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March 20, 2008
Posted: 01:53 PM ET

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Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. Hillary Clinton at the CNN/LA Times/Politico Democratic presidential candidates debate at the Kodak Theatre in January. (PHOTO CREDIT: GETTY IMAGES)

FROM CNN’s Jack Cafferty:

“If there is a road to victory for Hillary Clinton, it is a fairly narrow one.”

That’s according to a piece in today’s New York Times.

It suggests Clinton needs three breaks in order to grab the nomination from Barack Obama. First, she needs a significant victory over Obama in Pennsylvania on April 22nd in order to support her argument that she can deliver big general election states. Then she needs a lead in the popular vote by the end of June. And lastly, Clinton has to convince superdelegates she’s the best candidate.

But here’s the problem: winning the popular vote seems a nearly impossible task for Clinton if these revotes don’t happen in Michigan and Florida. And at this point, it looks very doubtful they will happen in either state.

Also, Clinton’s campaign had hoped the uproar over comments made by Obama’s pastor would make voters and superdelegates question his candidacy. It might be too early to tell, but it seems like Obama’s speech on race was well-received and praised, even by some Clinton supporters.

Meanwhile, President Clinton’s former political adviser, Dick Morris, is even less optimistic about Clinton’s chances. He writes, “Senator Barack Obama has already won the Democratic nomination. It’s over.” Morris suggests Clinton can’t catch Obama in the pledged delegate count, regardless of what happens during the rest of the primary season. He goes on to say the superdelegates won’t override the will of the voters quote “unless Obama is in jail.”

Here’s my question to you: How likely is it that Barack Obama will be the Democratic presidential nominee?

Interested to know which ones made it on air?

Tom writes:
Clinton has no chance. And the sooner she realizes that and throws her support behind Obama, the better it will be for her, the party and the country. Obama needs to concentrate on debating the Republicans, instead of being diverted by Clinton’s desperate, dirty, divisive tactics. Clinton is effectively working for McCain and needs to turn over a new leaf and get busy working for Obama.

Mike from New Orleans writes:
I’m not so sure. There could be an Obama gaffe in the near future. He claims to be “shaken up” by the controversy over his church leader. That’s cotton candy compared to what’s ahead of him from the Swift Boat Republicans. If he’s that faint at heart, I’m not so sure he can survive the remainder of Clinton’s campaign, let alone the Republicans.

Larry from Fulton, Illinois writes:
Barack’s the man, Jack. It’s like everyone has been saying since Super Tuesday: the math doesn’t come out in Clinton’s favor. She should concede so Obama can focus on the issues he needs to win in November.

Ingrid writes:
The more we learn about Obama, the less he is liked. He got a free ride from the media until a couple weeks ago; that has reversed. If the media had done their job to begin with, he would not be ahead in delegates right now. It is going to be Hillary; Obama has become unelectable.

Brian from Cincinnati writes:
It’s nearly certain he’ll be the nominee. The elected officials who are superdelegates value their careers, especially the ones in states that Obama won handily, which is quite a lot of them. The problem is: Clinton will stop at nothing to destroy him in an attempt to make him unelectable.

Erin from Battle Creek, Michigan writes:
I’d like to think it is inevitable but after talking to my mother, an avid Clinton supporter, I’ve recently come to fear that we are in the grip of a “maternal override”. Mothers make no apologies when stepping in and doing what they think is in the best interest of the children, even if the so-called children hold the majority view. My mother and many more like her are banking on the superdelegates to rescue the party from the misguided, starry-eyed young people

Filed under: Barack Obama • Democratic Race


Scott L. - Wichita, Kansas   March 20th, 2008 1:57 pm ET

I honestly don’t know, Jack. It keeps going back and forth, so I really don’t pay attention to polls anymore.
If I put them in a March Madness Bracket, Obama would win, because at least he’s filled a bracket out…

All I know is that the longer this little feud goes on, The better McCain’s chances are.

He’s got a bracket too.

Terry from Calif   March 20th, 2008 1:57 pm ET

Jack,

I think it is very likely that Senator Obama will be the Democratic presidental nominee. Americans are so tired of Hilary antics and are looking for new direction, which they get from Obama.

Jonathan   March 20th, 2008 1:57 pm ET

If he becomes the Democratic nominee without Florida & Michigan voters having their say then it is another fumbled election where a cadidate could becoem President without all Americans being able to have a voice.

