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May 13th, 2008
05:13 PM ET

Bush's approval rating & country's mood working against McCain?

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(PHOTO CREDIT: GETTY IMAGES)

FROM CNN's Jack Cafferty:

Americans are a gloomy bunch these days.

According to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, 82% of us think this country is headed in the wrong direction. That's the highest percentage of people who feel that way in more than 15 years.

President Bush's job approval rating is at another all-time record low. It's been below 50% for 38 consecutive months – more than 3 years. People overwhelmingly say they trust Democrats over Republicans – 53% to 32% – to do a better job with the many problems facing the U.S.

This is a pretty dire picture for John McCain – a Republican and President Bush's buddy. But so far, McCain has found a way to escape some of the anger facing his party. In a hypothetical match-up with Barack Obama, McCain remains competitive, trailing him 51% to 44%.

But you can bet Obama and the Democrats will do everything they can to exploit the discontent felt by many Americans. In fact, Obama runs more than 20 points ahead of McCain among those 82% in the poll who think the country is headed in the wrong direction. And about 7 in 10 of those who disapprove of President Bush say whey would back Obama over McCain.

Obama also holds double-digit leads over McCain on issues like health care, gas prices and the economy, while McCain has a 21-point lead on handling terrorism. Surprisingly, the two run almost even on the Iraq war and on immigration.

Here’s my question to you: Considering 82% of Americans think the country is on the wrong track and 66% disapprove of President Bush, what are the chances John McCain wins in November?

Interested to know which ones made it on air?

Roxanne from Minnesota writes:
It all depends on what he says between now and November. If he sounds just like Bush, his chances are nil to none. If he distances himself from Bush, continues to talk about global warming and other things that really matter, and doesn't say things like, "We will be in Iraq for a hundred years", his chances may be much better.

B. from Truckee, California writes:
Well, let's hope it does a lot of damage to McCain. But, when we go to the polls in November, no matter who the Democratic choice is, we need to turn out all of the Republican senators and house members. Otherwise, we get the same old partisan gridlock we have now.

Deb from Bow, New Hampshire writes:
This election should have been a slam dunk for Democrats, with the fact of Bush's approval rating and the fact that more than 80% of the country thinks we're on the wrong track. It's the Democrats’ own fault that it won't be – the divisiveness of the campaign has seen to that. I think it could now go either way.

Bruce from St. Paul, Minnesota writes:
Since the real campaign has not started yet, McCain is still seen as a maverick war hero. When the time comes for him to be accountable for his opinions and propose solutions, he will be in big trouble. He will not be able to repudiate and denounce the party that nominated him. If he tries to go against the grain, like he is now doing with global warming, he will be on the same side as his opponent. Tricky business.

Kristi from Indiana writes:
Let's hope none. McCain is turning out to be like every other Republican politician running for office: He talks a good game but you can never figure out where he really stands on anything. If he's talking to Hollywood types, he tells them that he didn't even vote for Bush in 2000. If he's with the right wing, he embraces Bush like a long-lost brother. Will the REAL John McCain please stand up!


Filed under: 2008 Election • Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (152 Responses)
  1. Larry from Georgetown, Tx

    We've all heard the term; "Slim and None" and that really applies in this race regardless of the polls.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:07 pm |
  2. marylee atlanta,ga

    John Kennedy didn't have the number of delegates he needed when he went to the convention in 1960,' Sen. Clinton said. 'But he had something equally as important. He had West Virginia behind him. Because it's a fact that Democrats don't get elected president unless West Virginia votes for you.' ... YOU HILLARY CLINTON ARE NO JOHN F. KENNEDY

    May 13, 2008 at 2:08 pm |
  3. Mark, Berwyn, PA

    Slim to none. And Slim has just left the building.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:08 pm |
  4. AcqB from Florida

    If John McCain is elected President . I will be moving to Europe.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:10 pm |
  5. sarah, Indiana

    Sen. McCain is going to be the next president of the U.S. He is nothing like Bush and he is qualified for the job, unlike his likely foe. Sen. Obama is an empty suit. His campaign is full of rhetoric, charm, and charisma, (kinda reminds me of GWB that way) but devoid of experience, solid plans to implement his fabled "change" and the political juice to get things done. Face it the democrats blew it when they decided a man, (any man), was to be appointed as their candidate even if he isn't competent.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:12 pm |
  6. T.J. Marshall (Raleigh, NC)

    His chances are bad, Jack, but not because of President Bush's approval ratings. Nothing that Bush has done will be held against McCain, but McCain's own statements, beliefs, uber-right wing Vice Presidential selection and old scandals – such as his involvement in the "Keating Five" of the 1980's – will keep the GOP faithful home and give Barack Obama the victory in November.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:13 pm |
  7. Karyl - CT

    Jack, It will ALL depend on WHO's on FIRST with the DEMOCRATS !

    I'm waiting to see before I decide WHO gets my one VOTE !

    May 13, 2008 at 2:15 pm |
  8. Bill

    If Obama gets the Democratic Nomination, then McCain stands a 65% chance of winning,I'd say. Obama is still an unknown candidate, and has the reputation of being the most liberal Senator in the Senate,has a radical past,has no concrete plan of action for anything he has thrown out to the public,is inexperienced,and has no broad mass appeal to Working Class-Americans. It is simply unthinkable that Obama can change America's "tiger stripes" to "leopard spots" in November. You can't ignore the fact that Clinton has captured,for the time being, most of the Reagan Democrats and Independents,and if she is tossed aside by the DNC ,then the democrats will be tossed aside by the independents/Reagan Democrats. It looks good to McCain if Hillary looses the Nomination!

    May 13, 2008 at 2:16 pm |
  9. David,San Bernardino,CA.

    Bush is now mailing it in. He should be fired for non=performance of duties. McCain is being tainted with the same brush. If we will remember,McCain was elected Senator from Arizona and he has not performed his sworn duties for the citizens of Arizona while he has run for president. If he can't do the basic job of a Senator what makes anyone think he will do the basic duties of president.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:17 pm |
  10. Joy, Springfield, IL

    Both of those things are working against McCain, but one of the biggest is McCain himself. The man comes with some serious baggage and lots of flip flops. He can't overcome himself.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:17 pm |
  11. Jenny

    JAck I do not know. If all of the people who say that they are going to either vote McCain or not vote at all do as they say they will, noy only would it be ashame but he very well might get elected.

