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March 20th, 2008
01:53 PM ET

How likely is it Obama will be the Dems’ nominee?

ALT TEXT
Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. Hillary Clinton at the CNN/LA Times/Politico Democratic presidential candidates debate at the Kodak Theatre in January. (PHOTO CREDIT: GETTY IMAGES)

FROM CNN's Jack Cafferty:

"If there is a road to victory for Hillary Clinton, it is a fairly narrow one."

That's according to a piece in today's New York Times.

It suggests Clinton needs three breaks in order to grab the nomination from Barack Obama. First, she needs a significant victory over Obama in Pennsylvania on April 22nd in order to support her argument that she can deliver big general election states. Then she needs a lead in the popular vote by the end of June. And lastly, Clinton has to convince superdelegates she's the best candidate.

But here's the problem: winning the popular vote seems a nearly impossible task for Clinton if these revotes don't happen in Michigan and Florida. And at this point, it looks very doubtful they will happen in either state.

Also, Clinton's campaign had hoped the uproar over comments made by Obama's pastor would make voters and superdelegates question his candidacy. It might be too early to tell, but it seems like Obama's speech on race was well-received and praised, even by some Clinton supporters.

Meanwhile, President Clinton's former political adviser, Dick Morris, is even less optimistic about Clinton's chances. He writes, "Senator Barack Obama has already won the Democratic nomination. It's over." Morris suggests Clinton can't catch Obama in the pledged delegate count, regardless of what happens during the rest of the primary season. He goes on to say the superdelegates won't override the will of the voters quote "unless Obama is in jail."

Here’s my question to you: How likely is it that Barack Obama will be the Democratic presidential nominee?

Interested to know which ones made it on air?

Tom writes:
Clinton has no chance. And the sooner she realizes that and throws her support behind Obama, the better it will be for her, the party and the country. Obama needs to concentrate on debating the Republicans, instead of being diverted by Clinton's desperate, dirty, divisive tactics. Clinton is effectively working for McCain and needs to turn over a new leaf and get busy working for Obama.

Mike from New Orleans writes:
I'm not so sure. There could be an Obama gaffe in the near future. He claims to be "shaken up" by the controversy over his church leader. That's cotton candy compared to what's ahead of him from the Swift Boat Republicans. If he's that faint at heart, I'm not so sure he can survive the remainder of Clinton's campaign, let alone the Republicans.

Larry from Fulton, Illinois writes:
Barack's the man, Jack. It's like everyone has been saying since Super Tuesday: the math doesn't come out in Clinton’s favor. She should concede so Obama can focus on the issues he needs to win in November.

Ingrid writes:
The more we learn about Obama, the less he is liked. He got a free ride from the media until a couple weeks ago; that has reversed. If the media had done their job to begin with, he would not be ahead in delegates right now. It is going to be Hillary; Obama has become unelectable.

Brian from Cincinnati writes:
It's nearly certain he'll be the nominee. The elected officials who are superdelegates value their careers, especially the ones in states that Obama won handily, which is quite a lot of them. The problem is: Clinton will stop at nothing to destroy him in an attempt to make him unelectable.

Erin from Battle Creek, Michigan writes:
I'd like to think it is inevitable but after talking to my mother, an avid Clinton supporter, I've recently come to fear that we are in the grip of a "maternal override". Mothers make no apologies when stepping in and doing what they think is in the best interest of the children, even if the so-called children hold the majority view. My mother and many more like her are banking on the superdelegates to rescue the party from the misguided, starry-eyed young people


Filed under: Barack Obama • Democratic Race
soundoff (241 Responses)
  1. Scott L. - Wichita, Kansas

    I honestly don't know, Jack. It keeps going back and forth, so I really don't pay attention to polls anymore.
    If I put them in a March Madness Bracket, Obama would win, because at least he's filled a bracket out...

    All I know is that the longer this little feud goes on, The better McCain's chances are.

    He's got a bracket too.

    March 20, 2008 at 1:57 pm |
  2. Terry from Calif

    Jack,

    I think it is very likely that Senator Obama will be the Democratic presidental nominee. Americans are so tired of Hilary antics and are looking for new direction, which they get from Obama.

    March 20, 2008 at 1:57 pm |
  3. Jonathan

    If he becomes the Democratic nominee without Florida & Michigan voters having their say then it is another fumbled election where a cadidate could becoem President without all Americans being able to have a voice.

    What I find absolutely abhorent is that a staffer of Obama's said that they can hold the elections in Michigan and Florida so long as it doesn change the outcome of who the nominee is going to be.

    Hmm...Wouldn't those two big states do exactly that, determine who the rightful nominee should be?

    This is pathetic that we are silencing any Americans votes, let along two of the largest states.

    I think Obama and his campaign may be nervous that once Florida & Michigan were to weigh in that their lead would all but evaporate.
    Imagine, allowing all Americans a voice.

    I have to give Senator Clinton credit for fighting for those states to be able to recast their votes.

    How can anyone support Obama knowing this is beyond me let along how his pastor lambasted America.

    March 20, 2008 at 1:57 pm |
  4. Josh

    Very, Jack. We need someone young who has hope and dreams for the future of not only America and the world. I can't think of anyone more able to heal the divisions between this country and its allies especially Germany than him. I may have supported Hillary, but if Obama becomes the nominee. I will throw my support to him and welcome him as the 44th President of the United States. Sylvania Ohio.

    March 20, 2008 at 1:59 pm |
  5. Rosemary, California

    If the Clintons stop distorting and getting the Mainstream media, to just try to kill off Obama's chances and the voters really see how underhanded they are trying to win this election at all-cost kill the Democratic party to win, he will be the nominee.

    Lets not foget if the Super Delegates also had some spine.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:01 pm |
  6. Amy Pacheco, Fall River MA

    I think it is anyone's guess. But I will add that if they go against the popular vote with superdelegates, the Democratic party will be just as bad, if not worse, than the Republican Party.
    In my opinion, Obama has the momentum. He speaks directly to the people, gets huge amounts of people to vote that normally wouldn't. He is different and brings change. I am sick of the every day Washington Mainstream Politicians, who promise the American people the world and fall back on their promises to line their silk pockets with more of our money.
    So I hope they are smart and pick the one who has more of the popular vote – Obama.
    If not, I will change my party to a Republican...I already changed from Democrat to Independent, what is the difference?

    March 20, 2008 at 2:01 pm |
  7. cammiecam

    Cammie in NY... Folks thought that Obama's former minster and his speech on race would kill his campaign. It looks like it's only made him stronger, getting praise from all sides. At this point, he's in the lead and will probably maintain it up until the convention. After seeing Howard Dean several times on American Morning, he's pretty much eased my fears. Superdelegates will NOT decide this election, the American people will. And the American people have chosen Obama.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:02 pm |
  8. fullbodytransplant

    I would say it feels like an 83% chance right now. Every time he seems to be slipping in momentum, the grass roots ground forces engage and he surges back ahead. Especially with The Speech, which was by far the best moment of the entire election.

    Rian Fike
    Miami, Florida

    March 20, 2008 at 2:04 pm |
  9. Richard, Washington State

    How likely is it that Barack Obama will be the Democratic presidential nominee?

    An answer only time can tell.

    He still has my support.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:05 pm |
  10. Erin in Battle Creek

    I'd like to think it is inevitable but after talking to my mother, an avid Clinton supporter, I've recently come to fear that we are in the grip of a "maternal override". Mothers make no apologies when stepping-in and doing what they think is in the best interest of the children, even if the so-called children hold the majority view. My mother, and many more like her, are banking on the superdelegates to rescue the party from the misguided, starry-eyed young people.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:05 pm |
  11. Aggie/Canada

    Very likely Jack. Clinton is doing everything in her power to put the brakes on this but does she really think American's are that stupid. She signed the pledge not to have Mich. and FL counted now that she needs these desperately she is trying to turn this all around on Barack. He follows the rules she doesn't. The people of Florida need to put the blame where it belongs and that is with their Republican Governor who knowingly changed the date and now doesn't want to take responsibility for his actions. Man he sounds like he would be a good running mate for McSame don't you think. If the real issue is giving the delegates a vote at the convention then why not just split the delegates from both these States and move on. But we all know that this is not the issue don't we. Another thing did anyone question Bill Clinton being in Canada just before this whole Nafta Gate started. Seems a little fishy to me.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:06 pm |
  12. Jan

    Jack, it would be extremely likely if it was based on what he could do for this country, instead of the media and the dirty politicians trying to find anything to hurt his campaign. Obama is not responsible for what someone else say, he addressed it, LETS MOVE ON!! It is time to wake up America, don't let them ruin it for us.

    Jan
    Southaven, Mississippi

    March 20, 2008 at 2:06 pm |
  13. Mark - Asheville, NC

    Jack, Morris also said that "the Dems are going to be STUCK with Obama" with controversies like Pastor Wright, all the way to November. If his numbers stay, as they are now, in free fall, by August in Denver the super delegates will have to decide between bypassing Obama and risk igniting a firestorm; or awarding him the nomination knowing fully well that he is a fatally damaged candidate, and then watching McCain win 48 states, and very likely seeing Congressional Dem candidates dragged down as well.

    What should happen is for Obama, for the good of his party, to drop out and let the primary process end, so we can get ready to beat McCain with someone else. Wright is only the beginning; if Obama stays in the race it will be like waiting for 100 more shoes to drop.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:06 pm |
  14. Brian From Fort Mill, S.C.

    If this were a perfect world, his chances would be about 90 percent.

    But I'm sure that Hillary has some tricks up her sleeves that could derail his campaign, which probably brings it down to about 50%. Let the games begin.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:07 pm |
  15. Chuck in Eugene Oregon

    Jack, the jury is still out on this one. It will be up to those unpredictable superdelegates. Although many say they will not over ride the will of the voters, that still remains to be seen. It is my sincere hope Sen Obama is the Democratic Nominee, but it is not in my hands nor is it the voice of the people that will have the final say.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:08 pm |
  16. Dee

    My god, what happen to CNN being neutral? Everyday I see more and more praise to Obama. I guess all of the networks sell their soul for the right amount of power. For shame.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:08 pm |
  17. Joan from Canada

    I hope Senator Obama wins the election. It would be wonderful to have him President.. It looks good for him at this point if only the Clinton's would discontinue throwing "the kitchen sink " at him. But I do think the American people are smarter than to listen to all the nonense that is happening right now. We need to stay on message and stick to the issues, which is the most important thing.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:08 pm |
  18. Amy in Woodstock, NY

    Jack, remember this historical quote? "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. " -Mohandas Gandhi

    Of course, with the will of the voters, Barack Obama will be the democratic nominee.

    That is not to say that this has not been a very dirty campaign. You have to look through the all the dirt and mud to find the truth. The problem is that most people are too busy or to biased to dig for the truth. But the truth will prevail and Obama will be the democratic nominee.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:09 pm |
  19. jess

    As in school or in church we have pastors and teachers who are educators and they are there to inspire our well-being and to influence our decision making though out our lives. We all try to do what they teach us. By doing the right thing. in one eye's this is right thing but in the others is what??? We don't know till he gets elected... Is this something we want to have lead our country. Was he really learning the right thing while at church!!!

    March 20, 2008 at 2:10 pm |
  20. Melanie, Lake Wales, FL

    As a young voter, I know that if he's not the nominee, I won't vote for Clinton nor McCain.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:11 pm |
  21. Jerry Wilson

    Hillary will most likely be the democratic nominee, because she has the best chance of defeating McCain, and thats what it's all about. There isn't anyway Barack could survive the republican smear machine, and he knows it. The latest polls show Barack can't win in November, so he should do the right thing and step aside.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:11 pm |
  22. jim in pennsylvania

    i just love obama- but- the clinton campaign knows how to play
    dirty politics........i pray everyday that the american people will see the
    true obama... america has a chance to bring the country together and
    most importantly do it together,
    there is nothing better in this world than to work together and have hopes
    for a better life... obama brings that with his credentials.
    i am a 65 yr old white guy who has seen many presidential elections.
    the last one that really got me excited was in the early 60s when john
    kennedy was running....
    obama in my eyes is even better than john kennedy was.
    when u listen to him talk and watch his face expressions u can just tell
    that he is true to his words he speaks from his heart.
    the clintons will hang on until the very end– they will play the dirty
    politics and prolly win the nomination.
    sad isnt it--– hiliry wants a wedding in the white house...
    wake up america-- dont let obama slip away from us.....
    no more bush-- no more clintons

    March 20, 2008 at 2:11 pm |
  23. Joan

    I think Oboma has a great chance to win the primaries if he is successful on keeping on message without all of these distractions. I wish him luck

    March 20, 2008 at 2:12 pm |
  24. Joan

    I hope and pray that he will, he has an uphill struggle against the old school, who have a history of joining ranks against anyone who is different.When George Bush was elected for a second term, I was depressed to see that the country had not seen through him We all know how that turned out. I pray that Obama will be given a chance, I feel like there is hope in the air. I have waited a long time for it – I am 72 years old, lived through WWll bombings in England. My husband served in Viet Nam, so I have seen lots of war. How can we now be killing civilians for their oil, and what have we become?. Joan N Carolina

    March 20, 2008 at 2:12 pm |
  25. Bob L. Philadelphia, PA

    His demeanor says that he is defeated. He looks like he is tired of handling this situation. I think the superdelegates and the voters will be watching him carefully over the next couple of weeks to see if he looks like he can handle this, an indication if he can handle the Republicans in the fall. I don't think he can do it. I don't think he will win in the end.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:13 pm |
  26. Ken, LA California

