From Jack Cafferty, CNN
Two weeks from now we'll know the answer, but as of this moment, Ron Paul is the odds-on favorite to win the Iowa caucuses. And that has many mainstream Republicans positively apoplectic.
Despite being largely ignored by the mainstream media, the 76-year-old congressman from Texas is at - or near - the top of polls in Iowa entering the homestretch in the first 2012 GOP race for the White House.
What's refreshing is Paul has done it the old-fashioned way, with a consistent message and the best outreach operation in Iowa.
Andrew Sullivan writes for The Daily Beast that Paul is generating enthusiasm and support among young voters and Democrats and independents ... in other words, voters who could help Republicans defeat President Barack Obama in November.
You would think that's just what the Republican Party is looking for - someone who could defeat Obama next year.
Not so fast. Republicans are already set to spin a Paul win in Iowa by basically ignoring it.
A Washington Examiner column by Timothy Carney suggests the primary contest will get "downright ugly" if Paul wins in Iowa.
Carney points to Pat Buchanan's New Hampshire victory in 1996, saying both the Republican establishment and the media rallied to end his campaign.
Carney says if Paul wins, his critics will imply he is "a racist, a kook, and a conspiracy theorist."
Whether the GOP establishment likes it or not, Paul has the power to shake things up if he wins in Iowa.
People in Iowa are rallying around someone who, for the first time in a long time, represents real change. And that has to scare the hell out of both parties.
Here's my question to you: What will happen to the Republican field if Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses?
Tune in to "The Situation Room" at 4 p.m. ET to see if Jack reads your answer on the air.
And we'd love to know where you're writing from, so please include your city and state with your comment.
Jack,Nothing will happen because Iowa is not a true cross section of the country.With all due respect to Iowa,we have seen winners and losers come and go.When they get to Florida,that is when you'll see the true test.
I'm not sure, Jack, but SOMEHOW they will blame it on Obama and not bother to look in the mirror!
Since the Caucus is controlled only by republicans , If he wins , it would prove we need a 3rd party independent that gets as much attention in corporate media as 2 party monopoly.It would also prove that people who influence our choices drink to much
If Paul wins many Republicans-In-Name-Only and so-called conservatives will be shown for the fear-mongers and elitists that they are. How can it be that a man that has stood for liberty, property rights, and sound money for decades will not be allowed to be the Republican nominee? Is it because he "can't beat Obama"? Or because he stands for true change and against the elites that have distorted the two-party system, which the Establishment can not tolerate?
Ron Paul in 2012...
If Paul wins Iowa, he will get a huge boost going into the New Hampshire primary. Republican establishment types and media elites will go into overtime to attack him, but these attacks will only make him seem like more of the outsider/maverick type that independent NH voters like, and he'll either win or come in a strong second there. After that, the field will probably be winnowed down to five or fewer candidates, and it remains to be seen if conservatives will choose him as their standard bearer or coalesce around one of the other remaining candidates.
Ron Paul would now be one of the frontrunners and would see his chances in New Hampshire get better. The other candidates would then go after him like nothing we have seen before. Only problem with that is everyone already knows what he stands for so he will not lose any support.. Looks more and more like if the GOP wants any chance at beating Obama, Ron Paul is it.
If Ron Paul wins in Iowa, which is likely, his message will be spread even wider and many pundits will have to admit they were wrong about him and give him his due. There exist an antiwar faction in this country and Ron Paul is the only one we can trust to bring the troops home.
Dwayne Hall, Patriot Leader & Republican official in Texarkana Arkansas
Don't worry its a rigged game. Someone out of the blue will come forward at the convention and will accept the nomination. Which brings up the question is why did they have all those primaries. Considering the amount of money spent and the fact they refer to themselves as conservative, someone is going to have to explain the logic of it all to me.
Load up that clip from 'Scanners' where the guy's head blows up and you should have a pretty good idea.
If Ron Paul should win, Newt, Mitt and the rest can consider themselves out of the running for president. Vote for RON PAUL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!.
Took along time to see A man with so much to Offer Back my Liberty and wisdom and peace of mind as Ron Paul gives me ! If America is going to become respected again from drama we are in .You have to say Peace and the Man behind it is RON PAUL 2012 .
Nothing will happen. A win in Iowa doesn't seem to mean much, historically. And the majority of Republican's say they wouldn't vote for him anyway. And Rick Santorum's new endorsement from the fringe Right won't do him any real good, either. It's going to be Romney or GIngrich. A lose-lose situation.
Who cares? Once ron goes on to win the nomination we wont need em anyway. The establishment is getting a taste of its own medicine re tea party infiltration.
They will simply move their circus tents on to New Hampshire. In 2012, Huckabee won and then dropped out. McCain came in 4th and won the nomination. Now, why were we talking about Iowa again, Jack?. Seriously, Why?
What will happen? I think Americans on the fence will finally start believing that there really is a chance to elect a pro-liberty, pro-constitution candidate who shows true compassion for not only his fellow citizens, languishing in the muck of bad policy which he's consistently voted against. It will have a snowball effect on the rest of the nomination process and nobody will be able to argue that voting one's conscience is a wasted effort. Personally I think Iowa will propel Ron Paul all the way to the nominating convention and into the White House.
GOP leaders and political analysts will write off Iowa. The focus will be on Romney or Gingrich in 2nd place. Let's be perfectly clear: GOP leaders do not want this man as their nominee and here's an even bigger truth. If Ron Paul is not the nominee, 10% of the GOP base will not support the GOP nominee. And if Paul runs 3rd party, they may lose more than 10%. It's beginning to look like the Ron Paul divide in the GOP, regardless of what the party wants, will give Obama a second term and the GOP has nobody to blame but themselves.
I think the media needs to learn that Ron Paul is no longer a "fringe" candidate. In fact, I think the GOP better change to incorporate his ideas or they will fall apart. Both Democrats and Republicans are becoming more "progressive" and that equals disaster for America. After all, the more power you give to one party, the more the other party will have when they regain control. Recipe for disaster.
What will happen? I think Americans on the fence will finally start believing that there really is a chance to elect a pro-liberty, pro-constitution candidate who shows true compassion for not only his fellow citizens, languishing in the muck of bad policy which he's consistently voted against, but citizens of nation's we've pestered for decades. It will have a snowball effect on the rest of the nomination process and nobody will be able to argue that voting one's conscience is a wasted effort. Personally I think Iowa will propel Ron Paul all the way to the nominating convention and into the White House.
It will show that America is ready for Real change – Also, It would in general mean that Our Country wants smaller Government – and that Big Business Candidates / the need for a Federal Government intervention are fading and becoming old fashioned.
Nothing much will happen if Ron Paul wins Iowa. Bachman and Santrum might drop out and even Gingrich might because of his lack of money and organization. But I suspect Romney will either win or do well and then go to New Hampshire and win there and that will push him on. In order for the Iowa to cause problems, Rick Perry would have to win and I dont think that will happen.
Firstly, the 2nd and third their candidates will be instructed by their party leadership to drop out, so as not to dilute Mitt's votes for future primaries. Since Paul's base is loyal, they really have no shot of diluting his votes with a similar sounding candidate, so they are going to panic and stay fixated on such ridiculous smear charges such as calling him a racist, making the disconnect between the establishment and the average voter even greater. The bias has been so vicious, that I wouldn't be surprised if random women start appearing out of nowhere claiming sexual harrassment!
Missouri: Oh! The possibilities! Let's start with the one I get the impression of most often from the media – nothing will change. Instead those running campaigns will look to 2nd and 3rd place. They won't be basing their decision to stay in the race as to how Dr. Paul does. It could though, give the spark needed to ignite an interest for RP in New Hampshire...and I'm sure he will continue on as long as possible, which just goes back to others not basing their campaign upon how well Dr. Paul performs. But no matter the outcome – the Repubican field is changed. It's adopted positions RP supported in '07 which were considered bizzare. So all of the campaigns have added that tea party flavor. A question arises as to when the Republican field will start listening and giving him respect in the present, instead of consistently looking back and realizing he was right when we ignored him.
He will prove that he is electable. Then he'll win. He's the only person that's running for the country, not the presidency. He will win Iowa. Even if he doesn't, he'll win the presidency. Have we forgot about .americanselect? He'll be on the ballot.
What will happen is there will be a celebration of "Pee Wee Herman Day" thruout the land.
If Ron Paul is to win the Iowa caucuses it will most likely be portrayed as unimportant by the mainstream media and many GOP officials. Hopefully the American people will be able to see through this cloud of propaganda, and see that Ron Paul is actually electable and is hear to stay. If Ron Paul wins, the smear campaign which has already begun in the media will only get worst and more harsh.
Theywill all go to New Hampshire where voters don;t know who Ron Paul is. Meanwhile, back the the RNC headquarters, Valium and Maalox martinis will abound. And, at the White House they will begin picking out the bunting for the inaugrial podium.
The GOP will split into three different segments: Mr. Paul's Libertarians, the Bachmann/Santorum/Perry Tea Partiers and the mainstream traditionals will line up behind Romney, Gingrich and Huntsman in an attempt to preserve wealth at the top of the food chain. Mr. Obama's wildest dreams are coming true.
It would indicate some people in this country is tired of meaningless banter the rest of them they've been spewing. Apparently, Ron Paul, unlike the others, are serious about doing something for the country
If Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses, then the media will try everything in the book to try to discredit his win by saying that it really has not merit. The funny thing is that it will only make Ron Paul much stronger as more strength will come from all sides as everyone will be able to see what is really happening here and create a much stronger domino effect in his favor than ever.
Nothing significant, because biased news channels like Fox will continue to dismiss his candidacy and make him sound "unelectable".
If Ron Paul won Iowa, it would mean a paradigm shift in the way the American people view freedom. It would mean just the beginning of things to come. It would mean that we could stop pretending to be a free country, and actually start to be one.
Travis from Travis Air Force Base, California
The same thing that will happen when he beats Obama in 2012. He will be ignored, mocked, and will invalidate the Presidency.
I think that the media scared of him because he makes sense on foreign policy
If Ron Paul wins Iowa, and move on to win NH. That would be a bless day for America. A president Paul means the world we be save. Freedom will rain.
I'm voting for Ron Paul because I need the freedom to own my own body, and secondly, a war on Iran mean a 20 year war which will cause 20 years of bad economy and depression. Probably 15,000 to 25,000 troops going to be killed.
What will happen to the Republican field if Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses?
First, the field will immediately become smaller. A lack of funding will cause everyone except Paul, Romney, Perry, and possibly Gingrich to drop out. Huntsman will probably hang in until after he loses in NH.
In New Hampshire, I predict a victory for Paul followed by Romney. Gingrich and Huntsman will drop out at that time.
Paul will win most of the primaries in the South. Romney will win Florida. Perry will slowly realize he has lost.
Paul will carry enough delagates to win the nomination.