What I find absolutely abhorent is that a staffer of Obama’s said that they can hold the elections in Michigan and Florida so long as it doesn change the outcome of who the nominee is going to be.

Hmm…Wouldn’t those two big states do exactly that, determine who the rightful nominee should be?

This is pathetic that we are silencing any Americans votes, let along two of the largest states.

I think Obama and his campaign may be nervous that once Florida & Michigan were to weigh in that their lead would all but evaporate.
Imagine, allowing all Americans a voice.

I have to give Senator Clinton credit for fighting for those states to be able to recast their votes.

How can anyone support Obama knowing this is beyond me let along how his pastor lambasted America.

Josh   March 20th, 2008 1:59 pm ET

Very, Jack. We need someone young who has hope and dreams for the future of not only America and the world. I can’t think of anyone more able to heal the divisions between this country and its allies especially Germany than him. I may have supported Hillary, but if Obama becomes the nominee. I will throw my support to him and welcome him as the 44th President of the United States. Sylvania Ohio.

Rosemary, California   March 20th, 2008 2:01 pm ET

If the Clintons stop distorting and getting the Mainstream media, to just try to kill off Obama’s chances and the voters really see how underhanded they are trying to win this election at all-cost kill the Democratic party to win, he will be the nominee.

Lets not foget if the Super Delegates also had some spine.

Amy Pacheco, Fall River MA   March 20th, 2008 2:01 pm ET

I think it is anyone’s guess. But I will add that if they go against the popular vote with superdelegates, the Democratic party will be just as bad, if not worse, than the Republican Party.
In my opinion, Obama has the momentum. He speaks directly to the people, gets huge amounts of people to vote that normally wouldn’t. He is different and brings change. I am sick of the every day Washington Mainstream Politicians, who promise the American people the world and fall back on their promises to line their silk pockets with more of our money.
So I hope they are smart and pick the one who has more of the popular vote - Obama.
If not, I will change my party to a Republican…I already changed from Democrat to Independent, what is the difference?

cammiecam   March 20th, 2008 2:02 pm ET

Cammie in NY… Folks thought that Obama’s former minster and his speech on race would kill his campaign. It looks like it’s only made him stronger, getting praise from all sides. At this point, he’s in the lead and will probably maintain it up until the convention. After seeing Howard Dean several times on American Morning, he’s pretty much eased my fears. Superdelegates will NOT decide this election, the American people will. And the American people have chosen Obama.

fullbodytransplant   March 20th, 2008 2:04 pm ET

I would say it feels like an 83% chance right now. Every time he seems to be slipping in momentum, the grass roots ground forces engage and he surges back ahead. Especially with The Speech, which was by far the best moment of the entire election.

Rian Fike
Miami, Florida

Richard, Washington State   March 20th, 2008 2:05 pm ET

How likely is it that Barack Obama will be the Democratic presidential nominee?

An answer only time can tell.

He still has my support.

Erin in Battle Creek   March 20th, 2008 2:05 pm ET

I’d like to think it is inevitable but after talking to my mother, an avid Clinton supporter, I’ve recently come to fear that we are in the grip of a “maternal override”. Mothers make no apologies when stepping-in and doing what they think is in the best interest of the children, even if the so-called children hold the majority view. My mother, and many more like her, are banking on the superdelegates to rescue the party from the misguided, starry-eyed young people.

Aggie/Canada   March 20th, 2008 2:06 pm ET

Very likely Jack. Clinton is doing everything in her power to put the brakes on this but does she really think American’s are that stupid. She signed the pledge not to have Mich. and FL counted now that she needs these desperately she is trying to turn this all around on Barack. He follows the rules she doesn’t. The people of Florida need to put the blame where it belongs and that is with their Republican Governor who knowingly changed the date and now doesn’t want to take responsibility for his actions. Man he sounds like he would be a good running mate for McSame don’t you think. If the real issue is giving the delegates a vote at the convention then why not just split the delegates from both these States and move on. But we all know that this is not the issue don’t we. Another thing did anyone question Bill Clinton being in Canada just before this whole Nafta Gate started. Seems a little fishy to me.

Jan   March 20th, 2008 2:06 pm ET

Jack, it would be extremely likely if it was based on what he could do for this country, instead of the media and the dirty politicians trying to find anything to hurt his campaign. Obama is not responsible for what someone else say, he addressed it, LETS MOVE ON!! It is time to wake up America, don’t let them ruin it for us.

