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June 16, 2008
Posted: 03:00 PM ET
Click the Play Button to see what Jack and our viewers had to say. (PHOTO CREDIT: GETTY IMAGES) FROM CNN’s Jack Cafferty: Don’t bet on John McCain being the next president… that’s the message coming from several presidential scholars. The Politico reports these historians paint a bleak picture for the Republican candidate. They also say Barack Obama has the best chance of any Democrat perhaps since FDR beat Herbert Hoover in 1932. The historians say it should be “an overwhelming Democratic victory,” noting McCain is facing one of the worst political environments for the party in power since World War II. There’s also this: only twice in the 20th century did the candidate from the same party as a two-term president go on to win the White House. The last time was in 1988, when President Bush’s father replaced Ronald Reagan… but Reagan was twice as popular as the current president is now. But McCain does have some advantages, including the fact that a lot of people don’t see him as a traditional Republican. Also, McCain could appeal more to moderates than Obama. If the public ends up seeing the Democrat as “far left.” And, McCain might benefit from leftover divisions in the Democratic Party from the primary. Meanwhile, a new Gallup poll suggests the American people agree with these historians: 52% of those surveyed think Obama will win, regardless of who they support. 41% say McCain. And the world is weighing in too: a Pew poll – of 25,000 people in 24 countries – found that in all but two nations, people put more faith in Obama than in McCain to “do the right thing” when it comes to world affairs. One of the two exceptions: the United States. Here’s my question to you: Many historians doubt John McCain stands much of a chance in November. How can he change their minds? Interested to know which ones made it on air?
Burt from Denver writes: Paul from Columbia, South Carolina writes: Marta from Florida writes: Harry writes: Wesley from Fredericksburg, Virginia writes: Dan from Pennsylvania writes: Linda from Woodbury, New Jersey writes: Filed under: 2008 Election John McCain
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