    I have tried to use all mathematical formulea to see how Clinton will win and I have concluded that it is impossible. I tried Algebra, Trigonometry, Calculus and the end result is Obama win. I even threw in Negative Sound Bytes and still Obama came ahead. We just nee to know how Clinton will ask her supporters to Rally behind Obama for a Democratic Party win. We also want to know when the media will interview the culprit pastor wright to explain why he spoke those words.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:13 pm |
  27. Jonathan in Bozeman, MT

    Barack will definitely win the nomination... the math just doesn't work out for Hillary any way you cut it. But, she'll fight tooth and nail, playing as dirty as she needs to – even if it means damaging the Democratic party and America in the process. She won't drop out, it will drag out to the convention, and the Republicans will cherish every minute. This feels like something devised by Karl Rove. Thanks, Senator Clinton, for potentially ruining what might have been one of the greatest chapters in American history.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:14 pm |
  28. Jeff, Florida

    Barack Obama must keep a significant lead in all three categories (pledged delegates, popular votes, and # of states) to give all remaining undecided superdelegates no choice but to vote for him. If Hillary Clinton makes it a virtual tie in any one of these categories in June, then she might have a leg to stand on at the convention. But after glancing at the Democratic primary calendar, Mrs. Clinton is simply running out of time. She needs to sweep him starting in Pennsylvania like he did to her back in February; without that momentum, she just won't have enough delegates, states or votes.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:14 pm |
  29. Phil

    Very Likely. Clinton will not win PA with a wide margin. May 10 points and that is not enough for her to make a dent into the delegate count. So when its all said and done, Obama will have more delegates and more states. Then it will be upto to the super delegates.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:14 pm |
  30. Jerry, Fayetteville Tennessee

    It's too early to tell what effect Obama's trouble with his pastor will have – his speech was inspiring and should have laid the matter to rest, but typically the public is far more interested in sound bites than entire speeches or even passages within a speech – Obama's speech didn't have any sound bites that will trump those of his pastor.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:16 pm |
  31. Mike S., New Orleans, Louisiana

    I'm not so sure. There could be an Obama gaffe in the near future. He claims to be "shaken up" by the controversy over his church leader. That's cotton candy compared to what's ahead of him from the Swift Boat Republicans. If he's that faint at heart, I'm not so sure he can survive the remainder of Clinton's campaign, let alone the Republicans.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:16 pm |
  32. Dennis

    Jack,

    Both you and Morris have been doing your best to discredit Clinton and promote Obama, it's pathetic.
    If this was Clinton or McCain with this controversy all the Black Leaders and the Black Community and you and Morris would be demanding they drop out.

    Not likely Obama will get the nomination, in fact he should do the right thing and drop out, and so should you.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:16 pm |
  33. Andy from Chicago, IL

    Absolutely! No other candidate will inspire, energize, unite, and restore our nation's reputation abroad and at home. A President Obama is the only way America will ever be able to rebuild itself after eight years of "you know what" – not much.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:17 pm |
  34. Pat from Huntsville, AL

    Why do you always ask questions as if Clinton has already lost? Obama doesn't have 2024 and can't get there either, and the small margin of his lead makes it a virtual tie at this point. Given the fact that the Republicans now want him as the nominee makes it unlikely that the DNC would select him. The Republicans were saying they wanted to run against Clinton, what with all her baggage. But her bagage is the false labels they gave her to start with! They still cite Whitewater, but that is bogus, she was completely exonerated. The other baggage belonged to her husband, who has overcome it nicely.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:17 pm |
  35. Tosha-Atlanta, GA

    Tosha-Atlanta, GA

    It is very likely that Obama will be the nominee. He is leading in states, delegates, and popular vote. Hillary should concede at this point, we would have called on Obama to quit if the shoe was on the other foot.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:17 pm |
  36. Carol Quinley

    jack
    There will be no revote in Fla and Mich.period.
    The voters of each state were told, that the delegates would not count before their Primarywas held, they knew this,period.
    Clinton did not win the " big state" of Texas, Obama did, period.
    Obama has the most pledged delegates, period.
    If Clinton wins Pa and also the next states, she will still not have enough pledged delegates to win, period.
    Obama is already the Democratic Nominee, according to the Party rules,period
    Carol Q. from Ann Arbor Michigan

    March 20, 2008 at 2:18 pm |
  37. Mimi of Manassas, VA

    Even if remotely "likely"(?), Barack is not getting my vote. I would rather vote Republican or stay home than endorse a candidate who doesn't take responsibility for his actions.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:18 pm |
  38. TONY

    HAGEL DOES NOT KNOW HIS BUTT FROM FIRST BASE; WHAT DO YOU EXPECT FROM A NEBRASKAN?

    March 20, 2008 at 2:18 pm |
  39. Jane Kidder

    I hope so. I haven't felt this good about a candidate in 40 years of voting. Barack Obama has a little known and little appreciated quality in a leader-integrity. Another's faith does not scare me. I guess not having any does.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:18 pm |
  40. robert from nc

    Jack, Why is it that the Clintons always think that they know what's best for us, is way beyond me...The American people have been voting now for weeks and the numbers still show Obama is the choice...It's for the good of the many not the individual that I ask the following...

    Mrs. Clinton show us how smart you are and do the math...now won't please step aside?

    March 20, 2008 at 2:19 pm |
  41. MIchael "C" in Lorton, Virginia

    Jack: I think that Dick Morris sums it all for Hillary......too little...too late. If Obama is victorious and the Democratic presidental nominee, lets hope he knows how to use it.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:19 pm |
  42. Brian, Cincinnati

    It's nearly certain he'll be the nominee. The elected officials that are super delegates value their careers, especially the ones in States that Obama won handily, which is quite a lot of them.

    The problem is, Clinton will stop at nothing to destroy him in an attempt to make him unelectable, in hopes that she can step in and claim her birth right. If not this year, then 2012.

    Brian
    Cincinnati, Ohio

    March 20, 2008 at 2:19 pm |
  43. Heller

    My thoughts on Obama and the Rev Wright

    It is disturbing that any person who attends sermons , whether in church, temple or mosque, should be subjected to political opinions. When the person in the house of God does this, it reminds me of the tactics of the Nazi sympathizers of WWII. They advocated the killing of the Jews, very openly in church. I also know that the content of preachings, of a house of worship of any denomination is know to the constituents. It is widely discussed and analyzed and commented on. Therefore it is highly suspect , that preacher Wright's views were not well known in his church. Given this, Barak Obama should have resigned long ago from the church he is still attending. He has not done so in the past, and not even now . His denunciation of the pastors' anti- American anti -white comments is not enough. If he wishes to pursue his candidacy for president of this great country and to represent "all the people, for the people," his advisers and he should act immediately to dispel any doubts of his leanings.
    I may vote Republican, for the first time in my life!
    AGNES HELLER . Blacksburg, VA 24060

    March 20, 2008 at 2:19 pm |
  44. Larry - Fulton, Ill.

    Barack's the man, Jack. It's like everyone has been saying since Super Tuesday, the math doesn't come out in her favor. She should concede so Obama can focus on the issues he needs to win in November.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:19 pm |
  45. TONY

    HAGEL DOES NOT KNOW HIS BUTT FROM FIRST BASE; WHAT DO YOU EXPECT FROM A NEBRASKAN.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:20 pm |
  46. Rosalynd

    I would say it is a done deal! He has the lead in pledged delegates with no real way for Clinton to catch up. Any other outcome will be telling Young voters and African Americans they have no voice in politics and those two groups will walk away probably forever from the Democratic party and maybe the whole political process.

    Florida

    March 20, 2008 at 2:20 pm |
  47. Deanna, Katy Texas

    At this point? Unless the Supers steal it for Hillary it's Obama for the Democratic nominee. The numbers don't lie.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:21 pm |
  48. wally rehmann in las Vegas

    very unlikely!, if somehow she is APOINTED, the dem's choice, it's not going to safe on the street's. people don't like a cheater,winer or a gossip spreader, witch she is all of the above..my problem,with all runner's is who would spend 100's of million's of dollars for a 400 thousand a year job ?

    March 20, 2008 at 2:21 pm |
  49. B. Petrocelli

    . . . .Most likely.

    YES WE CAN!!!!
    Obama 08.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:22 pm |
  50. Al --- Palmdale California

    Obama cries for change, but what kind is he talking about? "Wright" is "wrong", and this ghost will not only cost Obama his chance at the White House, it will haunt him the rest of his career. Only the very naive can swallow that Obama shares none of these outrageous views, and if this information had surfaced a couple of months ago, I doubt that he would be in the race today. If Wright sells videos of his sermons, I wonder how many more of these radical renderings are out there. I see a snowball rolling downhill Jack.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:22 pm |
  51. Larry - Fulton, Ill.

    Yes, but the Republicans and Democrats will never allow it and the regulations controlling elections are insurmountable. It would take a lot of money and Jesus Christ as a candidate to get it off the ground.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:24 pm |
  52. Yonatan from Alexandria, VA

    Three things Jack,

    1) It's virtually impossible for Sen. Clinton to catch him up on number of pledged delegates.
    2) It's very unlikely she will catch up in popular votes
    3) He has consistently shown how he handles pressure very well – Calm, focused, elequent and always managing to turn it into an opportunity.

    If there are any doubts about what superdelegates will do, he has given them all the reasons to vote for him and left almost none to go against him. It's not a discussion. He's the Nominee.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:25 pm |
  53. Marie in SC

    If all Hillary has on Obama is an isolated remark made by an acquaintence of Obama, then he most likely is a candidate of high integrity. The Clintons have quite a few nagging skeletons lurking around their closet, but Obama has chosen not to drag them out with the help of surrogates – Another indicator of the type of character I'd want in my president. NYT are stoking the embers of a polarized party to boost sales. If by some strange chance Hillary gets the nomination, there is a good chance that McCain will win the election because of the way her campaign was run.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:26 pm |
  54. Courtney, 24, South Windsor, CT

    Very likely, I should think. Despite the Reverend Wright shenanigans and other attempts to scandalise Obama, HIllary Clinton has been planning her ascent since her husband was caught with his pants down, and everyone knows it. That understanding rankles, as it seems opportunistic, conniving, and dare I say, manipulative of Clinton. Obama all but has the deal sealed, not for any of the aforementioned reasons, but because he is the right man for the job. But likelihood aside, isn't anyone else already tired of the 2009 election? Hasn't this been going on for what seems like a lifetime already? And can't we Democrats get our act together long enough to put up a decent fight this time around?

    March 20, 2008 at 2:27 pm |
  55. sarah, indiana

    jack, i personally hope that it is highly unlikely. only 3 yrs in the senate(most of 1yr campaining to be president), no foreign policy experience, and admitted alcohol and drug use as a teen. if mccain or clinton had that on their resume they would be laughed out of the race for the white house. obama has a lot of personality and a good speech, but no substance and i don't think he is qualified for the job. (but dont tell his supporters this stuff or they will call you a racist.)

    March 20, 2008 at 2:29 pm |
  56. Terry C. in Hanover, VA

    First, I ignore anything Dick Morris has to say. Ever since he got into trouble and the Clintons turned their backs on him, he's waged a private war to smear them both. Second, let the process run its course. The Dems have already done enough damage to the party by denying Michigan and Florida voters the right to vote even though the state legislatures helped create the problem. Add to that the sniping by their respective camps have hurt both Clinton and Obama. If the national election were held tomorrow, we'd be saluting President McCain. God forbid.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:30 pm |
  57. Tom Libby

    Clinton has no chance, and the sooner she realizes that, and throws her support behind Obama, the better it will be for her, the party and the country. Obama needs to concentrate on debating the Republicans, instead of being diverted by Clinton's desperate, dirty, divisive tactics. Clinton is effectively working for McCain and needs to turn over a new leaf and get busy working for Obama.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:31 pm |
  58. Alex in Mississippi

    Jack, if you have to quote the disgusting Dick Morris of Fox News to downplay Hillary's nomination prospects, then Obama must be in big trouble. The super delegates have been eerily quiet since the "Wright stuff" broke and the rumor that he had 50 more super delegates ready to roll out after the Mississippi primary has not materialized. Obama's speech followed by the glowing media spin hasn't worked, and his falling poll numbers prove that. I guess the voters have decided they'll trust their own lying eyes on this one thank you very much.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:31 pm |
  59. Dylan Kay

    He is the best candidate out there. I trust America. He will be the Democratic nominee.

    It would truly be tragic for America and the future generations, if we make a mountain out of a mole hill on the Rev Wright issue. It was Rev. Wright who said these nasty things and it wasn't Senator Obama. As for the question, why did Senator Obama stick around the church, that is between the Senator and his God. It doesn't reflect on his own personal morality. This would be analogous to asking Senator Clinton why she didn't leave her husband, when he cheated on her and betrayed the public trust. Does that reflect on her morality? Ofcourse not. That is something between a husband and a wife. The same is true on the Rev Wright matter, it is between the pastor and his parishioner.

