostly peaceful protests in Iran - it seems like the demonstrators may now be headed for a showdown with the government. Iran's supreme leader is warning of a crackdown on protesters if they continue their massive street rallies.
Iranian supporters of defeated reformist presidential candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi demonstrate in Tehran.
The Ayatollah Ali Khamenei says opposition leaders will be held accountable for "all the violence, bloodshed and rioting" if they don't stop. He also says the re-election of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wasn't rigged, and pretty much ruled out any chance for a new vote.
This leaves supporters of the opposition candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi with two options: either pack up and go home or continue to protest... knowing that things could get ugly.
Khamenei insists Iran won't see another revolution, and that the street protests won't have any impact. But, what if he's wrong?
What if the 70-year-old supreme leader isn't in tune with the majority of Iranians - 70-percent of whom are under 30-yearsold and tech savvy? Already - these protests represent the greatest challenge to Iran's Islamic rulers since the 1979 revolution.
The hundreds of thousands of protesters could end up influencing Iran's relations with nations around the globe - from the U-S to Europe to Israel; not to mention what a revolution in Iran could mean for citizens of neighboring countries like Pakistan and Saudi Arabia.
Here’s my question to you: What would it mean to the rest of the world if the protesters in Iran are successful?
Interested to know which ones made it on air?
Jerry writes:
A crack has appeared in a 3,000+ year conflict in this part of the world. The opportunity for choice has never been more evident and wanted by what appears the majority of Iranians. If Mousavi should prevail, which is unlikely, it could signal to other Islamic countries that freedom to choose is acceptable.
Tommy writes:
It would mean that a stronghold of Islamic-controlled government is vulnerable and perhaps further liberalization of Islamic countries around the world. Not to mention the potential for women's rights in Iran as well.
David from Tampa, Florida writes:
Not much, Jack. While the b.s. would abate, the ayatollahs would still be running things and would expect certain things from their president. Not to worry, if the "Green Wave" doesn't go home - look for another Myanmar-style suppression. Too bad their citizenry isn't armed to the teeth like ours is.
Richard from Montreal writes:
Jack, It would mean that President Bush was right for preaching freedom and democracy in The Middle East and should be given some credit for his foreign policy. It will definitely help his legacy.
Gary writes:
Jack, The key to protester success in Iran lies not with the Ayatollah or the protesters, but with the Iranian army. They, like the majority of protesters, are young and could well find reason to refuse to fire on or put down the demonstrations. Therein lies the key.
Stephen writes:
If Iran protests are successful, the next day the largest oil field in the world will be discovered in Israel and at 260 lbs I will ride the winner in the next Kentucky Derby.
Rana writes:
Hi Jack. It would have a huge effect in the area. Iranians are in favor of relationships with the U.S, Israel and any other country. They want a good economy and peaceful relationship with all countries. As an Iranian-American, I thank you and CNN for bringing us the news.
@jackcafferty on Twitter
Jack,
If the protesters in Iran are successful, we should envy them. It is amazing to me that American's, especially politicians, act as if we are the foremost expert in democracy. Yet, our last president took the presidency in what a majority of American's acknowledge was a questionable election. Where was the Senate then? Where was John McCain's commitment to unbiased and impartial democracy in 2001? Who are we to comment on Iran's democracy when we cannot even manage our own. Unreliable voting machines, laws that prevent recounts, and political parties that are able change their ideals and principles (brand) to simply win elections. Once again, politicians are attempting to shift focus from their inadequacies by poking the American spear in the side of another sovereign nation.
Absolutely nothing! Let's face it Iran's president is a figure head. The elections they have is to give the population a feeling of "False" Democracy. The real person in power, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, will never allow any true change.
if Iran can make a change that the supreme leader can't derail it will empower the electorate like they haven't been since the interim between the Shah and the Ayatollah. It will also mark the passing of power from the old hard liners to the younger more savey Iranians. Why hasn't anyone remarked that the Iranian state-religious supreme leader has broken 2 of the ten commandments by stealing an election and lying about it and is complicit in the killing of disidents thereby a third commandment.
It's a moot point Jack as the Supreme Leader has all but issued death threats if the protests don't stop immediately! I applaud the protesters for their courage. and I hope they continue to protest that ridiculous election, but I think the government will start cracking down on any more of their daily protests. Maybe other countries will fight their own problems with their own protests as that is their right, but I think than Iran is too controlling a country to let this continue.
Evansville, IN
Jack, I have lived through 5 wars, and this country scares me the most. For their country not to allow another vote says that they will do whatever they want.
Iranians already won, no matter what the outcome... Doesn’t feel strange after eight years of Bush telling us that Iranians were part of an Axe of Evil and were living in undergound cave...I mean, after seeing Iranians walking down the street wearing the same brand name clothes as we do, flipping their cellphones and cameras. The streets of Tehran actually look like any streets in the US. Most of their signs are written in English and they’re actually fighting for Democracy. I’m totally lost when I hear that we should attack Iran with pre-emptive strikes to protect america… Wow! Propaganda really works!!
Iran is a dictatorship and Ayatollah Khomenei is the supreme dictator. Period! So, why border to call an election in the first place? This man has made a big mistake today by his hardline speech. There will be blood–and in the end, violence is not going to trump the legitimate aspiration of the people to be free. History is my witness on this assertion. Global impact is frightening, to say the least. Perhaps we are looking at ultimate Israeli strike of Iran and World war III.
Mabe Jack women can pack up the berkas and come out of hiding and be heard.
It really depends on how different their government is as a result of the protest. If they become a true democracy, the implications will be huge. If Moussavi ends up being Ahmadinejad light, and his reforms are blocked by the Ayatollah, then it will dampen the spirits of others who are hoping to reform their government as well.
Nothing but good.
What would it mean to the rest of the world if the protesters in Iran are successful?
Unless they do an all out revolution like they did in 1979, nothing is going to come of the protests.