Jan
Southaven, Mississippi

Mark - Asheville, NC   March 20th, 2008 2:06 pm ET

Jack, Morris also said that “the Dems are going to be STUCK with Obama” with controversies like Pastor Wright, all the way to November. If his numbers stay, as they are now, in free fall, by August in Denver the super delegates will have to decide between bypassing Obama and risk igniting a firestorm; or awarding him the nomination knowing fully well that he is a fatally damaged candidate, and then watching McCain win 48 states, and very likely seeing Congressional Dem candidates dragged down as well.

What should happen is for Obama, for the good of his party, to drop out and let the primary process end, so we can get ready to beat McCain with someone else. Wright is only the beginning; if Obama stays in the race it will be like waiting for 100 more shoes to drop.

Brian From Fort Mill, S.C.   March 20th, 2008 2:07 pm ET

If this were a perfect world, his chances would be about 90 percent.

But I’m sure that Hillary has some tricks up her sleeves that could derail his campaign, which probably brings it down to about 50%. Let the games begin.

Chuck in Eugene Oregon   March 20th, 2008 2:08 pm ET

Jack, the jury is still out on this one. It will be up to those unpredictable superdelegates. Although many say they will not over ride the will of the voters, that still remains to be seen. It is my sincere hope Sen Obama is the Democratic Nominee, but it is not in my hands nor is it the voice of the people that will have the final say.

Dee   March 20th, 2008 2:08 pm ET

My god, what happen to CNN being neutral? Everyday I see more and more praise to Obama. I guess all of the networks sell their soul for the right amount of power. For shame.

Joan from Canada   March 20th, 2008 2:08 pm ET

I hope Senator Obama wins the election. It would be wonderful to have him President.. It looks good for him at this point if only the Clinton’s would discontinue throwing “the kitchen sink ” at him. But I do think the American people are smarter than to listen to all the nonense that is happening right now. We need to stay on message and stick to the issues, which is the most important thing.

Amy in Woodstock, NY   March 20th, 2008 2:09 pm ET

Jack, remember this historical quote? “First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. ” -Mohandas Gandhi

Of course, with the will of the voters, Barack Obama will be the democratic nominee.

That is not to say that this has not been a very dirty campaign. You have to look through the all the dirt and mud to find the truth. The problem is that most people are too busy or to biased to dig for the truth. But the truth will prevail and Obama will be the democratic nominee.

jess   March 20th, 2008 2:10 pm ET

As in school or in church we have pastors and teachers who are educators and they are there to inspire our well-being and to influence our decision making though out our lives. We all try to do what they teach us. By doing the right thing. in one eye’s this is right thing but in the others is what??? We don’t know till he gets elected… Is this something we want to have lead our country. Was he really learning the right thing while at church!!!

Melanie, Lake Wales, FL   March 20th, 2008 2:11 pm ET

As a young voter, I know that if he’s not the nominee, I won’t vote for Clinton nor McCain.

Jerry Wilson   March 20th, 2008 2:11 pm ET

Hillary will most likely be the democratic nominee, because she has the best chance of defeating McCain, and thats what it’s all about. There isn’t anyway Barack could survive the republican smear machine, and he knows it. The latest polls show Barack can’t win in November, so he should do the right thing and step aside.

jim in pennsylvania   March 20th, 2008 2:11 pm ET

i just love obama— but— the clinton campaign knows how to play
dirty politics……..i pray everyday that the american people will see the
true obama… america has a chance to bring the country together and
most importantly do it together,
there is nothing better in this world than to work together and have hopes
for a better life… obama brings that with his credentials.
i am a 65 yr old white guy who has seen many presidential elections.
the last one that really got me excited was in the early 60s when john
kennedy was running….
obama in my eyes is even better than john kennedy was.
when u listen to him talk and watch his face expressions u can just tell
that he is true to his words he speaks from his heart.
the clintons will hang on until the very end– they will play the dirty
politics and prolly win the nomination.
sad isnt it——– hiliry wants a wedding in the white house…
wake up america—- dont let obama slip away from us…..
no more bush—- no more clintons

Joan   March 20th, 2008 2:12 pm ET

I think Oboma has a great chance to win the primaries if he is successful on keeping on message without all of these distractions. I wish him luck