    Let's take a page from our young people and break free from the shackles of race politics. Time to grow up America. Carpe diem, my fellow Americans.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:31 pm |
  60. Yvonne, Atlanta GA

    Obama becoming the Democratic nominee is as likely as it would be for Hillary if she were in the lead. I'm sure if Hillary were in the lead the DNC would have politely asked Obama to drop out for the sake of the party and he would have done so, knowing how gracious he is. Oh...but not Hillary. This prolonged primary election was a good way for America to get to know the prize of a leader that we have running for office. Let us not miss the opportunity. I believe Obama will not only be the Democratic nominee, but he will be the next President of the United States.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:32 pm |
  61. Bobbie Cayce

    I have a sinking feeling in the pit of my stomach that Hillary and the Republicans are going to fan the flames of racism, fear and bigotry to block or cripple Obama. Pray it isn't so.
    This man (I feel) is our only hope at this time, for change and a new direction.Hillary is knee deep in insider Washington politics.
    Neither my husband or I voted in the primary here because we were told our vote would not count because of the violation of Party rules. I think the delegates should be split and seated. Or flip a coin 49/51. To be honest, I couln't have voted anyway because I am an Independent but my husband could have.
    Bobbie Cayce
    Panama City, Fl

    March 20, 2008 at 2:32 pm |
  62. Jed from Chico, CA

    Obama still has a clear delegate lead and a comfortable lead in the popular vote. A lead so insurmountable that Clinton will have to rely on superdelegates. No matter what you think of them the superdelegates aren't idiots. There is no way a) they believe that what Obama's 66-year-old former pastor says in 10-second sound bites is what Obama believes, b) that Rev. Wright doesn't have a legitimate beef after growing up in the inner city as a black man in the 60's and c) that anyone will remember this week's news two and a half months from now when the last state has its primary. If the supers remember anything from this week it will be that Barack Obama made a stirring speech about race in America but they won't remember why he had to make it. They know Obama is still electable come November.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:32 pm |
  63. Dylan Kay

    He is the best candidate out there. I trust America. He will be the Democratic nominee.

    It would truly be tragic for America and the future generations, if we make a mountain out of a mole hill on the Rev Wright issue. It was Rev. Wright who said these nasty things and it wasn’t Senator Obama. As for the question, why did Senator Obama stick around the church, that is between the Senator and his God. It doesn’t reflect on his own personal morality. This would be analogous to asking Senator Clinton why she didn’t leave her husband, when he cheated on her and betrayed the public trust. Does that reflect on her morality? Ofcourse not. That is something between a husband and a wife. The same is true on the Rev Wright matter, it is between the pastor and his parishioner.

    Let’s take a page from our young people and break free from the shackles of race politics. Time to grow up America. Carpe diem, my fellow Americans.

    Dylan Kay
    Dartmouth, MA

    March 20, 2008 at 2:33 pm |
  64. Allan,Cameron Park, Ca.

    I hope not , there is no way he can win in the general election. Hillary is the best chance to beat McCain. Even with his latest mishaps.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:33 pm |
  65. INGRID

    THE MORE WE LEARN ABOUT OBAMA THE LESS HE IS LIKED. HE GOT A FREE RIDE FROM THE MEDIA TILL A COUPLE WEEKS AGO – THAT HAS REVERSED. IF THE MEDIA HAD DONE THEIR JOB TO BEGIN WITH HE WOULD NOT BE AHEAD IN DELEGATES RIGHT NOW. IT IS GOING TO BE HILLARY, OBAMA HAS BECOME UNELECTABLE.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:33 pm |
  66. Rick, Houston

    Jack, I really am disappointed with my fellow Americans. As we know Bush & Co. scammed the nation and it appears will not to held accountable. Now we see another political family (Clintons) stacking the deck against someone as Obama as out of the main stream. Me personally would raffle off the money raised for the presidency to the contributers and hopefully some people will benefit. This country is bought and paid for. We the people should be "We the Fools" allowed money to dominate our society so bad that we believe lies before truth even though we know better. To Mr. Obama you ran a good race, get out with your dignity. The nation's so-called majority can't get past prejudice or rational thought to change. Maybe when China calls our debt due we'll see. My God help us all.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:34 pm |
  67. Patti, Lansdowne, PA

    If it hadn't been for the media falling over themselves and becoming completely infatuated with Obama, then you might not now be asking this question. It is likely that he will win the nomination, but I know he will lose in the general. The part about this whole minister mess that everybody seems to be missing is that Barack Obama put himself out there as a different kind of politician. I don't hold him accountable for Rev. Wright's words, but I do hold him accountable for being a member of that church. He joined that church for political expediency and he stayed there because it helped him in Chicago politics. Truth be told, Barack is just more of the same. Mr. Obama talks a good game, but he doesn't walk the walk.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:34 pm |
  68. James in Cape Coral, FL

    Jack,
    When you put the two democrats side by side Obama seem's more presidential. He doesn't come off as someone willing to slam the other democrat for his own personal gain and he speaks to a larger group of Americans not just those in the big states. Add that to his growing lead in the popular vote and delegates and you might see what I see, inevitability.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:35 pm |
  69. Don Leggat

    I 'd like to think the Barack Obama will be the Democratic candidate, but I think it much more likely that the Clintons will pull some back-room stunts to steal it away from him. That would be a shame as I think that even if Hillary wins, the Republicans in congress will NEVER work with her or cut her any slack. I think her whole presidency would be a never ending struggle to get things past the republican members of congress. On the other hand, If Obama is nominated and elevcted, I think they'll work with him because that's the type of thing that Barack does with very little effort.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:35 pm |
  70. John Donna, Texas

    It's up in the air. If the Wright scandal never happened than I would say definitely, but it did happen.( Another video of a different Obama supporter, Senator Meeks, preaching hate has started popping up on the news, too.) The thing that bothers most Americans is not the racism because we can't talk about racism of fear of being branded a "racist", but the anti-American sentiments made by Wright. Who has ever heard a pastor, of any race, so angry with America? Also, his speech wasn't a roaring success. He still said he stands by Wright, he dragged his grandmother through the mud for Wright, and contradicted himself. He told all major news networks that he did not know about Wright's statements and he was never in the Church then in his speech he says he knew about the statements and he had been in the church. He also has to worry about Michigan and Florida. It seems like he doesn't want Florida or Michigan to have a revote because he thinks he will lose the nomination if those states are allowed to vote. The superdelegates need to ask themselves: A man associated with an anti-American pastor who "disenfranchised Florida and Michigan voter" up against McCain, an American war hero? I think Republicans want it to be Obama, before they just attacked him with his middlename, but now Wright has given them so much ammunition to use. It is definitely a "turn of events".

    John
    Donna, Texas

    March 20, 2008 at 2:35 pm |
  71. IFEANYI AZUBIKE Houston, Texas

    As likely as there will be nightfall today. It is surprising how short our memory is and how soon we have forgotten the impact of the Monica saga. Few weeks ago, it was universally concluded that Obama was already the presumptive nominee for the democrats. The successes of Hilary in Texas and Ohio coupled with the Wright controversy seems to have given a ray of hope for the Clinton campaign, but believe me it is what it is- a ray of hope. Just like Ken Starr did not trump Bills chances, nothing in the Kitchen sink as yet can trump Obama's chances. To all intents and purposes the nomination of Obama is a faith accompli.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:35 pm |
  72. Michael Galvan Jr

    In order for us good American citizens to fairly decide wether to vote Mr, Obama, we need to see the whole tape of Rev. Wright's comments saying "God Demn America". If he is speaking of events like "The Gorgia police and firemen (representing the Gorgia Government) using the firehoses and puting the german shepard dogs on the MLK peaceful demonstrators, then I can understand the anger that caused him to make such a terrible comment. don't you agree? but this it is more evil for the midia to show partial, bias, pointed showings to obtain desired effect is far more evil to America then the remarks by the Rev. Wright.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:36 pm |
  73. Paul LeClair

    Hi Jack ....
    I'm one of those many Canadians who are following the US political scene with much interest these days. At times it seems more than a little confusing ... different ways to pick delegates in differnt states seems confusing to me. However, the most confusing issue of all relates to those Super Delegates. I just can't understand how a country that promotes itself as one of the greatest democracies in the world could have a party called the Democrates with a process that could have the leader of the party (possibly) chosen by such a few individuals. Help me out – What's democratic about that?
    Thanks
    Paul LeClair

    March 20, 2008 at 2:37 pm |
  74. Katy

    Not likely, because he is African-American. American are not ready for Black President, regardless what they said. Race is still a big issue in America society. No white men have a courage to see a black president or black who get ahead of them. American would rather vote for white woman instead. Obama is facing a triple thicker glass ceiling than white woman; Hillary has no ceiling because the Clintons have many wealthy and powerfull established politician & CEO supporting them. Also they know how to play jungle rules / laws and they think they are above the laws; American especially the white population allow them to do that.
    America has no saying to other countries above democracy, human right, race, equality, etc.. because American are still support race, gender, age discrimination and they have no courage to face; worst of all they kill people who have the courage to stand up.

    I am Asian-American babyboomer and sick and tire of this dirty prolong campaign.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:37 pm |
  75. Chris

    Before the explosion of the Wright issue, Barack Obama almost secured the nomination. Though he is less likely to win the nomination due to his pastor's comments, he is still more likely than Hillary to win the nomination and the election in November. The Rev. Wright controversy will soon become history. After all, we still have 3 months to the convention, and almost 8 months to the election. America has a very short memory, and there are always new stories that will make the Wright controversy go away, just wait and see.

    Atlanta, GA

    March 20, 2008 at 2:37 pm |
  76. Kevin from Sacramento

    Sure thing, Jack.
    There are 2 suitcases left, and not one says "Clinton" inside. Maybe she's waiting for the phone to ring, with an offer of Vice President. If she picks up the phone, I expect McCain is on the other line.

    Fox "News" (Hannity and O'Reilly are now arguing over who gets credit for mainstreams - like CNN - looping Rev.Wright's blunder reel) will need to do better than accuse Senator Obama with guilt by association to a preacher who at times, in his attempt to provoke thought, uses wreckless language.

    I can't wait to see what Fox will try next - maybe we can all scrutinize the lyrics in some of the songs on Senator Obama's IPOD. Songs he has listened to for 20 years. Songs that were played at his wedding reception. Then the networks can scold him on his poor judgement for listening to such things, while simultaneously overplaying those very songs to boost ratings.

    I respect Wolf Blitzer. I respect any journalist who puts themself in dangerous places to bring Americans the story.

    But I'm a bit tired watching Fox "News" fool CNN into operating as if it were peacetime.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:38 pm |
  77. A.F. Cook, www.redzonepolitics.com

    Less likely than it was before the Wright flap, obviously. I wish Obama would stop trying to sound so lofty in his speeches and express himself in more meat 'n' potatoes language. For example, reminding male voters of his bond with them as a fellow football fan and former team-sport athlete. He REALLY needs to sound down-to-earth now, after the delusions so many of us had of his autonomy from black cultural separatism have been stripped from us. He needs to play a whole new rhetorical game.

    But also, he needs to talk to Jim Webb and see if he can start floating his name in public as a potential VP. If he gives people an idea of what the whole ticket would look like - especially if it diminishes the appeal of McCain, which Webb can do - it might bring more people back into his fold.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:38 pm |
  78. haiticuba

    Doesn't look good Jack! It's getting nasty out there with all the petty manipulating and mudd slinging HRC and her supporters are throwing out there in the media. That's why i change party's four years ago, dems can't seem to get nothing down. they bicker amongst themselves, and with others. Dems only get by, by pointing the finger at everyone else. oh well sucks to be them.

    Obama '08
    haiticuba independent
    san francisco, ca

    March 20, 2008 at 2:38 pm |
  79. Michael In Maine

    Hillary is toast. In order for her to win she'd have to win big in the remaining primaries which isn't goin gto happen. Even the states she can claim victory she won by only small margins which is why she isn't making any headway on Obama's lead. Secondly she'd have to capture 75 % of the remaining uncommitted superdelegates which also isn't going to happen. No mattter how you break down the numbers it's Obama's nomination. I only hope that the Democratic party leaders put a stop to the party bleeding and push Obama over the top sooner rather than later.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:39 pm |
  80. Robert Lauer

    If Obama's nomination is likely it will be because of the power of "fans". Hillary may even have as many supporters as Obama but she very "likely" has fewer fans. The Clintons continued to come off more arrogant and disturbingly comfortable with old fashioned politics and personal attacks. This bit regarding Obama's minister was the nail in the Clinton's coffin. Obama reminded me of how much I loved my grandmother too and how her remarks often made me cringe.Obama taught us that we can not dis-own our loved ones and friends for their unintentional offenses.....but we can dis-own the Clintons for intentionally offending....and we should..

    March 20, 2008 at 2:39 pm |
  81. Jerry

    Sounds to me that Obama and his pastor are on track with each other. Obama had a chance to say he made a mistake, but he didn't say that. Now, he's saying somehow the rest of us are the problem whether his grandmother or the establishment. How about saying that people like Obama's pastor is what makes bad race relation. The pastor and now Obama's passive acceptance of racist views is the problem.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:40 pm |
  82. Jay Webber

    Senetor Obama is a shoe in for the Democratic nomination, he is definatly the leader in the popular vote. With all the leaks and mud coming from the Clinton campain, I question as to wether she should be invited along for the ride, although she has proved to be a good second fiddle!! Jay from Edgewater, Florida

    March 20, 2008 at 2:41 pm |
  83. Ron

    Jack,
    Even if Hillary becomes the nominee By HOOK OR CROOK, She will lose the race, 50 percent of the demcrats don't want her at any expense and all of the republicans don't want her.

    That's 75 percent of the people out here.

    Why won't the Hillraisers just save their donations,

    The Clintons don't need any more $$$ with all the donations they have gotton since the LIBRARY SCAMS. I read today that Hillary is still hanging around and hitting on Denise Rich.

    John Edwards will be out also if he joins the Clinton Camp tonight on Lenos show.

    Ron in North Dakota

    March 20, 2008 at 2:41 pm |
  84. Mac, FL

    Fortuntely it is less likely with each passing day Jack!

    I can only hope that the remaining primary voters and the superdelgates will realize that if Obama is nominated we are handing the White House to the Republicans. He is simply not electable. He has shown us all just how great his "judgement" really is. Just 'cause you say it's so don't make it so Jack.

    Obama no more has this thing locked up than I do – and I opposed the war from the beginning too. How about nominating me?