If they do a revolt and install this more moderate leader then we could see a more peaceful Iran, which would be a win win for all.
We need to remind the likes of John McCain, that we the USA, need to keep our noses out of their internal affairs. That is the best that we can do for them.
I agree and support President Obama and his views of the subject. He is against the attacks on the peaceful protesters and he believes that they the Iranians need to decide their fate and we should NOT be involved in that.
Jenna
Roseville
We have been told many times that Islam stands for peace. However, their actions have been contrary and have spoken louder during the past 30 years.
So far the Iranian protests have been peaceful, and to me, an indication that the protesters are seeking peace. If they are successful, then perhaps we will see a softening of the hard-line rhetoric from their leadership with a goal of peace in the Middle East.
That would be nice, but I wouldn't count on it.
It would mean to many around the world that the people of Iran made their vocies heard around the world. That they had the courage to stand up against a hostile re'giem and end in victory. Lets all hope it works out for the protesters in that way.
Sadly, Jack, if the Iranian protesters manage to pull off a coup, it will lead to other tyrants in the world clamping down on any kind of protest.
On a world scale, it could lead to a slow down in Iran’s pursuit of nuclear power and less Middle East pressures. This in turn could result in progress toward peaceful solutions to age old land disputes and cultural differences.
But then, without support the protesters will soon face a violent end imposed by their fuzzy faced Mullah and AJ.
It would mean the "cry and wine" response to losing a democratic election, originally attempted by both the Al Gore and John Kerry camps, has finally been successful in Tehran.
I believe this would mean a significant shift toward freedom for the people of Iran and would give the opening needed for the West to begin talking with the Iranians...possibly ending the threat we see Iran posing (that might be a stretch)
It would make all the theoracrcies, monarcharies, and dictatorship uneasy.
A much better chance of peace.
Jack,
If it works there, it should work here, and we have a lot to protest about. So get out your walking shoes just in case.
Jack,I don't know about global impact,we would have to wait and see about that.However,I'm pretty sure the citizens of Iran would be better off,and that is always a great beginning!
If the protests are successful, it may mean Iran may give up their nuclear ambitions and engage in a regional Mideast peace conference.Iran may end up being seen as Not a threat to Israel as she currently is being perceived.
it means that times are changing, younger generations are opening to newer ideas and old times are history. we know that the election was stolen from us back in 2000 and we were fully prepare for the last election because we made sure that our votes counted.iran's problem is their ideas somehow stuck in the past yet younger generations want to get out of the rut now.
First of all, I seriously doubt protests in Iran will be successful, but if they were, it would mean all governments better watch out, even the good ones.
It seems that the positions of the competing candidates are not all that different. Ultimately, should the protesters prevail, the resulting power structure would need to include leaders who understand the value of bringing Iran into the world community. Additionally, the U.S. should be certain that our interactions with Iran serve global interests ahead of American interests. If these two things happen, we stand a good chance of putting this chronically dangerous situation behind us.
The people of Iran are already successful in their protest. They have amassed 1 million strong and peacefully displayed their views. In spite of all of the governments efforts to limit the world from knowing what is going on in Iran the protestors have used Twitter and other Internet resources to keep the International community informed. And this is mostly from Tehran let alone what's happening in other parts of the country. The people are expressing their minds and the government can't stop that. This is simply the beginning of the change that is evolving from Iran. Peaceful change doesn't happen overnight but it will continue. The whole world is watching and the people of Iran know this. It's like a snowball rolling downhill, it can't be stopped.
Other dictatorships are going to start looking for ways to clamp down the new age of communication and bring their people back to the 19th century technologically, not just socially
Hello Jack, First and for most i would like to say that i believe that the President and State Department has handled the Iran election, wisely and effectively. I firmly believe what has started in Iran is a sign of things to come. Ahmadineajad and the mullahs are slowly loosing their tyrannical grip on a people who desire freedom and the right to free will, free speech and freedom of expression. Even though Irans Current leadership may silence the protester briefly they have lost alot of their power. To maintain their power they will have to use force which will ultimately be their demise. It has already changed the way and entire world looks at Ahmadinejad and the Mullahs. The President reaching out to moderate muslim nations and offering a open hand of friendship and mutual respect in his Eygpt speech has done alot to empower and encourage people to strive for a better way then destruction.
From Chandler, AZ: If the Iran protesters are successful, it will be a great triumph for democracy. More importantly, it will show the world that freedom can never be stepped on and will ultimately always prevail.
I think the repressive regimes will each go one of two ways - see the handwriting on the wall and begin to let go. Or, see the handwriting on the wall and get more repressive. Otherwise, what the dictators will do will have more to do with the world's condemnation (with teeth) of increased repression and corruption.
This will mean that, there's power in people, and will spark a global action to speak against any wrongdoing by government or organizations. Who knows maybe the North Koreans will follow. The world is going thru a change and people want to enjoy the joy of togetherness not separation (north Koreans want I Phone 3G too..LOL)
Iranians this week created one of those "transformational international historical events" that everyone around the world later looks back on with shared understanding–like "Chernobyl", like "Tiananmen Square"
In this case, they have created the first popular political protest of the 21st century–a phenomenal million people strong!–and brilliantly mixed politics and technology to do it (within a traditional society and a theocracy, no less).
Win or lose tomorrow, Iranians have educated the rest of us about the diversity of their country and the courage and idealism of their people.
And, of course, whatever happens in the long run, they will succeed. They have three things that China lacked-organization and leadership–and modern technology that cannot be suppressed.
Is this a transformative political and historical event for our new century, Jack? Most definitely, the answer has to be "yes".
After decades of people believing their voices don't count, and the outcome of these protests is successful, it might convince us that yes, in fact, they do.
It would mean a civil war that could spill over to neighboring nations and soon the entire Middle East will be on fire. Oil supplies will dry up. The U.S. will be forced to seek alternative fuel sources and life will be a hundred times worse than it is today. But that may be the outcome anyway if North Korea fires a missile at Hawaii. This time next year you may be asking, "When do you think World War III will end?"