    Jenny Rome GA

    May 13, 2008 at 2:19 pm |
  12. Terry from North Carolina

    Jack
    Not very good, the country has had enough of the grand old party. Its all about change in Washington DC, in order for this country to head in the right direction we need a young agressive president.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:19 pm |
  13. A Kraft Naples, FL

    definitely...this is why there were no other republicans willing to run in this race... Bush has laid the republicans to rest for many years

    May 13, 2008 at 2:19 pm |
  14. Mark, Berwyn, PA

    The old saying goes: "People vote with their wallet". When the economy is good, the incumbents get re-elected. When the economy is bad, incumbents get the boot. If the economy stays this bad, or gets worse, McCain has no shot.
    Combine that with the combination of a) the GOP's conservative base not coming out in full force to vote for him, and b) Obama seemingly, successfully, and finally gotten young voters to motivate, and we should see many swing states will swinging to the Dems.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:20 pm |
  15. Diane, Barneveld, NY

    He's as lost on issues as Dubya. He's such a flip-flopper I don't think HE knows where to stand and supporting Bush policies will defeat him in November. I don't think any republican can win this year.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:20 pm |
  16. Lil from TN

    I live in a heavily Republican county in Tennessee, so my perspective is probably skewed by that fact. Although I am an Obama supporter and wish fervently for him to be the winner, I fear that because of the divisiveness of the Democratic nomination process thus far and because of whatever dirt the Republicans will dish out (and people will unfortunately believe) that McCain will, in fact, have a chance of winning. It's hard to believe that people will vote against their economic interests so many times, but they did it the last two elections and one can only hope that the voters will wake up and come to their senses before November. I don't understand these Clinton supporters who say, "If Obama is the candidate I'll vote for McCain." HUH?

    May 13, 2008 at 2:21 pm |
  17. mitch martin arkansaw

    john mccain and the republican party are about as popular as seed ticks,right now.noone likes 'em,and they just keep pestering you.i've got my trusty obama-bug spray, handy,though.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:22 pm |
  18. Raymond Duke/Gatesville,Tx.

    Jack: It was in dire straits for him to win until the democrats and the media got involved to fix the election. Now that "Barack" is the Nominee McCain will win big.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:22 pm |
  19. Nuwan Sam

    If Democrats screw up their nomination and race and other divisions becomes a real issue, forget about all those approval ratings. I believe it is the only way for McCain to win. Unfortunately, democrats seems to be digging their own grave. If that does not change, a McCain win in November is a real possiblitiy.

    Nuwan from Houston, TX

    May 13, 2008 at 2:22 pm |
  20. Joe in DE

    Yes, but BUsh is not running and it will have a dimished effect by November.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:22 pm |
  21. Bob L. Philadelphia, PA

    No, Jack. Slow news day? McCain is not a Bush Republican.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:22 pm |
  22. William Allen

    hi Jack,
    I think it will certainly hurt mccains chances war hero or not....I cant forget seeing he and Bush arm in arm and like the saying goes.:
    " Guilty by Association ".

    William N.B.Canada.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:24 pm |
  23. Tom, Avon, Maine, The Heart of Democracy

    I have a better chance of being elected Pope and the job isn't on offer.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:25 pm |
  24. Another Lost Dem in Nov

    Of all the talk of how terrible it would be for super delegates to hand over the nomination to Hillary, it is occurring in reverse right now with them handing it to O'Bama. It is a huge mistake on the Dems part as I would have voted for any Dem in Nov. but now, I will never vote again. I have gotten the sense that it doesn't matter what the will of the people is, or who can close the deal anymore. If O'Bama is the presumptive nominee as he is being called, he should be able to close any contest with a commanding lead. I just am not convinced that he is able to do this. I believe there is more to the story of his church (his new pastor shares the same ideology as Rev. Wright. November is McCains in my book. There is nothing that anybody can say about O'Bama without being accused of being racist in the primary, but what about gender bias...no one has even approached this topic in depth. The democratic primary election process and awarding of delegates is set up in a manner that raises suspicion. I don't trust my party any longer. It is a sad testament to the democratic process.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:26 pm |
  25. cy gardner

    He's got the brain dead redneck vote locked up. For him to win, we would have to prove to the world that Americans are among the dumbest people on the face of the earth. How can we choose another old, white guy who wants to pack the courts with corporate lawyers, stay in Iraq for 100 years, let the insurance companies and oil companies continue business as usual and consumer take the hindmost? We need a new plan and McCain ain't got it. cy gardner, arlington va.

    May 13, 2008 at 2:26 pm |
  26. cory,fl

    so far yes

    May 13, 2008 at 3:31 pm |
  27. Aaron B.; Champaign, IL

    I think its funny that such a hullabaloo has been made over whether Obama or Clinton will be a "better opponent" for McCain... the truth of the matter is that an overwhelming majority of the country will vote against McCain not because they adore one Democrat over the other, it will be because they detest the current Administration and the mess they've gotten us into.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:46 pm |
  28. lou from Iowa

    If this guy wins it could only mean two things: There is something wrong with this country to keep voting in the kind of people that have taken us into the ditch in the first place. Or that we aren't as bad off as the media keeps telling us we are and maybe we don't really need a change.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:47 pm |
  29. Susan, Seattle

    Jack, he has an 82% chance of losing this election.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:47 pm |
  30. Jessica in Lexington, KY

    As a Hillary supporter who will be essentially throwing her vote away in November if Obama is the nominee by writing in 'Hillary Clinton' on the ballot, I can testify to this: Not all of us are going to be unified. And in the swing states that Democrats need to win, many of the Hillary supporters will turn to McCain instead of Obama. Obama represents a far left point of view that conservative Democrats cannot relate to.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:48 pm |
  31. Kevin in Mass

    If John McCain can convince the country he is not more George Bush (which will be like pushing a car uphill with a rope) He may be able to show how his agenda will be the least damaging and if he can convince the population that the Democrats will dig us deeper in debt.
    The country is tired of Republicans because they have been acting like Democrats and spending us into the hole. McCain needs to show his way wil be beneficial and theirs doom. Not an easy task.

    Everyone contact CNN The Cafferty Files should be a show

    May 13, 2008 at 3:48 pm |
  32. S King

    About as likely as hell freezing over and the Devil selling Ice skates for a living.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:49 pm |
  33. Terry, Chandler AZ

    McCain's chances of a victory in November are marginal at best. If he seperates himself from Bush he will alienate himself from the conservative base he needs. If he pals up to the president he will loose the vote of anybody with a functioning brain.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:50 pm |
  34. L.M.,Arizona

    McCain a mean incompetent senator that has never did anything for his state will probably and unfortunately win because of race. The spin will be because of experience,McCain a veteran, the women vote was turned off because of Clinton's loss,or this is his last chance but the main issue will be race.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:52 pm |
  35. Snapper • New Castle, Indiana

    If John McCain decides to switch parties and become a Democrat...He might have a chance to win. I'm guessing that's probably not going to happen...so sorry about his luck, maybe next time!