    March 20, 2008 at 2:41 pm |
  85. Robin, Henderson Nevada

    Jack,
    senator Obama, may be the Nominee based on the current situation, lets hope and pray that no more tapes with idiotic statements from this maniac of a preacher surfaces. Hillary is a stronger candidate, regardless of how you bash her Jack. I have never seen a politician take such a beating from the media like Hillary and is still in contention.

    Obama with all his premise and posturing got one speed bump and it almost overturn his chances.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:42 pm |
  86. Aaron B.; Champaign, IL

    Didn't I say something about a steel cage match a couple of days ago Jack? Case in point.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:43 pm |
  87. Dorothy Goldstein

    I certainly hope not this time. I want Hillary. She's the best and we'll feel the safest with her. Not only that, Obama seems to have way more baggage than Hillary. I not only mean this this with his Pastor, but all the other weird things that we have heart. And being Jewish I cannot believe that Obama would continue to go to the same church for the last 20 yrs. He has heard tons of negativity from his Pastor, his wife and children have heard it, well after hearing negativity for many years, you yourself will become negative. If I would ever, ever go to a Temple or Synagogue and the Rabbi said something politically or anything else that was "off color" I would certainly never go back there again. I have never heard any negativity from any of the Rabbi's that I have listened to for the past 40 yrs. It has all been positive. You cannot live around negativity without it becoming a part of you.

    There is too much going on with Obama. I don't trust him. I don't think he is experienced enough to run this country. He flip flops. I'll take HILLARY any day.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:43 pm |
  88. Anna, SW Missouri

    I have sat in my Methodist church (all white) and heard my minister denounce the government on abortion and war. I have heard my minister denounce homosexuality on many occassions. My own minister was a prosecutor in a trial to remove another minister because he had performed a gay marriage ceremony in another state in which it was legal. I have not left my church and I do not think that Barack Obama should leave his church.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:44 pm |
  89. Judi from Dallas, TX

    Very likely if America truly wants change for the best, and if we can stop the game playing politics of yesteryear and move forward with a positive candidate of intelligence, integrity, honesty, class, passion, wisdom, vision and the ability to movitate our country in a way that it hasn't been motivated in my lifetime. The relentless negative spin isn't working for Hillary, but that hasn't seemed to stop her. Desperate times calls for desperate measures; hopefully America will not vote for desperation but for a Positive Change from old school tactics. Its time for for us to not be the Divisive States but the United States, and Barack appears to be the candidate who most understands this fact.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:44 pm |
  90. tim from Ravenna, OH

    I have been saying for more than a few weeks that the best candidate would not win the Democratic nomination and that Obama will lose to McCain in Nov. Wright, Resko, flip-flopping on answers to blunders from his campaign are just the beginning, that boat is taking on water fast. Obama supporters will ultimately try to blame Clinton for what I see as a certain debacle come Nov., but they will only have themselves to blame for propping up another bad candidate without truly vetting out his shortcomings first. Hope is nice, but it doesn't win elections.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:45 pm |
  91. Adam, Florida

    Likely? That word isn't strong enough. It's practically a mathematical certainty. For Clinton to have a chance, the sky will need to open, the light will come down, celestial choirs will be singing, and everyone will know we should do the right thing and vote for her.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:46 pm |
  92. K - in Northwest CT

    The QUESTION should be:
    We the MEDIA (CNN in particular ) have chosen the next democratic canidate. ARE YOU THE VOTERS OK WITH THIS?

    ANSWER: NO

    I thought this was a free country. We the VOTERS get to choose.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:47 pm |
  93. Jay Webber

    I think the caption for the picture above would be " HOLD YOUR FRIENDS CLOSE, AND YOUR ENAMIES CLOSER."Jay from Edgewater, Florida

    March 20, 2008 at 2:47 pm |
  94. Ron

    Jack,
    If Hillary is not smart enough to figure out that she has already lost why would I want to vote for her for PRESIDENT?

    Ron in ND

    March 20, 2008 at 2:47 pm |
  95. Max

    Jack,

    I believe that the race is over for Clinton. It is obvious that she stays in the race ONLY to weaken and damage Obama and make easier for McCain to compete with him in November. If she wants to get out with 'some' dignity, now is the moment to leave.. The Clintons dirty laundry is coming and it will be very hard for Democrats to dissociate their party from that in coming months...

    Max

    March 20, 2008 at 2:47 pm |
  96. Linda from Kentucky

    Well Jack if the vote were tomorrow...I would say his chances are real good....... I thought he made a great speech....He may be just what this country needs to bring everyone to the same place....After all, his speech the other day has made EVERYONE able to say what they have been resenting and holding in for a long while for fear of being called a racist....It's now ok to talk about our differences... I commmend him for this....however ,we have seen anything can happen....So i am reserving my descision until i see it all played out!

    March 20, 2008 at 2:48 pm |
  97. obamamama

    Isn't it ironic that the campaign that brand anyone that question them racist, is the one that appears to be have sat through 20 years of racist and anti american sermons with his 2 young children?perhaps he just wanted the children to be exposed to these"black liberation theology".Excellent judgment as parents huh?.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:48 pm |
  98. Max

    Jack,

    I believe that the race is over for Clinton. It is obvious that she stays in the race ONLY to weaken and damage Obama and make easier for McCain to compete with him in November. If she wants to get out with 'some' dignity, now is the moment to leave.. The Clintons dirty laundry is coming and it will be very hard for Democrats to dissociate their party from that in coming months...

    Max, New York

    March 20, 2008 at 2:48 pm |
  99. Melanie, Lake Wales, FL

    He's already won the nomination : Anderson got to follow him for a day, and is on Larry King live tonight.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:48 pm |
  100. Tom, Avon, Maine, The Heart of Democracy

    A certainty. As Maine goes, so goes the nation. The White House is his, if it weren't the case we would have told him in Bangor, "Can't get there from hee-yah."

    March 20, 2008 at 2:49 pm |
  101. Anthony Cox-Minneapolis,MN

    Obama is a extremely skilled politician, he was able to beat Hillary in 14 consecutive races and at the same time prevent her from ever catching him, that is ingenious. So let hillary win the remaining states she won't catch him. or be the nominee without cheating.

    It is a foregone conclusion, Obama will be the democratic nominee and the next president. Many people think Pastor Wright weakened him, it only proved how much better a person, senator and candidate John McCain and Hillary Clinton are. Remember he has trhe lead in number of delegates, states won, popular vote.

    I can see how the democratic party is on the verge of oblivion and implosion with the republicans and conservatives saying and doing anything to help that along. Amy Holmes stating her conservative opinion as if Obama now has to tell the public, "hey remember I am a black man". What an absolute moron she is.

    The only way Obama will not be the nominee is if he drops out of the race and leaves it to Hillary. Knowing that wont happen, the other option is for the democratic party to claim that he isn't electable(using Hillary's words) and push the superdelegates to vote for her. In essence, stealing the nomination. I hear the chains of a ghost of election 2000's past with Al Gore. The democrats complained that election was stolen so in turn they are willing to steal it from the legitimate party nominee Barack Obama.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:49 pm |
  102. Allen L Wenger

    It's certain that he won't lose it in an even handed convention. But this is politics.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:49 pm |
  103. Stacey-St. Louis

    Oh Jack......I just don't think Obama really wants to unify our country. If he did, he would stop fighting reach out to Hillary another trailblazer and run together to beat McCain. I am afraid this talented man will lose this election because of his insistence to be on top of the ticket and that is so unfortunate. What is wrong with being Vice President of the Free World? Neither one should bow out, the vote is far too close.......and we haven't included Floriday and Michigan yet. Let Hillary have Florida and split Michigan 50/50. But if they don't mend this fight soon......they will lose this race to John McCain. Why can't these two trailblazers unite??????? Too power hungry I guess and just really politicians down deep. What a mess.....two incredible candidates may lose the whole thing.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:50 pm |
  104. Donna-Mobile, AL

    If the super delates are smart, Hillary has no chance of winning the nomination, no disrespect to Hillary of course. My question is however; what are the odds that we actually have smart superdelegates?

    March 20, 2008 at 2:50 pm |
  105. tricia, lanark il

    jack, no matter who gets dem. nom i'm voting dem. i am against this war! the handling of this war! this pathetic administration! have we forgotten......scooter libby, alberto gonzolas, karl rove, lack of cooperation from the white house on many occasions ect.... with mccain it's all the same.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:51 pm |
  106. Ken Mattheis

    I believe Barack Obama is likely to be the nominee. The math is on his side and Hillary's continued desperate attempts to manipulate the Democrat's process are not working and are likely to work against her. Showing up in Michigan with a bag full of millions of dollars and offering to fund (buy) a do-over there makes her look unscrupulous. Kind of reminds you of the folks we've got in the White House now doesn't it. It looks like the release of her schedules during Bill's administrations is going to poke holes in her "experience" argument and I suspect there will be more revaluations to come from those years. Not to mention a reexamination of what we already know. None of this works in Hillary's favor and serves to elevate Obama in voters minds.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:51 pm |
  107. MARK WEIDMAN

    I for one have decided to take my vote away from Obama, and will vote for Clinton. I hope everyone else who understands the meaning of "What Would Jesus Do?" will follow suit. Once I learned details of the minister Wright scandal, I reflected back on my own experiences, and know that if I had been sitting in a "Christian" church and heard one word along the line of Wright's offensive sermons, I would have walked away from my minister, walked away from that church, and would never have looked back, let alone continue to attend and associate myself with such a patently offensive religious leader. And I never would have appointed that minister to a position on my campaign. I reject Obama's compassion toward the retiring minister and reference to our grandparent's and uncles in justifying his tolerance of this hate. People render themselves irrelevant at every age due to their racially devisive preaching, despite their other perceived "good deeds," and must be condemned accordingly, lest they continue, to the detriment of all of us in this great nation.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:52 pm |
  108. Ashkan Mazinani

    How likely is it? lets see. He has won 14 out of the last 17 states, he has gone from 100 delegates down to 100 delegate ahead, and he has won the endorsement of every majour figure in the democratic party, other than bill clinton of course. how likely is it he'll win, lets put it this way. theres a better chance of getting out of iraq in 2008, then there is Clinton being the democratic nominee.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:52 pm |
  109. Craig

    Highly likely Jack. This Rev. tempest should blow over, he's rcvg. some type of award from Texas Christian University soon so perhaps he ain't all bad. Besides that, America really does need a person like Senator Obama to lead this country. I don't think I can can stand another re-run of the Clinton show.
    Hiram Rapids, Oh.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:52 pm |
  110. Michael J. McNeal

    Obama's sophomoric speech on U.S. history was calculated to deflect attention from the fact that his minister and "spiritual mentor" of twenty years is a vicious racist, anti-Semite and homophobic misogynist! We do we need Obama appointing himself our leader on matters of racial prejudice: particularly as he only selectively opposes bigotry. Anyway, race relations were NOT the issue; Obama's affiliation with a racist, Black Nationalist, anti-American extremist was. And despite Obama's best efforts, it remains so. His speech served to underscore that he is not the conciliator he pretends to be. Rather, he gives excuses for and defends cavorting with vile bigots. He continually uses race as a subterfuge to divert the attention of the media and the American people whenever valid criticisms of him are raised. This inhibits honest discussion about the fact that he lacks coherent and practical policy positions.
    By playing the apologist for his friend and minister's bigotry Obama's gratuitous speech on race mainly served to demonstrate his hypocrisy. His views on race are remarkable for their incoherence but a transparent ploy, nevertheless.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:52 pm |
  111. Ashkan Mazinani

    How likely is it? lets see. He has won 14 out of the last 17 states, he has gone from 100 delegates down to 100 delegate ahead, and he has won the endorsement of every majour figure in the democratic party, other than bill clinton of course. how likely is it he'll win, lets put it this way. theres a better chance of getting out of iraq in 2008, then there is Clinton being the democratic nominee.