It would show the world that non-violence is more powerful than violence...that the paths of Gandhi, Nelson Mandela, and Martin Luther King are more effective than the paths of Osama bin Laden or Hamas. Of course, the odds are this movement will soon be crushed like a bug.
i believe democracy is what the world is all about, This brings the world to have a bad taste in its mouth, Besides Jack this story is alittle bit familiar when Bush stole the election,
I don't see immediate results, but someday, the dominos will fall just right and tthe entire region will lose its ability to continue to enslave women and kill those who are different. We should never give up trying to make a difference. I laughed when Carter tried it in South Africa, and shortly thereafter, I was proven wrong. We can affect the inner workings of corrupt governments through talk, through example, through sanctions, and through prayer.
Jack: It would mean that they "got lucky,"--–that is not going to happen---a successful revolution by the protestors is about as probable as you and I winning the Lottery--nice thought---and the rest of the world---well let's face it--they don't care--they are battling their own conflicts.
Dear Jack: If the protesters in Iran are successful in getting a re-vote it will save a lot of bloodshed. There is no way that their government counted 45,000,000 votes in two hours. The damage that has been done to the feelings of trust that once existed between the leadership and the citizens of Iran can not be healed without a new vote. I think for the sake of peace that the Supreme Leader should actually lead and order a new vote. The global impact will be tremendous if new leadership emerges from the mess that is Iran now. I think Pres. Obama handled the situation exactly correct. The GOP is as usual wrong about thier assessment of the situation.
It would mean that Iran has a better grip on democracy than America in 2000 and 2004, after Bush stole 2 elections and got away clean.
The protesters in Iran are successful.The world is changing rapidly.Personal communication through cel phones and the internet
gives instant communication.The next Iranian election will have to be diiffferent than the last one.The citizens will be prepared next time.
The rest of the world will realize that walls or islands of isolation can not keep people quiet.
Jack,
Until they remove their religious based overseers nothing will change. Could you imagine what our country would be like if a counsel of Christian leaders dictated our government. I am glad Bush is gone.
If they are successful in bringing the Islamic republic to reconsider how they not only treat their own people but also to change their hateful ideology towards the western world and Israel it would change the way we see Iran as a terrorist state and make the world except Iran back into the world community.
It will mean that people do have to fight for their democracy. Sort of what this country had to do a couple centuries ago. The staus quo will not simply hand over the power which they have enjoyed.
It would mean that action and massive protests accomplish more than apathy, whining or bickering when dealing with an oppressive government. A successful revolution in Iran might even wake up Americans to the importance of freedom of speech and expression. We have gone downhill since our revolutionary founding fathers set their example. Our elected leaders promise one thing and, as soon as they get in office, they break their promises. Massive, widescale protests and marches by their constituents would go a long way toward pressuring these crooks to keep their campaign promises or face the consequences. The illegal and unpopular war in Iraq would have ended years ago if Americans had risen up early on and demanded that we get out.
Brownwood, Texas
The chances of a protest changing something are slim to none and slim has left town. The Ayatollah rules the country or the shah or his successor would still be at the helm. The best thing that has happened to Iran is the media. The young people in Beijing should have been so lucky.
Jack, the answer is simple the world will back up the Iranians and not the gov't and maybe there could be a change of government in Iran.
It could be the start of a far saner Iran with productive ties to the rest of the world. Who knows? It might even become a much more peaceful Middle East.
You never know. If the government of Iran is overthrown, there`s always the chance, that we could end up longing for the good old peaceful days, of Ahmadinejad.
The hands on the doomsday clock would be moved backward a click or two.
If Iran protests are successful, the next day the largest oil field in the world will be discovered in Israel and at 260 lbs I will ride the winner in the next Kentucky Derby.
I remember hearing years ago that the Ayatoolah of Iran was a thorn in Reagan's side. We never hear about this supreme leader at all. Good old Ahmdinejad has forced him to speak and I wonder how he succeeded to do this. I know the fact is those who're are in the streets demanding the right thing be done are another generation and many are women. The youth of this group is showing the demand of this generation to be heard as a political threat. Globally, this may awaken more young people to be prepared to take to the streets of their own countries. Awakening this generation is their global threat.
Maybe we should drop: Weapons of Mass Communication on the rest of the countries, and let knowledge, instead of warfare, make the changes.
I don't think anyone can really say. I think the only term that really applies is "change". Its time.
Moot point. The protestors will not be successful because the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei will not allow it.
If the protesters are successful in Iran the rest of the world will also see the U.S. as "meddlers" in Iraq and Afghanistan.
The protests have already been successful in educating us about the Iranian people who are fighting for freedoms that a lot of world didn’t even know they were for. It is clear that with or without the Supreme leader and his political allies, Iran is on a path toward change and these protesters have marked the moment this begun. Now that the whole world is aware the Iranian people are for change we will all be able to better understand each other and work for that change.
I think that we are actually seeing the beginning of a new Iranian revolution. Hopefully, afterwards the Iranian people will establish a secular government while still keeping true to their faith. However... The supreme leader of Iran might want to pay attention to the movie 'V for Vendetta' especially the quote from the title character - 'People should not be afraid of their government. Governments should be afraid of their people.'
It means that other oppressed peoples in the world will be inspired. The American Revolution inspired other revolutions throught the world. It the protests are succesful, we win. Score another one for Democracy.
Jack, I don't know. I just don't know. This seems unprecedented and I just can't wrap my mind around it.
Stephen
Virginia Beach
Jack it is not going to make a bit of difference. The one man rule in Iran " Ayatollah Ali Khamenei " is the only ruler there. Unless this ruler is taken down there is no use in elections !
A little hope and encouragement for any people who feel opressed or unheard. When the people speak loud enough the World will hear. Things can not be hidden the way they used to be. We see that in Iran where the goverment would have squashed these protests before they even began but now the eyes of the world are on Iran and they are being heard!