What will happen to the Republican field if Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses? Absolutely Nothing!! The rest are in it for the money, Whoops, long haul. They will flip and flop and realign and tweak "Their Master Message" to reflect the new yellow brick road to Tampa, FL. You know that Message thing, I stopped paying any attention to those musings in the early 1970's. Roar on Mr. Paul whatever you are orating sells not at my door. The only thing I agree with you on is our need to disengage from foreign wars and intrigues. Merry Christmas to you Jack and Wolf and the rest of the cast and crew at The Situation Room.
Much of the mainstream media has seemed to discount the fact that a Ron Paul victory could really boost Paul's chances of winning the nomination – especially given he is running 2nd in New Hampshire. They all have already assumed Paul has no chance of winning the nomination despite polls showing Paul rising nationally and in several important states. This is a great disservice to the people of Iowa and shows many in the media don't care about what Iowans think. Thank you and keep reporting the truth!
A Ron Paul win in Iowa shows the nation that we're ready for a true change in government.
Then he will have a chance to win the nomination. Not the best chance perhaps, that honor is still with Mitt Romney, but no one could claim Paul "can't win" anymore. With a second place finish in New Hampshire to go along with an Iowa victory, this race becomes Romney vs Paul overnight.
Richard S. Louisville, KY
It means that the political machine and mainstream media no longer have the influence and control of the American people they once had. Ron Paul is the biggest threat to the corrupt politicians, thieving bankers, and dishonest media that are ruining this once great nation. A win in Iowa means that the people have risen up and decided that they're no longer going to take it from their abusive and corrupt government.
When Ron Paul wins Iowa, voters across America will rush to learn more about him. The more voters learn, the more they realize that the media totally distorts Dr. Paul's platform. It should make New Hampshire interesting.
WHEN Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses you will see the Elites in the GOP turning their anti Ron Paul propaganda machine on. The GOP is threaten by Dr. Paul because they can not control his political ideology as they can with their other puppet controlled candidate's. That is why you never see him flip flopping on his views compared to almost every other political candidate. He's not a puppet to the corrupt establishment!
The establishment GOP will ratchet up their attempts to marginalize Dr. Paul, confirming what we all know to be true: he's the only one we can trust. The establishment shih tzu has an inferiority complex.
The media will continue to marginalize him. The fact is, though, Paul is a strong second in New Hampshire. If he wins Iowa, he may have a chance to win there as well.
That is not likely to translate to success anywhere else. Ron Paul is clearly not in step with the majority of voters.
They will grow stronger in what they use to believe in.
Take first in Iowa, New Hampshire follows, Ron Paul goes to the white house!
Hopefully people will realize that he is not some "kook" getting small and fringe support. He is the most conservative candidate running, with the record to prove it. He also actually understands our economy and foreign policy, whereas the others just repeat talking point party rhetoric. It should open people's eyes towards him, and will bring more people out in support of him, giving him even more support in the polls, and eventually, the nomination so he can continue on and beat Obama.
A Ron Paul victory might be the best thing to happen to the Republican field. If Ron Paul can win without pandering to the religious right or the neo-conservatives; an electable candidate might yet be able to emerge from the Republican field who actually offers a vision of how to address the nations critical problems. John McCain had to sell his soul to get the Republican nomination and that gave us Sarah Palin. Perhaps Ron Paul will force the others to focus on what is critical to the nation's future and leave the non-sense to Palin wing of the party.
A Ron Paul win in Iowa is a message that people are actually listening to him, and believe in a Constitutionally limited government. Smaller government = less taxes.
If Paul wins Iowa, it will be because America has evolved and seen the wisdom of what Ron Paul has been saying consistently for so many years. When he wins Iowa, the press that is invested in the current status quo will point to his positions that are not yet widely understood or "accepted" and they will call him the same old names, "Kook," "Crank," and "Crazy." But this time, people remember they thought he was a "Kook" about the Federal Reserve, they thought he was exaggerating about our exploding deficits and, of course,wrong about Iraq. But despite Hannity and others wedded to a militaristic neo-conservatism, the American people see it as a waste of precious patriot's blood and other national treasure. If he wins, the press, if it behaves as it has in the past, will be the biggest loser–of credibility. In case I'm not being clear enough, the most ironic loser will be Fox news, because when you hear, for the first time, someone you used to respect, call Ron Paul "unelectable" or a "Kook," etc. you can never have the same level of trust as a listener. So it goes for me and many true conservatives who now suspect Hannity, Levin and others of having unclear motives (or defective minds here-to-for not seen for what they were). My suggestion? Give John Stossel the mike more often!!!
Let's see...The establishment will continue to discredit Dr.Paul, the Republicans will continue to disavow him, the media with their "on board experts" will continue to ridicule and in a "Greek Chorus" fashion proclaim that Dr. Paul will not get the nomination. All this will happen while they all ignore the fact that the people have spoken, ignoring what is said on the streets and what the people are thinking and what is spoken by the people via the election process. You can take this scenario to the bank. BTW...thanx Jack for always being truthful! I may not agree with everything, but if its the truth, its the truth. Period. And thanx!
If Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucus, the attacks already frenetically being thrown against him will redouble. Many pundits will simply say 'Iowa doesn't count', ignoring that Barack Obama wasn't thought to have a chance to beat Hillary Clinton, until he won the Iowa Caucuses. But a lot of people who like Ron Paul but vote for others because they 'think he can't win', will think again. And Ron Paul is already in good position in the next primary in New Hampshire.
If Ron Paul wins Iowa and gets either first or a strong second in New Hampshire?
Now THAT will change the narrative.
Recently I saw a poll saying over half of the country doesn't trust the media. Returning to journalism would help them gain their credibility, and the way they have been 'covering' Ron Paul in this election is not journalism.
Your Cafferty File being a welcome exception....
If Ron Paul wins Iowa, he will of course get a good sized bump in support due to the MSM FINALLY giving him serious coverage like the serious candidate he has proven to be. He will ride into NH on that support taking away votes from Romney and Gingrich because more NH voters will see Ron Paul as having a legitimate shot at the nomination. And when more people take a serious look at him, they are going to love his platform of individual liberty and a sound monetary policy. People will also realize that Ron Paul appeals across the board to Independents and and disillusioned democrats which would garner him more support in a general election than any other GOP candidate. Should be interesting :)
The 3 headed monster that is our "media" will try its hardest to discredit the victory as they have done with all of Pauls straw poll victories. The "media" will continue to push their candidates as they have done all along because they are all controlled by the same intetest. However, you cannot stop an idea whos time has come.
The press and the RINOs will do what they have done since the Iowa straw poll, they will spin the result so as to minimize its importance and attempt to derail Paul's progress. Pew studies show a consistent pattern of media under-representation of Paul. However, this fire may not go out.
The Repbublican field will thin out some. 5 candidates will around for South Carolina . Paul will win by a large margin in Iowa. A Very close virtual tie in New hampshire and in south carolina will set him up to win Nevada and finish 2nd or 3rd in florida. That will clean out all but Mitt Romney. The Fox News Network will continue to focus negatively on Dr. Paul and the electorate will reject them and any outside source trying to influence the election.
Bachmann and Perry will see the reason God told them to campaign for president was because he wanted Obama re-elected. Gingrich and Cain will figure out they are doing penance with this public humiliation. Santorum will figure out that people have had a gut full of bigotry. Perry will see that the last dummy from Texas is just to memorable. Romney will flop over to Paul's talking points, and Paul will find confirmation in his belief Americans are as sick of war as he is. "Peace on Earth. Good will toward men."
The 3 headed monster that is our "media" will try its hardest to discredit the victory as they have done with all of Pauls straw poll victories. The "media" will continue to push their candidates as they have done all along because they are all controlled by the same intetest. However, you cannot stop an idea whos time has come.
Nothing will happen. The right wing media will insist that Iowa was a fluke and leftist media will continue to make hay out of of the Republican Establishment refusing to accept the legitamacy of Ron Paul. Someone else will win New Hampshire, then South Carolina, and then Romney will be coronated and Paul's vicotry will become a footnote in history.
A repeat of the last six front runners. A whacko Republican nutjob who will be in the lead for the whacko Republican nominee. Whoopee...it would be disgusting if it wasn't so funny.
If Ron Paul wins Iowa, all the millions of people who like Ron Paul and his ideas but weren't planning to vote for him because the media told them "he can't win" will reconsider, and he will become the national front-runner.
Hey Jack, I am from Lake Mary Florida. If Dr. Paul wins Iowa I will be on a plane the very next day to New Hampshire to help him campaign in his final days before the primary. I never really enjoyed politics before I heard about Ron Paul, I always thought it was an insult to vote for the lesser of two evils, but since he has come around I feel a sense of appreciation for our country I have not felt in quite some time.
If Dr. Paul wins Iowa, it might generate enough momentum for him to squeak by with a first in New Hampshire as well. If he wins both states, it'll be him vs. Obama, with him dominating among independents and tapping into Obama's former anti-war base.
Jack, what was that stuff that hit the fan, now? I think it will be splashing back on the GOP. We can only hope.
You'd hope the GOP would realize that Pauls ideas have a lot of support. They don't need to adopt his Dr. No tenacity, but to grow and have a chance, Republicans need to look at making more significant cuts, and considering easing up on forcing their morals on the rest of the population of both this country and the world.
First. Jack, WHEN he wins the caucus in Iowa the media (especially om the right) will discredit him and discredit Iowa. Then they will try to paint him as a whacky rascist who wants to revert back to the horse ans buggy age. They will call him a dangerous isolationist and make him out to be be worse than Obama. But, Jack their slander will fail. He will gain ground in NH for a strong second place, if not a win. That will set in motion a real chance to win the nomination.
From Nick in Wolcott CT
Paul won't win it, but a strong showing would encourage his supporters to vote in the subsequent primaries and caucuses. If that should happen, no Republican would have the nomination sewn up before next year's GOP convention.
It would be the first step in good people of this nation telling BOTH sides of the establishment that we are fed up! The only difference in the majority of the candidates is the R or D behind their name. Romney and Gingrich are no different than Obama, none of them truly want to fix the problems in this country. All they are worried about is keeping them and their crony buddies in power with a good cash flow. They can all be bought. Except Ron Paul. He is something most people thought didn't exist, an honest politician. He is the only one I feel that will give my kids a shot at having a future. He is the only one that will cut spending and call a halt to the corruption. He is the only one that will fight to protect our Constitutional rights.
Do your own research, make up your own mind, and vote your conscience. Don't let the MSM or anyone else make up your mind for you. That is one of the few rights our government hasn't taken...yet.
I will be voting prosperity, peace, integrity and honor in 2012. I am voting Ron Paul or not at all :)
The republican establishment along with the democratic establishment will go into overdrive trying to oust the threat to their power.
America needs Ron Paul. A vote for Ron Paul is a vote for Peace. A vote for any other including Obama is a vote for war, assassinations, life in prison without charge, crushing debt and enough deficit spending to enslave your grand children's grand children.