Joan   March 20th, 2008 2:12 pm ET

I hope and pray that he will, he has an uphill struggle against the old school, who have a history of joining ranks against anyone who is different.When George Bush was elected for a second term, I was depressed to see that the country had not seen through him We all know how that turned out. I pray that Obama will be given a chance, I feel like there is hope in the air. I have waited a long time for it - I am 72 years old, lived through WWll bombings in England. My husband served in Viet Nam, so I have seen lots of war. How can we now be killing civilians for their oil, and what have we become?. Joan N Carolina

Bob L. Philadelphia, PA   March 20th, 2008 2:13 pm ET

His demeanor says that he is defeated. He looks like he is tired of handling this situation. I think the superdelegates and the voters will be watching him carefully over the next couple of weeks to see if he looks like he can handle this, an indication if he can handle the Republicans in the fall. I don’t think he can do it. I don’t think he will win in the end.

Ken, LA California   March 20th, 2008 2:13 pm ET

I have tried to use all mathematical formulea to see how Clinton will win and I have concluded that it is impossible. I tried Algebra, Trigonometry, Calculus and the end result is Obama win. I even threw in Negative Sound Bytes and still Obama came ahead. We just nee to know how Clinton will ask her supporters to Rally behind Obama for a Democratic Party win. We also want to know when the media will interview the culprit pastor wright to explain why he spoke those words.

Jonathan in Bozeman, MT   March 20th, 2008 2:14 pm ET

Barack will definitely win the nomination… the math just doesn’t work out for Hillary any way you cut it. But, she’ll fight tooth and nail, playing as dirty as she needs to - even if it means damaging the Democratic party and America in the process. She won’t drop out, it will drag out to the convention, and the Republicans will cherish every minute. This feels like something devised by Karl Rove. Thanks, Senator Clinton, for potentially ruining what might have been one of the greatest chapters in American history.

Jeff, Florida   March 20th, 2008 2:14 pm ET

Barack Obama must keep a significant lead in all three categories (pledged delegates, popular votes, and # of states) to give all remaining undecided superdelegates no choice but to vote for him. If Hillary Clinton makes it a virtual tie in any one of these categories in June, then she might have a leg to stand on at the convention. But after glancing at the Democratic primary calendar, Mrs. Clinton is simply running out of time. She needs to sweep him starting in Pennsylvania like he did to her back in February; without that momentum, she just won’t have enough delegates, states or votes.

Phil   March 20th, 2008 2:14 pm ET

Very Likely. Clinton will not win PA with a wide margin. May 10 points and that is not enough for her to make a dent into the delegate count. So when its all said and done, Obama will have more delegates and more states. Then it will be upto to the super delegates.

Jerry, Fayetteville Tennessee   March 20th, 2008 2:16 pm ET

It’s too early to tell what effect Obama’s trouble with his pastor will have - his speech was inspiring and should have laid the matter to rest, but typically the public is far more interested in sound bites than entire speeches or even passages within a speech - Obama’s speech didn’t have any sound bites that will trump those of his pastor.

Mike S., New Orleans, Louisiana   March 20th, 2008 2:16 pm ET

I’m not so sure. There could be an Obama gaffe in the near future. He claims to be “shaken up” by the controversy over his church leader. That’s cotton candy compared to what’s ahead of him from the Swift Boat Republicans. If he’s that faint at heart, I’m not so sure he can survive the remainder of Clinton’s campaign, let alone the Republicans.

Dennis   March 20th, 2008 2:16 pm ET

Jack,

Both you and Morris have been doing your best to discredit Clinton and promote Obama, it’s pathetic.
If this was Clinton or McCain with this controversy all the Black Leaders and the Black Community and you and Morris would be demanding they drop out.

Not likely Obama will get the nomination, in fact he should do the right thing and drop out, and so should you.

Andy from Chicago, IL   March 20th, 2008 2:17 pm ET

Absolutely! No other candidate will inspire, energize, unite, and restore our nation’s reputation abroad and at home. A President Obama is the only way America will ever be able to rebuild itself after eight years of “you know what” - not much.