    May 13, 2008 at 3:52 pm |
  36. Deb from Lancaster, PA

    McCain has chosen to link his caboose to the Bush Limited that has already derailed and come to a dead stop with bodies strewn everywhere. Not a good travel plan, I'd say.
    To wit: His chances, you ask? Somewhere between "slim to none" and "a snowball in hell."

    May 13, 2008 at 3:56 pm |
  37. Eric of Indianola, IA

    As of now, it seems like he has a decent chance of winning, but that's because there are still two nominees for the dems. once there is ONE nominee and people will move to support the dem. candidate, get ready to watch his strong standings drop.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:57 pm |
  38. Sharon - Illinois

    These figures should have an effect on John McCain's chance of winning the GE, but will they? I think there are too many people who don't look at the issues and compare what is relevant and important in their lives. They don't think about what kind of country and people do we want to be. What kind of country and people do we want the world to see. Too many people just look at one or two "spin topics" and vote on that. An uninformed electorate is a sad state of affairs!

    May 13, 2008 at 3:57 pm |
  39. Darryl

    John McCain is the made of the same cloth as George Bush..

    Real Change needs new people..

    May 13, 2008 at 3:58 pm |
  40. Sharon Minnesota

    By the time the campaigning is over in November and we all go to the polls to vote, we will have a better idea of who John McCain is. By then he can solidly differentiate himself from George W, Bush and people will be forgetting about the negative Bush polls.

    Who the democratic nominee will be is a more important issue on how McCains fate will play out. If it's Clinton then poor John will miss his chance. If it's Obama then John's got a pretty good chance of getting the keys to the white house.

    May 13, 2008 at 3:59 pm |
  41. Michael in Lorton, Virginia

    I believe that McCain is not going to win the Presidency in November. Why? Because when Americans look at McCain looking at himself in the mirror, they see President Bush.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:01 pm |
  42. Steven, NY

    George Bush was a horrifying candidate in 2000 and even worse in 04, and he didnt hurt himself in those elections. Before the war started I was a 15 year old in high school and knew that Bush, Cheney, and the Iraq War were bogus! I have now grown up to see that people are going to keep voting for what they voted for in the past. Nothing has been done in Washington about global warming, energy independence, homelessness and poverty, drug addiction and many other horrible aspects of this country that have been around since long before I was born. It baffles me to see how closed-minded people still are in this country, and how they don't see the men they have been electing to be our President have done nothing good for our country's future.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:01 pm |
  43. Susan from Ga

    No matter what McCain does, he will not be able to hide from the Bush legacy and Ther republican party. His chnaces will be next to nothing with this baggage hanging around his neck like an albatross.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:01 pm |
  44. Mike, Toronto

    In order to win McCain has to claim that his opponent supports inept foreign policies and is fiscally irresponsible; therefore, if the people would vote with their heads or with their wallets he could have an easy ride against Clinton, but an impossible task against Obama.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:02 pm |
  45. Mindy

    Jack, as far as I'm concerned, race is a non-issue. The American people have a chance to prove to the world that they are not the racists they've been made out to be. Perhaps some still are, but then some still believe the world is flat, too. All in all I believe Americans have progressed beyond such petty things as the color of one's skin. Barack Obama is a uniquely talented person, a man of real vision and understanding and indeed our best hope for the future. To vote against him simply because of his race would be a crying shame. By the way, I am one of those white, older, non-college educated, working class, female voters that Hillary says belong in her camp. Thanks for all you do, Jack.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:04 pm |
  46. Rudy NYC

    His chances will depend upon the most important issue facing voters in November. 4-6 months ago it seemed to be the Irag War. Now it is the economy. 4-6 months from now it could be something completely different. Let's no one invents issue. Just the facts please.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:05 pm |
  47. Ilona from PA

    Jack,

    I could never understand how American people reelected G.W.Bush for the second term. So it will be no surprise to me when we will elect McCain. And President's Bush approval ratings will dim, because people are paying the most attention to things that don't matter at all, irrelevant things like flag pins, race and who may take their gun away or give a tax brake for gas for couple months. The outcome of this election depends on what kind of campaign both sides will run. Like Obama said : " It's not what kind of campaign they will run, it's what kind of campaign WE will run" It is small politics that can do big damage.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:08 pm |
  48. Hannah from CA

    Strangely enough, I think McCain has a much higher chance of winning than one would think. This is mainly due to the internal sabotage of the Democratic party over the last year, seeing as at the beginning of the primary process it was all but certain that the next President would be a black man or a woman.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:09 pm |
  49. Hannah from CA

    Strangely enough, I think McCain has a much higher chance of winning than one would think. This is mainly due to the internal sabotage of the Democratic party over the last year, seeing as at the beginning of the primary process it was all but certain that the next President would be a black man or a woman. Now, McCain – not even initially a Repulican favourite – is neck and neck with both democratic candidates.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:10 pm |
  50. john marlton,nj

    McCain is the underdog with a 42% chance against Hillary, and the favorite with a 61% chance against Obama.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:12 pm |
  51. Jane, from Hood River, Oergon

    McCain has experience, lot of experience of doing thing the old fashioned way, his experience could have served this country well some years back, but in this day and age, i think he is too out of touch with the world that it will be risking putting a GrateGrandFather in office. Do u really think he will change? At 71 i don't think there is time to improve or change, it is time to retire and check on his prescriptions arrival, talking of that when will we get his medical records

    May 13, 2008 at 4:13 pm |
  52. Marie

    I'm not sure McCain can run on being the nicest Republican in the party after what Bush and McCain's fellow Republicans have done with their period of dominance. It will be interesting to see how long he keeps pandering to the die-hard right wing base.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:13 pm |
  53. Gigi in Alabama

    Democrats are hiding their heads in the sand if they believe that this years election will be a slam dunk for them. Republicans make up at least half of the country and I believe they will back their candidate. McCain is not Bush and will not be another Bush. Democrats are going to have to work like demons to get our candidate elected.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:14 pm |
  54. V J Del Sr

    Jack,

    Unfortunately it will be an issue with many Americans. But, not the majority of real Americans who have gone beyond the color barriers. It is the political war machines who continue to place race ahead of the issues that matter to most Americans. My confidence is in the people of this country who don't want to fooled again. Trust in the true democracy we have here.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:15 pm |
  55. J Atlanta

    Seems like a simple equation to me. Let's see: 82% think the country is on the wrong track and 66% disapprove of Bush. 82 minus 66 is 16. That sounds about right. I'd say McCain has about a 16 percent chance. Somewhere between snoball's chance and a Vegas slot machine.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:15 pm |
  56. Marilyn

    President Bush will not cause McCain a problem. McCain is causing his own problems. He has been flip flopping all over the place. I have great respect for McCain for being a war hero. However, this should not be the reason for him to become president. I do not believe a republican will be a president for many years.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:15 pm |
  57. loraine

    Jack: We had a white man for 8years and Gasoline is $4.00 a gallon, food prices are so high /How much longer can we eat /We have a housing crisis. Do you want more.