It could be the start of something big. I think it would be the equivalent of the Berlin wall comming down,only it would be between Islam and the west.
I think that Iran realizes that we are not the great satan they thought we were, or lead to believe. Islamic extremist in Iran and other countries would also be at a disadvantage because ther private little world of extremism is shrinking.
Just think about it. Equal rights for women, human rights for humans, no more rigged elections or public executions. No terrorist camps. Freedom of speech. Freedom to march. Freedom from religious persicution.
The people of Iran would think they are on another planet if they had all these freedom.
What if another color coded CIA sponsored rebellion wins? This would be what? The 3rd? I'd like it to happen, but what we aren't seeing is the mass of Iranians who are going to sit by passively, as a brutal crackdown shut's this thing down. Those in control know they have 1 choice and anything else causes them to loose power. As the Brit's would say: "The answer is bloody obvious". When that happens, we only have ourselves to blame.
Jack,
I believe in no religion at all. I have no particular favorite in politics or in leadership. That said...
I believe in the inherant goodness in all human beings. It is not regular Iran citizens that are the problem. If they lived next door to you, I doubt seriously you would have anything to complain about. Allytota (spelling) is warmongering to maintain his lifestyle. It would be foolish to think that the supreme leader of Iran actually CARES about the people. He is an old man, soft and comfortable in his lifestyle. He wants for nothing, he suffers for nothing.
I offer my love, and thoughts to the Iran people who are finally realizing that a strictly religious goverement is just as oppresive as any other type. In your heart you want to believe a religious man is doing what he does out of faith but in reality men are weak willed and easy to corrupt. This man has been corrupted and no longer has the true care of his people as his motivator.
Be true to whats in your heart people. If you want to be free to have a voice you have to fight for it.
الحياة الأمريكية ، والعمر الطويل لايران الذين طويلة أن يكون في مأمن
((Life to America, and Long Life to the Iran people who long to be free))
It wouldn't have any impact at all. Mousavi is from the original mulla Ayatolla Ruholla Khomeina. Tensions may ease somewhat. Iran will still be supporting terrorist groups. There may be a chance for atrue democracy if the remove the mullas but I don't see that happening.
It would mean that people of tyranical governments and countries finally will be taking their lives back. It would mean that leaders who have no concern for their citizens would be overthrown by those who are truly responsible for doing so. It would hopefully mean the beginning for all countries of the world to freely elect their leaders and no longer look to "religious" leaders to control their governments. Hopefully, it would end religious rule in all countries and take religion out of politics once and for all.
Thom Richer
Negaunee, MI
Sooner or later the theocracy will fall; hopefully the blood shed will be minimal. Our best bet is to stay out of it, and not meddle.
Democracy needs just one successful victory in the Middle East to start a domino effect. Who would have thought that today Russia would be a democracy albeit weak and still embroiled. If Iran, a total theocracy pretending to be a democracy, were to turn, our efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan would be more affective. So call me a Pollyanna.
It would mean they may have a chance of improved lives and the ability to live securely in freedom in a modernized world. For this to happen though,I believe they will have to have a revolution and assassinate Ayatollah Khamenei and President Ahmandinejed. This is a tall order and much blood will be shed to accomplish these ends.
Dear Jack,
I think Iranians have been successful so far since they have shown the real face of Supreme Leader and his government to the world. Before, people in America and Europe could not realize the difference between the Islamic government and the Iranian people. Iranians are looking for democracy and freedome not having Nuclear Weapons. In addition, if they defeat the dictator, it will be a new message for other neighbour countries such as Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan. Moreover, In Syria, Lebanon and Palestine, we will have more peace.
Warm regards,
Jasmin
This moment in history has already achieved a monumental goal. People rising up to question the validity of there representation. Whether these demonstrations result in a change in the political hierarchy, the point that the demonstrations are actually happening furthers the impetus for fairness and democratic ideals. This is the turning point in our current history, a call for societies represented by the people. I hope they succeed.
What would it mean to the rest of the world if the protesters in Iran are successful?
It is already successful to the rest of the world because any leader who wishes death on other countries then the message is clear wouldn't say..it is the same old message! Whereas the street protesters are sending to the rest of the world their message loud and clear their voices is not heard and respected.
It would make those people involved, so proud, if it happened. I don't think it will though, their leader has already threatened them, I feel so sorry for them. We were in a predictament sort of like that, when Bush got in 5-4 by the Supreme Court in 2000 and again in 2004 by cheating. There won't be a third world war, it will be the end of time.
History lesson anyone? The 1979 revolution was not a challenge to the Islamic rulers. It is what brought them to power. Iran had an elected government prior to the revolution. Due to U.S. meddling, it was toppled and the Shah was installed as dictator. The 1979 revolution challenged and deposed the Shah. President Carter protected him, and this is what sparked the revolution as well as the hostage crisis.
It is going to mean world war to the world, if we keep it up with the revisionist history.
Success of a peaceful transition in Iran to a more moderate Muslim state would shake radical Islam to its core. It could open the door for real dialogue in the entire middle east between people of reason; Muslims, Jews, and Christians. However, I fear they will not succeed. Those in power have the guns and goon squads. Gandhi and MLK succeeded with peaceful protests by the strength of their moral positions but they were dealing with the British and Americans with a conscience, not Islamic fundamentalist.
Chatham, VA
I believe that already have won and that election gave them a change to express their feelings,nothing now is going to stop them.
I can see they will continue to gather and eventualy they will win.
It takes time but the freedom of expression has started and nothing is going to stop them either in groups and hiding or up front.If is up front there will be a lot of blood spilled but they will win.
Mark my word.
