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Can President Obama win re-election without the support of independents?
January 19th, 2012
02:11 PM ET

Can President Obama win re-election without the support of independents?

FROM CNN's Jack Cafferty:

President Obama has a serious problem with independents - and it just might cost him a second term.

A new CBS/New York Times poll shows only 31% of independents have a favorable opinion of Mr. Obama.

Compare that to 2008, when Mr. Obama defeated John McCain by winning 52% of the independent vote.

According to this poll:

2/3 of independents say the president has not made real progress in fixing the economy, the nation's top issue.

More than half say they don't have a clear idea of what Mr. Obama hopes to accomplish if he is re-elected.

6 in 10 independents say the president doesn't share their priorities for the country.

None of this is good news for the president. It's no coincidence Mr. Obama is out with his first major TV advertising campaign today in several battleground states. One of the targets of this campaign: the crucial swing voters.

The news is not all bad here for Mr. Obama, though. There could be an opening for the president to win back some of these independents.

Although Republicans think Mitt Romney has the best chance of beating Mr. Obama - and it's looking more and more like Romney will be the nominee - almost half of independents say they haven't formed an opinion of him yet.

Nevertheless, for the time being, many independents are disappointed and disillusioned with President Obama and the state of the country. They think the president has failed to deliver on many of his promises of four years ago; and if the election were held today, a lot of them wouldn't vote for him.

Here’s my question to you: Can President Obama win re-election without the support of independents?

Tune in to the Situation Room at 4pm to see if Jack reads your answer on air.

And, we love to know where you’re writing from, so please include your city and state with your comment.

soundoff (143 Responses)
  1. Annie, Atlanta

    Sure, if he gets enough Republicans over to his side. Living here in GA, surrounded mostly by moderate Republicans, they are none too happy with the direction their party is going, and who they prefer to represent. It's become pretty obvious, and people are noticing.

    January 19, 2012 at 12:59 pm |
  2. Russ in PA

    No, all the independents are voting for Ron Paul, as the Democrats and Republicans are voting for their "establishment" choices in order to maintain the status quo.

    Ron Paul in 2012...

    January 19, 2012 at 1:08 pm |
  3. Jk from Minnesota

    I don't think so, but after watching the GOP clown show these past few weeks I'd say that independents would have a hard time supporting any of the GOP candidates either.

    January 19, 2012 at 1:09 pm |
  4. Ken from Pinon Hills, California

    Sure Jack, especially if they are unemployed. It still is the economy, and who do you trust more to handle it.

    January 19, 2012 at 1:11 pm |
  5. Steve

    Silly question, of course not but neither can the republicans. Now if Colbert runs as a 3rd party...(?)

    January 19, 2012 at 1:14 pm |
  6. Oliver El Paso, TX

    His work is cut out for him, many Americans will not vote for him because he is black , but if you look at what has accomplish against the do nothing congress, I think he will be reelected.

    January 19, 2012 at 1:14 pm |
  7. David R Bebeau,Springfield Missouri

    Interesting question Jack,The answer no absolutely not..............BUT!!!! Neither can any other party,so the playing field is still level for all.Just between you and me and the lamp post Jack.If Obama put Ms Clinton on the ticket and built the pipe line this summer.He'd be unbeatable.
    David

    January 19, 2012 at 1:16 pm |
  8. Elizabeth From Toronto

    I hope so because if he does not get elected with or without Independents the US will surely be stuck in a "no go place". George W a Republican created the mess with his "cowboy" tactics, Obama a Democrat tried his "soft touch" with congress and internationally. No one person can get the US out of the pickle jar not even a new Republican! Everyone has to be on board even Independents!

    January 19, 2012 at 1:16 pm |
  9. Jason in Atlanta

    No. The president is going to need every vote he can get from all corners of the United states. Mr. President is not only running against the GOP but also against every American who has either been misled, lack info or just simpily doesn't like a minority President.

    January 19, 2012 at 1:28 pm |
  10. Noel Sivertson New Mexico

    They way the number of independents is growing I doubt anyone can get elected without their support. As a former Republican who bolted teh party and became an independent, and after lookng at what the Repubicnas have to offer, count me as an independent Obama supporter. That could change if the convention gives us a surpirse. But as of now I can't see myself voting for any Republican.

    January 19, 2012 at 1:35 pm |
  11. Josh from New Jersey

    Your asking the wrong question! Can the default-nominee Mitt Romney win the presidency without the support of Republicans? He is a pill that the GOP just don't want to swallow. Hey maybe this time Obama will just win by default. Politics...gotta love it!

    January 19, 2012 at 1:48 pm |
  12. Bizz, Quarryville Pennsylvania

    I think with the way things are going in the Republican presidential race Obama will not have any trouble getting reelected.

    January 19, 2012 at 1:49 pm |
  13. Bradley in Philadelphia

    I don't think that any presidential candidate can win without the support of a large portion of the independents.

    The question is whether anybody can win the Republican nomination without causing the independents to run away screaming.

    Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

    January 19, 2012 at 1:50 pm |
  14. Ed from California

    Yes......because no one is independent. If you can't figure out which party has your best interest at heart. Then your not independent, your a person who shouldn't vote.

    January 19, 2012 at 1:52 pm |
  15. Gary H. Boyd

    No more than the Republicans can Jack. The Independent segment of American voters has been growing steadily over recent years due its disillusionment with both major parties. The fact is there are 3 parties in American politics today despite the fact one of them offers no candidate - just a judgement on the other two. That judgement will dictate the winner in November.

    Gary in Scottsdale, Arizona

    January 19, 2012 at 1:53 pm |
  16. Hafeez (New York)

    Hi Jack even he get support from Independent voters, he is not going to be re-elected without Latino votes which he is not going to get after he broke his promise which he made to them during his last presedential compaign.

    January 19, 2012 at 1:56 pm |
  17. Rick McDaniel

    The polls would indicate that he would be hard pressed to win again, period.

    Only staunch Dems, who always vote Dem, will vote for him, and even some of those may abandon the sinking ship.

    Most other voters, will vote for his opponent, whoever that is, figuring that if change was EVER needed, it is NOW!

    January 19, 2012 at 2:01 pm |
  18. David of Alexandria VA

    No - and he should not be able to, Jack. Obama's "base" is a suprizingly small part of the population. The president needs to lead - and therefore be supported by – a majortiy of the people, not just his own ideological cabal. Losing sight of that cost a lot of Congressmen their jobs in 2010. The GOP should take note.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:01 pm |
  19. Lisa In Ga.

    Here's the slogan jack.. YES HE CAN!