    No I think Obama will do a better job even if he was purple.

    Loraine in Fl

    May 13, 2008 at 4:16 pm |
  58. barok, ca

    i'm a registered democrat...............but i would rather vote for Mccain than obama.......................

    May 13, 2008 at 4:16 pm |
  59. Sharon from Illinois

    If McCain were smart he would run as far away from Bush as he can, but you know, his past will follow him whereever he goes. He is a Bush man and will continue the same old policies that we have today. He will probably keep the same old cabinet in place and hope that people forget how he voted on the issues. You can't fool all the people.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:17 pm |
  60. Nancy, Tennessee

    Since the DNC and its leader Howard Dean have managed to turn off voters in Michigan and Florida, McCain has a very good chance of being the next President. It only takes a few states being swayed in the right direction to elect a Republican again. Look at Gore in 2000. If only his home state, Tennessee, had voted for him, Florida would not have been an issue. And the Republicans are very pleased that the Democrats have chosen Obama as their candidate. They couldn't have gone out and hand picked a better candidate to run against. How lucky can the Republicans be? The Presidency is falling right into their laps.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:20 pm |
  61. Rick Butler

    I think that McCain is wearing most of the Bush/Neo-con agenda like a bad smell. I know that the polls say he has his strengths but I don't see anyone but those without their brains turned on voting for Grandpa McCain. Having a boy with three tours in Iraq and facing the Taliban in Afghanistan now, I hope that people get a clue about how important not having McCain in there to start a war with Iran is.

    Rick, Arlington WA

    May 13, 2008 at 4:20 pm |
  62. T. G. from the virgin islands

    Considering the fact that John McCain supported most of President Bush's policies, especially with the War in Iraq and making tax cuts for the wealthy permanent, his chances of winning in November are as high as the president's approval ratings. It's only recently that McCain decides to break away from Bush, but it's too little, too late.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:20 pm |
  63. Rosalynd Florida

    John McCain needs a miracle of biblical proportions to pull off a win in November. The Republicans have trashed the countries economics and standing in the world. They are so done!

    May 13, 2008 at 4:20 pm |
  64. Jerry - Minneapolis

    By all practical accounts, McCain should lose in a landslide. But the polls don't support that theory. I don't think that Bush Republicans like him much, but I doubt they would vote for anyone else. As divided as the Democratic Party may be today, I doubt that disgruntled democrats will vote for him. My prediction is that the 2008 election will stay interesting to the bitter end.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:22 pm |
  65. ken-tx

    Race is all GW McCain has to play! Hillary would make the
    perfect running mate for McCain. Two fit throwers always
    better than one. Hair pulling fights Between McCains vs
    Clintons in the same white house! Now that's what this
    country is about these days! But then tag team matches
    with Obamas and Clintons? That's old stuff now. Boring
    fot daily TV.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:22 pm |
  66. Robert in Fayetteville, Ar.

    McCain is largely the "default " candidate. That was enough to get him the nomination, but a huge number of voters would have to stay home for him to win in November.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:23 pm |
  67. upset voter in TX

    Pretty good McCain offers something much different then BUSH

    May 13, 2008 at 4:24 pm |
  68. Janice Pound

    The McCain of 2000 is not the McCain of 2008, His views have changed dramatically,, not for the good. He wants to continue Bush's childish hate of other leaders. and the civil wars Bush has started in severaL other countries. We need a Pres. who will communicate with other leaders and knows how to compromise, the give and take soutions. instead of killing everyone in site.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:25 pm |
  69. Jubilee PG, Maryland

    Well

    John Mcain could win only if a chicken can grow a teeth.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:26 pm |
  70. M. Fisher, Columbus, OH

    McCain's chances in November are slim. This may not be totally based on Bush's unpopularity though. Many people are not happy with John McCain and his pandering to the far right, changing his long held beliefs and his age. I, for one, will not vote for him for all of these reasons. I am a 71 year old, former Republican and I cannot vote for another Republican candidate for President. Enough damage has been done by the far right conservatives to make me change my party affiliation. They chased me from the party.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:27 pm |
  71. Esther Cuyahoga Falls Ohio

    as good a chance as anyone who lives in the greatest country in the world does. but Lucky is not for him told in the stars its in the one they call Obama this year god bless america again

    May 13, 2008 at 4:27 pm |
  72. Ronald

    Let's see, using Hillary Clinton's new math, George Bush will win by a landslide.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:27 pm |
  73. Steve C

    Thanks to Bush, our country has lost it's Super Power status. If Mr. McCain can not completely seperate himself from the idiot, he will not have a chance.

    Steve C

    May 13, 2008 at 4:28 pm |
  74. Helen from Mifflin County, PA

    McCain has the toughest job as a presidential candidate. I could almost feel sorry for him if he wasn't so determined to please all republicans instead of taking a position on an issue that might upset one or more republican subgroups. He will learn soon enough that you can't please all the people. But I have to give him credit for trying! It will make the democrate candidate's job easier!

    May 13, 2008 at 4:28 pm |
  75. juice-Canyon Lake

    Not very good. Even if Bush's numbers were say at 40%, McCain's plan to continue his policies are counter to what most Americans want. He and the republicans have run this country straight to hell in a hand basket!

    May 13, 2008 at 4:29 pm |
  76. ken-tx

    Anything can happen in 5 months. McCain/Rove could mean
    just about anything. Clinton/Rove set to use Florida and Michigan
    to use Bush Supreme Court if necessary to install Clinton as
    nominee. Then same mindset will continue to destroy this
    country's will to fight for it's freedom. Bet on that !

    May 13, 2008 at 4:29 pm |
  77. Lora

    Jack,
    Only 82 percent? I don't know a single soul that thinks our country is doing anything but spiraling downward. McCain is my state's senator, and that's where he should stay until he retires. Heaven forbid another "Bush" running our country. In my book, McCain doesn't have a chance in you-know-where!
    Lora
    Whetstone, Arizona

    May 13, 2008 at 4:29 pm |
  78. Michelle, Ashland, NH

    As soon as the media begins to actually show all of his "senior moments" and how he isn't a "maverick" by any definition I have ever seen of the word and actually treat him critically, perhaps people will begin to see how bankrupt Republican ideas are and what a failure their ideology truly is!