If the prostetors are successful, I see a couple of things happening. Firstly, a people that have gotten up the courage to stand together in the face of political corruption and the desire for poloitical, religious and personal freedom, and for that I applaude and support them. Secondly, there is a price to standing up to a corrupt government and, due to the determination of individuals in a heavily restricted society, we are going to see a lot of innocent people hurt and killed. This is far from over and 7 is only the beginning of how many dead we are going to hear about. My prayers are with all the people of Iran standing up for hope. Religiously we have different views but freedom is freedom and if there is one truth America holds dear is that everyone has the God given right to live in a free thinking society without fear of being beaten or killed for a differing opinion.
Jack: It means we are in a transformational period of history. The era of shoving policy down people's throats is becoming less effective. This may sound odd, but the words of the Cold Play song Viva la Vida says it all. Everything is changing. The global paradigm is changing before our eyes. Between what's going on in Iran coupled with the citizens abhorance of Al Quida in Pakistan – the world is taking a step toward civility.
A successful outcome would be the icing on the cake. The scenes of hundreds of thousands of Iranians protesting in the streets day after day in the face of dire consequences has already given the world hope for a better future.
Not much Jack. While the BS would abate, the ayatollahs would still be running things and would expect certain things from their president. Not to worry, if the "Green Wave" doesn't go home look for another Myanmar style suppression. Too bad their citizenry isn't armed to the teeth like ours is.
Looks like a religion run state is about to get violent on its people. No surprise, religion causes more death and suffering than anything.
They can never be succesful. They are going after the wrong people. Until the Iranian people take the Ayatollahs out of the equation, it won't matter who is president of their country.
Jack,
I don't think it will make a big difference, even if Mir Hossein Mousavi is proclaimed the winner. As we know from his days as prime minister, he is no great fan of the west anyway. Any changes he makes will most likely be domestic, while the country's attitude toward the international community remains the same.
Missy M. Phoenix
Jack –
An aside to the hand wringing and simpering by some Republicans that the US must speak out for the oppressed Iranians. News for them – the Iranians don't need your help. They are forging their own destiny, and it's not about Republicans or the US, it's about Iran. This is why they will be successful – they are taking their destiny in their hands.
If the protesters are attacked in the coming hours and death tolls rise higher and higher, the international community will not stand for it. There will be a backlash from the west as a whole that Iran hasn't seen in years.
If the protesters are not, this will be the start of a revolution.
Either way, the word IF should just be taken out of the question, because they already have been successful.
The match has been lit and either the house will burn down or a new forest will grow. It is one of those few moments in history where no one can predict what the final outcome will be. All I know is that I will be sitting on the edge of my seat watching it all unfold.
Glenn
Haymarket, VA
Jack,
If the protests in Iran are successful in bringing about revolution, at least we will know there are some freedom fighters left in this world.
The impact would be similar to that of the Islamic revolution thirty years ago. Back then, many believed Islamic fundamentalism would spill over into neighbouring countries. Today, instead of Islamic fundamentalism, we may have seeds of democracy spilling over.
Jack this is simple,
World Peace
-Gail
California
Success in Iran will be the foundation for other societies to step up and exercise their rights. Not only have Iranians expressed their unconditional disapproval of how things are handled, they are risking their lives to ensure that Iran will not remain status quo. This alone is a light for other groups in other countries to come out of the shadows of their dictators and to make a stand towards human rights and global peace.
The Protesters already have already been successful. they are fighting for freedom, and that is enough. the people are showing that they rule the country, not the government, and they will continue to fight. this is a revolution that will soon lead to what the people want. all countries go through these stages, and the people of Iran will come out on top in the end.
Jack,
Personally for me that means I can see my dear cousins in the Universities in Tehran live up to their potential, and travel the world (since Iran regime keeps them prisoners). Iranian people want to improve relations with the world, and they all love the USA. This regime has come into our country and took it over completely and I would like to travel there without my mom being worried that I might be harassed by the Mullahs.
Thank you CNN for keeping my family and I connected with Iran and relaying information to my family back in Iran that have no idea what is going on.
This IS great stuff, and could be far reaching for those allowed to observe. Personally I’m already impacted. I’m proud of the Iranian people, and ashamed of us for just sitting back during our 2000 election, again in 2003 with Iraq, 2004 in Ohio, etc. The Iranians give me hope for all of us.
Jack,
It would mean that President Bush was right for preaching freedom and democracy in The Middle East and should be given some credit for his foreign policy.It will definitely help his legacy.
One small step for mankind and one large step for Iranian, Jack.
It would mean that engagement and openness is more important and effective for democracy promotion than simply ignoring our "enemies" or invading uninvolved countries. Do you think this would be happening in Iran if President Obama had not taken the conciliatory tone he did?
I believe that the middle east and the world will be more at peace because most of the problems started when the ayatollahs came into power.
Jack - The key to protester success in Iran lies, not with the Ayatolah or the protesters but with the Iranian army. They, like the majority of protesters, are young and could well find reason to refuse to fire on or put down the demonstrations. Therein lies the key.
The success of the protest to the rest of the world would be enormous. One point being Iran's recognition of the Holocast.
The brave young people of Iran are showing the world that you can rise against tyranny and dictatorship. All rulers with iron fists beware. The people will rise. For God’s sake, let us not abandon these remarkable and brave people
I really think that its time for an Iranian revolution because 70% of Iranian citizens are under 30yrs old and Ahmadinejad thinks that he still rules a population that will follow his orders and commands, but he's wrong!
Fresno, CA
Hi jack,
It would have a huge effect in the area. Iranians are in favor of relationship with U.S, Isreal and anyother country. They want a good economy and peaceful relationship with all countries all around the world. As an iranian American I thank you and CNN to bring us the news.
A crack has appeared in a 3,00 + year conflict in this part of the world. The opportunity for choice has never been more evident and wanted by what appears the majority of Iranians. If Mousavi should prevail, which is unlikely, it could signal to other Islamic countries that freedom to choose is acceptable. It will also show that free elections don't necessarliy mean refecting one's faith.
