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FROM CNN’s Jack Cafferty:

Rudy Giuliani is slipping in the state considered “crucial” to his presidential chances.

An average of three polls taken in Florida show Giuliani in third place. John McCain and Mitt Romney are neck-and-neck at 27% and 25%. Giuliani is way back at 16%… practically tied with Mike Huckabee, who gets 15%. It’s looking more and more like Giuliani’s dream of being president is headed for the scrap heap. Two months ago Giuliani was the prohibitive favorite in Florida at 38% to 17% for Mitt Romney and 11% for John McCain.

One pollster is quoted by the Miami Herald saying Giuliani has “virtually no chance to win in Florida.” Another says, “If he can’t make it there in Florida, he can’t make it anywhere.” Guess the words of that famous song don’t always ring true. And Florida is winner take all…if you don’t finish first you don’t get a single delegate.

Giuliani’s campaign, of course, disputes all this, insisting he’ll win. He argues his message just needs a little more time to sink in.

It’s really quite stunning. Giuliani was the national front-runner for months. In a decision that strategists will probably talk about for years to come, he chose to virtually ignore the early states. Huge mistake. He goes into Florida 0 for 6 in states that have already voted. And, apparently the people in Florida don’t like a loser, either.

If Giuliani loses in Florida on Tuesday, it could be the beginning of a collapse that will go down in history… since he won’t have the momentum going into Super Tuesday. You know, kind of like he hasn’t had any momentum coming out of Iowa, New Hampshire, Wyoming, Nevada, Michigan or South Carolina.

Here’s my question to you: What went wrong for Rudy Giuliani?

Interested to know which ones made it on air?

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Republican presidential hopeful, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani at a rally in Celebration, Florida. (PHOTO CREDIT: AP)

FROM CNN’s Jack Cafferty:

Florida could hold the keys to Rudy Giuliani’s political future.

The former New York mayor has staked practically his entire campaign on winning in Florida. His strategy all along has been to skip the early races, so far there have been six of them, and focus on later, delegate-rich states like Florida.

But it may not be working. Not only has Giuliani failed to win anything up to this point, but the one-time national front-runner has finished far back in the Republican pack in the contests so far - placing behind Ron Paul in Iowa, Michigan, Nevada and South Carolina.

Giuliani calls Florida “our home field” and he says he thinks if he wins Florida, he’ll get the nomination. But he admits that “a loss, and a bad loss, could be crippling.”

In some ways, Giuliani’s been lucky. So far there is no clear front-runner in the Republican race, with three candidates — Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and John McCain — splitting the victories.

Polls in Florida suggest that Giuliani has not only lost the commanding lead he once had…but, in fact, is now tied with or trailing Romney and McCain. Florida is winner take all. And, in addition to picking up the state’s 57 delegates to the convention, the winner rolls toward Super Tuesday when more than 20 states vote with a big head of steam.

And there is more of what might be troubling news for Giuliani: Two new polls out in his home state of New York suggest he’s now in second place, trailing John McCain. Giuliani had been leading in New York polls as recently as last month.

Here’s my question to you: Was it a mistake for Rudy Giuliani to ignore the early races?

Interested to know which ones made it on air?

Read the rest of this entry »