    McCain is McSame!

    May 13, 2008 at 4:30 pm |
  79. D.L. from St.Paul, MN

    McCain will win if the Dems nominate Obama. As a lifelong Dem, I am sad to see the Dem party giving the nomination to someone who will lead them to defeat again! Every Dem I know is voting for McCain if Obama is the nominee! All I hear from the news pundits is if they don't give it too Obama, the African Americans will be rioting in Denver and the cities across America! Scare tactic will backfire and Dems will flock to McCain for that reason alone!

    May 13, 2008 at 4:31 pm |
  80. Steve C

    Mr. McCain indicated that our country has had "great economic progress" over the last 8 years. Our country is not going to elect someone that is that out of touch with reality.

    Steve C.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:31 pm |
  81. Chicago Bob from Illinois

    To win McCain will have to run a very negative campaign. He cannot avoid the ties to Bush's failed policies. He would have to get people to vote because of fear. Bush has overused the fear card. People are getting wise. He loses by 55 to 45 with credit for the 10% difference to Bush and the war and the economy.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:31 pm |
  82. Monty O'Toole

    Jack, that depends a lot on Clinton. As long as she continues to spew her racial rhetoric the situation could worsen. Not to compare Obama to Martin Luther King. But both have faced the same obstacles. That of
    ignorant, racist, white folks. I think everyone needs to remember we all come from the same parents...Adam and Eve. White, black, red, yellow...all of us...are Gentiles (non Jews))...in God's eyes. Hillary playing the race card....will be the inevitable collapse of her house of cards. And 'No!" she should not be pampered with the Vice Presidency. She has been hitting below the belt all along. How does anyone really expect that they could wrok together?
    Monty O'Toole
    Vancouver, Canada

    May 13, 2008 at 4:33 pm |
  83. Julian, New Orleans

    Of course it is Jack. Mccain hasn't a chance in hell at the White House. The people of America, and around the world, are tired of cowboy politics, elitist economics, and all the other damaging qualities that have come with Bush and the Republicans. I respect John Mccain and his service to our country, but he's got the wrong idea. The way of moving America forward is not to maintain the course but to change it. If we continued the same policies for another four or eight years, America could be on the verge of collapse. Which is why the status-quo is out and change is in.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:33 pm |
  84. Darren S.

    McCain's only chance is Hillary taking the Democratic Nomination right to the Convention in Denver and deviding the party beyond repair.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:34 pm |
  85. Raymond

    McCain will never win even against my nephew of 12 years old...

    May 13, 2008 at 4:34 pm |
  86. Alan, Buxton Maine

    The only chance McCain has in November will depend on the voting machines being set to register a vote for him no matter what lever is pulled or name touched on the screen (just like Bush won in 2004).

    May 13, 2008 at 4:36 pm |
  87. Rayshaun, Amityville N.Y

    Well lets see, 82% feel the country is headed for a cliff, 66% is against Bush, assuming half of the 66% of voters believe McCain is a continuation of Bush, and lets say 80% of the other half don't feel McCain is different but still feel the country is off track thats 33% + 40% at least 73 to 75 % against McCain so I would say 25% percent change or 1 in 4.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:36 pm |
  88. Harry

    McCain only had one way to win, and that was for a lot of negatives about Obama come forth. Well, Hillary has used the kitchen sink approach and nothing has turned the tide.

    Apparently, the Republicans think that they can exploit Ayers, Wright, etc. But McCain will have to contend with Bush, Keating Five, Rev. Hagee, Bob Barr and a host of other issues, that have been swept under the rug over the years.

    There may be a very good reason that Sen. McCain would prefer NOT to engage in smear tactics. Unfortunately, you cannot claim the mantle of experience and then cherry pick the good times.

    Harry
    Ky.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:38 pm |
  89. Tommie Paul

    Jack, I am from East Saint Louis, Illinois. John McCain will win the race this time because his opponent has a major weakness. He is black. It is not a weakness technically, but in view of the times that we live and the old ideas, it is. You will see that, although we are evolving as a nation, there is still a great deal more bigotry than those who want change. In other words, Bush's relationship with John McCain may be a factor to some, but in the broader scope of things it perils when it comes to having a black official as the most powerful man in the world. You see some are not ready for that.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:39 pm |
  90. Barry,Kansas city,Mo.

    Jack, although I support Barrack Obama, it wouldn't suprise me if the race in November will be very close because of the number of white people who can't seem to get Obama's arabic middle-name and his skin-color. From what has been expressed on the internet and on talk radio, there are a heck of a lot of folks who would rather be hurt by a terrible ecconomy a senseless war and all that John Mcain stands for,just to keep Barrack Obama out of the White House. I know that these comments sound a lot like my previous one, but I just feel that the two questions are related!

    May 13, 2008 at 4:39 pm |
  91. Rayshaun, Amityville N.Y

    Well lets see, 82% feel the country is headed for a cliff, 66% is against Bush, assuming half of the 66% of voters believe McCain is a continuation of Bush, and lets say 80% of the other half feel McCain is different but still feel the country is off track thats 33% + 40% at least 73 to 75 % against McCain so I would say 25% percent change or 1 in 4.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:40 pm |
  92. Tom H in Phoenix, AZ

    About as much a chance as the Black Knight defeating King Arthur. "It's merely a flesh wound!"

    May 13, 2008 at 4:42 pm |
  93. Christy (Louisville, Kentucky)

    John McCain cannot win in November. Republican politics now instantly inspire suspicion and distrust for a great many Americans. McCain's association with the current administration will work against him because those associations give him the appearance of being a part of a group that doesn't understand or even care about how the typical American citizen lives and instead just does whatever it pleases for its own benefit. McCain will not be able to overcome the negative connotations of his party.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:44 pm |
  94. dave

    I hope slim to none, I can’t imagine anything worse for our country than mcSame becoming president! Chances are that He won’t even live long enough too see the damage that his war mongering attitude causes.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:44 pm |
  95. Dan, Webster NY

    Jack,
    This RNC effort reminds me of the contest between Bill Clinton and Bob Dole. Dole was unelectable from th git-go which made for an easy Clinton victory.The Republicans just act like they don't want it. Imagine all the media attention paid to how much each candidate had or was raising to finance their runs. As I recall, the Straight Talk Express was parked in the barn because there was no money to make 'er go. So, who gets the nod? The guy with the least campaign funds. Get the message?