I honestly think the Republican Party is so out of touch with the resonating effect of Dr. Paul's message that they will downplay his victory, thus telling the Iowan voters that they don't count this time around. It infuriates people to tell them that their efforts are all for naught.
I can guarantee a blowback that results in a stronger support for Ron Paul down the road if they discourage or discredit any potential victory in Iowa. Nobody seems to get that Ron Paul's support strengthens as a result of people trying to downplay his progress. Everyone see's through it now and want to know why Dr. Paul gets ignored. Before you know it, you're a supporter.
The Republican party has two choices. Embrace Ron Paul, giving the party a very strong chance of winning the Presidency, or keep on doing what they are doing and hand the victory to President Obama. I am hoping for the Former.
Rick from Gulfport, MS
Newt Gingrich will choke on a corn dog.
The GOP is a fractured field that looks rather like the fields of east Texas during the drought this summer. Ron Paul would be like sending a "El Nina" wind of 110 degrees blowing over that field...it would fracture even more, and the gaps would become even larger.
There will be no effect if Ron Paul wins Iowa.
Either way no Republican is going to win in 2012. They have been an embarassment for years. Just look at how they have treated the Middle Class and Poor here in America this year alone. Shameful.
Nothing will happen to the field of candidates, but, Congress will immeadiatley enact legislation, to give States the money, to provide in-patient treatment at Hospitals again, for folks with intellectual impairments. Doug. Pepperell, MA.
Hell will freeze over.
Well we already know what will happen. Personal attacks on him calling him a racist when he’s clearly not, and the largest media propaganda campaign the world has ever seen since Hitler saying that the win means nothing or that it’s destroying the world of politics.
What hopefully happens out of those two scenarios is that people start to question why so many in power and control over their minds are wildly and fanatically beating the drum of labeling him: “Nut, Crazy, Loon, Racist, Old, Unelectable, etc.” When they do this and start actually researching him, they like us will have their eyes opened to the logic, genuineness, honesty, consistency and statesmanship of the politician they have been waiting their whole lives for.
When that happens tyranny, brainwashing and corruption will have been dealt its first blow in decades.
Well, maybe they'll knock off the Tea Party bilge and start trying to sound intelligent. But I wouldn't hold my breath.
When Ron Paul wins Iowa, the media will have to stop the blackout campaign against him. It will also help those of us that believe in freedom and liberty spread the message of Paul's campaign. Ron Paul 2012!
If Ron Paul wins Iowa, he will become unstoppable. People are sick and tired of politicians who claim they are working for the voters, but then let lobbyists and big donors write our laws to favor themselves, and pretend like that's actually helping people. I am voting for Ron Paul no matter what—even if I have to write him in, because he is only candidate who has personal integrity. I would rather waste my vote on Ron Paul than vote to waste this country by electing another Wall Street puppet.
If Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucus the GOP establishment will probably continue to close ranks and desperately try to fight him off. The harder they fight the more they discredit themselves.
If he wins the nomination it will mean a new birth for the GOP. If he loses the GOP will be on its last legs after the Tea Party will have betrayed everything they professed to believe in by supporting a candidate who supported TARP. That means 4 more years of Obama.
Nothing. Absolutely Nothing. Remember, Mike Huckabee won and nothing happened there either.
Answer : Not a thing, Iowa doesn't necessarily "win" elections. Most of this is coming from the college students, in Iowa anyway. He may even win NH, but that still won't decide the election, necessarily.
Chuck in Austin Tx
If Ron Paul wins Iowa, the republican field will begin wake up and start taking him seriously realizing that maybe the American people are waking up and catching on to their game. I believe that the establishment behind the curtain will go negative on him and start spinning everything they can to try and knock him down in order to keep the status quo.
No much. Ron Paul doesn't stand a chance with normal Americans (AKA not tea partiers). His brand of Ayn Rand hooray for me, too bad about you and every man for himself doesn't play well with main stream Americans.
Hes just the fourth or fifth rabbit that caught up with Romney's tortoise anly to fall asleep before the finish line.
If Paul wins Iowa, partisanship will be thrown out the window as both Democrats and Republicans desperately unite to protect the status quo from the rise of Ron Paul.
Imagine a small government, humble foreign policy , fiscal conservative who actually walks the walk as opposed to just talking the the talk. They should be afraid, very afraid.
Douglas – Orange,CA
Ron Paul will have his run at the front.
Romney seems destined to be number two.
If the Republicans are serious about winning, Newt is out.
Huntsman finally may have a chance.
The Republican nomination is as chaotic as the weather!
No one can predict the weather.
I think all Republicans should rally behind Ron Paul.
Because it'll make it easier for Obama to win a second term.
WHEN Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses you will see the Elites in the GOP turning their anti Ron Paul propaganda machine on. The GOP is threaten by Dr. Paul because they can not control his political ideology as they can with their other puppet controlled candidate's. That is why you will never see him flip flopping on his views compared to almost every other political candidate that has. He a puppet to the grassroots and not a puppet to the corrupt establishment elite who control this nation!
If Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses it will have no effect on the GOP race. His followers are set in stone and will not appreciably grow or diminish. What ever he does in Iowa will as usual be his high point. The only way he could effect change in the GOP would be to do the unthinkable, throw his support to someone with the chance of being elected.
He will flip the country and the entire establishment on its side . EXACTLY what this country needs someone to really shake things up and let everyone all over know, we are tired of what the media is feeding us.
I think it would set the bar according to the morals of true Republicanism that once existed. It is way past the time for honesty to return in the leadership of this country. If I was the rest of the field and elected officials I would be very worried that the american public are sick and tired of being lied to. Revelations lead to revolutions.
Jeez, Jack. The republican field will continue as always, chasing each others' tails 'round and 'round yapping yipping snapping at each others' heels. In such a circle jerk how can one even tell who is 'ahead'?
If Ron Paul wins Iowa?? Sorry Jack When Ron Paul wins Iowa. Mainstream media will have acknowledge Ron Paul has a front runner for the Nomination... He has been given little or No media coverage, shortened debate time, and just flat out intentionally ignored... However Jack I have noticed you have given RP a fair shake as opposed to other networks and this question is proof of that... When the dinosaur networks can no longer ignore him and allow Ron Paul and his message to heard .... Then there's no stopping him
The anti propaganda machine will turn on. The elites are threaten because Ron Paul can not be bought by them. They want to continue their stranglehold on this country so they benefit from their generous policies they make for themselves for example the bailouts paid for by the tax payer. More people are waking up to this fact. Its time Americans to actually have a say in politics and Ron Paul represents that. I could go on...
If Congressman Doctor Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses, I believe this will encourage so many people across our Nation who love him to give him their vote. The media would like us to think that we are few and far between but his message of freedom is embedded in the hearts of many Americans. Let’s make govt. small, peace reign supreme, and Ron Paul President! God Bless America!! (Houston, TX)
They'll be All Shook Up!!!
Three things will happen:
1. The attacks on Ron Paul from the out of touch mainstream media will explode, and they will likely be ad hominem and personal attacks because his ideas are essentially irrefutable.
2. Many people around the country will begin to wake up to the fact that something is wrong with this country, something that is a deep systemic issue and cannot be fixed by status quo, outdated ideas.
3. The Republican Party will completely implode.
My first thought is Republicans will finally have a front runner that doesn't want to send troops or invade another country at the first sign of trouble. My second thought would be the news media will finally have take this man as a serious candidate and show him the respect he deserves. I would love for Ron Paul to win Iowa, it would show the other candidates how far the strayed off of how foreign policy should be conducted. I like Ron Paul idea of not invading or attacking another country as a first thought. The sticking part with me is his isolated ideas and leaving people fend for themselves when it comes to healthcare.
Jack: Nothing, Iowa is a small state population wise. Ron Paul has to come in second in New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida to have a chance.
He will get a bump going into NH and finish in a close 2nd or 1st place. He'll go on to do well in South Carolina and win Nevada. Depending on how well he does in New Hampshire, he will either be the frontrunner or tied with Romney/Gingrich come Super Tuesday.
i hope he wins it all . he is the one who will get back to the constitution and fix our country
The other candidates will come to their senses, say “Boy, were we misguided or what?”, concede the nomination to Dr. Paul, and allow this American citizen the opportunity to perform emergency surgery on this dying democracy.
It will go to a brokered convention. Romney or Gingrich will be named the candidate and Ron Paul will go back to Texas. I like Ron Paul but the man is just not presidential material. He is more like Mr. Magoo and can not draw the support within the republican party to accomplish anything worth while. He has no earth shattering legislative history to boast about and his high pitched whiney voice is a a major turn off to voters.
I don't know what will happen to the field, but I know that the MSM elites such as Dick Morris, Chris Wallace, and others have already seperated the words "journalism" from "integrity" in this primary race by disparaging Iowa Paul voters as "unpatriotic", stating a Paul win should be ignored, or it won't count.You just report. We'll decide in Iowa. Thank you very much.
nothing, Iowa is first but they are not the only state.
Nothing will happen. If Paul wins Iowa, the state will be a joke.
I'd also be interested in hearing what effects you think it would have on NH and why. Thanks Jack :)
Justin, North UT
Jack, the GOP establishment is running afraid of Ron Paul. If Dr. Paul wins Iowa, the GOP establishment and the mainstream media pundits will push for the 2nd tier candidates to drop out and endorse Romney or Gingrich. It is clear by now that this has been a two-candidate run of Dr. Paul vs GOP-Candidates/Mainstream media/talk radio political pundits. It is evident that the mainstream media is already discounting Iowa caucuses if Dr. Paul wins. The word is out about who represents freedom and peace. An idea whose time has come cannot be stopped by the establishment, the mainstream media and talk radio political pundits put together. Freedom is popular. Ron Paul 2012.
If he wins the Iowa caucuses, I suspect the Republican party will just dismiss the win,showing that party politics, especially their own, are out of line with line of thinking among most of the people in this country. Dismissing a Paul win will only further divide this nation... the citizens and the crooked rich-man's game known as "party politics"
~Scott from Mississippi
Iowa is a joke and gets WAY more attention than it deserves esp for Republicans. the "born against" and "tea party" types have WAY too much influence in the outcome there. New Hampshire is the REAL first teat for candidates.
that being said, Ron Paul COULD win BOTH because of his strong long time supporter organization AND support from younger voters that like his Libertarian ideas.
The pernicious lie that "Ron Paul can't win" will be discredited and destroyed. The media's wailing, and gnashing of the teeth, and rending of the garments, will reach a new fever pitch. I expect strokes and seizures and heart attacks on-air. It will be glorious.
Ron Paul is the greatest thing to ever happen to the Republican Party. If he wins in Iowa you will see an attack on him from the so called Republican Party Establishment.