Pat from Huntsville, AL   March 20th, 2008 2:17 pm ET

Why do you always ask questions as if Clinton has already lost? Obama doesn’t have 2024 and can’t get there either, and the small margin of his lead makes it a virtual tie at this point. Given the fact that the Republicans now want him as the nominee makes it unlikely that the DNC would select him. The Republicans were saying they wanted to run against Clinton, what with all her baggage. But her bagage is the false labels they gave her to start with! They still cite Whitewater, but that is bogus, she was completely exonerated. The other baggage belonged to her husband, who has overcome it nicely.

Tosha-Atlanta, GA   March 20th, 2008 2:17 pm ET

Tosha-Atlanta, GA

It is very likely that Obama will be the nominee. He is leading in states, delegates, and popular vote. Hillary should concede at this point, we would have called on Obama to quit if the shoe was on the other foot.

Carol Quinley   March 20th, 2008 2:18 pm ET

jack
There will be no revote in Fla and Mich.period.
The voters of each state were told, that the delegates would not count before their Primarywas held, they knew this,period.
Clinton did not win the ” big state” of Texas, Obama did, period.
Obama has the most pledged delegates, period.
If Clinton wins Pa and also the next states, she will still not have enough pledged delegates to win, period.
Obama is already the Democratic Nominee, according to the Party rules,period
Carol Q. from Ann Arbor Michigan

Mimi of Manassas, VA   March 20th, 2008 2:18 pm ET

Even if remotely “likely”(?), Barack is not getting my vote. I would rather vote Republican or stay home than endorse a candidate who doesn’t take responsibility for his actions.

TONY   March 20th, 2008 2:18 pm ET

HAGEL DOES NOT KNOW HIS BUTT FROM FIRST BASE; WHAT DO YOU EXPECT FROM A NEBRASKAN?

Jane Kidder   March 20th, 2008 2:18 pm ET

I hope so. I haven’t felt this good about a candidate in 40 years of voting. Barack Obama has a little known and little appreciated quality in a leader—integrity. Another’s faith does not scare me. I guess not having any does.

robert from nc   March 20th, 2008 2:19 pm ET

Jack, Why is it that the Clintons always think that they know what’s best for us, is way beyond me…The American people have been voting now for weeks and the numbers still show Obama is the choice…It’s for the good of the many not the individual that I ask the following…

Mrs. Clinton show us how smart you are and do the math…now won’t please step aside?

MIchael "C" in Lorton, Virginia   March 20th, 2008 2:19 pm ET

Jack: I think that Dick Morris sums it all for Hillary……too little…too late. If Obama is victorious and the Democratic presidental nominee, lets hope he knows how to use it.

Brian, Cincinnati   March 20th, 2008 2:19 pm ET

It’s nearly certain he’ll be the nominee. The elected officials that are super delegates value their careers, especially the ones in States that Obama won handily, which is quite a lot of them.

The problem is, Clinton will stop at nothing to destroy him in an attempt to make him unelectable, in hopes that she can step in and claim her birth right. If not this year, then 2012.

Brian
Cincinnati, Ohio

Heller   March 20th, 2008 2:19 pm ET

My thoughts on Obama and the Rev Wright

It is disturbing that any person who attends sermons , whether in church, temple or mosque, should be subjected to political opinions. When the person in the house of God does this, it reminds me of the tactics of the Nazi sympathizers of WWII. They advocated the killing of the Jews, very openly in church. I also know that the content of preachings, of a house of worship of any denomination is know to the constituents. It is widely discussed and analyzed and commented on. Therefore it is highly suspect , that preacher Wright’s views were not well known in his church. Given this, Barak Obama should have resigned long ago from the church he is still attending. He has not done so in the past, and not even now . His denunciation of the pastors’ anti- American anti -white comments is not enough. If he wishes to pursue his candidacy for president of this great country and to represent “all the people, for the people,” his advisers and he should act immediately to dispel any doubts of his leanings.
I may vote Republican, for the first time in my life!
AGNES HELLER . Blacksburg, VA 24060

Larry - Fulton, Ill.   March 20th, 2008 2:19 pm ET

Barack’s the man, Jack. It’s like everyone has been saying since Super Tuesday, the math doesn’t come out in her favor. She should concede so Obama can focus on the issues he needs to win in November.

TONY   March 20th, 2008 2:20 pm ET

HAGEL DOES NOT KNOW HIS BUTT FROM FIRST BASE; WHAT DO YOU EXPECT FROM A NEBRASKAN.