If the Iranian people are successful in reaching their aims, they will have set an example to the millions of oppressed people world-wide that freedom from tyranny is possible when unity is achieved. At the same time, even if they do not achieve their political aspirations right now, I believe this will be a catalyst for change that will be inevitable in the near future.
In the 1970s I had the privilege of working with a group of Iranian students doing an extended workshop at Indiana University. They were the most sophisticated, intelligent, courageous individuals I have met before or since. Shortly after my involvement with them the revolution happened. I could not imagine the students I knew living under the ensuing oppression. If the young people in Iran today are anything like those brave and bright individuals of the 70s, Iran would be in excellent hands if their demands are successful. My heart goes out to them in their search for freedom.
During first days of demonstration we just wanted to count our vote and do reelection.
But now, after our supreme leader speech it is clear that having democracy is impossible with Khamenei as a leader.
That countries are capable of revolutionizing themselves rather than having the US come in and do it the dirty way. They're hold more pride for what THEY themselves had succeeded, for they had come together and saw, they can create change if they really wanted to. Other countries shall follow.
If the protests are successful the impact on teh world would be huge. A progressive Iran could bring added stability to the region, peaceful negotiations with Iran, and the potential for eliminating a nuclear threat.
it would be an end to Iran’s nuclear program.
Iranian people do not want nuclear weapons. they want democracy and their voices being heard.
I guess it all depends on your definition of success is. At this stage, overturning the edict of the Ayatollah is unlikely. But that doesn't mean that the seeds of a very pervasive underground have now been sowed. Things may be forcibly quieted down for now, but the future will become destiny. One that will change Iran forever. Just like everyone else on earth, freedom and Democracy anywhere will have to be earned by those who want it.
The voices of the Iranian people are being heard all over the world much like the freedom cries of our founding fathers were heard in the 1700s. The protesters are already succeeding.
Jack,
You just mentioned that Iranians have two options, to pack up and go home, or to confront the Iranian government. You are dead wrong. If the protesters stop now, the Government will find them, one by one, and either execute or imprison them. The Iranian government is known for identifying people on video or pictures. Therefore, the brave population of Iran has only one option, to protest until the Mousavi is in power and can offer some kind of protection against government reprisal.
The protests in Iran will fail...for one reason. The good guys do not have a Second Amendment giving them the right to keep and bear arms. The fanatical bad guys have the bullets.
As an Iranian, it is not so suprising to see the turn of events day to day in Iran, as history is beggining to repeat itself of the Islamic Revolution in 1979.
If the protestors in Iran are successful; which in my opinion will be almost impossible, unless the world involves itself in the current situation; change in Iran will reatly affect Iran's relations with the US and the world in general.
Thus far, the Islamic Regime has not lived up to its utopian promises, and will continue to make things worst for both Iran and the world.
When Hitler was in power, it took more than 3 different countries to bring his regime down, and this situation with the Iranian Government is not very diffferent. The USA and other major power countries like Canada and the United Kingdom must get involved and help remove the regime to help thrive forward the green movement of Mir Hossein Mossavi.
May god be with the Iranian people, Allah-Akbar!
I feel the people of Iran are showing extreme courage and backbone. The fact that they are willing to die for their cause and their freedom is unthinkable. If only we in the U.S. had half the spine ,we would tell our own supreme leader and his cronies that we have had enough!
Hi Jack,
A step in the right direction for global communication and eventual global peace for generations to come. The internet has done many things including people around the world who can now speak with others globally to form their own opinions on people and politics. At one time you relied on your government and media within your country, now as people reach out and touch others around the world, talks of peace in the next generation are already in the works. Wouldn't it be great if the next generations see America is not their enemies, Israel are not bad people, Islam are good people and we all share a common ground, Tired of war and hate, it's time for less war and more peace
Just seeing the solidarity among the women of Iran and Iranian women around the globe in their refusal to put up with the continued disregard of their human rights is so incredibly uplifting. If the protesters are successful, I think we will begin to see the lifting of an ugly veil, both figuratively and literally.
If Iran's protestors are successful, it would mean the end of the mullah-dominated theocracy in Iran and the dawn of a new age for real Iranian democracy.
Please CNN: don't stop reporting on this monumental story.
God bless the Iranian people.
San Diego, California, USA
If the protesters succeed, then it would signify in kind: the more we move to a global economy we very likely grow more to a global concensus of true democratic goverment systems; of the people, for the people and by the people.
Let's remember that the president in Iran is a figurehead. If the Iranian people overthrow the mullahs, it would be a big worldwide impact. Overthrowing the election would do nothing.
begining of freedom in middle east and peace for all over the world.
There is no doubt that the demonstrations in Iran against the results of the presidential elections will enhance the cause of democracy in Iran. It is noted that Americans of all political stripes are encouraging the Iranian demonstrations. But my question is: Where were these Americans when George Bush sold the presidential elections in 2000? Why did they not pour out in the thousands to demonstrate and demand a re-run of the 2000 presidential elections? The US Supreme Court gave credence to the "pregnant chads" of Florida, etc, that illegally gave the presidency to George Bush, just as the Iranian Guardian Council has done to legitimize the election results. What is the qualitative difference? Iranians are more democratic, while Americans just sit down and accept the falsity and theft of the 2000 presidential elections.
first of all jack, if the protests are successful, it will be the beginning of the next iranian revolution, and secondly, it will make barack obama look like a genius for not intervening with the elections and make people like Bill Maher, Senator McCain (along with the rest of the GOP) look like idiots. on the other hand if the iranian people do not succeed with just their "people power", the opposite will happen, obama will look stupid, and you can expect a tiananmen square scenario
If the protestors in Iran were to succeed, and by that I take you to mean a fundamental change in the system as opposed to the election of a new chief bureaucrat of the country, the impact would be felt most clearly in Israel, Palestine and Lebanon. Hamas and Hezbollah would lose their primary backer, and while they would remain popular, that would have more room to moderate without the influence from abroad.
