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May 27, 2009
Posted: 05:00 PM ET
FROM CNN's Jack Cafferty: Some people who know a lot more about the economy than most of us think things are about to start looking up. ![]() A new report by a group of leading economists says the recession should end in the second half of 2009,although it will be a more moderate recovery than what typically happens after a major downturn. The report by the "National Association for Business Economics Outlook" also forecasts: - The nation's gross domestic product will turn positive in the third quarter. It experienced its biggest decline since 1957 during the first half of this year. - A total of 4.5 million jobs will be lost this year, which would push the unemployment rate to 9.8%. It's expected to drop to 9.3% in 2010 - When it comes to real estate, most of the panelists expect home sales to bottom out by the middle of this year and a majority say housing starts will bottom at the same time. - As for consumer spending, an overwhelming majority of these economists say "more thrifty behavior is here to stay, at least for the next 5 years" Speaking of a 5-year outlook, more than half of the economists say they expect the potential growth of the economy to be between 2 and 2.5% in that time. But enough of what the experts say, millions of ordinary Americans have been hit hard by the recession, and we want to know if things are getting any better from where you sit. Here’s my question to you: Do you see any signs in your day-to-day life that the economy is turning around? Interested to know which ones made it on air?
Nancy from Illinois writes: Joe from Las Vegas writes: Gannon from New Orleans: Sharon from Anchorage, Alaska: Murray from Costa Mesa, California writes: Pat from Polson, Montana writes: Fil from Florida writes: Don writes: Filed under: Economy
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Jack Cafferty sounds off hourly on the Situation Room on the stories crossing his radar. Now, you can check in with Jack online to see what he's thinking and weigh in with your own comments online and on TV. Send your comments on the "Cafferty File". Jack's Book
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