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October 7, 2009
Posted: 05:00 PM ET
The Rotunda of the U.S. Capitol on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. (PHOTO CREDIT: KAREN BLEIER/AFP/Getty Images) FROM CNN's Jack Cafferty: The Democrats may be in for some trouble come next year's midterm elections. A new Gallup poll shows 46 percent of registered voters say they would vote for the Democrat in their congressional district if the election were held today; but 44 percent say they'd support the Republican - a virtual tie. The Democrats held a much larger lead over Republicans for most of 2006 through 2008. What's interesting here is that the stronger showing by the Republicans comes from the support of independents - who now favor Republicans over Democrats by 45 to 36 percent. In July, it was even. Another potential sign of trouble for Democrats is Congress' job approval rating - now a dismal 21 percent. Democrats are in charge in both houses. Historically in midterm elections - the party that holds the White House loses seats in Congress. The average loss is 16 House seats, but some election experts think the Democrats could lose a lot more in 2010. One analyst says the Democrats have 25 to 30 seats that are "truly vulnerable," plus another 40 where there's a chance of a "competitive race." He says Republicans only have 10 to 15 vulnerable seats. Even though President Obama's approval ratings have moved back up a little... and Democrats are hoping for results on health care and the economy, those independents - along with seniors - are moving toward the Republican column. And seniors are the group more likely to turn out and vote in midterm elections. Here’s my question to you: How bad will the 2010 midterm elections be for the Democrats? Interested to know which ones made it on air?
AC from Los Angeles writes: Gerry from California writes: Dorothy from Kentucky writes: Chris from California writes: Randy from Sierra Vista, California writes: Ed writes: Francoise writes: Filed under: Democrats Elections Senate and Congress
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Jack Cafferty sounds off hourly on the Situation Room on the stories crossing his radar. Now, you can check in with Jack online to see what he's thinking and weigh in with your own comments online and on TV. Send your comments on the "Cafferty File". Jack's Book
Read excerpts about Jack's battle with alcoholism and Jack's philosophy on parenting. CNNPolitics.com Headlines
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