    January 19, 2012 at 2:06 pm |
  20. CRAIG R. MCNEES

    tampa, fl he needs a better photoshopped birth certificate first, then he needs congress to keep sleeping so as not to impeach him for the many crimes he has done in office. then he needs to worry about the mayan 2012 end of the world prediction. and lastly, he should worry that America hasn't been repo'd by china for all the money he borrowed.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:08 pm |
  21. tom bulger, Canandaigua, NY

    Regarding independents, the CBS poll just released showed Romney ahead of the president by only six percentage points. After Romney's recent barrage of gaffs, he's lost at least ten percentage points among Republicans let alone Independents. Romney is the best Republicans have got and even they don't like him, so do you really think they'll turn out to vote? Obama has miles to go before he sleeps.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:10 pm |
  22. MYSTEROIUS

    If the coveted independents re-elect the party who brought us to the Recession party, we're in very deep trouble. Are these the same voters who gave George W. Bush a second term? See where THAT got us.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:10 pm |
  23. phil, georgia

    No, if independents are smart they will know that Obama has ruled a lot from the middle and its the republicans that have moved from a majority of their policies. You can't bargain with someone who keeps moving the goal posts. You just have to hope people will be atop of what's going on and reward the president for sincere attempts.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:14 pm |
  24. Jim, Denver CO

    Jack,
    Today it seems to be more and more voters are independents, more so than any other time. And because of that President Obama is going to need them if he is going to win re-election. I don't blame him, I blame the do nothing Congress (both parties). I believe he has tried, but some people would rather make him fail than tend to the countries best interests. That is what Independents need to remember. They do that and it will be a second term for him.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:17 pm |
  25. A Glover

    I am so sick and tired of these 10 minute biased polls. Voters do your homework and research for yourself and never mine the polls and the talking heads shows with their opinions for ratings. This is a serious election and should not be swayed by who is on top in the polls. Vote with knowledge . I haave not been polled in 70 plus years. I wonder why?

    January 19, 2012 at 2:20 pm |
  26. Karl in Flint

    No he can't, but, we don't know who he will be running against. The GOP hasn't settled on a candidate and if it's one of the current batch the Independents will have to rethink what they want for the next four years. If the GOP wins with Gingrich. Romney or Santorum the country is lost and Ron Paul is no better. I can't believe the American mentality and acceptable morality has sank to the level it is. God help America.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:23 pm |
  27. Charles in Lawrence NJ

    Yes, Obama WILL win without independents if they stay home because there’s nobody to like more, unless they’re racists and 1% er’s. Obama’s challengers are sickening people. Thanks TeaParty.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:23 pm |
  28. John C from Long Island

    Jack- no one running for the Office of President of the United States can win without the support of the predominantly centrist group of voters we like to call "Independents". Within this group, one may lean to the left or right, but basically these are folks who agree with the notion of compromise and would have the federal government avoid either of the extreme ends of the political spectrum to find the solutions to the problems we all face today. That's why President Obama has an excellent chance of being re-elected. Despite how he's been caracatured by the GOP, the President is bascially a centrist, not the Marxist as they have repeatedly over-stated. The candidates that are running against him all seem to espouse far right-wing values, which do not synch up with the beliefs of Independents. when push comes to shove, i believe that the independents will grudgingly cast their ballot for the lesser of two extremes, which is clearly the President.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:26 pm |
  29. Brad, Portland, OR

    This is only a problem if the November election is a referendum on whether people like Obama or think he's doing a good job.

    But it's not. "Votes of no confidence" are held in parliamentary democracies like Great Britain, but not here in America.

    People will see a ballot with two names on it: Obama's, and the Republican nominee's. They're going to pick one name or the other to be the next President.

    I think a lot of people who think Obama's been a weak President and aren't too happy with him are going to look at the two names, and vote for him as the lesser of two evils. There's no one running for the Republican nomination that would be even half as good a President as Obama, even with all his problems.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:28 pm |
  30. Brian, San Diego

    No, he cannot win without the support of independents; no candidate can. However, those independents are going to start moving back his way throughout the year as the narrowing list of Republican candidates shows that there is no good alternative. More importantly, the economy seems very likely to continue improving throughout the year, and you can count on Obama pointing to this constantly as it happens.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:32 pm |
  31. lil magothy. annapolis, md

    I am a Democratic leaning independent. While I am disappointed in Obama's history of trying to compromise with rabid right-wingers, and failing abjectly, I think that with the economy improving, Obama finding a backbone, and republicans self-destructing, most of us will come around by November. The other choices are currently a tax-dodging flip-flopper with the moral conviction of a slug, a philandering racist hypocritical has-been, a born-again misogynist homophobe, and a loopy libertarian. The alternative to Obama, as things now stand, would be disaster for the middle class and would make us the laughingstock of the world.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:33 pm |
  32. drc6212

    No he cannot, white independents voted for him before out of guilt, not this time.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:34 pm |
  33. Billy in Louisiana

    He has at least 1 Independent vote, Mine. I know Obama hasn't been perfect but when I look at the alternatives, well lets say I'm not impressed at all. The Republicans can't seem to get it together and I'm having a hard time sifting through fiction to get to the facts of each candidate since everything has went negative. How are we suppose to make a sound judgement if we can't even be told the truth. At least with Obama I know what my vote is getting.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:36 pm |
  34. Larry -Denver

    Under normal conditions I would agree that independents (like me) would be unlikely to vote a 2nd term for Obama. However, based on the "most wanted" list of Republicans I can now vote for the candidate who will do the least damage- Obama. There is not one clown coming out of that tiny Republican car I would even consider. Most independants will feel the same come November.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:37 pm |
  35. Doug Ericson

    Obama needs to win a certain percentage of the independent votes, what that majic figure is I don't know. (51%?). Both candidates will recieve less independent votes than the last election, due to low voter turnout. Peoples attitudes about the Presidency have changed in the new era, ( internet). The President is looked upon as a cheerleader for the big special interest groups, and as a spokesman for the country. Obama has the edge here, because he has more personal appeal than Romney. What this coutry really needs is a good bankruptcy lawyer. But, if you think Wall Street and the other big Corporate Businesses are doing just fine thank you, I say thats great boys, you pay the 16 trillion dollar national debt. Doug, Pepperell, MA.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:38 pm |
  36. John from Alabama