Why, they'll all come to their senses and realize that a platform based on both social and economic liberty with a small, constitutional Federal government is what the American people want and need, of course.
Oh, you were serious? They'll say Iowa doesn't matter, rehash old arguments against Paul when they're not able to ignore him outright, and Trump will amp up his threats to run third party.
If Paul wins it infuriate the rest of the candidates due to his stance on wanting to follow the Constitution before going to war. For some reason Romney and Newt like sending our young people to war despite the fact that neither of them served and even avoided the draft (Romney hid out in France- where's the media coverage of that?) while Paul did serve. Maybe Republicans will start supporting the troops as well since our troops donate more to Paul than the rest combined. That says a lot about what our troops want. And, one more thing, Paul is the ONLY candidate who can win the general election despite claims to the contrary. The Paul contingent is much larger than last time and we will not vote for corrupt politicians who change their stances with the wind. Out of the Repub field, that leaves only Paul. So most of us will vote for Paul in the general (along w/anti-war dems and independents) or we'll write him in. A crooked party who attacks the only constitutional candidate running will not have our support. We didn't vote for McCain, we won't vote for Newt, Romney, Santorum, Bachmann, Perry...the GOP needs our votes to win and they won't have them if they nominate one of those pandering clowns.
When Ron Paul wins in Iowa all the people who really like him, but didn't vote for him last time thinking that he couldn't get elected, will come out and vote for him in droves. It just goes to show if you're honest, and consistent long enough it pays off and you win!
Nothing, the neocon media machine will say the results are irrelevant and that Ron Paul has no chance at the nomination. The parade will move to the next hand picked candidate and the ignorant public will fall for it.
When Ron wins Iowa, it will be like a hit of pure oxygen compared to the stench thats covered this country since 1913 when the Federal Reserve invaded.
Nothing. Everyone will simply agree that Iowa never happened.
They will filibuster it.
The republican field will shrink. Bachmann will drop out with Santorum. Gingrinch should drop out as well! He's such a disgrace to the GOP, way worse than Romney's flipflopping record. I see Perry and Romney sticking around for a bit longer because they have the campaign funds to continue. Eventually they will drop out as well as Ron Paul continues to garner more support.
The Iowa caucuses mean nothing. In 2008 Hillary won for the Dems and Huckabee won for the GOP. There are a lot of fat ladies waiting to sing, but they wont be carrying a libertarian tune.
Nothing.....the GOP will continue to play musical chairs until they all fall down !
By winning Iowa, Ron Paul will prove that he is electable and that his ideas are not too far out of the mainstream. The Republican Party should be more welcoming to someone who pulls in far more young and independent voters than any other candidate in the field. If he wins in Iowa, watch out it New Hampshire! He's not that far behind in that state.
Ron Paul is the peoples choice and will win not only Iowa but the nomination and the presidency. Iowa is only the 1st shot in this revolution.
Ron Paul will take the momentum to New Hampshire, where he's already polling 2nd. Many mainstream pundits keep insisting that Ron Paul has great solutions but is not electable (the irony being great solutions are not electable). Paul has proven many times that he is in fact electable, but watch for the mainstream media, even now, trying to declare Iowa as irrelevant if Paul wins. That's a slap in the face of Iowa voters and the hundreds of thousands of Ron Paul supporters.
If Ron Paul wins Iowa, he is poised to do very well in New Hampshire, and that momentum will take him to Florida, South Carolina, and Nevada. Paul is in a very similar position McCain was in 2008, only difference, Paul has enough support from the Independents to defeat Obama in the general election.
A Ron Paul win in Iowa will force the Republican field, as well as Republicans currently serving in Congress, to start behaving like adults.
Nothing will happen if Ron Paul wins Iowa. Fitrst of all he's not going to win. If he does win that means that people are just as stupid as the ones that voted for Cain. The only people that are pushing and supporting Ron Paul are the Democrats and the Liberal Press. Ron paul is not electable. The Democrats would love to see him win the Republican nomination. Ain't going to happen. Other states will not support Ron Paul. He's too old, he is 76 years old, making him another old phart like McCain. Voters may be dumb but they're not stupid.
Ron Paul support comes for the people, NOT the banking cartel, NOT Wall St, NOT from a foreign government!
The American people are sick of WAR – we are sick of this insane monetary policy, and most of all, we are sick of the propaganda and lies...
The elite establishment of both parties fear a Ron Paul President and they will do everything they can to try and silence him... The coordinated main stream media attack in the last 24 hours is crystal clear to the people – I've received calls from friends today that weren't fully supporting Paul, but now they are because they see what the Elite machine is doing...
Ron Paul 2012 – Freedom, Liberty and Peace!
If Ron Paul wins in Iowa, the lock-step Republican mindset will kick in, and they will destroy him because the lowly peasant voters have chosen him. How dare the public get in the way of the Republican view of world domination through corruption. I hope he wins, and the Republican party self-destructs, because our nation will be the better for it.
The real question is: What will happen to the USA if Ron Paul becomes the President?
Only Ron Paul can save the USA during the coming financial and economic collapse.
Any other president (Republican or Democrat) and USA will be financially and economical bankrupt and may even fall apart.
Explanation: Only Ron Paul has the extreme approach to stop over-spending and to save the American dollar from collapse.
This old man has been through it all, same as I've been. We've both seen how this Nation has gone from a prospering independent society of "In God We Trust", family, freedom, land of opportunity to what it is now. His ideas may seem
somewhat crude and unsophisticated ( only because they're not interrupted correctly) but I know exactly where he's
coming from...and he's absolutely 100% correct. If he had his way this country could get it's footing back!!!!
Electing him as the Republican candidate to run against Obama may be their only chance. I'd almost bet ya he gets the vote of all the baby boomer's and older.
Unlike Buchanon, Paul is very well organized in NH and has very strong grass roots supporters that know the truth. Thus he will still get a bump in NH and the more venomous the establishment gets the more support Paul will recieve, because the truth will be obvious. After a decade the establishment will finally learn the hard way that blowback exists.
In one sense, nothing might happen other than maybe some damage to the Gingrich campaign. A lot of Republicans have probably come to terms with the fact that the only polished, establishment candidate they have is Romney – so they would never rally around a candidate like Paul who denounces the type of relentless closed mindedness that the GOP holds so dear. However, there's no denying that this could also be the turning point for the Paul campaign. With a major victory behind them, Paul's fervent supporters could carry over this success to other early primaries. Additionally, they could encourage a good deal of independent voters to come to the polls since Paul's positions appeal to a far more diverse group than any other candidate in the party. I think Paul getting the nomination is unlikely but certainly not impossible.
I think Ron Paul's message and Constitutionally sound principles are finally resonating with Americans who are tired of the status quo and want honest change in Washington. He stands a very good chance of winning the nomination, and I sincerely hope he does; he is the last best chance for America.
Far from Iowa being discredited, mainstream Republican radio and talk show hosts should widely be discredited and forced back to the Democrat party where they came from.
"""Carney points to Pat Buchanan's New Hampshire victory in 1996, where both the Republican establishment and the mainstream media rallied to end his campaign.""""
Yeah, but this time around we, the Ron Paul army, have the internet and we own it!!!
SO BRING IT!!
RON PAUL 2012!!!!
First of all, I am excited to see a member of CNN covering this. I think Dr. Paul will be vilified even more by those who have chosen to hate him before fully understanding his message, but also gain support in those who look into his views even more. I see it like this: Paul is like a huge meteor striking the earth (GOP), the party will fall apart and them come back together, united behind Paul. The simple, obvious, mathematical fact is that if they do not unite behind Dr. Paul, Obama will win.
It's a lose-lose for Paul haters.
Nathaniel H, Nauvoo (rural), Alabama.
If Ron Paul wins the Iowa Caucuses, then the good people of the Hawkeye will have shown that contrary to the GOP leadership and the Republican Party talking heads of the Mainstream Media, they believe in the traditional ideals of the Republican Party and Conservatism at large. They will show they believe in actual limited government, instead of a Party dominated by Christian evangelicals who believe in small government, until it conflicts with their moral values, and warmongerers, who think that the United States can continue to police the world and foment hatred abroad, but stay true to its Consitutional principles domestically. It will show that no matter what Sean Hannity says, Mark Levin says, Bill O'Reilly says, Dick Morris says, or Donald Trump says, character and integrity mean something, even if you disagree somewhat with a candidate's beliefs. Ultimately, Ron Paul winning Iowa will make the rest of the Republican field demonstrate how far removed they are from the principles they spout like advertisements. It will expose their hypocrisy further and only result in more principled support for the only principled candidate, the Good Doctor Ron Paul.
Conway, South Carolina
When Dr. Paul wins Iowa, all bets are off. The good people of NH will see that it is possible for Dr. Paul to win the nomination. They will gain courage, in knowing that they aren't the only ones wanting a Ron Paul win. They will vote in their primary just a few short days later. Once NH makes their decision for Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich will drop out of the race. The stragglers will stay in for a while, but it will ultimately be a contest between Romney, who will be on his last leg after losing both Iowa and NH, and the good Dr. Ron Paul.
Jack should read this.
What a Ron Paul win in Iowa will expose is the true unpopularity of the military industrial machine that has taken over all aspects of discourse within our great republic. I for one welcome the change and know many others who do as well. Continue to ignnore us at your own peril, we are the ninety-nine percent.
I was a young 13 y/o Pat Buchanan supporter in 96 when the GOP sunk its fangs into Pat after his New Hampshire victory. Witnessing that kept me from ever registering as a Republican. You can bet your hat that the same thing will take place again, when Paul wins Iowa. Paul's only chance is to weather the storm with his $ and loyal base, and somehow upset and win in New Hampshire too. For the good of the country, I pray that happens. If he doesn't it will be Romney's to lose. If he does, it will be a three horse race between Romney, Paul, and Perry.
Nathan, Memphis TN
Maybe, just maybe they would realize what the people really want and would push out the establishment and endorse Paul. When donkeys fly – it's up to the people. Kick the bums out.
Don't know and don't care – NONE of the current GOP field could beat Obama, especially with their Republican Congressional colleagues destroying thei own party from within at every turn. 2012 may very well be the END of the Republican Party.
Iowa will not change much of anything. Most of them will go on to the next circus and then move on the SC and Florida. This is the most pathetic field of wannabes that I've seen in my lifetime. But then again Congress is worse than pathetic and should all be fired. They remind me of a bunch of little kids who make out their Christmas list and then expect it to be delivered.
Embarrassment. Not for the fact that Ron Paul wins, but because the establishment candidates and media have lost all credibility with the average voter. How are we supposed to believe anything anymore, if the guy that wins the Iowa Caucus is still a "longshot" in the eyes of your TelePrompTer?