    Ashkan, Toronto, Canada

    March 20, 2008 at 2:52 pm |
  112. Patricia

    I don't know how likely it will be that Sen. Obama will be the Democratic nominee Jack. But, it will be a mortal sin if he is not on the ticket.
    Patricia
    Palmdale, Ca.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:54 pm |
  113. obamamama

    Sitting through 20 years of anti american and racist sermons qualifies you as commander in chief??? I hope not. otherwise any follower of David duke will do.wait a minute they are only racist. I guess they are not qualified.Tell me who your friends are and I will tell you who you are.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:54 pm |
  114. Donna-Mobile, AL

    If the super delates are smart, Hillary has no chance of winning the nomination, and Obama will be the nomninee for sure, no disrespect to Hillary of course. My question is however; what are the odds that we actually have smart superdelegates? I mean no disrepect to them either.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:54 pm |
  115. Roger (Dallas, TX)

    Jack:

    It would be an absolute tragedy if Barack Obama was not the nominee of the Democratic party for President and ultimate President of the United States. I have watched with absolute horror the past week while the media has blown this Rev. Wright business up way out of proportion. The speech Sen. Obama made in Philadelphia regarding race was not only motivating and necessary, but if people would take the time to read and listen to his words, they could intelligently join the discussion rather than concentrate on the hateful meanderings of his former pastor. After the past 8 years of horror the nation has endured under Bush/Cheney and promises of more of the same from Sen. Clinton, isn't it time for a breath of fresh air in our politics and our government. Sen. Obama by his own admission does not have all the answers, but after the nightmare we've lived through, shouldn't he be given the chance to right those wrongs? Enough of this divisiveness in America. Give change a chance!!!*

    March 20, 2008 at 2:54 pm |
  116. kimberley Vancouver, Canada

    It seems he should be, by the peoples vote and, to me, the best person. He has the leadership to put the USA back on track as a world leader not a world dominator. The opertive word here is leader, isn't that what a countries highest position means. Hillary has lost and should be supportive of her party and concentrate on the general election. She say she has the most experience so she should know that is the best way the party will be successful. So far she has been very harmful. Shame on you Hillary

    March 20, 2008 at 2:55 pm |
  117. Mary

    Hi, Jack The answer to your question is very likely. You see the Clinton's has thrown everything at him includeing getting the the media to nail him to the cross, but he keeps on going and his follower keeps standng behind him. I feel that the Lord is the wind beneath his wings. I also believe that those good old boys are afraid that if he becomes the next President they will be put to shame regarding the way they have gotten us in so much trouble today in this Country. God Bless this Country that we have a choice in this Country to vote and that, the right person to me would be him. WE have had the rest now give us the best and that is SEN. B. OBAMA. God I Love This Country.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:56 pm |
  118. CJ from NH

    Jack
    Very likely. For the good of the democratic party and to allow time for unification and give the candidate the same breathing room in the race that John McCain has, Hillary should concede. Historcially, candidates who find themselves in the position she is in, put the interests of the party ahead of their own personal interests. She cannot win the delegate vote, time has run out to win the popular vote, and the only remaing chance is to convince the Super delegates. They would have to go against the popular vote and this is unlikely to happen.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:56 pm |
  119. Larry from Georgetown, Tx

    Very likely and the sooner the better but it may end up in the Supreme Court before Hillary will surrender. I hope those people in Pennsylvania give her a shock and realize that if they want a Democrat to win in November they need to get behind the best candidate and she's not it. By the way Jack, I went to the library to get your book and it is checked out. We've cut back on unnecessary spending.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:56 pm |
  120. g DeMarco

    Hillary is going to win the demacratic nomination which cause
    major shock waves and a strong need for emergency room triage
    among misogynists like Chris Mathews and that glorious panel
    of misfits on CNN's primary night elections broadcast. Hurrah for
    Hillary.
    Gerry, NY 13057

    March 20, 2008 at 2:57 pm |
  121. Sharon from Michigan

    I've not been so excited over a candidate in my 60 years. He's new, intelligent, and inspiring. He will be the nominee. He will outshine McCain. This primary needs to be over..

    March 20, 2008 at 2:57 pm |
  122. David,San Bernardino,CA.

    Obama is now having the problem of his past catching up with him. His real-estate deal (shades of Whitewater) ,his minister,his association with a radical organization and others. It would be to his advantage to come clean and tell the truth. If he thinks Hillary is tough on him,wait until the republicans get ahold of him. Obama should get the nomination,but look out for his skeletons in the closet!

    March 20, 2008 at 2:57 pm |
  123. Gary In Va

    Jack Lets take fla.It was the republicans to move up the primary,and they knew this would mess up the democrats.1st nobody told those people to stay home,2nd nobody told obama to remove his name,from mich or fla primary.I say to DNC chairman to step aside and let the delegates be counted.If Not McCain will tear obama apart and win the next election.I sure don't want another 4 yrs of the bush administration,and 25 billion dollar a month to support a war .This country is falling apart,and most americans will agree with me.If you disagree ask your audience.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:57 pm |
  124. Pat / Ohio

    In the past week his chances have cut in half. Who wants a President who associates with so many America haters. If they hate America, they should go back where they came from Who needs them

    March 20, 2008 at 2:57 pm |
  125. Greg, Hamilton Ontario

    Face it Jack they just don't get it. The Issues are not important any more and the fact that they are still gabbing about the effect of Rev. Judas is proof that mud slinging beats economy, health care and war hands down every time. Especially in an election.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:58 pm |
  126. Joe in DE

    About 50% chance, but he seems to be losing ground.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:58 pm |
  127. Greg in Leavenworth Kansas

    It's not a question of "if" Obama will become the Democratic nominee, but "when" will Obama become the Democratic nominee. Hillary should do the Dems a favor and withdraw gracefully (but that just wouldn't be Hillary would it?).

    Undecided Voter (between Obama and McCain)

    March 20, 2008 at 2:59 pm |
  128. Bernie of Lowell, MA

    Jack:

    The issue of bitter racism has been with me since I was nine years old.

    My family refused to allow my black friend and roommate at the private school we attended to visit over a holiday, telling me he would "get the sheets dirty'.

    Whichever candidate wins the nomination, I hope for a campaign that will not dirty my sheets with bitter racial prejudice.

    March 20, 2008 at 2:59 pm |
  129. Kat from NH

    The whining Clinton machine will try some other sneaky way to
    get around the obvious.....Barack's more popular votes, more states , more delegates........... the kitchen sink didn't work; she'll have to go for the bull-dozer. But, I have faith in the superdelegates........ and we'll see a President Obama in the white house with the Clintons trying to put the pieces of a broken sink back into their kitchen in NY state..

    March 20, 2008 at 2:59 pm |
  130. Melonie

    It is disturbing that the news media has taken this opportunity to repeatedly broadcast and discuss the ranting sermonic excerpts from Senator Obama's retired pastor, Jeremiah Wright. While it is difficult to know what damage the constant broadcasting and discussion has had in persuading voters, I am beginning to think, that perhaps it is not a matter of Sentor Obama's brilliance, judgement, readiness, strength, and ability to lead that is in question, but whether or not we are ready and adult enough to talk about how to fix our economy, health care, education, and foreign policies. If we did this, and the media would for once be more concerned about engaging important issues and matters rather than undermining the effectiveness of all of the candidates with unrelated reasons for character assassinations, then the public would not be so distracted.

    I wonder at what point will we all we become sick, poor, homeless, and unemployed enough before we stop fiddling away our time and begin to address the real issues facing our nation and the next President of the United States. We are picking a president from among three extraordinary persons that are no more or less than human and all have flaws to pick at, and strengths to exploit.

    Any one of them who wins the election, will need for us to be more concerned and engaged in helping them to address our futures rather than expecting them to be our Savior -since that job is already filled and has been for some time.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:00 pm |
  131. Joel K

    It isn't so much a question of how likely Obama will become the presidential nominee, but a question of when Hillary will drop out. It's almost statistically impossible for her to win the Democratic nominee now unless she swift boats her own party.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:01 pm |
  132. Ronald

    I still have hope that Obama will be the nominee. What he has endured over the past couple of weeks has only strengthened by belief that he is the best candidate. But when you are in a battle with the Clintons, a couple so set on gaining political power at any cost, there is not too much caution you should take around them. Watch her like a hawk Obama!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:01 pm |
  133. Paulette Dallas,PA

    No, I don't think so now. He may run in 2012 again but for now I believe the damage done by Rev. Wright is not repairable. By the way, don't believe Dick Morris. He is only spewing sour grapes after the Clinton's dumped him because of his kinky sexcapades with hookers during Bill's second term.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:02 pm |
  134. Rob Winnipeg Canada

    Senator Obama will be the nominee, If he isn't I beleive the USA has lost a truly historical opportunity as this type of character is very rare and every opportunity should be made to ensure he gets this opportunity. The political hacks will come out against anyone on any side and it all gets ramped up when the candidate is 'different' politics as usual. this man brings a breath of fresh air that is timely in this especially important time. Jack the world is watching and is effected by what happens there. Bring the conversation back to an adult, intelligent place the exact place that Mr. Obama is trying so hard to go.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:02 pm |
  135. charles

    If we as American citizens embrace a change in America for all people and do not get distracted by Hillary Clintons down right dirty political tactics and understand what is at stake here in this election should this were to take place then Barack's chances will be great. Jack, President Bush needs Hillary Clinton or John McCain to succeed so that he is assured of a pardon by either one of them. It is imperative for his investment in their success become a reality for his own legal benefit after his presidency suspends in January. Oh yes, what about Hillaries taxes and Bills list of donors to his organization?

    March 20, 2008 at 3:02 pm |
  136. Casey Clark-Tampa, FL

    Why does Obama's camp keep blocking efforts for a revote?
    How about, "will Obama do anything to win?” After all we've seen what a liar he is and how he played the race card yet again (in fact he's played the whole deck). I'm a resident of Florida and I voted for Hillary, you better believe that I want my vote to count and not through some diluted delegate count. "We the people" didn't decide to vote early, some stupid politicians did.

    Obama gives good scripted speeches and he talks to networks that favor him (CNN). During his speech he took the cloak of racisim and wrapped it around his own errors in judgment. The speech pointed plenty of fingers at everyone, but him. He took no responsibility for his relationship with Wright.

    In the past he's referenced Reagan, Lincoln, FDR, RFK, JFK and MLK. Did I miss anyone? Maybe Gandhi? He is under the illusion that he will achieve the greatness that these men did? If his plan includes lying to the American people then he won’t go far.

    His support of a racist Pastor isn’t a very good start either. He sat in that church for 20 years and did nothing to move away from the hate that Wright preached (why is that?). Either he’s weak or his judgment is flawed, these are not good traits for someone seeking the presidency.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:02 pm |
  137. Bill

    After this fiasco in Florida and Michigan, does it really matter Jack?
    Regardless of the nominee, voters in these two states whose votes are "worthless" I believe will think twice about casting a vote in november.

    If 'no recount' holds up in these states you can bet there will be some very upset democrats who will think twice about voting in november. Why would you vote for your candidates' opponent considering your candidate might have been the nominee instead, and your vote in the primary meant nothing

    This entire voting process is becoming more bizarre each time, super delegates, worthless primary voting, candidates rediculous bickering with one another instead of addressing the real issues affecting this country...any wonder people refuse to vote?

    Don't be surprised if McCain mops the floor with one of those two in november!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:04 pm |
  138. An American Voter

    None at all...

    Trust is gone!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:04 pm |
  139. Elena & Roman, New York

    Dear Jack,

    Likely, if it is not stolen.
    We spent most of our lives in the Soviet Union, before and after its demise. We got used to the idea that people's vote didn't mean anything back there, as it doesn't now. We knew that mass media would distort anything to help a particular candidate to steal the election.
    But even there, in the Soviet Union, the candidates showed us their sources of income, and the rules of the elections never changed in the middle of the game.
    It's the first time in our lives that we are inspired about the elections – because of Barack Obama. But it's unbelievable that in the United States, the leader of the free world, a presidential nomination can be as easily stolen as in a (post)communist country. And it looks like the entire CNN's best political team is helping it.
    Thank you, Jack, for being the only one at CNN who is not afraid of telling the truth.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:04 pm |
  140. Mark - Gilbert, AZ

    I think Hillary will have to threaten the supers in order to win the election.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:04 pm |
  141. earl illingsworth

    Dear Jack, Dick Morris would say anything disparaging about either one of the Clinton's, I'd dare say ,he'd even stoop low enough to drag Chelsea into his imboldened wrath, blinded by his own failings! Senator Obama's is on a "hyperbolic spiral",gravitating to his demise over one man's arrogance, ironically a man of the cloth, the Reverend Wright! If the Reverend drops out of sight ,or resigns, or even publicly apologizes, (which I hardly believe will happen) Obama has new life. If not,Senator Obama's nomination will become null-n-void ! The numbers don't lie in the polls, and the Independents are abandoning ship as I E-Mail you, sorry but the deed has been done by his own mentor? God Bless America!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:04 pm |
  142. Renee Las Vegas

    I will vote for Obama but if he does'nt win I will vote for Hillary. The're policies are similar.They are both great Democratic candidates . regardless of the trash that surrounds them.....admit it folks

    March 20, 2008 at 3:04 pm |
  143. maggie from Minnesota

    I believe he will be the nominee. He sure has my vote.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:04 pm |
  144. tim from Ravenna, OH

    Here is my question...How can Obama unite the country if he can't even unite the Democratic party?

    March 20, 2008 at 3:05 pm |
  145. Richard Sternagel

    Jack, Senator will be the nominee if you media pundits get off running clips of Rev. Wright's outlandish comments! Rev. Wright IS NOT RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT SENATOR OBAMA IS! Please focus on the real issues of this election year!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:06 pm |
  146. Bill in Dayton, Ohio

    After this fiasco in Florida and Michigan, does it really matter Jack?
    Regardless of the nominee, voters in these two states whose votes are “worthless” I believe will think twice about casting a vote in november.

    If ‘no recount’ holds up in these states you can bet there will be some very upset democrats who will think twice about voting in november. Why would you vote for your candidates’ opponent considering your candidate might have been the nominee instead, and your vote in the primary meant nothing

    This entire voting process is becoming more bizarre each time, super delegates, worthless primary voting, candidates rediculous bickering with one another instead of addressing the real issues affecting this country…any wonder people refuse to vote?

    Don’t be surprised if McCain mops the floor with one of those two in november

    March 20, 2008 at 3:06 pm |
  147. Doug from Toronto

    Slim and none. Barack Obama exposed two major weaknesses this week. He did not entirely disassociate himself from Reverand Wright. This goes to the heart of his decision making ability. Top of the fence is not the place to be. The second, and possibly most disturbing is the fact that it took him four days to deal with a crisis in his campaign. What happens when that phone does ring at 3 a.m. in the White House and it is a national crisis? I do believe that the super delegates will see these deficiencies when push comes to shove.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:08 pm |
  148. DJ

    Not very likely, he's slipping across the polls and each day that goes by. The super Delegates are there for one purpose to make sure we have a candidate that can win the GE.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:08 pm |
  149. mary

    He is the best choice. Hillary right now have to much to do. April 25 will be a big test fot her and Rendell include.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:10 pm |
  150. J.R.

    Jack, It is very likely that Barack Obama will become the Democratic presidential nominee. However, your question should read, "how likely is it that Barack Obama will become the next president".... and that is " a horse of another color."