As to your allusions to Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, while the people there might well be inspired, they live under far different regimes. The government in Iran, after all, is not being backed up by the world’s greatest superpower. Those of Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are.
30 years. The beautiful, intelligent people of Iran have given birth to a new generation that has now come of age and will not be silenced. We who have watched Iran since 1978/79 are hopeful in this pivotal moment. One thing is certain, they have felt their own power, and the government that fails to listen to the cries of its own oppressed people do so at their own peril.
If the protests are successful without outside intervention then it could serve as a shot heard around the world for many nations that suffer under oppressive regimes. That shot can't fall on deaf ears or blind eyes. Iran is employing the same tactics as the Chinese government in 1989 by trying to cut off the media. Perhaps it may only take the image of one man in front of a tank to effect the change so many there and around the world want.
Jack,
There will a new "Supreme Leader," but -ran will remain a theocracy. Hopefully the personal freedoms will improve. We will need to "wait and see" for anything else.
Jack - The key to protester success in Iran now lies, not with the Ayatollah or the protesters themselves, but with the Iranian army. The army, like a majority of the population, is under 30 years of age as are a majority of the protesters. Should the young army refuse to fire on the young protesters, it will be a new day in Iran and for the world. One point being Iran would most likely then acknowledge the Holocast.
What is happening in Iran is perhaps the most important event in the Middle East in this century. If the Protesters are successful then there will be a dramatic shift within the Middle East towards peace. Iran will no longer support Fatah, Hamas, Hezbollah and factions within Iraq and Afghanistan via financial means. Iran can be a broker for peace between Israel and Palestine. They can support the international community against Islamic Jihadists with intelligence. Overall, there will be a movement towards democracy, not only in the most volatile region in the world (Middle East), but also througout the rest of the world. The world needs to send a message of solidarity to the people of Iran for a complete overhaul of their political system. Iran is the most respected country within the Middle East, thus becoming a model for the rest that religion and politics must be separated.
The fact of the matter is that all candidates in Iranian presidential elections are selected by the Supreme Leader. Mousavi is certainly more progressive than Ahmedinejad or any of the leaders on the Council but to think that somehow Mousavi is going to line up with the West's way of thinking on all issues (such as Israel) is foolish. Iran has spent much of her history under the thumb of monarchies so democracy there is new and is still being tweaked. A positive impact globally will be seen as long as the U.S., Israel and the rest of the West keeps its nose out of the situation.
To a certain degree these protests have already had an impact. In the middle east, a region where oppressive regime is the rule rather than the exception, these protests have demonstrated the power of a united people to stand up for their right to democracy. The Iranian people have captured the eye of the world. If they are successful it will give hope to others under oppressive regimes that maybe they too can unite and succeed for their rights and freedoms.
I don't know if it will have an impact in a country like Pakistan, where the citizens don't face such political oppression and censorship and at least have a democracy, albeit a weak one, but in countries like Saudi Arabia and North Korea, this could very well serve as an example for people to stand up and demand more rights and liberties – or so one hopes. It is also very telling that the Chinese state-media has barely covered this story to prevent any comparisons between this and Tiananmen Square.
Jack, it's not possible that the protesters could ever be successful. Khamenei has the whole Revolutionary Guard under his control and will crush the uprising as soon as he sees it as a threat. I don't believe too many of the young Iranians ever expected to start a revolution in the first place. The Iranians will never recount the votes, and why should they? No one can ever prove an election is totally fair. If the protests do become violent, the protesters will have only succeeded in speeding up the time at which the Iranian regime will have to directly deal with pressure from the international community.
If the protestors are successful, it would be one of the greaest examples standing up to tyranny and oppresion in the world. The advent of technology IE twitter,facebook, and youtube is something that the ruling party in iran cannot stop. The leaders know that as much as they try to supress the people of iran, with video coming in hour after hour and story after story coming to light,they know and fear the hour of freedom is at hand.
The protesters will be successful and the theocracy will be broken.
A cycle of growing mass mourning marches for martyred protesters followed by government militia violence has started and will not end until the Supreme Leader is removed.
These are the same tactics used in 1979. The cycle won't stop until the government falls or new elections are held.
Nothing will happen. Democracy will not prevail. Many democracy lovers resent the unlimited freedom of speech that generates hatred among the American people and divides society in two irreconciliable camps.
If the protests in Iran are successful I believe that a more democratic government will be established. What we are seeing here now is the beginning of a new Iran.
These are crucial moments and odds are stacked against the opposition, but a success would send a resounding message in favor of homegrown movements, and against intervention and pre-emptive strike. Revolutions for change need generations to take effect, first against a monarchy, and then against a theocratic oligarchy, and then...we'll wait and see.
It Means that even in the most dictatorial regimes, if the people are united and believe in freedom and change they can be successful and this is an important message to all countries who are suffering from dictatorship to have hope and fight for your freedom. but i think the more important question is what is the impact on the world if the protesters in Iran are not successful. What will be the reaction of other countries?
when the supreme leader of Iran says: "I've told you what i had to say, there will be bloodshed and you are responsible for whatever happens" he is serious. If protesters go to streets tomorrow there will be blood in Tehran ...
Victory for the protesters in Iran could have great positive repercussions; not the least of which is the powerful precedent it sets. However, as empowering and positive such a boost in moral may be oppressed peoples in the mid-east and around the globe, such precedents could possibly pose a threat to U.S. interests and security. Take, for example, Egypt and Saudi Arabia. A quasi-Democracy and a Monarchy respectively, both of which are known for oppression and corruption. They also happen to backed strongly by and are strong backers of the U.S. in that region. If a revolution similar to the possible one in Iran happens in either of those nations, will the people so quickly forget the U.S.'s backing of a regime they fought to depose?