We will see a full fledged attack on Ron Paul if he wins Iowa. This is unfortunate for Republicans because most Paul supporters won't vote for another so-called conservative. After all, all the other candidates seem determined to start WWIII. You can hardly call that fiscal conservatism. I predict he will go on to win New Hampshire. Be sure to wear ear-plugs because you will hear the explosion of the heads of political pundits across America. They should be ashamed for their lack of coverage on Dr. Paul.
Council Bluffs, Iowa
First it was Perry, then Cain, Gingrich and now, Ron Paul. But nothing has really changed in that, like the others, he is unelectable in a general election. Be believes the earth is only 4,000 years old, that separation of church and sate is a myth. He denies climate change, believes the civil rights act had a negative impact on the country and that Social Security is a hindrance to freedom. And If he gets his way, we will pay for everything with gold coins around, which will require every business to have an assayist on staff. He's nice, but looney.
What will happen? Hopefully they will go away and realize that the good people of Iowa are NOT going to be swayed by the corrupt special interests of the mainstream media. Ron Paul is not running for power or prestige. He's running because he has been trying to warn the American public for 30 years about the dangers of not following the rule of law, and the financial collapse that is now on our doorstep. Continue to ignore him at your own peril. Michael in Texas
Seems to me that winning the Iowa caucuses on the Republican side has been the kiss of death in recent years. Take from that what you will.
There is no telling who will come out on top at the end of primary season. But if the GOP continues to attack and marginalize Ron Paul his ever growing base might not show up on election day in support of the eventual nominee. Unless, of course it is the good doctor himself. In which case, look out Obama!
Best case scenario would be that Sarah Palin would take a Paul win as a sign of the apocalypse and jump into the race, then it would get really interesting! Go Paul go!
Ron Paul appears to be the only Republican candidate with integrity; his oponents say whatever they think people want to hear. He is realistic on many of his foreign policy views; especially the futility of the Iraq and Afgan wars, and his definition of terroeism is criminal vs a war-type scenario(a war is between two natios, not between a government and an international organization).
But if he or any of the Republicans are elected and manage to push their agenda through to fruition unaltered, it will toll the death knell for the middle class in America. Their policies benefit only the "Power Elite."
The people are being educated because of Ron Paul. Don't you think that Iowa's ignorance of his potential win there would be even more of an eye-opener to the disgusting, biased and fear-mongering motives that is American politics, mainstream media and those politicians in the pockets of big government?
We have been tryibg to tell Congress we are sick and tried of their politucs as usual. I have send My Congress letters after letters to cut down the size of the Government. They do not listen to the people. Ron Paul knows exactly the Government this Country needs, and was outlined in the Constitution. He is the only one that took his Oath serious.
If Ron Paul wins, the media will bend over backwards to tell us how unimportant Iowa is and in the same move smear his name to prevent him from winning New Hampshire.
If Ron Paul gets the nomination, the Republican party will grow enormously, while million dollar lobbyists will be summarily fired by their corporate masters. Those presently in power did not get to the Hill and beyond as magnanimous champions of liberty. They too will be looking for work.
I don't really care. I feel it is my duty as an American to choose my canidate based on his record and his policies. Let the chips fall where they may.
Unfortunately, there will be a circling of the establishment wagons. Fox is already playing the "discount Iowa" if Paul wins. The funny thing is, wasn't Dr. Paul supposed to have hit his ceiling months ago? First it was 8 or 10% then it was 12 and 14% and more recently it is 18 – 20 and 23%. Now his ceiling is a strong finish or victory in Iowa. I think a lot of the anti-Paul GOP refuses to endorse him because to do so would make them hypocritical on several (seemingly) traditional republican positions (foreign policy). It's a shame because Ron Paul represents real change and a real limited govt. approach, that frankly makes a better case for it than any other republican running. In addition, to bringin hordes of former Obama voters with him (yours truly).
The two major parties cannot and will not allow a candidate like Paul to go against Obama in the general election. They have a vested interest in restricting real, meaningful debate. Imagine Paul calling Obama out on his 180 on the Patriot Act, on Assasinating American Citizens, on the Wall Street bailouts, on stacking his administration with ex Goldman Sachs employees etc...
Instead we will get the same platitudes and slogans we did in 2008, people will be offered a "choice" to replace lung cancer with liver cancer, and the patient will continue dying a slow and painful death. Now if you'll excuse me, Jersey Shore is on.
-Andy, Fort Worth, TX
Ron Paul is neither a Republican or Democrat, but rather, a hybrid with the ability to bring all Americans together with his lifelong message of Liberty and plan to restore our country to greatness again.
If Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses then he will be elevated into the top tier of GOP candidates, giving him the platform to reintroduce voters across the country to "traditional conservative" values. Such principles, having been abandoned by the Republican party for decades, can now offer the real change to Washington that many citizens are demanding.
I think it would be great, Ron Paul is angry, I'm fed up with the road that Obama has led this country down, as I'm sure Ron Paul is also, we need change for the better. The other candidates are same o, same o !! Ron Paul has good insight and good ideas.. He has my vote !!....
It's been said, and I feel this is happening in the GOP race with DR. Paul, that "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win." We are entering into the fighting stage. The establishment is shaking in their boots knowing that Dr Paul represents REAL change for America. They will throw everything at him including the kitchen sink. It's unfortunate that they do not have a leg to stand on...
Paul's platform is the Consitution it's that simple.
Restore the Republic
When Ron Paul wins Iowa he will be ignored and Romney's 2nd place finish will be a blow to Newt's campaign. What will really shock the GOP base is if Ron Paul can get enough support in New Hampshire and if Romney does not win New Hampshire. We will see the GOP scrambling to find a way to get Romney back in the running. The People will speak. I don't want to hear who can and cannot win, that's the reason I Vote!
If Paul wins nothing changes except that he will become the primary target of the attack ads. That's the Republican way. Paul is niether a racist nor a conspiracy theorist. He's just plain old fashioned crazy. And there are hundreds of video clips out there to feed the slander machine. What great spectator sport. Things haven't been this much fun since the days of the Colleseum.
"People in Iowa are rallying around someone who, for the first time in a long time, represents real change. And that has to scare the hell out of both parties."
If both parties are scared, then I am in heaven. Both parties have been the same ever since my birth – Obama looking like Bush more and more every month. That being said, all of my political donations, time, energy, and votes will go to Ron Paul. Liberty is near.
Myrtle Beach, SC What I'm hoping is that Ron Paul wins the general election and them immediately leaves the GOP and starts a new party, The Constitution Party., Indy's, Dems and Repubs will flock because they know they are fired if they don't
Zach Curtis – Myerstown PA
Jack, if Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses all will change. His GOP opponents suddenly will agree that government spends too much, that we can't be policemen to the world and that liberty is a good thing. Well, I can dream can't I?
Sacramento, CA 95814
I apologize for misreading the question.
If Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses, and places first or second in New Hampshire, he will either win the nomination or split the GOP into oblivion. The powers that be should take this into consideration. I was an independent who joined the party two months ago because of Paul. My wife and daughter too. And both my parents were democrats until last September, because of Paul. How can the GOP not understand? Easy.
If he wins Iowa the media will crucify him. He probably wont win later primaries but will finish solidly 2nd or 3rd. He will declare himself as a third party alternative and become the republicans version of Ralph Nader
Every single Ron Paul supporter I know (myself included) will not vote for anyone else but Ron Paul. If he is not nominated we will either stay home, write his name in, or vote for Obama. You war mongering neo-con thugs can count on that!
I think Ron Paul could see a huge national surge. Let's put it this way, when Ron Paul gets support his supporters never switch like the status quo flavor of the month candidates and Ron Paul's message of freedom is infectious. Keep in mind Ron Paul got to first in Iow with less media coverage than all of the other candidates. If Ron Paul once Iowa we can expect his media coverage to double if not more than that and once his message starts spreading it is not going to stop and he may very well get the GOP nomination and beat Obama in the general election.
Reposted with address...Bellevue, WA
Ron Paul is neither a Republican or Democrat, but rather, a hybrid with the ability to bring all Americans together utilizing his lifelong message of Liberty and plan to restore our country to greatness again.
If Ron Paul wins, Newt will likely be done. He doesn't have the money or ground support to carry his campaign. Something nobody brings up that if Ron Paul loses the primary, Gary Johnson will likely be the Libertarian nominee and the person that Ron Paul endorses in the general election. Gary Johnson will certainly hand New Mexico to Obama, and with a significant amount of Ron Paul supporters, could siphon off 5% of the national vote.
Ann Arbor, MI
The field will parot Paul's message while the GOP brain trust does all it can to ignore or ridicule Paul's campaign. Paul is anti war. That is the main reason the GOP won't get behind him. That is why the people are behind him. Iowa is only the beginning. God bless Dr Paul.
Jon in PA
A win in Iowa will prove Dr. Paul's broad appeal, with the media and GOP downplaying the win, and angering his base. This will cause another wave of grass roots support, cash inflows, and staying power. It's starting to look like Ronald Reagan all over again. If he makes it to the CA primary, Dr. Paul will be our next president.
Jack, we already know what will happen when he wins. The question we should be asking is what will happen if he doesn't win. The answer: the freedom movement will grow exponentially stronger-when big government, corrupt officials, and biased media continue to abuse and ignore the will of the people, history shows, that revolutions begin!!
I appreciate your fair coverage of Dr. Ron Paul. It’s all about greed, payola and corporatism. The people are sick of these endless wars and corporate bailouts used by the establishment to siphon money from the American tax payer and line the pockets of a small group of people and politicians. Have you noticed that the wars and welfare never stops no matter who is in power Democrat or Republican? They hate Ron Paul because they know he will not play ball and their flow of money is going to be greatly diminished so they will distort and fabricate in order to destroy him. Once a person decides they have had enough and becomes a supporter of Ron Paul they are solidly behind him and will not change for anyone else especially those candidates the MSM are trying tell us are electable.
Your column is spot on. There is Ron Paul and everyone else, aka the status quo. The Republican Party is flirting with extinction if they don't change course and embrace the young people flocking to Ron Paul's campaign. The internet has opened up avenues of sharing and communicating that did not exist just a few short years ago and the Paul campaign has harnessed that force far more effectively than any other candidate.
The leadership of both political parties and the MSM is rapidly losing their ability to shape and control the message and that is why they are lashing out, much like a dying animal. Their attempts to ignore and smear Ron Paul are becoming so obvious that even people who did not initially support Ron Paul are taking a long hard second look. Whatever happens in the next few months is not going to change the fact that Ron Paul has already changed the political landscape and the Republicans and Democrats ignore this trend at their own peril.
What do you mean if Jack? Ron Paul IS going to win Iowa caucus and the establishment media is scrambling to find any way to discredit the results. It seems like a bad case of deja vu with his previous 15 straw poll victories along with two consecutive CPAC poll wins, which have all been ignored. The real question is Jack, how much longer can the establishment media keep the masses blind to Ron Paul?
Jack it's beginning to look like the country is ready for a change of politics:
Ron Paul on Jay Leno: His Best Video Ever; Paul Soars into the Lead in Iowa Polls; Paul Passes Gingrich in New Hampshire!