    Jack: President Obama needs all the votes he can get for the 2012 election. He needs independents, Democrats, angry Republicans, old, young, middle, and all the voting blocks. President Obama has done a great job under very difficult time in our history. We have had postive growth in jobs for the last 2 years, and granted it is not as fast as anyone wants, but it is the right direction. Osama bien Laden is dead, and many other terrorist have died or gone under ground. I believe Tunsia, Libya, and Egypt are trying to reform their countries into democracies. Mr. Obama has had to deal with a Congress that only knows how to say, "NO." We need to give President Obama another 4 years to show the special interest, the Tea Party wing of the Republicans, and doubters that President Obama has a balanced approch to solving many problems created by the Bush Administration.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:41 pm |
  37. Rob in NC

    NO! But it's nothing money can't fix. They'll spend more than the national debt telling us how awesome he is, all that he's done, and how terrible his opponents would be. The sheep will fall in line like always. Rob in NC

    January 19, 2012 at 2:41 pm |
  38. Kevin in CA

    Sure he can win without independents support. With the thought of the devastation wrought on the US by the last Republican President and Congress still fresh in peoples minds, he can get elected by independents that are more scared of Republican's ideology than Obama's paralysis. In short, they may not support or even like President Obama but they'll vote for him.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:41 pm |
  39. Wilhelm von Nord Bach

    NO he CAN'T, Jack, BUT wait until the independents get a gander at Romney OR Gingrich. any of them who is NOT a one percenter will probably vote for Obama as "the lesser of two weasels"

    January 19, 2012 at 2:42 pm |
  40. calaurore9

    Independents?! He'll be lucky to get liberals unless he starts crystalizing a clear vision for his second term. Zzzomney needs to do the same. Could be a dead heat otherwise.

    Carol in Northampton, MA

    January 19, 2012 at 2:44 pm |
  41. Cedrick

    sure. the republicans are winning the battle for him. you have Mitt the ripper. Newt the racially challanged , o I forgot Paul fits in with Newt. Then you have lonly Santorum who could not win in his own state. simple Obama Biden 2012

    January 19, 2012 at 2:50 pm |
  42. jimmy in greenville, north carolina

    Jack, the question should be: "Can Obama lose in any circumstance." I am a staunch conservative and I must say the the current crop of Republican Presidential candidates is pretty depressing. It hurts me to say but I do not see any scenario in which Obama can lose. I truly believe the Republicans don't really think they can win back the White House. Reelecting Obama indicates what bad shape this country is in. We are in a mess. Our only hope is to keep Barack on the golf course. Fore!

    January 19, 2012 at 2:52 pm |
  43. Bill of New Mexico

    No!

    While having a larger percentage of the voters than Republicans, Democrats have less than 50% of the voters.

    Democrats are more prone to not vote–which will be the case for Obama.

    If Obama does not get a significant part of the Independent vote, Obama loses.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:52 pm |
  44. BILL, WI

    Without the support of independents, Pres Obama will have a close loss to the Repub candidate.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:59 pm |
  45. Gordo from NJ

    No, but neither can the Republican candidate. The American electorate is a generally centrist, and with the Republican mindset currently way out there in right-wing tea-party la la land, I think the rational independent centrist voters will put Obama over the top in November.

    January 19, 2012 at 2:59 pm |
  46. Ros.....Illinois

    I don't know where you dig up your polls and don't believe for a minute they are true. Oh and the correct way to address our Leader is President Obama. Manners please.
    I actually think that the Independants are much smarter than you give them credit for. They can see that President Obama is doing very good for what he had on the plate he was dealt.
    Romeny is hiding too much and they can see through him. I think it will all come out before it is time to vote. Just because Romney was a businessman and out for filling his pockets, doesn't mean he is going to help out the Independents if he got elected. He is a rich man and only for himself. We are only the Peons as far as he is concerned.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:01 pm |
  47. Conor in Chicago

    No President can win election or re-election without the support of independents. And for every person out there who thinks the polling on independents showing a loss of support for Obama makes Romney a show-in for President remember two things: 1) The country hasn’t been given the opportunity to really see Obama V Romney yet, and I think once people get to see the contrast between the two just as many independents will hold their nose and vote Obama as Republicans will hold their nose and vote Romney, 2) At this stage in the game GWB was deemed all but unelectable and he ended up winning once people paired him verses Kerry.

    Polling might show Obama has a problem with independents, but it’s also true that Obama has hardly even fired the first political salvo of this election season. The battle hasn’t even begun.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:01 pm |
  48. Virginia. Atlanta

    Who are the "independents"? Many tea party folks claim to be independent, but they obviously are ultra conservative. The rest of us generally see the flaws of the extreme

    January 19, 2012 at 3:02 pm |
  49. curtis in philadelphia

    No Jack, Obama cannot win without Independents. The problem is once again that the most important office in the land falls to the old adage of "the lesser of two evils". In the end most Independents will get on board with Obama because of an old idiom: "better the devil you know, than the devil you don't know." Obama has made progress, the economy is slowly improving, to use another old saying, if we "switch horses in midstream" now, that may set us back farther than the progress Obama has made, we can't risk that as a nation and the Independents get this. And you can quote me on that.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:03 pm |
  50. Loren

    No, not enough Americans affiliate with the Democratic Party for President Obama to win reelection with independent voter support. But merely because his support is down now among independents is meaningless for a November election. Nine months is a long time, and the President has all the tools of the trade to make himself appear as a better choice than the eventual Republican challenger. And lest we not forget, President Obama is a Chicago politician, which means if it comes to getting down and dirty, he could put Nixon to shame. The Republicans need a really good lead going into October or they will lose.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:03 pm |
  51. Ben, from Holland.

    Jack, i think i he will, afterall, he has not not seriously be on the campaign trial ,when he do, he will still get the support of the 53 percent that voted him in three years ago. moreover, there is no good opponent among the republican contender, those that has not voted for him in the first place, are the one,s that don,t like his policy.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:05 pm |
  52. Kelly Ontario, Canada

    Not sure Jack, but I don't think any independants who actually voted for him before are going to vote for either Romney, Gingrich or Santorum. That would be too extreme. I think most of us who supported Obama in 2008 and can see with our own eyes and think with our own brains are quite happy with him because we know what he has been up against!