    May 13, 2008 at 4:44 pm |
  96. RanDe from CA

    McCain arguments he is not George Bush If McCain had won in 2000 we wouldn’t of had Cheney , Rumsfeld or George Bush. 911 probably wouldn’t had happen. And if it had we surly would not be in Iraq now. But now that we are a true patriot supports his commander in chief no matter how fashionable a defeatists position is.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:46 pm |
  97. Rob, Tri-Cities, WA

    Jack, it doesn't matter how hard that McCain tries to distance himself from Bush's godawful legacy of war, inflation and economic misery for the lower 99% of American income-earners. After McCain's long record of support for Bush's policies, it's too late now for McCain. By election day, after the Democratic Party campaign ads have run, McCain and Bush will appear like the Siamese twins Chang and Eng – joined at the political hip, to McCain's detriment.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:51 pm |
  98. Michael Fermanich, Marintte, Wisconsin

    Jack; Perhaps the 15% that think Bush is doing a good job as President could suggest Bush and McCain holding hands like Bush does with the Saudi King. Than let people make up there own minds on loyalty for United States citizens.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:53 pm |
  99. Jenny from Nanuet, New York

    I'd say between 18 and 34%, the number of people who apparently still believe America's on the right track and who still approve of Bush.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:54 pm |
  100. Jim, Texas

    Jack, the Bush legacy will certainly not help McCain but I am more incline to believe that McCain will prove to be his own worse enemy – he would have been in a better position to as an independent – the Republican brand is dying on the vine. As a side note, looking at your close up photo of Bush and McCain together, it is hard to tell who is the oldest. Sadly, the grim reminder about the White house aging curse might be the greater thorn in McCain's run for the presidency - with all due respect, he is just too old for the job and our current challenges.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:55 pm |
  101. Rick from MA

    Jack, I wish I could say "slim at best." But, I never thought "Dubya" would get elected once, let alone twice. If, with all the evidence in front of us of the abysmal failure of the Republican Administration to address the interests of the average American, we elect to continue on that path, then I truly will lose all belief in the existence of common sense.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:55 pm |
  102. Mark/ Temple, TX

    The Bush relationship will lose McCain the election. Additionally, he is adopting many of Bush's policies. After eight of the worst years in US history, it's time for a change and Obama is the guy. McCain reads his speeches from a teleprompter and then has that clueless look just like GW. He does not know what the words mean just like every Bush speech of the last eight years. McCain needs to retire with the other old folks from Arizona.

    May 13, 2008 at 4:56 pm |
  103. Anthony

    He has a great chance to win if 82% of the country don't Vote in Nov . NO CHANCE..

    May 13, 2008 at 4:59 pm |
  104. Carl Deshazer

    Jack,
    It's a simple answer, zip,none,not possible, just because McCain will be a Bush clone. Also remember that King Bush is supporting McCain. That's enough to scare any possible votes away.
    Carl

    May 13, 2008 at 5:02 pm |
  105. Steve

    How in the world could John McCain beat Barack Obama, you ask? Easy. The Democratic Party leadership with its caucuses, super delegates and 48 state primary electorate has split the party wide open. The backlash will continue to fester. Meantime, the Republicans are organized, tanned, rested and ready. They'll find a way to win.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:04 pm |
  106. Stephen L. Rush

    As to all things, each according to his gift. Certainly McCain will distance himself from the president and McCain will almost have to accept either Romney or Huckabee as his running mate to appeal to the conservatives who think McCain is too independent in his views. Other than that, since both McCain and Obama have personalities that projects charm and familiarity to their resprective generations, with both having grappled with personal tragedies, making McCain still very electable. The general election will undoubtedly swing toward a serious tone once the freak show surrounding the Democratic Convention subsides, leaving a gentleman's fight among equals. However, one cannot unring the bell of disgruntled conservatives.

    Stephen L. Rush
    Inland Empire

    May 13, 2008 at 5:04 pm |
  107. Bell-ID

    Unless Clinton is on the ticket I think it just may be pretty good. He needs all those votes she can bring to the ticket. I realy don't think he can make it without her, since we women will write her in anyway!===McCain

    May 13, 2008 at 5:06 pm |
  108. Jack

    Obama's ties to Wright are stronger than McCain's ties to Bush.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:06 pm |
  109. Joshua S.

    Wait and watch the Speacial Election in Mississippi. If the Democrat wins then his chances are small, if the Republican wins then his chances have increased.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:07 pm |
  110. susie

    As a former Michigan Democrat I wil not vote for McCain. DNC didn't want my vote to count in Jan. apparently we are suppose to be punish, soooo I will punish them by not giving them my vote. Fair Game!!!!!

    May 13, 2008 at 5:07 pm |
  111. susie

    As a former Michigan Democrat I will vote for McCain. DNC didn't want my vote to count in Jan. apparently we are suppose to be punish, soooo I will punish them by not giving them my vote. Fair Game!!!!

    May 13, 2008 at 5:10 pm |
  112. Bernard Ballou

    McCain is the anitBush. The baggage won't attach to him nearly as much as to any other Republican. Ultimately the campaign will distill down to issues rather than Party. Will Obama's leftist views be more or less desireable than McCain's moderate/liberal/conservative (pick one) brand of politics. I don't pretent to know, but it is far to early to get a clear sense of where any of this is heading.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:10 pm |
  113. Robert, Long Beach, CA

    Jack, a message of change and hope, which energized this country's voters like no other in recent history should be evidence enough that this country is moving in the wrong direction. What that will mean in November is whether or not the voters will see that not only the White House needs cleaning out, but some in congress as well.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:10 pm |
  114. Arlene MacDonald

    Why is your commentary so lopsidedly in favor of Obama. I've never heard you point out that 98% of the black voters are voting for Obama simply because he's black. Why are you labeling the white people who are voting for Hillary as bigots? Couldn't the black people who are voting for Obama be labeled as bigots as well?

    Perhaps the white voters who are voting for HIllary are supporting her because of her experience, intelligence, and wisdom. Us "older" folks prefer to have someone with a longer history of governing.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:10 pm |
  115. Susan

    The best thing for McCain is for Clinton to win. My vote will definitey go to McCain. I will never support Clinton.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:10 pm |
  116. Rick PA

    With natural disasters and fires going on not to mention the war and the economy. I hope the president is having fun celebrating in Israel.With all of his administrations failed policies it is amazing he has as much approval rating as he does. And McSame opens him with open arms. No matter how far he tries do distance himself.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:11 pm |
  117. Darryn

    You know the democrats are scared out of their wits by McCain. Just look at the garbage they are slinging at him. Notice how they can't attack any of his policies, they just try to run these lies that McCain is "bush's third term". Oh yeah, who says that? Liars like Obama himself... a person that talks about "not tearing each other down. Barack Obama – why don't you start practicing what you preach?