Many people have serious misconceptions about who Ron Paul is and what he stands for. In a riveting video on the Jay Leno show, to a wildly enthusiastic audience, Ron Paul explains his position on numerous subjects.
"WE" all know it ain't over til the 'fat' lady sings!
If Ron Paul wins Iowa many in the mainstream media will continue to embarrass themselves by pretending that it doesn't matter if Ron Paul wins anything. We supporting Ron Paul for President will notch the win and keep on working. We've got an election to win here. The laggers will come along eventually.
Thanks for telling it like it is, Jack. Ron Paul scares the hell out of both parties, why? Because he'll end their irresponsible wars and deficit spending, just like a Grandfather would chastise teenagers out of control. They know it, and they don't like it, and they intend to throw every obstacle at him they can. Truth and honesty may just win the day!
If Ron Paul wins in Iowa, it will be a slap in the face to the establishment and the majority in the main stream media (not you Mr. Cafferty), who believe THEY should choose our candidate for us. If Ron Paul wins, more Americans will hear his philosophy, which is so refreshing and powerful, a message which the media has not been covering, but through word of mouth and the internet has begun to spread like wild fire! Liberty, Peace, and Prosperity! Ron Paul 2021!!
Hopefully, they will all drop out and concede that Ron Paul has been, and continues to be, the most principled and honest candidate the GOP has to offer. But alas, principles and honesty aren't high among that party's priorities.
Interesting question, since he does not draw from the Christian Conservative base, he may be around longer than the usual Iowa winning wingnut. While one would hope they will all go away, that really depends on their ability to raise money. If Gingrich, Santorum, Huntsman and Bachmann don't earn any delegates by Florida, they are out. If Paul wins beyond Iowa, this could get interesting.
Ron Paul IS a Third party inside the Republican Party. The sooner they realize this, the better, if they truly want to OCCUPY the White House. Ron Paulers are voting the MAN and his Message not because he is a republican. If the Republican Party doesn't get behind him and choose to falsely prop up any other candidate, they will lose all of the Ron Paul supporters.
If Ron Paul wins Iowa & is second in NH. The voters will finally have a choice that is not between the lesser of two evils. Voters will have a real choice between a fiscal conservative peace candidate (Ron Paul) or a spend us into oblivion war candidate (Romney, Gingrich, Bachman, Perry, Santorum, Bush, Palin, and most importantly, OBAMA).
Pre-emptive war is a crime against humanity.
The Libertarian Party may, of course, collapse if he winds up being the nominee, since I can't see them running a candidate against him. Americans Elect may just nominate Romney if Paul wins the GOP. Of course, if Paul wins the GOP and Clinton wins Americans Elect, the establishment may go for Obama.
Personally, I am hoping all the Republicans will combust. However, it will most likely turn out to be more of the samo-samo. What disenfranchises me is the thought that police line-up (sorry Newt) is the best that the Republicans can come up with.
Ron Paul will just keep doing what he is already doing, spreading his message through grassroots organization. There is a media suggestion that a Paul win somehow discredits Iowa and Iowans first in the nation status... Have those same critics pondered that perhaps, it really discredits them and their propaganda, and not the Iowans at all?
What will happen? MAYBE the media will stoop to covering his campaing & give Ron equal time in the debates to show his huge differences from Romney & Gingrich. If that happens, then millions of people will register republican so that they can vote for Ron Paul. Ron's message of peace, liberty & sound money crosses all demographics & if the media EVER covered him decently (don't mean you Mr. Cafferty) we might have the most interesting debate in over 100 years when he meets Obama as the republican nominee. Cynthia Kennedy, Virginia City, Nevada
If Ron Paul wins in Iowa the GOP will have to take his presidential bid with the seriousness that it deserves. Yes the attacks will come, but the soon the GOP realizes that Ron Paul is the only candidate that has a real plan for the economy, support from the military and the moral fortitude to be a great American leader.
There are millions of people out there who say "I love Ron Paul, but he can't win". A win at the Iowa caucuses changes the game entirely, and Paul's momentum will be unstoppable. At that point, the GOP will have to make a decision. Do they want a President Paul or four more years of Barack Obama? By their actions, I daresay they would prefer Obama to be re-elected.
If Ron Paul were to win Iowa, it would mean the people in Iowa are actually paying attention and do have a voice in wanting an end to the constant wars and empire building, it would mean they respect the constitution and are tired of being fooled into the belief the status quo will get us anywhere but further down a rat hole. It would also show that they have educated and for some re-educated themselves on what made this country something to be proud of originally. It would also signify that the revolution which was fought so many years ago was still relevant today and that they will no longer be part of the chumptifying of America.
From what I have seen and heard from Ron Paul, he is the only one telling America the truth whether or not America is willing to hear it. All politicians should be hooked up to lie detectors when they speak. It would make the campaigns VERY interesting.
Jack, we all know what will happen when ron Paul wins. The question should be what will happen if ron Paul doesn't. The freedom movement will only grow stronger. When big government, corrupt politicians, and biased media continues to abuse and ignore the will of the people, history shows, revolutions begin!
What will happen is that people will question the media's mantra that Ron Paul's not electable. Balderdash! Here's a man, a true statesman, who takes positions on principles, no matter how unpopular they are. Imagine standing up at a Republican debate like the one in Sioux City and proclaiming that we should not be instigating war with Iran, correctly citing the lack of evidence from the IAEA (Bachman was wrong on this). When did we become a nation in love with war? I'm a baby boomer like you, Jack, opposed to the Vietnam War on principle, and it is so refreshing to hear a wise voice for peace among the cacophony of the warmongering neocons.
What will happend to the republican field? If it is a field in Iowa, they are in big trouble, and we know already they are in big trouble, their caucus (carcass) is a parade with only one gracing the audience, Mr. Paul. But then, Jack, we got troubles right here in River City!
Jack, voters will undoubtedly have to take Ron Paul more seriously, especially if he goes on to win New Hampshire. However, the fact many other states have closed primaries and caucuses will hurt Paul's support base as many of his supporters will not even have a chance to vote for Paul for the nomination. It is an unfortunate result of our electoral system. If nothing else though, a win in Iowa would show that libertarians in the GOP DO still exist.
Worst group of candidates for president in my life time. The Republicans ran everybody with a brain or a heart out of the party. Only nuts and idiots and the greedy are left. I hope they decide to have a funeral and put the GOP in the box. I hope the Democratic Convention salutes Lincoln, Teddy Roosevelt, and Eisenhower. There is clearly a need for a party of the people, for the people, not the rich and Big Business. RIP the GOP.
The media has a hard enough time reporting the news. They completely suck at predicting it. Wait and see.
If Ron Paul wins Iowa the GOP learns what it has failed to admit for so long: They must change. Big government intrusion is committed by Republicans just as much as Democrats. Ron Paul is the Obama of the Republicans, only likely to do more.
I suspect that Romney's support will remain the same. It always stays the same. Gingrich will give in to his baser instincts and roast Ron Paul over an open spit. Perry will stay something stupid. Bachmann will say something crazy. Huntsman and Santorum will do something, but no will care or even pay attention.
It will be another reminder that money talks.His victory will prove that the Republicans want a war with Iran and Paul doesn't . Who do you think will win common sense or the military contractors?
Ron Paul is just different enough that both parties will attack him. I would bet that the Republican party might secretly push someone to run as a 3rd party candidate, otherwise, Obama will have won himself a 2nd term.
Pundits will downplay Paul's victory as expected, but Paul's momentum will lead him to a win in New Hampshire which cannot be ignored. For those of us who supported him in 2008 this is a very exciting conversation to have.
John Stewart on the Daily show pointed out how they laughed at R.P. when Palin and Cain were headliners; and now Paul is finally getting his due as a legitimate, serious threat. He may not win much besides Iowa, but he's finally being taken seriously.
My guess is the headline will read "Frontrunner Romney manages 2nd in Iowa Caucus, Gingrich falls to 3rd" as the Dinosaur Media will continue to pretend he doesn't exist or at least isn't relevant. The GOP and Media Establishment ignore the Ron Paul Revolution at their own peril, and if they do so it will only further their demise. Kudos to you Jack for being one of the few honest journalists left!
Los Angeles, CA
I think it would be great if he wins in Iowa. He has a lot of good ideas. It's a shame he doesn't believe in evolution, without that he can't get my vote.
Ultimately, I'm hoping that this is just Ron Paul's turn at the top, but we'll end up with Huntsman.
Jack: Both Paul and Gingrich are rebels and represent real change that threatens both the left and the right. Is it really any wonder the political establishment feel threatened?
Ideally it would wake up the Republican Party to realize that Ron Paul is just what this country needs: a libertarian. He is the only true conservative in that he wants government out of our business, but if the government shrinks that would mean that states could pass their own abortion legislations and even allow gay marriage. The Republican party can't allow that to happen!
Nothing... our politics is already bought and paid for!
America will once again be on the road to liberty!
The fact that politician is scared of Ron Paul while the majority of the Americans love him says a lot
M. Maonga, NC
What will happen to the Republican Field if Ron Paul wins the Iowa Caucus? When that happens, it will finally become clear that the American people are sick and tired of the same ol' game in Washington. Obama campaigned on his "change", only to be poisoned by the lobbyists, industrial complex. Ron Paul has campaigned on the same thing for 30 years, I have full faith in his abilities to finally take this country in the right direction.
It will be a strong wake-up call to the voters that have been buying the B.S. that the pundits have been selling. Ron Paul's win will highlight that the voter decides who is electable, not the clueless pundits.
Attention will turn from newt to Ron Paul. Newt would be happy about that.
A win in Iowa will just be more momentum heading into the primary in New Hampshire. The mainstream media have repeatedly said over the years that Dr. Paul isn't electable...well, guess they were wrong and I guess they're in for a long ride.
"It would mean the would have to borrow off Peter, then use it to gamble on their next move. Either way a Republican will be your next President?"
The fact that every politician is scared of Ron Paul while the majority of the Americans love him says a lot!
He will represent the TRUE change to Washington in January 20th, 2013
When Ron Paul wins Iowa - Santorum is gone, Bachman gone unless she's second or third, Perry same thing, even Gingrich same thing, gone if not in top three. Mitt will last, of course, so there will be three left - Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and third place finisher. Four, I guess, if Romney comes in fourth - the second and third finisher would stay in the race along with Ron Paul.
from Indianapolis IN, if Ron Paul wins, there is hope for America. If not, Mark my words, we will end up like Nazi Germany.
I will very proudly be supporting Ron Paul at the Caucuses... and if he wins, and anyone tries to spin that in an attempt to diminish the significance of that victory, they'll do so at their own peril. We Iowans won't sit back silently and let that happen.
Ron Paul is about 80% right about things, which is about eighty times better than other Republican or Democratic presidential candidates. I like him.