    January 19, 2012 at 3:05 pm |
  53. Donna Wisconsin

    He will get the support after Independents look into Romney, his money and what the Republicans really want to do with this country. Unless the independent is among the top 1% in this country, no way will a Republican nominee want to help poor, black, sick and elderly Americans. And sooner or latter, Independents will realize the Republicans and their attempts to stop Obama's agenda is what is hurting the economy. Not Obama.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:05 pm |
  54. Eve Lemon

    No, but a cursory examination of Gingrich, Romney, and Santorum will cause independents to, once again, reconsider their opinions. Republicans will block Ron Paul because they can't control him, but if he runs as an independent, he will split the vote. Don't think Obama has a worry with the current cast of jokers. Eve, Independent for decades, Texas

    January 19, 2012 at 3:06 pm |
  55. Richard Texas

    That is a tough call Jack. The economy is a stumper but Obama's real problem is that he is not able to unite both parties to work together. He has become a divider. Without the support of the majority of congress he is lost. Without direction no one will follow him. If no one is following him he has already lost the re-election. The economy is but one of the issues. The continued rising debt which he is contributing to rapidly is another.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:07 pm |
  56. Paulette from Dallas,PA

    Yes he can win without the Independents. His campaign will again go after the young unregistered voters and make sure there is a large Black turn out. Many Independents know that Obama was blocked on many things by right wing conservatives and tea party groups and they will not like Romney's large personal wealth nor backing by Big Business.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:10 pm |
  57. Dave, Orlando, FL

    I don’t see how. Even many Democrats have been suffering from buyer’s remorse for some time now. So our choice is to stay with the do-nothing loser we know or to vote for the person who likes to fire people while making $10,000 wagers.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:10 pm |
  58. Virginia. Atlanta

    Oops, my earlier comment got away. Some independents are tea party and no democrat has a chance that they will understand the issues. Other than that radical group, who are the independents? I consider myself (a 70 year old white southerner) independent and am strongly in the Obama camp. The republicans have entertained me but I sure do not want them making important decisions.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:11 pm |
  59. David in Tampa

    No, neither he nor his Republican counterpart will be elected without the independent voter. By and large this means the Republican candidate will need to move to a less social/political extreme right wing agenda. Mr Obama, unopposed, will also have to shift from the left to the middle. If elected, either will be sorely tempted to slide back into the good graces of the party idiots by proposing legislation and supporting the flawed, unworkable policies of the extremes. All elected candidates should take this concept with them to Washington; regardless of whichever party has a majority in either or both houses of Congress and control of the White House, you do NOT have a mandate to institute conservatism or liberalism. Doing so is what has gotten this country into the severe trouble of the last decade. Be ready to govern this nation responsibly not ideologically or be ready for a house cleaning of both parties.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:12 pm |
  60. Michael Bindner, Alexandria, VA

    It depends on how you define "independent." He will never get the votes of those independents who are former Republicans who still vote that way, but are too embarrassed to still affiliate that way. He can certainly get the votes of Democratic leaning independents, especially if the GOP runs an embarrassment to sanity like "Mr. Newt" or if the economy comes back. True independents are only 3% and will either vote 3rd party (which they do anyway) or vote their pocket books. If he sells Freddie and Fannie to the Fed so that they can do loan modifications, he should do well. If not, he doesn't deserve to.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:13 pm |
  61. Jane in CA

    The Republican nominees will go a long way to determining who independents vote for. McCain might be president if not for the choice of Sarah Palin. I half expect at least one of the Republicans, probably VP, to be a completely insane delusional nut. Given the current crop of choices, Obama and Satan would be the lesser of two evils. Even if by some miracle the Republicans nominate two fairly sane candidates, the policies they are committed to by party platform would be a disaster, and a fair number of independents can see that. Hit them with facts and figures and they may realize that Republicans are not only bad for social policy but the economy as well.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:14 pm |
  62. Kim , Dodge City, Kansas

    It sounds like the so-called independents suffer from acute memory loss. What brought this nation to it's knees? Republican policies. Who started two wars that he couldn't pay for? Republican Bush. Who has created an obstructionist congress? Republicans. They haven't been part of the solution, but plainly the source of the problem.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:16 pm |
  63. jen-seattle

    NOt when Independents are sometimes democrats who turn away from an agenda that socially engineers a perception of success while pulling rug out from underneath people who never did anything to anyone.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:20 pm |
  64. LA Belle

    Many are disappointed, but not in President Obama. The disappointment is in Congress members fighting over trivial matters instead of discussing the real reasons why 'America is broke'. Massive greed, corruption, no jobs, outsourcing U.S. businesses; so less revenue. If you have to borrow, it means you're broke. And it's all going to foreign countries. Where the hell has common sense gone?

    January 19, 2012 at 3:21 pm |
  65. Steve, NY

    The reason the independents are confused is that most promises that he made were never fullfilled. Anything else that he implemented don't take effect until after the 2012 election. Example if the Obama health care is so great why are we waiting to implement it in 2014. Why do we want to make a decision on the oil pipeline in 2013. He has been reviewing it for the last 3 years. How about the increase of 1.3 trillion dollars in the defecit ceiling to expire after 2012. When Bush left after 8 years the defecit was slightly under $5 trillion. Now under Obama, after 3 years it's $15 trillion. The unemplyment under Bush was an average of 5.5%. Under Obama it's close to 9%. Do we get the picture?? He still blaims everything on Bush and the Republicans. He had the Democratic Congress under him in 2008. They couldn't even pass a budget on time. . They had to wait for the Republicans to show them how to do it. How can we vote for Obama and the Democrats with a record like that?? Another 4 years of failures, you got to be kidding???

    January 19, 2012 at 3:25 pm |
  66. Greg

    The President ran as a moderate, but has governed as a liberal. Without the majority of people who rolled the dice, thinking the President would govern from the middle...victory in 2012 is impossible. The veil came off, and the independents took off.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:25 pm |
  67. Larry in Houston

    Can President Obama win re-election without the support of independents ?
    Answer : NO

    Jack – as a democrat – I agree with the Independents. Can't blame them for being disappointed & disillusioned, because the economy will be the top issue all the way up to the election.

    To be perfectly honest Jack – My Vote will be for the 'blue collar' people, since I was a blue collar worker for 28 yrs. and worked in a northeastern state, until I moved here. Will most likely Vote a straight ticket, since I'm surrounded with a republican legislature / republican governor, in addition to all the republican congressmen representing their districts.

    But I try to think of the positive things though – such as you have to drive 4.5 hrs. northwest to dallas – to find a snow shovel. (This would not be an inventory item at any lowes or home depot, around here)

    Larry in Houston

    January 19, 2012 at 3:26 pm |
  68. Larry from Georgetown, Tx

    I don't believe President Obama can win re-election without Hillary as his VP. People want to see a vision or have some real hope for the future. Unfortunately, the Republican visions that I see is the rich will get richer and the rest of us will have to work two full time jobs to live as we are today but the rich aren't creating any jobs.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:26 pm |
  69. Jake Zollner (Illinois)

    The only way this is going to be a close Presidential Election is if Ron Paul wins the Republic Primary. Mitt Romney doesn't stand a chance against President Obama's re-election campaign. The question should be, "how many independent votes will Ron Paul take away from President Obama?"