    Why? Two words....Reverend Wright.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:10 pm |
  151. onenibble

    Very unlikely Jack, we do not know if Obama would include Rezco, Rev. Wright, Farrakhan and Rev. Meeks in his cabinet.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:10 pm |
  152. dan in mass

    How can anyone say that Obama has the momentum? He has endured the worst news cycle that a candidate can imagine. His poll numbers are dropping, he is undecided on the re-votes and there are real problems with some parts of his speech. Anything short of denouncing his pastor and the church is unacceptable. His fellow members were on their feet applauding at Rev. Wright's sermons. He is still a member. How can the president of the United States be a member of a hate group? From where I sit, it's unlikely he gets the nomination.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:10 pm |
  153. Terry from North Carolina

    Jack
    If it was up to the voters in all the primaries Obama would win the nomination, however Hillary Clinton and her back room politics will navigate through this mess and make some deals with the superdelegates. This will be a mess till the end and the democratic party will suffer and John McCain will reap the benefits.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:11 pm |
  154. Ralph Taliercio - Long Island, NY

    Hillary Clinton thinks she is owed the presidency and has demonstrated repeatedly that she will say and do anything to reach that goal. I think most of the superdelegates are afraid of the Clintons which is why they haven't stepped in and ended this as they could and should do. I think the words backbone and superdelegates don't belong in the same sentence.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:11 pm |
  155. Denise (Brooklyn, New York)

    I feel that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee, not Barack Obama. As has already been proven, Obama has some rather ugly skeletons in his closet. The great orator, as once again proven, is nothing but talk. He has no experience and I never trusted the man. Apparently, for good reason. The ugliness that is beginning to surface about the man.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:11 pm |
  156. Arnold,WV

    I can't believe some of these people calling for O bama to step down.The only way she could win is for him to step aside.She and her so called advocates have unleashed the most negative,nastiest campaining that I have ever seen.I'm one of those bluecollar ,caucasion,male Americans that every one says should favor her.Even as a registered republican I cannot vote for him in WV primary ,but I would vote for him in Nov. As for CNN keep up the good work .Especially you Jack!!!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:12 pm |
  157. donna

    very I hope or it will be the first time in 42 years I will not vote and I am 60.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:13 pm |
  158. Ted Beaverton, OR

    She needs three breaks... But more than that, she has three major stumbling blocks. First, It's pretty sure Michigan and Florida will not revote. Maybe next time their state legislatures will pay attention to the rules. Obama did, Hillary didn't. Second Hillary flat out lied about her participation and conduct in those elections. Third, we have only heard a small minutie of content from 1000 pages of her 20,000 or so transcripts from her wifely days in the Whitehouse. "Boil, Boil, trouble and toil..... can you hear the cackle?

    March 20, 2008 at 3:13 pm |
  159. Mia OKla.

    I certainly hope the Senator Obama is not the Democratic Party contenter. The truth about this man is finally getting out after far too many primaries have been held.
    Senator Obama can only blame himself. He has never been truthful about his church, his minister or religion. He also lied about his relationship with Tony Rezko and others.
    Honesty, character, integrity and common sense are just as important as other issues. I could not vote for this man under any circumstance.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:13 pm |
  160. Tony

    Hey Jack.....If Hillary Clinton were anyone else, this conversation would not be taking place. Picture her in the position Sen. Obama is today, with his delegate leads and popular vote leads. The talking heads everywhere, not to mention also the Clintonista surrogates, would be inundating the airwaves with pleas to Sen. Obama to leave the race for the good of the party and face electoral reality. She only hangs in there because she is a Clinton, they never quit. And, sad to say, this is good for the media, as a close race gives them something to talk about ad nauseum.

    Bottom line, Hillary ahead, Obama would be facing unrelenting pressure to drop out. But because he's ahead, and facing a few days of intense scrutiny over his pastor's incendiery remarks, she's given a lifeline. Lovely line I heard recently, can't remember where, but it goes something like this:

    " These Clintons are like cockroaches. They'll be the last thing left after a nuclear blast ".

    March 20, 2008 at 3:13 pm |
  161. Cheryl

    They are pretty even in the polls with neither one having a definitive majority. It almost doesn't matter who wins at convention because the Obama crowd has already decided to call "foul" if Hillary gets the nomination. Hillary's crowd will have a legitimate claim to call "foul" because of Florida and Michigan. It will be very ugly indeed.

    Valencia,CA

    March 20, 2008 at 3:13 pm |
  162. Susan

    Well Jack, To put it in a nutshell, Sen. Obama is a little less likely to be the nominee than he was yesterday. Although he still has a good lead in the delegate count, the latest polls in Ohio and North Carolina show that Hillary's position seems to be strenghtening and that must worry him more than just a little bit. He better watch out because this race is far from over.

    Susan
    Lexington Kentucky

    March 20, 2008 at 3:13 pm |
  163. Joel from Riverside CA

    Hey Jack,
    Did you see the latest polls out today. They do take into account the Obama speech. He has dropped against Hillary in Pennsylvania and in National polls. He has dorpped against McCain which is even worse. It begins to suggest that Obama is going to be easier for McCain to beat in November then Hillary. If we are going to seat the delegations in any form from michigan and Florida, which I beleive we will then the votes cast in those primaries should count toward the popular vote. Would that add to Hillary's count. The super delegates will vote for Hillary if they beleive that she can win the election and that Barack cannot. Finally, I think the media, you included has done a really lousy job at finding out about Barack's background, voting record and the views of a number of his advisors. You should spend more time spenign as musch time raising questions about him as you do Hillary

    March 20, 2008 at 3:14 pm |
  164. Mike in Florida

    I have no doubt he will be the next president. Of course I said that about Kerry and Gore.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:14 pm |
  165. D.J.Lauter

    I think Obama could easily win the nomination if Hillary doesn't pull some shady dealings. Both candidates signed their names to a policy that Michigan votes wouldn't count. Obamas fans then voted Republican, and cannot vote again, I understand, and that isn't fair if Hillary tries for a re-vote. Obama is clearly ahead, and according to some, Hillary can't catch up. The smear campaign about Obamas pastor should be laid to rest. I don't know of anyone that would condemn an "uncle" who, out of 900 two hour sermons, preached one minute of taped objectionable language, which was condemned by Obama.
    D.J.
    Ojai, California

    March 20, 2008 at 3:15 pm |
  166. O. A. Eze a.k.a OGB in Austell, GA

    How likely is it that Barack Obama will be the Democratic presidential nominee? Jack, I'd say, 'Very likely.' Right now, I think he stands to be the best, the smartest, and the most charismatic President America will ever have, ceteris paribus, if and only if, he is given the chance. Let's hope and pray that Hillary's dirt flinging campaign tactics don't hurt his chances.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:15 pm |
  167. John from Tennessee

    Now that everyone knows that he is racist, I think that he will stand very
    little chance of stealing the nomination away from Hillary. He's been trying to degrade her the whole campaign long. He tries to make everything said about him into a racial issue., He is the one that is
    playing the race card. The man does not have what it takes to be a president.. Lets see hjs Illinois senate records. Hillary turned in her schedule as first lady, because Obama kept on crying about it. Now let us see what HE IS HIDING.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:16 pm |
  168. Roxana

    The Media Lynching of Hope

    The media lynching of Senator Obama is proving to have accomplished what CNN and the entire establishment have sat out to do once Obama showed up on the radar and became a player. To destroy, distort, denounce and repudiate anything good about Senator Obama's campaign is what is being served for dinner tonight and every night until Denver. Hope you have a great appetite for negative campaigning at its best. It's the house special being served on every single media outlet. If this continues no, Obama will not be the nominee.

    After all we are America. We build people up to tear them down.
    Wolf Blitzer and CNN as well as other media outlets continue playing the Wright video over and over and over again to make sure those images stand in the minds of all Americans as we head into Pennsylvania. How about Bill Clinton with Monica while Hillary was down the hall having a luncheon in the White House or better still when he was being impeached. What about McCain’s links with the Keating 5 or Cindy McCain's drug addiction. This is a fact. If Senator Obama were a white man with the same message he would have already clinched the nomination. My God I sound like a new Geraldine Ferraro.

    Racism in the media is not new. Racism in our country is not new.
    Time and time again Black men have been depicted as less than human and to be feared. The offensive hate mongering undertones coming out of the Clinton Campaign has given voice to what I would term the New Racism. The racism of entitlement has become the battle cry based on color of one’s skin. I can assure you there is no privilege in being Black in America. What Senator Obama and all black Americans face are a continued series of hoops and questions that must pacify the white establishment and the media for a black person to be accepted in this country.

    It is no different in your work place or even when you shop as person of color. No one can know what it is like to be hated just because your skin is different unless you have been there. In our great America an increasing number of white blue collar workers are listening to hate and deciding that Hillary Clinton may best serve their interest. Same color same game. This has nothing to do with gender. This is about color. It’s easy to understand that the ones who are bitter, angy and need the most change Senator Obama offers to this country are the ones most resistant.

    I remember being told by as a child. Hate is taught—we are not born with it. Ask Rush Limbaugh and his clan. You have to be taught that kind of ignorance. Senator Obama is "THE CANDIDATE" of change. For all the new voters like myself we are now being turned off by this blatant and malicious attack on this man's character. Did everyone leave the Catholic Church when it was learned of all the priests who had forced themselves on young boys??? Of course not. Yet many of those same people who point the finger at Reverand Wright have been married, had their children christened and continue their lifelong loyalty and allegiance to the Catholic Church. Let’s put these arguments into the proper context. Of course he didn't turn his back on Reverend Wright anymore than he did Geraldine Ferraro who spewed her own type of venomous entitlement hatred.

    The Senator was as always classy classic Obama. He is really too good for this country. His ideals for all of us reaching a more perfect union falls on deaf ears of those whose hearts are filled with nothing but disdain for others not like them. So many Americans are in great financial trouble. The dollar is at an all time low, we are economically shattered, Americans are losing their homes as fast as we breathe, our environment is completely messes up, our young men and women are dying in Iraq because of votes by people like Senator Clinton. Yet the bitterness in which the Clintons and others like Pat Buchanan say we have to "bloody him up" is beyond rude and yet remains unchallenged. The media bosses at CNN allow Wolf Blitzer to continue its distorted coverage of the Wright story. Did the guy ever say anything good???
    Is anyone else out there tired of the story already besides me??? While Sean Hannity at Fox is allowing assassination fantasies about Obama to presented as the word of the day. The only people with any sense reporting fairly on this entire situation are Jack Cafferty of CNN and Keith Olbermann at MSNBC. We are in trouble America. Is anyone concerned with that??? It is sad for America and Americans to allow white elitist supremist rhetoric to rule our media with its subtle nuances of entitlement as the basis of all arguments.

    After all this is America and how dare someone challenge us to think about our own racist beliefs on both sides of the fence. The silencing of this man's voice and the ultimate destruction of his campaign is something that Americans of class and conscience will all come to regret later after John McCain takes office. By continuing to play over and over again the uncomfortable, frustrated words of an elder black preacher then somehow twisting them to be Senator Obama’s words CNN, the media and the old guard have certainly done everything to make sure that Senator Obama will understands his place in America. An extremely accomplished black man who has against all odds had the audacity, and the hope to go against the establishment and who has dared to have a better dream for all of us.

    With this in mind. No, he will not be the nominee if this continues.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:16 pm |
  169. Phyllis Lewis

    If all of those people in Iowa and the "upwardly Mobile" white and black voters knew that Mr. Obama was a liar, do you think that they would have voteed for him?
    I did not make up my mind about which Democrat to vote for until Mr. Obama lied about knowing about the hate that spewed from is pastor's mouth.
    Not only would he be "stealing the nomination", but it would be done on a lie.
    Of course this is all moot, because I live in Florida and my vote don't count. I guess I have no choice but to sit this election out...

    March 20, 2008 at 3:16 pm |
  170. donna

    I am 60 year old and if obama is not the nomination it will be, the first time in 42 year, I will not vote.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:16 pm |
  171. Richard Sternagel

    Jack,Senator Obama will be the nominee IF YOU MEDIA PUNDITS get off running clips of Rev. Wright's outlandish comments! Rev Wright IS NOT RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT SENATOR OBAMA IS! Please focus on the real issues of this election year!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:16 pm |
  172. Tina Ft Worth

    Hillary will do anything above and beyond her power to make sure she is the nominee and I bet she has already called Bush to see who he got elected and is using Karl Rove from behind the scene.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:16 pm |
  173. Jaime, Edinburg, TX

    It’s not likely he will be the nominee. After the Wright issue, he has lost his chances. We are so lucky that this came out now instead in the general election. If he does win the nomination, then he will cost us the White House.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:17 pm |
  174. Debby

    Jack how many times are you going to ask the same questions over and over but in different formats. Its obvious you are for Obama and not Clinton from your rantings on CNN, but Obama doesn't have a prayer in the general election, so it doesn't matter if he wins the nomination. MCCAIN will be President so get that through your head.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:17 pm |
  175. joan allen

    If he continues to lead in delegates and popular vote he should be the nominee. Would like to know your thoughts on Hillary addressing the issue of race. Obama did a fantastic job in his speech. He opened the door for serious discussion on this subject. As an African American women, interested in her take on this issue. Or does she feel it is to big of a risk to take.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:18 pm |
  176. Ken

    He will be the Democratic Party canditate only if Dean, the Super delegates and the Democrats are truly brain dead and want to lose to John Mccain. Americans don't like a candidate for President throwing their Grandmother under the bus to be able to support their pastors hate remarks about America.