Jack, if I didn't know better I would swear you are a Ron Paul supporter coming out of the closet. Thanks for joining the Revolution Jack! In Liberty and Peace! Ron Paul 2012!
Ron Paul is the only consistent Republican candidate. He can't be bought unlike the others. If he wins the Iowa caucuses the republicans field with be threaten with a candidate that they simply cannot control with money. His morals are still intact, unlike the others running.
The United States NEEDS a man like Ron Paul in office.
I believe it will propel Dr. Paul to a first place finish in New Hampshire, deflating the Gingrich campaign and setting up a brutal two man race between Romney and Paul.
I am a 44 year old male that has voted party line since 18. No more, I will vote for real change this time whether Paul is a Republican or an Independent. I truly believe in Dr. Paul's message.
It won't matter. His views, although I agree with many of them, are too radical for the general population of the GOP. Ultimately it will be a Romney-Obama race.
Iowa's Republican Caucus results are meaningless and this is coming from someone who was born and raised in Iowa. Let's see here, past winners of the Iowa Republican Caucuses include Mike Huckabee, Bob Dole in 1988 when he did not win the nomination, And George H.W. Bush in 1980 when he did not win. Even Pat Robertson had a strong showing at number 2 in Iowa in 1988. Iowa has no effect in the eventual winner but it does effect the fundraising ability of the candidates. If you do not place in the top three or four, your campaign fundraising abilities will be almost non existent and you will most likely have to drop out of the race.
I think we'll probably end up having a 3rd party candidate, but I am very happy that a man who tells the truth is so popular.
It will mean a total reset to the GOP race, Jack, completely shuffling everything that's gone before: all those debates? Meaningless. The millions spent on campaign ads, focus groups, strategic planning, etc? Wasted. All for nought and benefitting no one
Much Ado about Nothing. Paul and Santorum are the only men of integrity in the Republican Race. The Partys are ruining the Democratic Process by deciding who wins, not the people.
This includes the Media who have given little coverage to Paul. We are told that Paul can't win, won't be the candidate. Maybe the people have decided otherwise. Power to the people, all the people, not just the elite.
I'm not sure what will happen, but it's got to be better than what's happening now. The GOP needs a loud, clear message that they are way off track, and nobody can deliver that whack up side the head more emphatically than Ron Paul.
That would be the first step in fixing our broken political system and bringing some common sence to Washing DC. The federal goverment is too big and has its hands in too many aspects of our lives. If ron Paul wins in Iowa, maybe that will send a message to all politicians that it is no longer "Business as Usual".
From Iowa I am not voting for Mr. Paul though he makes more since than most of the others he will not win he is to honest and stands on his principals to much, he has not wavered from his views in the entire time in office he dose not know any thing but the truth. He is the leader of his own party and with out exception no one is close to him. We will elect a liberal like newt or mitt and with any luck Santorum and Bachman will be no shows Perry and Huntsman are the jesters of the party this year. As a voting republican I am ashamed of what we are offering the nation for leadership this time, did not think we could do worst than last time. We do not need a government bureaucrat in office we need a hard line fiscal conservative that is willing to leave god to the preachers to deal with on Sunday. We need a leader that understand where our borders are and understand how to protect them from the inside as well the out side. Mr. Paul will be second in Iowa and a liberal will be first
Council Bluffs Ia.
If Ron Paul wins Iowa, a trumpet will sound and the conservative movement will witness the second coming of Ronald Reagan.
The GOP could run the risk of becoming relevant if Ron Paul wins Iowa. They are such a party that grows more out of touch each day and don't seem to understand that candidates like Ron Paul could throw thé decrepit GOP a lifeline. Not embracing progress is so consistent for the party of "NO."
If Ron Paul wins, I would expect the questions about his "unelectability" to really begin to be questioned by the American people. As a result I would expect his 2nd place status in New Hampshire to really challenge Mitt Romney's hold on the state and lead to a win in New Hampshire, making this a race to remember. Neocons will pull all the stops at that point and people will have to really ask themselves if they want more of the same or do they want true liberty and freedom.
Jack, I am 100% Democrat—but am on the same sheet of music as Ron Paul 50% of the time—particularly regarding reducing our military empire—the other 50% he is one of the greatest minds of the 8th Century—re Iowa, it means the Republicans are living in the 8th Century–
Jack, if Ron Paul wins Iowa, it will give him the momentum to win New Hampshire, Florida, and eventually the nomination. Then we can talk about whether he can beat Obama.
Jack, A win by Representative Paul in Iowa will only further confirm that the Republican Party is grossly out of touch with the challenges facing America. His libertarian theories are the epitome of the "Do Nothing" GOP in the House. The federal government is the only entity large enough to combat the disastrous results of the Bush great recession, and now is not the time to elect a "hands off" President. A Paul win in Iowa should embarass all Americans who remember when the GOP was once a serious political party.
Political Ploy-would be the win of Ron Paul in the Iowa Caucus. Iowan Republican voters need to "VOTE" and not use the causus to vent their displeasure. The real danger to Iowa Republicans would be the appearance of a non-meaningful primary. Ron Paul is doing a dis-service to anyone who would vote for him. Just use Ross Perot as an example. He hurt President Bush and we had to experience Clinton!
Probably the same thing that happened when Huckabee won Iowa.
I'd love to see Ron Paul win the Republican Primary, then have a series of debates with Barack Obama. That would make for a very interesting Presidential Election 2012.
Dr. Ron Paul will never win the powers that be wont let it happen even thought hes the best man for the job. Ron Paul is a leader and his views will take us out of this hell and bring us back to an America we are proud of.
If they are smart they will back him and through Ventura on and win. However they do not want anyone they can not control for their bases agenda..which is save the 1% from the 99%..
Ron Paul can win a caucus, but what about an Election? You have to remember, who controls the ballot boxes?...I am an Obama supporter who voted for Paul in the primaries in Texas in 08'. Paul and his supporters are full of idealism and that is refreshing coming from the right....but, once people go behind the curtains to vote....realism sets in. I've seen elections stolen, rigged, and taken to the courts in my over 20 year political career...Paul is too idealistic for the Republican primary voter. He should run as an independent
The Republican party will use its financial power, via bombardment of the airways, media spin, and good old fashioned mudslinging to bury a candidate that could bring fresh ideas, Stewardship and a non-insider view of Washington.
As history unfortunately has demonstrated, the candidate with the most money in their campaign coffers usually wins!
I'm a democratic and I absolutely love Ron Paul. I like how he doesn't revolve his views on what the core Republican base wants to hear.Which is refreshing to say the least. However, if he wins he'll just be ignored of course since he's not catering to the demands of the Tea party, which is the rock that is sinking the Republican party.
It'll will be just the same. The Republicans are having a hard time coming up with anybody that can win. Maybe they just want Obama to win and they can sit back and complain for four more years. My wife is more cooperative then these guys.
If Ron Paul wins it will be like the coming of the Lord. It will be a political earthquake that will shake the nation and then, after the earthquake the people will look around and see "How can we put America back together?" The difference between Ron Paul and the other politicians is that he can touch the untouchouable, and the other politicians are in touch with their parties and not the people.
It means nothing. The key here is to remove Obama from office. America doesn't need 4 more years of Obama's socialist policies. He has turned America into a food stamp/welfare nation. An Iowa Ron Paul victory means nothing.
The Republican establishment loves to spread 'democracy' all over the globe, but when the grassroots rejects the establishment approved candidates, then democracy is somehow flawed. Absolutely perplexing logic by the GOP insiders. They would rather lose an election than nominate an actual conservative.
What will happen to the Republican field? I'm no politician, nor am I a political expert, but let me tell you this: I'm a 19 year old registered Democrat from a very liberal suburb of Washington, DC in the State of Maryland (i.e., a very, very democratic state in the country), and I am poised to change my party affiliation to Republican just so I can vote for none other than Ron Paul in the primary when it comes here. If a Republican candidate can win the vote of a young, Democratic voter from a Democratic state, from two lifelong Democratic parents who never voted Republican in their life, I'd hate to be anyone else running for president in this election cycle.
I do not think it will make a difference who wins, it will be Oboma in the end. The people of America are tired of being the honey bee that builds the nest only to be stung by the queen be every time they try to enter. But if I had to choose someone over Oboma, witch I will not do. It would not be anyone in the Republican circus clown party I would choose independent, it would have to be Ron Paul.
Truth hurts and thats what Ron Paul stands for.He,s the most intelligent and outspoken candidate.I don,t see him winning though because he doesn,t suppot Israel and elections are not won in iowa and New hamphire.Will vote for him though.RON PAUL 2012.
A Ron Paul win in Iowa should be good for the GOP and the should all rally behind him because he will be the candidate that wants to dissolve the Federal Reserve. Isolate the USA from the rest of the world and Probably would like to go back to the gold standard and the late 1890s for that matter. His ideas are worse than those of the Bush/Cheney administration.
Well then more Democrats and Independents will continue to join the Ron Paul Revolution for Liberty,truth, and real change.
After Paul wins the Iowa caucuses things will get interesting, fast; so fast it'll surprise the GOP...Gingrich's candidacy will be a very damaged one, but he'll hang around for another three weeks. Romney will be thrilled to finish ahead of Gingrich, but will be humiliated in New Hampshire: he'll find that the Establishment has: 1. lost its patience with his inability ever to rise in poll percentage; 2. fear of Ron Paul. The Establishment will back Huntsman in N.H., with Paul, Huntsman, and Romney finishing in N.H. in that order. Bachmann leaves, endorses Mitt. Santorum leaves, endorses Huntsman. Further down the line, after Florida, Gingrich will finally quit and endorse Huntsman, and Perry, in a surprise, eventually endorses Ron Paul. Down the road, Romney finally quits and endorses Huntsman. Ron Paul wins California. The national convention will be brokered...Ron Paul will get the GOP nomination.
Tominellay, originally from Los Angeles, California, now retired and living in Zadar, Croatia – I enjoy your show, Jack! BTW, I'm voting for peace and sound money...
If Paul wins Iowa, hopefully the parties will realize that the Iowa voters and their quaint process wis given more attention than it warrants. The GOP has turned the entire primary process into a shambles with the way delegates are awarded and odd rules. Back to Iowa history shows it is hardly a predictor. It will be fun to hear the spin when Paul crushes Bachmann. If the primary process drags out (and it will) the Republicans will beat each other up and fracture the party making beating Obama impossible. I would not be surprised to also see losses in the House with the currently leadership making Nancy look like statesman.
If Ron Paul wins, a few 3rd tier candidates will drop out, and all the momentum will continue In Ron Paul's favor. If he wins, the primary will mean nothing, and the whole process will be marginalized, if one of the others win, it will be a great, and game changing victory.
Another version ...
If Ron Paul wins Iowa ... a trumpet will sound, all Iowa Republicans will be lifted up into the air, and the nation will witness the second coming of Ronald Reagan.