    January 19, 2012 at 3:27 pm |
  70. Joe Ft Walton Bch Fl

    Obama going to win his re-election even if all the independents become dependent on him.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:27 pm |
  71. Toni

    As a Democrat who turned Independent, I say NO, he will not win re-election without independents! I am very disappointed with President Obama on his failure to lead! If the election was held today, I would not vote for him!

    South Carolina

    January 19, 2012 at 3:27 pm |
  72. Terry

    Given half of the independents haven't been overwhelmed by Romney and only 4 out of 10 agree with the current presidents progress on many issues (the economy being #1) i'd give Predident Obama a 50/50 chance. Then again if Newt overtakes Mitt for the GOP candidacey these figures mean nothing.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:32 pm |
  73. Dylan

    It is true that President Obama has not yet fulfilled many of his ‘08 campaign promises, but if you’ll recall he didn’t guarantee delivery in his first term.
    The problems Obama inherited from the Bush administration were far too damaging to deal with in only four years. The hole our country is in, is deep. W and his cronies started digging it in 2001. They dug until 2009. We’re a long way from the top, but we’re climbing.
    To elect Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum or any republican except for maybe Ron Paul, would be to swan dive right back down to the bottom.
    Independents, at least the ones who vote, must realize this. They will, and they’ll rally around the President in November.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:36 pm |
  74. bob z. from pa.

    i don't hink he has enough of his base let alone independents

    January 19, 2012 at 3:36 pm |
  75. Tony from Southport

    Of course Obama can win reelection without independents..... he's got the media on his side.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:41 pm |
  76. Sandstone.

    "Whatever he does, even with all the cash you keep sayin g he's getting, he 'The horse of a different color', and has no chance of being re-elected. He will take the Democratic party with him, into oblivion. It's a whole new ball-game all aroun d the world as from this year. Muslims running wild are not wanted in the democracies of the world. He knows nothing about business himself, and those who got him this far are just walking away."

    January 19, 2012 at 3:42 pm |
  77. Terry Wells -Hoosier Hillbilly-Greensburg,IN

    The Black Widow vs. the Tarantula, I think you can distinguish the difference! Why has most the country made it's mind up it's between the two? "WE" got three more important elections coming up, who's to say what happens where, and why, it's not what "WE" thought it would be!
    It's the same o-same o ... pick the best of the worse ...why couldn't there have been a Republican candidate that wooed
    the populace?
    I see Dr. Paul as the only choice to win it all by bringing the independents with him which I think he can do-sure there's many things 'we' can't agree on but his position with the "big problems" ( mainly government itself ) would be diminished on his call because he'd have all the [ regular people ] behind him. The FOR, OF, and BY "US"!!!

    January 19, 2012 at 3:44 pm |
  78. Harold from West Monroe, Louisiana

    The GOP seemes intent on self-destruction. And intelligent voters know a tea-partery agenda would destroythemiddle-class. Regardless of rhetoric America is NOT a classless society. Obama will win

    January 19, 2012 at 3:44 pm |
  79. Greg, Ontario

    Yes, because there won't be many independents as the GOP visions for the future become clear. If you were to start pointing out what he did accomplish that would happen even faster. All you have to do is point out how he saved the banking system, auto industry repaired (and the millions of jobs that go with it) and don't forget about all the damaged relations with other countries he has repaired and the American lives saved by getting out of Iraq. If you were to give credit where it was do Jack there wouldn't be any independents to speak of.

    January 19, 2012 at 3:44 pm |
  80. Jim

    Jack,

    Obama HAS made progress fixing the economy. Look at the current numbers for new unemployment claims. It's been a slow climb back out of the Bush pit, but nobody, certainly no Republican, could have done any better given the complete mess the President inherited. Independents may be disappointed that more hasn't been accomplished, but given the eventual choice between a veteran Obama and a fresh Bush-du-jour, they'll make the smart choice. In fact, the way things are going for the Republican candidates, we could be looking at an Obama landslide in November.

    Jim
    Reno, Nevada

    January 19, 2012 at 3:46 pm |
  81. Steve, Clifton, Virginia

    If the election were held today the President would be without the support of many independents, however President Obama has several months to convince independents that he has delivered on some of his promises with more to come. He also has to remind them of just how much he prevented from happening had the economy continued in the direction it was headed when he took office. The President needs to use the bully pulpit to shout that while independents are not thrilled with him, he certainly is a heck of a lot better alternative than Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich....

    January 19, 2012 at 3:49 pm |
  82. dave in nashville

    Why is he even running again, he and his family landed the best retirement plan in the world...what is the point?

    January 19, 2012 at 3:59 pm |
  83. rex in portland, oregon

    If Obama wins 100% of the democrat vote, he will still need a million or so "uncommited" voters to vote for him.

    Fortunately for this country the trend is toward registering "not affiliated". Soon (in galactic time) the middle of the road will be opened for third or fourth party candidates. Until then us non-affiliated voters can only sit back and laugh at the commited. Problem is: 'tain't funny, McGee.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:02 pm |
  84. Bob

    In Florida –
    No Jack, he would need both of them, or are there three Indies left?

    January 19, 2012 at 4:04 pm |
  85. Cheryl in Bluffton, SC

    Independents also prefer "Generic Republican" (who isn't running as far as I know) to any of the actual candidates. It will all depend on the economy, Jack.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:04 pm |
  86. Diane Dagenais Turbide

    Election time Jack is a time to make a choice. People will compare Obama's record versus the do nothing republicans in Congress.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:05 pm |
  87. s in fl

    Most "independents" haven't even been paying attention to the 3-1/2 year election pre-game show. They're still rightfully
    angry about being looted by he Bush cartel and their GOP minions. No matter how they feel at any snapshot poll moment about Obama's rescue efforts, I really doubt that any non-partisan American that's been lucid for the last 12 years is going to walk into a voting booth and hand the matches back to the arsonists who torched our economy.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:06 pm |
  88. Diane Dagenais Turbide

    Election time Jack is a time to make a choice. People will compare Obama's record versus the do nothing republicans in Congress and who has the best plan to reduce inequality while being fair and fiscally responsible!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:07 pm |
  89. Jeff in Minnesota

    If he doesn't have the backing of independents, he's in a world of hurt. the biggest problem I see with him is his "lead from behind" approach. You don't lead from behind, yet he seems to take every opportunity to do just that. You don't get elected leading from behind.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:07 pm |
  90. Ron from NEBR.