    Ken Moulton
    Moultonboro, NH

    March 20, 2008 at 3:18 pm |
  177. Patricia Robledo

    If he is the democratic nominee, he'll never make it to the Presidency. Not in a country where racism is alive and thriving. Why do you think so many Republicans voted for Hillary? Barack’s assassination is always in the back of my mind. I dread that day but won’t be surprised when it happens.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:19 pm |
  178. Marilyn

    If Americans allow themselves to be divided over race again, it won't matter. McCain will win by default and the pro-corporation, pro-greedhead Republicans will continue to run the country into the ground. But if we can unite despite race, then Obama wins. He's the best candidate.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:20 pm |
  179. John J Curley

    It seems to me that since 2000 we have stepped through the looking glass. So we will have to wait and see. If Hillary gets the nomination I think we will be welcoming a war hero from Arizona into the White House. I think the script calls for Pennsylvania to decide the outcome in November this time.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:20 pm |
  180. alexa, Lovettsville, Va

    Using Obama's own statement that "words matter" after hearing the words of the man Obama has idolized for 20 years and considers a friend and mentor there is no way I would vote for a person who sits in church for 20 years while his friend and mentor preaches such an audacity of hate. But having said that think that unfortunately he has shown his true colors too late and will win the nomination but not the election. At 51 I have been a life long democrat but will be voting for McCain is Obama gets the nomination.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:20 pm |
  181. Ed from Twin Bridges Montana

    He should be because that is what the majority of Americans want as evidenced by the primaries, no matter how the spinmasters twist the numbers. But, with a media that sacrifices truth for ratings, we will see more of Rev Wright's speech then we will see of Obama's answer, and without the intellectual truth, the emotional lies will win. Never underestimate the power of ignorance, after all, it got Bush into the Whitehouse twice.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:21 pm |
  182. Cheryl

    Hillary's chances of being the nominee are slim but when the media finally starts covering the Clinton Fraud Trial (Google it and read it yourself) hopefull it won't even be a question anymore. We will finally have Obama as our nominee and the country can move ahead in a positive direction.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:21 pm |
  183. Ram

    Can't be sure yet. We need to look at Penna (158), Indiana( 72), North Carolina (115) before we can say for sure. If Hillary does better than Obama in these states, depending on delegate counts then Oregon (52), Kentucky (51 & Puerto Rico (55). Michigan & Florida we can forget about it. I do not think they are going to fly. At this stage we can only say very likely Obama. But Hillary is like Houdini may pull some tricks. YOU never know.
    California

    March 20, 2008 at 3:22 pm |
  184. sherry

    Although he will lose, I believe the DNC is determined to give the nomination to Obama despite some buyer's remorse on the part of voters.
    No one can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory like democrats.

    Sherry
    Roanoke, VA

    March 20, 2008 at 3:22 pm |
  185. Dan in Goodyear, Arizona

    Well now that Michigan and Florida have announced there will be no redo primaries its pretty likely. But im sure Hillary wont just leave Michigan and Florida without a fight she will probably take it to court. If Obama does become the nomiee I will be voting for McCain in my first eligable to vote. I do not like Obama he is inexperienced and come on look at what just came out about his church I'm not suprised. Also if Obama does become the nominee I am willing to predict that John McCain will win by a landslide.

    Dan
    Goodyear, Arizona

    March 20, 2008 at 3:22 pm |
  186. Angela

    I think the voter is starting to see through the lofty rhetoric. I think Obama has a lot of potential but I don't think his time is now.

    Let me say this – Americans seem ready for change. However, you need experience to bring about that change.

    Change without experience is 'trial and error'.

    Do we really want the highest office of the most influential country in the world to use a 'trial and error' approach to decision making?

    March 20, 2008 at 3:23 pm |
  187. TP

    I'm tired of all the BS the Clintons have used to try to secure the most powerful position in the world! Obama is the best chance to set this country back on course ."envied by the rest of the the world."

    March 20, 2008 at 3:23 pm |
  188. Wendy

    If he is ahead in the delegate count and popular vote the Democrats would not be stupid enough to shoot themselves in the foot again and override the will of the voters.

    The Democratic power structure would prefer Obama and just need a good reason to make him the nominee. It is all about coat-tails; they see that he has them and Hillary does not.

    In reality it is not so much about loving Obama, it is about self-preservation and election of those down-ballot Democratic candidates. Hastert's seat was just one of many that Obama could help take back in November.

    Wendy
    San Rafael, CA

    A

    March 20, 2008 at 3:23 pm |
  189. cary marmol

    If the presidential election would be based only on the popular vote–Barack would get it hands down. If the nominee would be picked by the superdelegates and Barack doesn't get it-I feel for the democrats. I would not vote at all if Barack is not the nominee. The Clintons have had their chance in the White House. We need a fresh candidate, a person who represents the people-not the companies they care to represent. Barack is that candidate.

    Caridad Marmol
    Stratford, Ct

    March 20, 2008 at 3:24 pm |
  190. Bob from Traverse city Michigan

    Pretty likely Jack, this reverend thing will pass . America's attention span is only thirty days long and another scandel, or starlet, or indictment will soon grab the attention of the media. Additionally I think we can count on Hillary and Bill to provide the press with plenty of foolishness as their desperation turns to out right panic and they prove their selves to be unworthy of the superdelegates overturning of the people's will

    March 20, 2008 at 3:25 pm |
  191. Velle In Halifax

    Jack, Morris is right! If Hillary doesn't run him (Obama) over with a bus, a threat he should well protect against, he'll carry the party nomination. As to "who" can deliver the "big" states. That's laughable. That's Hillary totally discounting the "smaller" states as if they don't matter. That is clear by the way she has run her campaign. What she didn't count on and is now frantically trying to overcome is the WILL of the people...ALL THE PEOPLE! Once she is shown the door, Obama will carry those "big" states just as well as he has the "smaller" ones. Are Hillary's supporters so foolish and vindictive as to give the WHOLE NATION to McSame just to spite Obama? Hillary and her supporters need to put the Nation first and stop their irrational derailment of the Democratic Party's ONLY HOPE of beating The "Duh-Duh-Dubya" Legacy.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:25 pm |
  192. Peggy

    Senator Obama should already have that spot; and he should also be, like Senator McCain, concentrating on his general-election strategy.

    I agree with the writer who said (and I paraphrase), "...if Senator Obama had lost eleven (11) straight primaries and caucuses, he would have been asked to get lost the next day..."

    Senator Clinton changed the rules the night of Iowa...and she and former president Clinton have been changing the rules and moving the bar ever since.

    Senator Clinton made a special effort to get the people in these states worked up into a frenzy; hoping the DNC will over-ride its former decision–a decision, I might add–they all agreed to.

    I was strongly for Hillary at first. But where is the dignity and honor for the women's cause if the person claiming to represent all women displays no dignity and honor?

    When Hillary lost on Super Tuesday, in agreement with Dick Morris, I knew it was over...and I expected her to bow out graciously. Instead, like a spoiled brat, she started kicking and screaming against the Florida and Michigan "rule" that she agreed to in the beginning (when we all felt S. Obama didn't have a chance).

    Unlike Lena Horne, Senator Clinton cannot see that her time is up; and refuses to exit the effort with class.

    Peggy
    Shannon, MS

    March 20, 2008 at 3:25 pm |
  193. W B in Las Vegas

    who in the HELL would listen to that "Faux" News yap Dick Morris about ANYTHING? as a matter of fact, why would anyone listen to ANYONE named "Dick" about ANYTHING? "Dick" Morris, "Dick" Cheney, "Dick" Nixon, it seems like ANYONE named "Dick" is now and in the past been suspect.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:25 pm |
  194. Ray (Nevada)

    I can’t predict the future… However, it looks like the only way Obama cant win the nomination is for the rules to change in the middle of the competition… No, it is not delegates it is the big states… No it is not the delegates its the popular vote… No, it is not delegates because even though the broke the rules and were disqualified Michigan and Florida should count… That is like the New England Patriots saying… Wait.. We gained more yards and completed more BIG passes… We won the Super Bowl… NO!!! It is how many points are on the scoreboard that matters.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:25 pm |
  195. Eugene in Northern California

    Jack, unless Obama gets starts acting like the last two Governor's of New York, or New Jersey, he's a shoe in, for the nomination. He has the delegate and popular votes sewed up, so any back door politics, by the unneeded superdelegates, to give the nomination, to Hillery will cause race riots around the nation. Democrats are stuck, with a candidate that will ultimately loose, to McCain, on the issues of loyalty, associations, and poor decisions. Sorry Jack, any United States Senator should have walked out, on those racist and divisive sermons given, by Pastor Wrong.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:26 pm |
  196. mary sullivan

    If the News Media had investigated Obama and his Hateful anti-American Rev. Wright; maybe the primary process would have been just!
    Who knows? Maybe; Edwards would have had a fairer chance?
    ANd tonight; Obama gets MORE FREE time to explain and re-explain himself on Larry King!
    There are no more suitable explanations for keeping close to that Minister for 20 years; for not walking out of that Church taking his little girls with him!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:27 pm |
  197. kathy

    Hi Jack, There's not dought that Hillary will try anything to win the nomination, but now to blame the re-vote on Obama, thats where voters need to draw the line. Heres a question for Hillary supporters, how can Obama be blamed for rules that were set by the DNC. It's typical Hillary, the rules dont apply to me!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:27 pm |
  198. George Wilson

    At least all of the talk on TV, radio, and newspapers is that Clinton should step down. Just like I said before, I will say again, "it ain't over til it's over". Yes it's true that almost everyone is complimenting Obama on his speech, but most that I know have said that he didn't go far enough in their opinion to distance himself from a very bad situation. For him to say that his minister does like anyone else, and gets carried away sometmes, that he says things that are slanted in his view doesn't cut it for me. To curse, and damn America is one thing that is not acceptable, and to preach hate against any race in unforgivable.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:27 pm |
  199. Nuwan Sam

    Likelyhood is only a probability which favors Obama at this moment, but it is something that can change anytime. Any more scandals or YouTube dramas can change this race dramatically. The condition at this moment does not guarantee anything.

    Nuwan from Houston, Texas

    March 20, 2008 at 3:27 pm |
  200. Jim, Kansas

    Never count out a Clinton. Hillary will be right back in the running if
    she files for divorce before the Pennsylvania primary. With the nation
    learning that she was in the White House during Bill's trists with
    Monica, she can get the airtime she craves by divorcing the bum.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:27 pm |
  201. Rose, London

    At one time, I had respect for the media darling, Sen. Obama. But considering how many times I have either confronted my racist friends/relatives or distanced myself from them because of it, I lost respect for him. He lost my respect also for letting his children hear his preacher's venom. Sen. Obama has a God-given talent for speaking and convincing people, but if he can't combat racism in his church, why does he expect others to do the same? Also, didn't Oprah admit on one of her shows that a black man on a lonely street frightened her? I don't consider her a racist. Sorry, Jack–your candidate blew it.

    Rose, London

    March 20, 2008 at 3:27 pm |
  202. kate

    Jack – I have no idea what his Obama's odds are at this point. I only hope that we have not had our one brief, shining moment of hope and optimism in this campaign. If this is all we get out of the Obama campaign, it is no fault but the media's. The scurrilous and ridiculous scrutiny of that poor minister is hardly to be believed. Of course, I don't agree with what he said, but since the media is spending so much money to cover this topic with a fine tooth comb, is it really possible that there are no tapes of him saying anything positive? Is the poor man, who is a veteran, an activist preacher and a respected professor supposed to be destroyed so the press can have its jollies?
    Obama's speech showed what class really is. I hope to God he still has a chance. He is the only one in this process with any dignity left.

    Kate Charlottesville, Virginia

    March 20, 2008 at 3:29 pm |
  203. Ryan

    Not that good at all. Once again he messed up. He said one thing( that he didnt hear things like that from his pastor)and then another(he heard some bad remarks by him) Which is it? Obama is nothing more than a lying politician. He is a Spitzer in training!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:29 pm |
  204. geeta

    I pray that Sen Obama wins the nomination this summer! I shudder to imagine another Clinton or Bush back in the White House, sen Clinton carries too much baggage. We need a fresh-er outlook, cleaner perspective, youth, vitality to carry us into the 21st century – which is what Obama would offer to us. He emphasizes it is not going to be an easy ride – no false promises here – but if we undertake this task in unity and stride forward confidentally to build a brighter future for our kids and grandkids – we can make it happen, with Obama's leadership and guidance! He is the call of the times. The need of the time. The beginning of a new era.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:29 pm |
  205. LINDA - FL.

    YES, AND I WOILD LIKE TO SEE A WHITE BIASED OLD MAN CRY FOR 4 YRS......AND I CAN SAY THAT BECAUSE I AM AN OLD BIASED WHITE WOMAN FOR HILLARY, AND PROUD OF IT.....IF 92% OF THE BLACKS CAN BE PROUD OF OBAMA, I CAN BE PROUD OF A WOMAN GOING THIS FAR TOO!!!!!.....

    March 20, 2008 at 3:29 pm |
  206. Cheryl, Kansas

    I would say it is likely, but only if the SuperDelegates are smart and politically saavy enough to choose him. However, if history is any indication as to the unpredictability of either Party and their insanely unfair, imbalanced and controlled election systems, it is impossible to determine who will get actually win the Democratic nomination, much less the Presidency. Mid-June is a long time away before the last Democratic Primary occurs, so anything can happen. Especially since Slippery Hillary continues to portray herself as a victim while clawing her way toward trying to gain her place in History, no matter who she tramples along the way. Personally, I hope that she becomes History sooner rather than later, by her becoming promptly eliminated from this nomination race.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:30 pm |
  207. Phyllis Hancock

    Ok Jack.

    Of course he will become president. Did he not say that he was "Against" the war in Iraq. He never "voted" against the war because he was not in the US senate. This fact apparently has not been important to voters. We really do not know how he would have voted if he was subjected to the misinformation provided by the Bush administration. All I know is that when watching the subject of Iraq being discussed in the United Nations, I also was against the war. I spoke to my friends and said that I was against the war. Does that mean that I am qualified to run for president.