    I hope the Democrats keep thinking this election is in the bag. Waht they don't realize is that a campaign slogan only stays fresh for so long, and as Hillary Clinton has done a great job of, that whole "charisma" of Obama's been exposed for what it is: empty rhetoric, change you can xerox, who's foreign policy experience consists of a speech given in 2002.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:11 pm |
  118. Bill S.

    McCain will be unstoppable in November.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:11 pm |
  119. Andy

    McCain has been set up as a Fall Guy for the Republican Party. They figured he would lose to the "Bee Keeper" Clinton and they would save a candidate for 2012. Oddly enough, he has a shot because everyone keeps talking about white blue collar workers and Hillary's right to the throne and if she gets the nod, the forgotten black vote, whom she has ignored since South Carolina, will either stand down due to alienation or vote for McCain. She will burn the village and McCain will win it all!!!

    May 13, 2008 at 5:11 pm |
  120. Mark, Glenview, IL

    Jack,
    The chances of John McCain winning in november are zero. So much damage has been done to this country at home and abroad over the last eight years that it would take a population living in a dungeon to vote a republican back into office.
    I pray that the GOP dissapears into oblivion for the rest of my natural life. I'm 48 years old and hope to see 90+.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:12 pm |
  121. Chris

    I agree that McCain has no chance of winning this one. And anyone who thinks Bush was QUALIFIED to be President is delusional. Obama has more capability in his little finger and can speak the English language correctly.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:12 pm |
  122. Toi W. from Georgia

    Of course, We all think Bush is as stupid as stupid can get. If McCain wants to continue with the same ways as Bush then there is no way he can win. We have had 8 years in the slums being the "richest and most powerful country in the world" and yet even as a republican he still follows his ways.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:12 pm |
  123. Bushwhacked in Eugene, OR

    To all of you who cry about the DNC and super-delegates 'handing' the election to Obama, I have only one thing to say. Nobody but the voters [who I believe still count] is handing the election to Obama. Now, if Hillary had the popular vote and the most delegates and they still chose Obama, that would be handing it to him and I would protest against that. Until and unless that unlikely event happens, however, please stop whining!

    I can't imagine a scenario where McCain can win in November, unless hate drives the Dems far enough apart to breach the gap.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:12 pm |
  124. k

    About as good as Hillary getting the democratic nomination.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:13 pm |
  125. David Hay

    It really depends. Who is paying attention to these electronic voting machines which can be tampered with and have no audit trail? The election in November, at least as reported by the machines, may be a lot closer than you think.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:13 pm |
  126. misty

    If Obama is the presidential canidate I will, for the first time in the 20 years I have voted, cast a vote for a republican in the fall, but don't tell my friends they will be shocked that this die hard dem will turn her back on the party.......well, at least this one time anyway!

    Oklahoma

    May 13, 2008 at 5:33 pm |
  127. Chip Phoenix AZ

    The "wrong track" that is referred to in poll questions like these is as individual and unique as the individuals answering your poll. It's like the old adage of the "good ol days". For me, it was the 90's, great clothes, not so great music. For my Mom, it was the 60's, not so great clothes, but terrific music. For Obama's youth vote, their "good ol days" are just begining.
    To answer your question, though, I really do believe in John's patriot image and his survival story, but his actions don't feel like they will follow suit. Perhaps he may have a chance if he chooses Hillary for the VP slot. She may be looking for a job.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:33 pm |
  128. MattH

    I really am disappointed by the fact that the majority of Americans still fall for the old "guilt by association" trick. *Sigh*. The fact that McCain is a republican does not mean he is the same as Bush.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:34 pm |
  129. Alex Edel

    The chances that McCain will win in November are very slim, although noone should underestimate the importance of waving American Flags. The other clown, that is George Bush, has consistently shown that careers and lives of many people who come in contact with him and his cronies are subsequently ruined, so McCain may be no exception.

    It is truly amazing to see just how much Americans are willing to take from the current dictatorial Washington regime.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:34 pm |
  130. tony, eugene oregon

    I expect that McCain will win in the general election. While I also am sick of Republican misleadership, I believe that Obama's lack of hard core substance will lead Americans ultimately to take a "safe" path and vote for McCain. I remember so many times that the Democrats in an orgasm of liberality have chosen candidates that they like, but who just can't possibly win in a general election. I expect that same here. Probably Hillary would win cause so she is also "safe."

    May 13, 2008 at 5:35 pm |
  131. Ralph

    McCain's has absolutely no chance of winning. Unless all of the following happen; gas prices go down to under $2/gallon, food prices go down to pre-Bush prices, we withdraw from Iraq by September, health care costs become manageble for all Americans, NCLB is declared a failure, Halliburton goes bankrupt and the Democrats decide not to run anyone.

    It's time the Democrats start pouring money into congressional races. Don't forget Bush's allies in Congress, McCain included, are the real culprits in this mess. There won't be any McCain coattails this time.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:35 pm |
  132. David Hollar

    McCain is too old, too stuborn, and too hot tempered.

    His is also too much of a Bush clone.

    As for me:

    1-20-2009
    End of an ERROR

    May 13, 2008 at 5:35 pm |
  133. Barry White in Bekeley Springs, WV

    If Obama is the nominee, McCain will win easily. If Clinton is the nominee, the White House could go either way but would most likely swing to the Democrats.

    The underlying sentiment of this election is whoever is elected is not as bad as Bush and the last 7 years. To most Americans that doesn’t instantly mean anti-McCain or anti-Clinton or even pro-Obama. It simply means Bush is no longer in office and whoever wins in November will not have the black cloud hanging over them in the same way.

    Change doesn’t mean you couldn’t have voted for the war. Change doesn’t mean you can’t share some of the same policy viewpoints the current administration does.

    What change DOES mean is “fix the economy, get us out of Iraq as soon as is possible realistically and restore damaged relationships with allies around the world.” Make America great again.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:36 pm |
  134. Wm Ingraham

    Someone once said that you can't overestimate the intelligence of the Ameican people. Maybe McCain has a chance! God help us- another 8 years of war, devaluation of the dollar, corruption, and being ripped off by the oil and pharmacutical industry.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:36 pm |
  135. Buck in CO

    John McCain has a fair shot at winning in November. All of the people who think the Democratic nominee will win by a landslide are just plain delusional. McCain is a Republican, but he is a moderate Republican. He is certainly more towards the center than either of the Democratic contenders. McCain is not and never has been a Bush disciple, quite the contrary. He has broad appeal among moderate Republicans, independents, and even moderate Democrats. Combine this with the bitterness in the Democratic race, the polarizing effect of Hillary Clinton, and the questions about Obama's qualifications, and you have a real race. Had Mitt Romney been the GOP nominee, or had the Democrats gotten a nominee chosen three months ago, we probably would have seen a Reagan-esque landslide win by the Democrats. As it is, this will be a close race. Anybody who thinks Obama will win by a landslide needs to get a grip and look at the entire situation. Not everybody in the country is as starry-eyed about him as they are. Not even the majority of Democrats. I just hope this one gets decided by the voters, not the courts.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:37 pm |
  136. GM from Mankato,MN

    The Republicans should worry less about McCain being President. It just won't happen. As you said all the things are working against McCain. After what Bush has done to the GOP they should worry about keeping most of their seats in upcoming elections.