    I have been a registered Republican for over 45 years that , after observing these idiots in congress for the last 10 to 15 years, tends to lean toward the middle. So maybe you can label me as an Independent. I have been following this GOP race since before any of the debates and have come to the conclusion that the GOP has nothing but a bunch of "lets just keep taking care of the rich and special interest groups" thugs. There is no doubt in my mind that Obama will be re-elected. He certainly will get my vote.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:12 pm |
  91. andyz Lynn, MA

    It's a poor choice for independents if they do not vote for President Obama. The republican candidates are all so flawed as to defy belief: a mean, old, politician, an unforgiving Crusader, a corporate rapist and a confused isolationist. Cast your vote.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:12 pm |
  92. paul

    Jack, If not Obama then who? Someone has to be President.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:18 pm |
  93. Michael, from Smiths, Alabama

    I believe that Obama could win re-election without the Independents, due to the fact that none of the GOP candidates appear to be the 'popular choice' with the voters, but he needs to try and win as many Independents as he can, so he'll have a 'cushion' of sorts in the even of a Romney nomination..and as a means of taking away from any other possible GOP nominee.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:18 pm |
  94. Jide

    Obama can not win without independent and republican not win also. So republican are the kingmaker

    January 19, 2012 at 4:18 pm |
  95. Caardel

    President Obama will be reelected simply because the Republicans have a lack of strong candidates.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:19 pm |
  96. Brandy A

    I *will* vote for Obama if Gingrich ends up on the ticket. There is no question in my mind about it. I will vote for Romney if gets the ticket. That's just the way it is. I can stomach a unrepentant rich man before a lying, cheating, finger-pointing, bitter, stuck-in-the-past reptile.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:19 pm |
  97. Kyle from Indianapolis

    Jack, Independents ARE the reason why people win elections. There are roughly more self-declared independent voters than either Republican or Democrat. Nobody to my knowledge has ever won a general election with only the support from the base of the party – let that be a hint to the Republicans!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:19 pm |
  98. Mitoosense Fort Lauderdale, Florida

    The Obama Administrations future lies at the feet of the GOP.To win they must select the right guy

    January 19, 2012 at 4:20 pm |
  99. Mitch Dworkin - Dallas, Texas

    It will be very hard because the evidence shows that he is being intentionally sabotaged by the tea party for political and partisan purposes. Rush Limbaugh is rooting for Obama to fail, Jim DeMint wants to break him, Mitch McConnell's number one goal is to make Obama a one term President and the list just goes on. I wish that more people knew about this.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:20 pm |
  100. Jerry in Alaska

    By the time the elections come around in 2012 the year of fear, if we make it that far, OUR Prez. Obama will have finished his Dream of bringing America & most of the World down to a desolate state & not need anyones support other than his One World Order pals.

    I'll give it to you liberals Jack, your ALL very slow learners about the Chosen Ones goals, goals that are being shouted from the tops of the highest buildings world wide, which are to Fundamentally Change America, the World.
    That change thing is to do away with OUR Constitution for a OWO.

    Don't worry, be happy, its all coming down this year i do believe, at least the start of that 7 wonderful years of a OWO.
    Good luck!!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:20 pm |
  101. Vick, Orange Park , FL

    No Jack , He needs the independents and he may not have us moderate democrats!!!!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:21 pm |
  102. Ed in Los Angeles

    First of all, it is fairly offensive to repeatedly refer to the President as "Mr." Secondly, President Obama WILL have the independents on his side. It is many months until the election and, as we have been seeing this week, there are plenty of skeletons in Mr. Romney's closet. He is an (actual) elitist, immensely wealthy during a time of considerable economic pain for the country as a whole, and he seems to have no idea what the reality is for many Americans. Romney also flip-flops on every major issue more than a freshly pulled marlin on the deck of one of his many yachts. If you want an empty suit, in Mr. Romney, you have one.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:21 pm |
  103. David

    Short answer, no.

    Now, let's address the real issue. How can we return to the heyday of community organizing? By returning the best dang community organizer ever to the his community. Chicago's new mayor needs a great community organizer. Let's give him one.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:21 pm |
  104. Cy Gardner

    Can he win? If he's running against Richie Rich Romney, yeah. I say he's got a chance against the "vulture capitalist". If he runs against serial adulterer and world's largest hypocrit Newt Gingrich, yeah, I think he's got a shot. Your polls are stupid. The President still looks like the only honest, intelligent person who cares somewhat about real Americans in the race. cy from arlington, va

    January 19, 2012 at 4:22 pm |
  105. Elizabeth in California

    No one can win without the independents, the question is who will they support. I can't see myself or my daughters supporting any of the republican candidates except Ron Paul and I don't think he will get the nomination.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:22 pm |
  106. Ken Palosi

    I am former Democrat who turned independent because of disappointment with President Obama and his failure to deliver any real change. In my mind President Obama is at best just another Ivy League suit and at worst a closet Republican. Consider that his economic policies are nothing more than a continuation of failed Republican economic policies guided by Republican holdovers; Geithner and Bernanke. I like many others wish that our ballots had an option where we could vote for "none of the above", faced with a choice of Obama or an array of unpalatible Republicans.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:23 pm |
  107. Roger

    (Just two words) NO WAY !!!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:23 pm |
  108. Natale

    Jack, Independents will come around and they need to for our President. But lets take the mystery out of this election thing: Santorum doesn't stand a chance he's too clannish to represent mainstream America. Gingrich will beat Romney out but to the bain of right wing ultra conservative nut jobs...Gingrich doesn't have the intellectual wit to match President Obama. Hes too old, too unhealthy and has morality problems that those practicing christianism (not Christianity) just cannot permit. At least with Romney they have hopes of converting him to see THEIR christianism as the way to eternal life!

    Besides Republicans have got to learn this very basic truth: America will not allow right wing hyporcrits to dictate their morality in terms of sexuality, right to choose, religious practices or treatment of the poor. We are better than that!! Heres a suggestion: All right wing conservative knuckle heads move to Texas with Perry and PLEASE, PLEASE secede!!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:23 pm |
  109. Merle

    Of course not, but then what is an independent? Everyone has leanings one way or the other. I'm from Michigan and I am sure that Romney will take this state based simply on name recognition. As for myself, I will still vote for Obama the Republican field should be on Anderson's Rediculist!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:23 pm |
  110. David A Whitaker

    Jack I don't understand the Independant voters they go from one person to another, and they can forget how we got in this dog gone mess in the first. But yet some of them rushing back over to the GOP. They're just darn crazy.
    David
    Martinsburg,WV

    January 19, 2012 at 4:24 pm |
  111. PiedType

    I am one of those disaffected independents you describe. I'd be more than willing to vote for a Republican this year if they'd nominate a half-tolerable one, but it doesn't look like they have any intention of doing so. I am facing the unhappy prospect of voting "None of the Above."