Thank you CNN for being a bit more focused on what is being developed in Iran. Just hope other media would join in and come on board as well. We understand that we/U.S. very rightfully, don’t want to “interfere”, but it is very disappointing to see the media not showing what’s really happening to the peaceful demonstrators in Iran. People are being slaughtered, disappear (!) and ignored. Their homes and car are being destroyed. They are being killed for wanting freedom for the world, a world free from hate and fear.
Iranian people who are all alone on those streets, are fighting for all of us, for the people of the world, to live in peace. Peace is all they want for them and for the world.
Thanks again for all you are doing.
The question scares me. If there is a successful "velvet revolution," fanatics in other parts of the Islamic world will blame it on the the West and smack down moderates. If it is not, then it will be because it was smashed by the regime. What'll it be? No pun intended, but whoever has the guns will call the shots. And we know who that is.
alex
coral gables
Jack:
It may mean a great day for an emerging democracy like meeting at the Concord Bridge was for the resulting great democracy we have ! No really, don't we have the world's standard for democracy? Don't we?
jack
I do not think the governments of Egypt,Jordan or Saudi Arabia like the opposition in Iran to succeed,because they know what will be coming their way.As far as i am concerned it can not be soon enough.
Jack it will show the world that it's not about the leaders in charge of a country. It's about the people taking control of their own destiny and their human rights! And saying enough is enough!!!
This kind of power is unstoppable!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Jack:
It can only be deemed successful, if the Revolutionary Guard does not support the Islamic regime and its Islamic radical clerics. If they in fact support the people, it would be a huge victory for the Iranian people and a huge first step towards democracy in a country hungary for freedom, change and a peaceful co-existance with the rest of the world's people. We can only hope and pray that is does not turn out to be a repeat of what happened 20-years ago in Tian'anmen Square, a bloodbath the Iranian freedom seekers do not deserve. A victory will go a long way in helping to stabalize the region. Let us pray for these brave people!
Gary,
Lexington,KY
Success in Iran will send a Global Signal that the arena of dictatorship has ended.
The Cyber-Revolution is here, a new powerful universal wind beneath the wings of Freedom
I am refugee from Iran about 25 years ago when I was 12; Freedom in invaluable.
Success in Iran is impossible with out the support of the U S and the United Nations.
Aaron
In a way, the protesters in Iran are already successful. This is reminiscent of the Solidarity Movement years ago to free Hungary where protesters organised in the basement of churches. Today free Iranians are meeting in the "basement" of Facebook, flickr, and Tweeter. This time the rest of the free world gets to join in.
That guns, executions and disappearing protesters no longer works for dictators, so don’t hold your breath, but Ahmadinejad and the Ayatollah will never see their credibility again either so other Islamic nations might block social computer networks to avoid the same problem before elections. Radio Free Europe for the new age still ticks off the Fascists.
What would it mean to the rest of the world if the protesters in Iran are successful?
I think it would strengthen the backbones of repressed peoples of the world if the Iranian protesters are successful.Other repressed people would then feel confident that they could do the same without us breathing down their backs and trying to overthrow their governments on the low. It would also mean that for ONCE as Americans, we stepped back and let the Iranians decide their own destiny. See how "democracy" plays itself out in other countries when you fall back and resist ramming it down people's throats? I am starting to like this "new, improved" image of America where we let the people of other countries make their own decisions (as we do every four years) and loudly proclaim, "To each his own!"
Valarie
Chicago, IL via Durham, NC
...Jack it would mean that Iran has finally caught up to time and the rest of the world, and that even Iran has a corrupt govt., and their people are doing what they should have done..
Hi Jack ,
Let me first thanks CNN for their detail coverage of the Iran's protesting Election rallys, you have been the true voice and the face of these courage's young protesters. Democratic Iran makes more sense for the whole world. I hope President Obama take a very serious action if tomorrow protesting becomes violence and bloody.
Thanks , please keep it up!
As an Iranian, who lived in Iran, I believe the success of these protesters would mean that Iran will start changing its laws, rules and morals. In the last few years, Iran would ‘shut up' anyone who talked or did anything against the laws and people who witness these things, many would protest and got arrested and punished and it is true that most of the times, no one even heard about these people. There were also some others who remained silent and did nothing. I believe this is the time, TO CHANGE IRAN!!! To change its freedom, freedom of speech and to make Iran, a county that Iranians would be proud and the government would listen to the citizens!!! CHANGE IS NESSARY!!!
I think that perceptions of iran's political system would change. There is no doubt that relative to the west Iranians experience extensive limits to their freedom. However, these protests are illustrating that Iranians are far more politically engaged than many in the west would think. If these protests succeed it would only further break the notion that the Iranian people are completely at the mercy of their countries ruling clerics.
Sebastian
Toronto, Canada
If the protesters in Iran are successful, the world would greatly benefit by the lessened terrorism in the middle east area. Furthermore, the problems in nations such as Afghanistan, Iraq and Pakistan would also be solved. Iran's corrupt government has been assisting terrorists such as the Taliban for years. If the current regime is overthrown by the protesters, the terrorist activity in the middle east would significantly lessen.
From Edmonton, AB, Canada.
I am an Iranian girl in us but all of my family & friends are in Iran.
At this time we must help & support Iranian people to achieve their goal . they are getting killed & arrested in their own streets , dorms , homes just because they say " where is my vote " .
Supreme leader, Khamenie & Ahmadinejad are biggest liar in the world , which county can believe & trust them when their own people don’t trust & accept them!
We want the best relationship with Israel,U.s, and anyother country.I strongly say when I say we I mean 99% of all the iranian people.Everybody is penitent right now of what they did 30years ago.We want to repair our country and we want our freedom back.We appreciate you jack,wolf,and all the CNN's faculty
Jack
As an Iranian American who have lived 34 years in Iran I want to transparent the real demands of Iranian people;
1-democratic and secular government similar to united states .
2-good relationship with all countries in the world .
3-foreign countries investment to create more jobs for young generation.
4-Iran without any nuclear weapons.
Now it is easy to predict the future of our world if Iran protests are successful .