    McCain is going to lose a lot of support for his stance on the war especially when Americans become more aware of his stance on the war. If he were put in office right after the invasion of Iraq nothing would have changed.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:38 pm |
  137. peter

    McCain's chances are not good. Finally enough of the country appears ready to do the right thing. Speaking as a person who has lived and worked in Europe for the past 10 years, I can tell you that more than just Americans are anxious to see an intelligent, open-minded administration take over. What Bush has done to the perception of the US abroad borders on criminal and is actually embarrassing and indefensible. Hillary needs to exit gracefully, preserve what is left of Clinton legacy and let the Dems get on with promoting an exciting Obama presidency.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:38 pm |
  138. G Smith

    His chances will depend on a very smart selection of a running mate, and finding the perfect balance between appealing to independents without alienating the Christian (not) right. A real tightrope balance. With his noted temper, this will be a super challenge.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:38 pm |
  139. Shafi Alam

    The fact that Obama is ahead in the primaries, shows that the well educated Americans outnumber less educated ones. Obama has been able to motivate young knowledge seekers. Apple computers became popular when young school students could use them given free to schools. So is Obama for college students. He and the leaders like him in the Democratic Party will remain popular for some time to come for these young voters. Republicans including McCain, and democrats who grew up as republicans in the early days like Hillary Clinton have no chance for quite long time to come.

    Shafi Alam
    Austin, Texas

    May 13, 2008 at 5:38 pm |
  140. Matt W

    Of all the republicans vying for the nomination this year, McCain is probably the lesser of evils in my book. However, as much as he might try to distance himself from Bush, the sad fact of the matter is that to get elected, he's going to have to keep him close, and even imitate the man.

    Bush might not be everyone's favorite but his connections and his actions, be they morally questionable or no, got him elected. His constituents in the party have come to expect a certain behavior in return for their support. So while John McCain may not be quite as stomach turning as a guy like huckabee to me, I'm still going to have to vote Obama.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:38 pm |
  141. Winton Irvington New Jersey

    A McCain victory will provide a vivid accurate picture of the importance of race in this election. I think its pretty clear in West Virgina

    May 13, 2008 at 5:38 pm |
  142. steve burch

    I think the democrats could have run a three legged one eyed dog and won the white house, but they can't decide who to run and now i think McCain has a good chance of winning. Steve from Clarksville Arkansas

    May 13, 2008 at 5:39 pm |
  143. Anthony Oweh

    Jack,
    Wisdom does not come with old age, Sen Mc Cain's economic blindness is enough to hurt him than our current "American Iraqui "President which we currently have in the white house.

    We are in a jet age, so all we need now is hope to keep poor people like me moving, not war. Please tell the republicans that Americans need no more war.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:39 pm |
  144. Charles Karr

    Zero, absolutely zero.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:40 pm |
  145. Jim

    McCain's chances depend on who the eventual Democratic nominee will be. If Clinton is able to slither her way to the nomination, McCain has a decent chance because he will do better with moderates and independents than Clinton. Clinton may also galvinize the Bush Republicans to support McCain. I think McCain's chances against Obama are lower because of Obama's success with independents and moderates. A lot will depend on the status of the Iraq War and the state of the economy.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:40 pm |
  146. Richard Gomez

    Ryan Leaf has a better chance getting elected into the Football Hall of Fame.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:41 pm |
  147. John Washington

    I am so tired of day to day politics as if there was no news.

    Questions to the candidates and reply by the candidates are just looped over and over and over. The only thing that changes are the anchors.

    How about a poll as to whether viewers are fed up with politics and would like to see real news?

    May 13, 2008 at 5:41 pm |
  148. Jeff

    Who in his or her right mind would think that America is on track and its NOT by natural causes. Its OUR LEADERS, and Who has been in charge for the last 8 years, Bush and the Republicans. Now why in the world would people consider voting for Mcain. It really would make NO SENSE.

    THe country is at WAR! (and losing)
    The economy is Poor
    GAS PRICES HIGH
    FOOD PRICES HIGH
    HOUSING MARKET Busted
    CREDIT MARKET BAD

    We have NO real allies anymore in the world.
    MORE enemies than ever.

    It does not get any worst than this. We CANNOT afford another McBush. or we will be DOOMED.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:43 pm |
  149. Zakama

    George W. Bush + High Gas Price + High Foreclosure rate + Middle Class Evaporation = John McCain's Defeat.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:43 pm |
  150. Robert Miller

    Race will not be AN issue, it will, sadly, be THE issue.

    I hope I'm wrong but I fear this election will show that too many Americans will lose their bearings, come election time. Racism, Rev. Wright, falsehoods about Obama's name, heiritage, connections to Islam...These are Wrong but easy pitfalls for Americans who just "would rather not" vote for a black American. I sense already a fast resurgence to bigotry, encouraged and nurtured by a steady diet of FOX hate programming, eight years Bush's fear mongering + Hillary's embracing the cracker and NASCAR voters, (a.k.a. uneducated lunch pail crowd) - Altogether, it may be too much for Obama's nuances and idealism. Coarse sound bites and barnyard ridicule, will always defeat the logic, even under the urgency of our nations current fiscal troubles and the never ending war in Iraq.

    Recall the hideous 2004 Republican Convention where the audience beat their flip-flop shoes after each speech refrain...shouting "flip flop flip flop" - and that was enough to destroy John Kerry. This time, it seems, there is much more ammunition for mischief, and many more idiots, conditioned to carry out the tragic foolishness.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:44 pm |
  151. Tom from Boston, Mass.

    Unless John McCain pulls a "Leiberman" and declares himself an independent, chooses a really compelling running mate (a young Democrat who switches sides, for example), or God forbid there is a horrific terrorist attack on American soil, John McCain doesn't stand an ice cube's chance in hell of winning the general election.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:44 pm |
  152. Raoul

    Race will silently play a huge issue in Nov – expect a close race. There are many people in this country that will not vote for a black man under any circumstances. As Rick in MA said – who would've expected Dubya for 2 terms? Don't underestimate the Republican spin machine.

    May 13, 2008 at 5:44 pm |