    Susan
    Denver, CO

    January 19, 2012 at 4:24 pm |
  112. AB

    President Obama needs every vote in order to win re-election in 2012. It would be extremely difficult and nearly impossible for him to do without votes from any group of voters. Obama has a chance to get right with a cross section of voters-especially independents by fixing the economy. This means he has to develop more programs to put people back to work, create more stimulus programs(this time, programs that are really effective). Time is of the essence and it is very short. What Obama has going for him so far are two things–the economy is improving and the Republican Party is in disarray and is having great difficulty fielding electable candidates.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:24 pm |
  113. Heriberto the mexican

    Jack, Obama will get re elected unless Ron Paul is the VP Ron Paul brings new ideas to the table and if i had papers i would vote for Ron Paul even if he is against immigration reform but he will give us more liberty.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:25 pm |
  114. Joel, Kansas

    Obama will need every vote he can get to win a re-election. He has lost a lot of support and the majority of that support has shifted over to Ron Paul. Thank goodness for that.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:26 pm |
  115. WilliamT

    Obama has the money to project his false agenda and smear any Republican candidate who gets in his way. This was true during his run for state Senate, this will be true this election.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:27 pm |
  116. Phil NC

    President Obama absolutely needs independents to win this election. If past turnouts for Democrats are any indication, he cannot depend on a strong showing at polling stations across the country from members of his party. The problem with courting independents is that their views on the role of government and their views on how the economy is doing vary even more widely than those within the Democratic Party. As a result, Independents will likely turn out against any incumbent in a political environment similar to the one we currently have (a group of people so divided on the issues that the possibility of finding a middle ground that they can agree to is all but impossible since the word ‘compromise’ is a four-letter-word on the hill.)

    January 19, 2012 at 4:27 pm |
  117. GARYHALLENTERTAINMENT

    So Jack, what would you have Americans do, vote in the very party that drove the economy over a cliff, the flaky Independents think this is the solution, turn the country back over to the very people that nearly destroyed the entire American Middle Class, along with the entire economy, if Independents are that stupid, which I have to assume they are, then they deserve the garbage can economy that the republicans will provide if one of those inept republican is elected I pray that Americans are not that stupid, but then again, they elected Bush, Go figure!!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:27 pm |
  118. Nancy, Tennessee

    President Obama needs all the Independents, Republicans and Democrats he can find to vote for him. Noting how ugly the Republicans are playing in the primary makes one wonder how ugly the general election will be. Sit back folks. Thiis could get interesting.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:28 pm |
  119. Gigi Oregon

    Yes, there are out of work republicans that will vote for Obama.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:29 pm |
  120. WilliamT

    Jack, Obama might be able to win, with Smear, deflections of his record, and denials of his past.
    Hopefully, Truth will prevail as long as MSM dont make it their job to hide truth about Obama.

    )0v0( Buffalo, NY

    January 19, 2012 at 4:30 pm |
  121. Tom Darby

    I have not voted for a Presidential candidate many times in the last 50years. I generally have to vote against the one I like the least. When you are an independent voter you would like to have a positive choice, but the two party system prevents this. About 30% are hard nose Republicans, about 30% are hard nose Democrats that levels 40% of us out in the cold.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:30 pm |
  122. Tom K. From Beverly Hills

    I'm afraid that President Obama will win again, even without Independents. The problem is most people always route for their team and just like sports, Democrats, now mostly minorities, will largely turn out to vote for him whether he makes "Change" or not. The Democrats used to be an open-minded people, but now, they're just voting based on race. That's why the President spends most of his effort courting and pandering to the Latinos and African Americans. Without their support, he's out. And honestly, the Republicans haven't put forth a strong candidate worth voting for. Obama will win with a small turn out .

    January 19, 2012 at 4:30 pm |
  123. Eli in Las Vegas

    The independents will flock to Obama when all the dust is settled and a republican is picked to run against him. It's Obama or Romney (whom no one trust), or Gingrich (is it me or does he look like that crazy doll Chuky when he is upset) who is old school washington and will not change anything! Independents are smart enough to do the right thing!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:30 pm |
  124. James

    Yes, unless the GOP realize they can't win without Ron Paul's independent libertarian base. It's Ron Paul or Obama GOP thats your choice now get over your love affair with Newt, pun intended.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:30 pm |
  125. Natale

    Are Independents just intending to get the best person for the job rather than buy into the politics of a party? I don't fault them for wanting to steer clear of those representing the Republicans. That party has change so much over my lifetime, and it is shameful...As a child it was exciting to see Dems and Repubs stump and make legitimate points that made us think...Today most of what we see are people who don't know if they want to represent Christ or their brand of Americanism...Consequently, Republicans just come across as a bunch of hypocritical crazies who preach Jesus wrapped in an American flag, but practice infidelity and hatred in the back room. Sad really. I wanted my kides to experience the election process without the vitrole and venom.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:30 pm |
  126. Cee.Louisiana

    yes he has a good shot, this Independent will vote for him.....the economy will improve, the wars are ending, healthcare reform is a done deal, the do nothing Congress has exposed itself......and the GOP candidates are well let me say "terrible".

    January 19, 2012 at 4:32 pm |
  127. john_willow

    Sure, because most so-called Independents are just Republicans on the run from the lunatic fringe that controls their party. Democrats don't generally desert their party because it doesn't take extremist positions. Obama will get the mainstream vote, and can pull in the Independents, because even moderate Republicans realize that their candidates lack any credibility or electibility.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:33 pm |
  128. Ryan Sant

    Ron Paul will run as an independent, this will result in 1/3 of the republicans and 1/3 of the democrats 2 lose these votes! Lets add the independent votes and you have a real news story that has the left and right worried to report with out spinning it.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:34 pm |
  129. Eric

    This polling means nothing unless you assume a vote of disapproval for President Obama automatically is a vote for his Republican rival. Approval polling shows even worse numbers for the GOP led Congress. I am a registered Independent. I changed my affiliation from Republican in 2008 and voted for President Obama. While I don't voice 100% approval for our President I know come November he will be the best choice for myself and for America. I think our Presidents intentions are better than the GOP's obvious use of politics as team sports. When the Presidential debates occur later this year our President will relay his accomplishments a la Andrew Sullivan in his Newsweek article and ride the Nation's anti-Corporate welfare energy into a 2nd term.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:34 pm |
  130. Doug, Alaska

    No, but with our two party system voting is almost always about picking the lesser of two evils. And once people take a close look, the majority will realize that as bad as Obama might be, the republicans are even worse.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:36 pm |
  131. Ellie, Wisconsin

    He will have the support of Independents. Americans aren't stupid. When it is all said and done Obama will be re-elected!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:36 pm |
  132. lisa s n.j.

