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FROM CNN's Jack Cafferty:
A highly unpopular Republican president, an equally unpopular war in Iraq, a battered GOP brand, economic worries, $4 dollar plus gasoline. It seems like this election should be tailor-made for a Democrat, especially one who's promising change.
But that's not what the polls are indicating so far. The latest CNN poll of polls shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 48% to 43%, a difference of just 5 points.
A new Wall Street Journal-NBC poll puts Obama's lead at 6, which is double his previous lead. However, it's much smaller than the Democrats' 16-point lead when voters are asked – without candidates' names – which party they want to win the White House.
The poll points to strengths and weaknesses of both candidates. When it comes to Obama, he leads John McCain among African-Americans, Hispanics, women, Catholics, Independents and even blue-collar workers. Obama is also ahead, 61% to 19%, among those who say they voted for Hillary Clinton in the primaries. So much for the disaffected Clinton supporters.
But, McCain leads Obama among white men by 20 points. The Arizona senator also tops Obama when it comes to white suburban women, a critical voting block. However – Obama leads McCain among all white women.
As for McCain, his biggest challenge might just be President Bush. One Democratic pollster calls the president a "200-pound ball and chain" around McCain's ankle. Also, more voters in this survey say they're looking for a president who will bring change, instead of one who has more experience.
Here’s my question to you:What does it mean if Barack Obama and John McCain are less than ten points apart in the polls?
Interested to know which ones made it on air?
J.C. from Raleigh, N.C. writes:
Jack, McCain had the advantage of Obama and Clinton bashing each other until last weekend. Wait a few weeks and a tsunami of voters will be flocking to Obama. The first wave will come when women begin to glean McCain's views on freedom of choice and health care. Next, once Obama chooses a VP with defense and diplomacy chops, the men will join the women en masse in support of Barack. This will happen even if McCain doesn't blow a fuse or deliver additional gaffes about not caring how long we remain in Iraq.
John from Albany, New York writes:
Well, Jack, much to your annoyance, it means that the Hillary supporters will decide who becomes the next president. That is as it should be. I am one of those voters and there's nothing like being the tie-breaking vote. It makes you feel very important.
Ozgur from Bloomington, Minnesota writes:
It means that quite a few people don't view McCain as a "typical Republican." He's popular with independents (who are often fiscally conservative but socially more liberal) and the fact that polls show he is more desired in office than the Republican Party illustrates the point. Apparently his numerous breaks with the party paid off in terms of this election.
Robby from Jacksonville, Florida writes:
What it means is that the nation is pretty evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats. However, Democrats are far more excited about their candidate than Republicans. The small margin between Obama and McCain tells me that it's a lot easier for Republicans to tell the pollster on the phone "I like Mccain", than literally get off the couch and go spend a couple hours at the voting booth. Obama in a landslide, because Democrats are FAR more likely to turnout to vote.
Jay from Sherman, New York writes:
Jack, It means that it is June and the American public really cares more about trips to the beach, or picnics or ballgames. Most people probably hung up when the pollsters asked for their opinions. Give us a break. After Labor Day when the campaign begins in earnest these polls might actually mean something. Until then I am going to fire up the grill and enjoy my porch.
Kevin from Massachusetts writes:
Jack, It means your job is safe at least until November.