    It is hard to know how he will perform as president because he really haa no record. He has been to busy running for a different office every two years.

    Phyllis
    Media, PA

    March 20, 2008 at 3:30 pm |
  208. Brian Pawley, Buffalo, NY

    I say he definitely will. My wife says, wanna bet? She says I don't know American politics (I'm a Brit). If there is a close fight, the dirtiest fighter usually wins. That saddens me, because I see Mr Obama as an ideal President. I remember Mrs Clinton when she came to the UK during her husband's visits. She provided the tabloid press with their thirst for fluff and trivia, while Bill got involved in the peace process.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:30 pm |
  209. Angie

    If Hillary doesn't cheat, steal, or cry I do believe that Obama will get the nomination IF he wins the popular vote, the most pledged delegates, AND the most states.

    But, I will say that I don't believe Hillary will go out with class. She will fight and cause a fire storm with the superdelegates. I doubt that she will support Obama the way I know he would if the shoe was on the other foot. I think Hillary will do and say anything to win including bringing up Rev. Wright and playing the race card again to try to sway the superdelegates. They would be committing career suicide if they do go against the will of the people. The democratic party do not want to lose the black support.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:31 pm |
  210. Ron Richmond

    The Democratic Party sits on it's hands like timid children. They have done nothing to Impeach this Moron Dictator Bush, so if they want to continue in their downward spiral into stupidity, then pick Obama! I mean, really , Jack, as much as you want him like the token black on an NBC show, go ahead, keep pushing Obama. He isn't ready, and he will fall flat on his face.
    Unless the people wake up and elect Hillary, then this country deserves the mess it will be in. It just amazes me how ignorant and blind people will be to jump on a sinking ship. That is why we have failing schools, jobs going overseas, debt up to our eyeballs, no Medical Insurance, and worse newborn fatalities of the industrial countries, WE CHOOSE STYLE OVER FACTS!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:31 pm |
  211. Vinnie Vino

    Jack,
    Hold the nomination, Hillary can win big in Pennsylvania and in the latest national polls took a 7 point lead over Obama, 49% to 42%. Then Senator Clinton could express to the party's superdelegates she can win the big states the Democrats have to win. So not so fast man, let's not forget the delegates she already won in Florida and Michigan...

    C.I., New York

    March 20, 2008 at 3:32 pm |
  212. Kevin From Peoria

    As likely as it is that W will continue thewar in Iraqi

    March 20, 2008 at 3:32 pm |
  213. Dawn (Las Vegas, Nevada)

    It is only because of the Clintons political hierarchy that he doesn't have it by now. Sen. Clinton believes that she is entitled to this nomination, will do anything to get it, and it seems there are a lot of people willing to give it to her. If this is what happens, Sen. Obama should not try to reunite the Democratic Party, he should go Independent!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:32 pm |
  214. Tom from Boston, Mass.

    Obama will be the nominee. Unfortunately, he will be so covered in mud that McCain will win the general election.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:32 pm |
  215. Harlan from Iowa

    Jack,

    It looks like Barack has the nomination already wrapped up. It is clear that he has a much better decision making process than Hillary and also has taken the high road in this election process. Also the recent Hillary memo's show that she misled the Ohio voters when she said she has been against NAFTA from the start. That fact alone got her a lot of votes in Ohio!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:32 pm |
  216. Dorian, Newark NJ

    In my eyes it's very likely, but I'm just one voter...

    It's nice to know that all of these quick to judge "intelligent" americans have a perfect circle of associates that abolutely none of the people they know ever say anything wrong. Then again, this is america where we always put the blame on someone else (example: I'm fat because your food is too good!!) With that said, maybe we should burn Obama at the stake because he may as well have made those comments since he was there...right?

    March 20, 2008 at 3:32 pm |
  217. Elise

    He's already won,do the math.The question is,will they take it away from him?If this was the other way around and Clinton was ahead with no way for Obama to catch her he would have been told of the fact and told to bow out....Hillary...it's time...make a graceful exit.I wonder if you have it in you.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:33 pm |
  218. Will K. San Jose, CA

    Lets swap it around. If Clinton had won more states, had more delegates and won more of the popular vote would anyone even question she was going to be the candidate?

    March 20, 2008 at 3:33 pm |
  219. Jenny from Nanuet, New York

    It's just as likely now as it was before this whole Rev. Wright controversy. Although Obama has clearly been hurt by it, it won't be enough to give Hillary the nomination. And Hillary knows it which is why she's blowing smoke about MI and FL counting.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:34 pm |
  220. Chris MA

    ...Jack the way things stand now, I'd give Barak a 7 in 10 chance of getting the Democratic nomination....

    March 20, 2008 at 3:35 pm |
  221. Bill from Tennessee

    Boy Jack, it's pretty pathetic when you start quoting Dick Morris, he despises Hillary more than most of your pro-Obama bloggers. Mr. Morris has not said a nice thing about the Clintons in the last five years and his one fear is that Hillary will become President. You should have put in a disclaimer that Mr. Morris was a political advisor to President Clinton, but left the Clinton administration under less than good relations and as a Fox commentor slams the Clintons every chance he gets.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:35 pm |
  222. jimmy

    The republicans hope obama is the nominee. They will have a field day with rev. wrights comments as well as his wifes comments ( the first time in my adult life I have been proud of my country).
    These "anti-patriotic- comments will definitely stir up republicans to go out and vote against him.
    It looks like obama not only influenced the young people to get out and vote, he has stirred up the republicans and the patriotic voters.
    going to be interesting.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:36 pm |
  223. John Bartlett

    Neither Clinton or Obama should have NO say as to the method that either Michigan or Florida uses in the revote//Neither should any polictial leaders have any thing to say except YES or NO and when. This process should be determined only by the process previously used. The voters of both of these two states needs to send a clear message to the Party Leaders. Either let the process of voting be
    allowed or change partly affilation to Independent and risk Vote for McCain. I certainly would be upset if I was disinfranchised by my
    party and I would deffinately vote for McCain.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:36 pm |
  224. George Shaheen

    It is very likely that Sen. Obama will be the Democratic nominee. I find it interesting though that both Sen Clinton and Sen McCain regardless of their postion on Iraq took time to visit Iraq and show their support for the troops on the ground. To my knowledge Sen Obama has not visited Afghanistan or Iraq to meet with military leaders or his constituents from Illinois. I think it is important for a man who may be the next president to visit one or both of these locations and show his support for our forces regardless of his support for the War.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:37 pm |
  225. kb in iowa

    It depends which woman is more powerful...nancy polski who urges super delegates to not go against the will of the voters or Hillary clinton who urges them to do so.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:37 pm |
  226. misty (hillirad, ohio)

    I am 24 and looking forward to voting for the first time this November. I hope Obama gets the democratic party nomination and becomes the next US president to bring peace and goodwil not just in the US but across the globe. After all, the last 8 years of Bush has damaged the world almost to a point of no return. And if Hillary gets the democratic nomination, it would certainly energize the sagging morale of the Republican voters. In fact, it would virtually be a win for the Republicans and people like stonehead Rush Linbugh who has been encouraging Republicans to vote for Hilliary in the Democratic primaries. What a hypocratic, immoral cheer leader of the Republican party with a cerebral constipation and vocal diarrhea.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:37 pm |
  227. Toria from SC

    It will be very likely if Hillary Clinton keeps her negative, divisive tactics to herself. She is bitter because the race is not going her way or it is not as easy as she thought it to be. When she won in Iowa, by crying and playing to the voters sympathy, she thought she would cascade her way to victory. However, the tables turned on her in South Carolina. People are not falling for the same ole lines from politicians anymore. If she wanted so badly to fix healthcare, she had 8 years to do so. Why give her and her husband another shot at the White House? We have had them before and know what they are capable of. Yes, they accomplished good things before, but that is the past and we must look to the future, and that future is OBAMA! If she was truly her for the Democratic voters she so desperately says she fights for, then step aside, endorse Obama and bring the party together, instead of divding it with these negative attacks on Obama, because truly the only strengthen McCain, and we do not need another "dummy" of Bush in the driver seat, going nowhere fast!!!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:38 pm |
  228. Robert, Santa Rosa, California

    Until recent events, 95%. Now maybe 50-50.

    The way he has handled the Wright controversy has shown he is ready to be president,

    He is ready, but perhaps we are not.

    The reaction of the populous (he is now losing in the poles) will bouy Hillary's chances with the so-called "super" delegates.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:38 pm |
  229. Patrick

    It is over, Obama wins.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:38 pm |
  230. gollygee from Canada

    Not agreeing to a revote in Florida and Michigan does not make him look very democratic. The super delegates are there to prevent a disaster being their nominee and Obama is looking like disaster.He has been dishonest too many times.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:39 pm |
  231. dennis north carolina

    he should be the nominee. if the media would do their job with out bias with their coverage of obama's past and not a mention of clinton's past. i would like ot know what clinton was doing when nam was going on, since bill was hiding in england as a student yet we made him commander in chief. i would like to hear more about white water and the truthful part she played, oh the perso that could have said something is dead. while bill playing in the oval office, who was she with in the white house. these are a few subjects that the voters should know about, instead of the media making her look lilly white. no pund made because i am 62 and white. i am tired of seeing a person in the highest office in our goverment make it into a farce like nixon and clinton did

    March 20, 2008 at 3:39 pm |
  232. kathy

    It's very likely that Obama will be the nominee. Dick Morris is absolutly right. Barack Obama has already won and Hillary can't stand it. It's time to stop whinning about the re-vote because the fact is the rule were broken, and can't be changed just because Hillary wants them to be. Someone needs to set her straight. 'Shame On You Hillary!'

    March 20, 2008 at 3:39 pm |
  233. Florian

    He is leading in delegates but he has already lost the general election by not fighting for the people of Florida and Michigan after campaigning as the candidate who fights for the people.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:43 pm |
  234. K Devlin

    The simple mathematical fact is that Senator Obama ALREADY IS the democratic nominee for president.

    The real question should read "How likely is it that Hillary Clinton will destroy this unique moment of opportunity for the democratic party, in exchange for an engineered moment of opportunity for her own personal advancement?"

    Hillary has now gone on to characterize Senator Obama as "Un-American" for not moving to seat the delegates from Michigan and Florida. As Hillary has "raised the debate" to the all-important aspect of "how American" Senator Obama is, here is a simple All American solution:

    Howard Dean and the DNC should invoke the mercy rule found in Little League Baseball Parks all across this great nation:

    If one presidential candidate is up 171 pledged delegates after 5 innings, game over.

    As "real" Americans know, there is NOTHING more American than Little League Baseball.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:43 pm |
  235. Lee

    If there were equality, he would be. Rev. Wright's out of context statements have given many the excuse needed to not support him and to vote contrary to their interest. Has higher education failed? Are these not the comments made are discussed in Political Science classes, Sociology classes, even Theology classes? Instead of healthy discussions on the topic, too many Americans choose to remain narrow-minded and "tank" a Senator's run for Presidency, a man with a vision for change. But again, some Americans now have the excuse needed to do so.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:43 pm |
  236. Ralph

    It's 100% likely. The leaders of the Democratic Party love to be losers. It's more important to do the Liberal thing and make history, rather than do what's best for all Americans and run the government properly. The temptation of being the first political party to nominate an African-American will just be too great, even though it's becoming obvious he's going to lose because Joe 6-pack won't buy: I went to the church for 20 years even though the minister is a hater and damns his country. Rick, Yakima, Wa.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:44 pm |
  237. Lori Iowa

    Jack, I think CNN has interviewed OBAMA this week 4 or 5 times. He is on for an entire hour tonight on CNN...seems to me that CNN really wants Obama bad!! I am planning on the rest of us people with some intelligence of defeating CNN and having Hillary win the presidency!!

    March 20, 2008 at 3:45 pm |
  238. M. Brown

    Jack, they could show pictures of Obama sitting in the pews and shouting 'Amem' and I think they will still waltz him right into the White House because of the media, like you, and others who want to see him crowned.
    I dont know why you solicit responses for your blog. You (only one person) cannot possibly read them all, so you must be reading only the negative thoughts of your own mind.
    My response will get stuck 'being moderated' as always.
    Thank you. M. Brown, Dallas, tx.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:45 pm |
  239. Gene

    Jack, I think the likelihood of Obama being the Democratic nominee is getting more likely every day. The chance of Clinton pulling out the nomination has been ruined by the DNC not coming up with a good method to deal with the Michigan/Florida mess. While I think Clinton would be willing to negotiate on the mess, Obama does not want or need to do anything. In fact it probably is time for Hillary to take a good vaction and then get back to work in the senate or be content to be a VP runningmate. Sure she's probably disappointed but the voters have spoken and it just wasn't for her.
    I thought I heard Ralph Nader was joining the race as an independent but I now haven't heard anymore. What's the real story?

    March 20, 2008 at 3:45 pm |
  240. independent

    I can "hope" that men and women with power do the right thing. Now, that Obama is being exposed so many people that supported him feel like fools. Too bad, now the independent voters have no choice, which means that blacks will vote for Obama and whites will vote for McCain. So much for uniting America. If you have any doubts look at how Mississippi voted, before the big dividing speech.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:45 pm |
  241. Richard, a retired ex-Republican in Minnesota

    I believe Senator Obama will not only be the Democrat nominee, he will be the next president of the United States. Obama has not as yet revealed his powerful intellect and personal authenticity. His response to Rev. Wright's sermon barely scratches the surface of the depth of his thinking abilities. He not only answered the criticisms against Wright, he choose to completely embrace and to confront the issue of racism in America in detail. The elephant is no longer in the room. My sense is Obama will be equally thoughtful in addressing the plethora of other issues and problems facing Americans.

    March 20, 2008 at 3:45 pm |