    Jack, I think Pres. Obama will have a hard time winning without Independent voters, I just became an Non-Party Affiliate I can't tell you who I will vote for. I will however read and discover all the information I can on this years election and then will decide based upon who will be best for our economy. I will not vote for who the media tells me I should vote for. I hope more voters do the same.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:38 pm |
  133. BeBeG

    No but then again, he can't win with an apathetic electorate either. The GOP is so hypocritical and inconsistent in their own rhetoric that they have to hold their noses to vote for any of the deeply flawed field they have put forth. Pres. Obama by his own, ultra cool, nonsensical nature, can't light a fire under an electorate unwilling to admit their own fault in the status of the country. Everyone thinks the country is on the wrong path, yet everyone who bothers to vote continues to vote for "their" representative leading us down this continual path to madness. The President has tried, the whole the country was in a ditch so deep, a cliff so high that anything the President accomplished seems like nothing compared to what needs to be done. Why his crack election team doesn't get that and can't seem to put a coherent message together still escapes me. In many ways they are still rank amateurs on several levels but you know what? I'm an Independent, I would never vote for what the GOP is hawking so by defautl maybe the President has my vote when push comes to shove. I'm willing to give him a chance to go big and bold with a second tour but make me feel good about doing it. We the people should give him a set of representatives that are willing to work with him and make change for AMERICA. Do what is right by the American people. The little guys bailed out Wall Street, NO ONE was truly held accountable and in the end it is that sense of injustice that fuels both the tea partiers and the 99%-ers....We can and must do better. The GOP stil doesn't get it–social issues, are not what people want from them. Crawl out of a woman's right to choose. What she does is between her, God and her doctor...no one else. If the President can't wrap his mind around gay marriage, how about this–America is a country where discrimination in any form is unacceptable. Again, a person's right to love is between him/her, their loved one, and their God. Ron Paul has a few things right, unfortunately he just comes off as too kooky. I'm with the President but remain lukewarm about all politicians in general. Our country is too great to circle the drain on our core beliefs.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:41 pm |
  134. David in Chicago

    Of course not, but remember there's been nothing but Obama bashing going on since he was elected; all the more so here in the height of GOP primary season. The conservative message of "Be very afraid and be very angry" would reasonably resonate with Independents absent any rebuttal from the White House so the poll's numbers aren't surprising. Remember, according to the GOP, Obama has never done ANYthing right and they've never done ANYthing wrong.

    Through it all, the President has been content to take the criticism with little rebuttal. His recent actions, however, are showing his shift toward a more defiant posture...Recess appointments, and Keystone XL show a less compromising attitude and he hasn't even begun to respond to the GOP's various labels as a man out to destroy America.

    What he has done is to allow the right to "get it all out of their system". There's little new in any of that message so moving forward a lot of independents will shift back once he puts on his campaign gloves and starts to rebut the various claims of what he has and hasn't done. I'd put more stake in the same poll after the Democratic convention this summer. This race won't firm up until October.

    The bigger problem is that 109 electoral votes in swing states are in the hands of Republican Secretaries of State, which anyone living in Ohio or Florida will tell you matters on election day more than any poll, any results or any ad campaign.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:44 pm |
  135. barbara in nc

    THINK - NObody can win without independents.

    Sheeesh - late night last night?

    January 19, 2012 at 4:44 pm |
  136. Natale

    Newt Gingrich looks like "Chucky" when he gets angry? How does that answer the question about our fine President needing the vote of independents? I just think, Republicans cannot win period until they stop playing the race card in their gaffs when they forget the whole world is a stage and THEY are on it!! What serious voter understanding American altruism would want to put a tyrant in office to mandate morality instead of manage our nation wisely> I for one don't need some long nosed Republican telling me about western values and Christ when they continually disparage and find ways to demean God's creation that do not look, think, or act like them...Republicans suffer from a major blindspot: America is a very young nation...how could we possibly point the way to Christ as though we have Him in a box marked Republican ease? Really? Wow.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:45 pm |
  137. Pat in Michigan

    he can't win even if he starts a war in Iran like bush did in iraq.We are outa money next question!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:46 pm |
  138. Pete from Georgia

    Not if there's a God !!!!!!

    January 19, 2012 at 4:48 pm |
  139. leroy stroy

    President Obama has been running the country with out much so i think he will be all right.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:51 pm |
  140. Politics

    President Obama achieved a lot despite the republican obstacles and the independents will vote for the President eventually because it will be a choice between President Obama who has been fighting for America, for the Middle Class, for the poor and the Wall Street guy, Mr. Romney who has been saving money and moving jobs offshore and who has refused to release his tax returns or explain how he created jobs by laying people off and whose economic plan favors the rich and is the same as the plan that caused the economic downfall in 2008. If these independents are honest about what they believe, they will give the President 4 more years to finish the work he has started. Jacques, I will mail you the list of accomplishments by the President and I hope that you will read it on air and ask your audience to comment on them.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:52 pm |
  141. Mike from Winchester, Oregon

    No, but don't underestimate this guy. Obama's skills at political persuasion are second only to Bill Clinton. His disarming persona has fooled many people into not seeing his raw naked ambition that will do ANYTHING to get re-elected. I admire him as a family man, but politically, he's as slick as okra in a steamer. He's like the cheerleader than can rally the crowd, but once put in at quarterback, can't throw a decent pass or move the team down the field. Unfortunately, the GOP seems to be seizing defeat from the jaws of victory. As an independent who was open to considering Obama's rhetoric in 2008 and even went to hear him at a town hall meeting, this country cannot afford four more years of his incompetent march toward our nation's financial ruin.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:54 pm |
  142. Joe R - Houston, TX

    Since Ron Paul isn't going to be the Republican nominee, the independents will probably help re-elect Obama by either voting for Obama directly, or by voting for the conservative illusion offered by a third party. The mainstream Republicans and media aren't intelligent enough to realize that in the face of it's dwindling membership, Congressman Paul is the Republicans only hope of defeating Obama.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:54 pm |
  143. Natale

    I'd like to see what America's President might accomplish over the next four years with a Congress that doesn't behave like spoiled little rich kids willing to take their ball and bat home when things are not as they demand.

    January 19, 2012 at 4:57 pm |