I write from Houston Texas, so Ron Paul is my Congressman. Despite that, Instead of holding favorable bias for my congressman, I actually scrutinized him before putting my support behind him. That said, I believe Ron Paul will win the Iowa Caucus, and it is not absurd at all to think that he will get the nomination this time round. Third time is the charm after all, and perhaps with his nomination people will realize how insane the Republican war mongering field is, as the only option they will have is to seem even more crazy to attract more extremely conservative votes and evangelical voters. Ron Paul has the youth vote down, and hopefully the sensible and sane Republican voters will follow suit with the youth.
Unfortunately, nothing. The GOP smear machine will go into high gear, discount the Iowa Caucuses and push one of the other empty suits to win New Hampshire (except Huntsman, who they SHOULD nominate). But, If Ron Paul wins Iowa and New Hampshire, I see them scrambling to find an alternative candidate not in their current pu pu platter of kooks. And, the Democrats can watch it all play out as the GOP implodes.
What we really need is a amendment that puts all caucuses and primaries on the same day 8 weeks from the november election, so more independent thinkers like ron paul would have a chance to break through.
A new incentive policy at Fox News will be released: anyone who can find substantial and CREDIBLE information to smear Ron Paul with will receive 1 million dollars, per week, for the rest of their life...
Ron Paul has been asked many times would he back the GOP nominee if he did not win the GOP nomination. Now for the first time that the media has exposed Paul's ability to win, the GOP is acting like a spoiled little brat that aren't getting their way. It's the GOP's responsibility to stand behind the peoples choice of a candidate. Goes to show they never took him seriously up until now. I think the GOP's response is childish, imature, and should be disbanned if this is the way they are going to act, by spearheading attacks at their own candidate within their own party.
Of course Ron Paul would never win the general election, but a win for him in Iowa would serve notice on the GOP about how much disarray their party is in. Paul is certainly not on the same page with most Republicans, so a win for him shows the other candidates aren't either.
It will be a Ronmentum into the White House.
Dr. Paul is the only choice. Does anyone care about the constitution anymore? Turn off the news and read. Get to the real topics that will make real change. End The Federal Reserve, no more imperialistic wars, cut down big government to its intended size. His record speaks for itself. So back to the question at hand..What will happen to the Republican field? The media and both parties will do everything possible to stop him. Nothing new.
It will wake up the country, and that is what the elitists fear the most. Ron Paul is the champion of the people, by the people, and for the people!
Nothing will happen if Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucus. It will be between creepy Mitt and creepy Newt for the republican nomination. The last time Huckabee won the Iowa caucus, and the republicans nominated McCain, who chose self-immolation by picking the loon from Alaska, Palin, as his running mate.
This is a republican event, and whoever wins in Iowa doesn't guarantee that the rest of the country will follow, sheep-like, after this pied piper. Paul is just as nutty as the rest of them. He doesn't believe in government, but serves in government. He doesn't believe in gov't health care (medicare and medicaid), but he gets government health care. He's a hypocrite, just like the rest of them. And he's an follower of Ayn Rand, which is enough to turn me off of him completely re his ability to lead this country.
He wins Iowa, it will be discounted as meaningless, as they are already starting to say. If he wins New Hampshire, which is possible, they will murder him. I think they will do it hoping to provoke his supporters to violence so they can discredit the entire Liberty movement. I hope it does not work, but it just may. God save us all if this happens.
76, 76, 76, ..He's 76 and will be 77 on election day. How many naps will he require during the day if he wins in 2012?
Ron P has some great ideas outside the box, Sending home all overseas troops,Etc. hopefully Americans will look at him more and The media too
Ron Paul today, represents what the Republican party stood for many years ago, when they represented both the upper middle class and the elite. Now they represent strictly business interests, and have abanndoned all but the upper .5%. I was born and reared Republican, but I will never vote for any of the mainstream Republican candidates again, as they have prostituted themselves. They have lost my vote, period. Go Ron Paul!
Who is Ron Paul?
IIt's already begun. The Establishment/Status Quo Corporate-controlled media has already begun recirculating the same old tired racism smear campaign that has been addressed numerous times since the 1980's. Ron Paul is almost guaranteed to win Iowa and he's on-track to win in New Hampshire as well. They've been trying to discredit every win Ron Paul gets, soon they're going to run out of things to discredit because his support is going viral and he just raised $4.2 million dollars over the past 50 hours.
Should Ron Paul win the Iowa Caucus next month, the establishment controllers of the will most likely insert a new candidate into the mix who is not such a "designated loser" as the rest of the field, just so Ron Paul can be defeated as the Republlican nominee for President ... someone such as Jeb Bush or similar. Regardless of who the Republican nominee is, the establishment controllers with their electronic voting machines will select Obama once again as the President in 2012 to continue carrying out their agenda as he has do dutifully done so far.
Port Orange, FL
It will mean as much as the winner of the Iowa straw pole... i.e. nothing.
If the Republicans truly want to win the White House, they will nominate Ron Paul. Ron Paul is the only Republican that Democrats, especially those who are unhappy with Obama, will vote for.
the tears will flow and they will have to see their head doctors.
The truth is already on the table; the governor of Iowa has already dismissed a Ron Paul 1st place. The Others running in the GOP have nothing to worry about, the MSM will cover their problems, making RP disappear.
How much longer is the media going to ignore him? 4 years ago, and now, the guy was wildly popular, and has never strayed from his position on money, foreign policy, and domestic issues.
Let's stop with this two party clown show and elect somebody with brains.
It would be a great start to finally getting long over-due recognition and respect by pundits and a mass portion of the American public that has been influenced by the shameless, deeply biased Main Stream Media! I am not certain how it would affect the Republican party, but it would open the door to "We the People" and allow many to see that this 2-party politics is what has gotten us into this mess, I see little difference between the two major parties, and open people's minds of a third party option. Ron Paul is running in an attempt to save our country and not to inflate his bank acounts and gain more power as all the other politicians, both Democrat and Republic seem to be! We will probably NOT survive as "America" if obama gets another term, electing him in the first place is the biggest mistake that Americans have made in quite a while! Time to clean house! (The White House and Congress!)
The national leadership will try to dismiss the win and ignore him like they have done for weeks.
However, as more people educate themselves on the issues the good Doc stands for, they see the only hope for our future liberty and freedom lie in his policies NOT the mainstream Republican OR Democratic policies!!!
Ron Paul’s success calls the Republican Party leadership’s bluff. For 30 years it has claimed to be the Party of “smaller government”. In those 30 years government has grown seven-fold (from around $500 Billion in 1980 to over $3.5 Trillion today). For many of those 30 years, Republicans have controlled the Presidency and/or have had majorities in one or both houses of Congress. Yet government still grew.
If the Republican Party’s Establishment chooses to try to destroy Ron Paul, they risk making the obvious explicit – That the party hacks care nothing about smaller government, and care everything about is their own power.
Then the only question becomes this – will enough voters choose to resist the lies and the spin of the Establishment, and support a Ron Paul victory. Because they have free will and access to the necessary information, they can do this. But will they?
If Paul wins Iowa then the Republicans will sell the state to China. The citizens of Iowa must vote the way the pols want them to or the entire process will be invalidated. I think it is called circular logic.
IIt's already begun. The psuedo-journalists have already began sucking-up to the corporate-controlled media by recirculating the same old tired racism smear campaign that has been discredited numerous times since the 1980's. Ron Paul is almost guaranteed to win Iowa and he's on-track to win in New Hampshire as well. They've been trying to discredit every win Dr. Paul gets, soon they're going to run out of things to discredit because his support is going viral and he just raised $4.2 million dollars over the past 50 hours. I'll be voting for Ron Paul whether he's dead or alive, on the ballot or not because Romney, Gingrich and Obama all represent the same corporate masters that Bush served so well.
If Ron Paul wins in Iowa, it will give him momentum going into New Hampshire. He may very well end up winning both states, but he will probably lose the remaining states. Then Ron will end up running as a 3rd party candidate or option when the Republicans give the nomination to someone else other than him. He hinted last week after the debates, that he has not ruled out the option of running on a separate ticket or as a 3rd party candidate.
Jack, with Ron Paul winning the Iowa caucus, the others in the Republican field will further self implode. Dr. Paul's message of Liberty and Freedom is an idea who's time has come and no army, political agenda or news media can stop it.
If Ron Paul wins the Iowa GOP-the Republicans will continue to treat him badly and use their power and money to continue doing what they are and have done in the past. This man is a threat to them and their future plans/intentions-which do not include fighting to preserve 'The People's Liberties, Freedoms and Constitutional rights. In addition, their plans of continuing 'things as usual' is crushed. Lastly, if they shock us and support this Great Man, then I will have respect for the Republican Party-if they don't then this 'high school popularity' contest they hope to win will backfire in their faces. Stephanie, St Paul, MN
Ask Gov. Huckabee how many delegates he amassed after winning Iowa 4 years ago.
They'll call him kook! HAHAHAHAHA. Isn't that something. I mean none of the OTHER candidates are kooks right?
THis is where the real revolution begins. Elect Ron Paul! They'll kill him shortly after he's sworn him.
Curiously – the two most decent guys out there are Obama and Paul.
I hope the outcome of all of the caucuses and elections are a result of the popular vote. Let the people decide who they want to run their country. This country is the people's. Not the media's. Not a political party. Ron Paul seems to be the only one who is actually addressing what is wrong with this country.
Jack it does not matter if Ron Paul wins in Iowa. The Republican establishment and Tea party will not give him the time of day. The Tea partt is helping the Republican party tear itself apart. It would be fun to watch if the American people were not the collatoral damage. The Republican have no credibility because they always put party before the people.
Thank God for President Obama who stands with the people who elected him.
If Ron Paul wins in Iowa it will have an impact, at least on me. I will immediately go and change my registration to republican so I can vote in the primary of my state and help him win the nomination. This is something I swore I would never do (register for a party again). It has been over 20 years since I was a republican but, to give Paul a shot at the WH, I would do it.
Sarah Palin, that's what will happen.
I'm going to celebrate Ron Paul's victory drinking a really good mug of beer!
When The Champion of the Constitution Ron Paul wins the Iowa Caucses the American Revolution will officially start and people will realize what the main stream media has done to him and why the establishment is trying to stop him. Ron Paul will become the most interesting candidate and the media will no longer disrespect him or ignore him.
The GOP will turn out their attack dogs like they did with Ross Perot in 1992. Watch for the words "crazy", "radical", "dangerous", to name a few. The philosopher Shopenhauer said that "every truth passes through three stages before it is recognized. In the first it is ridiculed. In the second it is opposed, in the third it is regarded as self-evident".
Jack Cafferty sounds off hourly on the Situation Room on the stories crossing his radar. Now, you can check in with Jack online to see what he's thinking and weigh in with your own comments online and on TV.
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