Rosalynd   March 20th, 2008 2:20 pm ET

I would say it is a done deal! He has the lead in pledged delegates with no real way for Clinton to catch up. Any other outcome will be telling Young voters and African Americans they have no voice in politics and those two groups will walk away probably forever from the Democratic party and maybe the whole political process.

Florida

Deanna, Katy Texas   March 20th, 2008 2:21 pm ET

At this point? Unless the Supers steal it for Hillary it’s Obama for the Democratic nominee. The numbers don’t lie.

wally rehmann in las Vegas   March 20th, 2008 2:21 pm ET

very unlikely!, if somehow she is APOINTED, the dem’s choice, it’s not going to safe on the street’s. people don’t like a cheater,winer or a gossip spreader, witch she is all of the above..my problem,with all runner’s is who would spend 100’s of million’s of dollars for a 400 thousand a year job ?

B. Petrocelli   March 20th, 2008 2:22 pm ET

. . . .Most likely.

YES WE CAN!!!!
Obama 08.

Al --- Palmdale California   March 20th, 2008 2:22 pm ET

Obama cries for change, but what kind is he talking about? “Wright” is “wrong”, and this ghost will not only cost Obama his chance at the White House, it will haunt him the rest of his career. Only the very naive can swallow that Obama shares none of these outrageous views, and if this information had surfaced a couple of months ago, I doubt that he would be in the race today. If Wright sells videos of his sermons, I wonder how many more of these radical renderings are out there. I see a snowball rolling downhill Jack.

Larry - Fulton, Ill.   March 20th, 2008 2:24 pm ET

Yes, but the Republicans and Democrats will never allow it and the regulations controlling elections are insurmountable. It would take a lot of money and Jesus Christ as a candidate to get it off the ground.

Yonatan from Alexandria, VA   March 20th, 2008 2:25 pm ET

Three things Jack,

1) It’s virtually impossible for Sen. Clinton to catch him up on number of pledged delegates.
2) It’s very unlikely she will catch up in popular votes
3) He has consistently shown how he handles pressure very well - Calm, focused, elequent and always managing to turn it into an opportunity.

If there are any doubts about what superdelegates will do, he has given them all the reasons to vote for him and left almost none to go against him. It’s not a discussion. He’s the Nominee.

Marie in SC   March 20th, 2008 2:26 pm ET

If all Hillary has on Obama is an isolated remark made by an acquaintence of Obama, then he most likely is a candidate of high integrity. The Clintons have quite a few nagging skeletons lurking around their closet, but Obama has chosen not to drag them out with the help of surrogates - Another indicator of the type of character I’d want in my president. NYT are stoking the embers of a polarized party to boost sales. If by some strange chance Hillary gets the nomination, there is a good chance that McCain will win the election because of the way her campaign was run.

Courtney, 24, South Windsor, CT   March 20th, 2008 2:27 pm ET

Very likely, I should think. Despite the Reverend Wright shenanigans and other attempts to scandalise Obama, HIllary Clinton has been planning her ascent since her husband was caught with his pants down, and everyone knows it. That understanding rankles, as it seems opportunistic, conniving, and dare I say, manipulative of Clinton. Obama all but has the deal sealed, not for any of the aforementioned reasons, but because he is the right man for the job. But likelihood aside, isn’t anyone else already tired of the 2009 election? Hasn’t this been going on for what seems like a lifetime already? And can’t we Democrats get our act together long enough to put up a decent fight this time around?

sarah, indiana   March 20th, 2008 2:29 pm ET

jack, i personally hope that it is highly unlikely. only 3 yrs in the senate(most of 1yr campaining to be president), no foreign policy experience, and admitted alcohol and drug use as a teen. if mccain or clinton had that on their resume they would be laughed out of the race for the white house. obama has a lot of personality and a good speech, but no substance and i don’t think he is qualified for the job. (but dont tell his supporters this stuff or they will call you a racist.)

Terry C. in Hanover, VA   March 20th, 2008 2:30 pm ET

First, I ignore anything Dick Morris has to say. Ever since he got into trouble and the Clintons turned their backs on him, he’s waged a private war to smear them both. Second, let the process run its course. The Dems have already done enough damage to the party by denying Michigan and Florida voters the right to vote even though the state legislatures helped create the problem. Add to that the sniping by their respective camps have hurt both Clinton and Obama. If the national election were held tomorrow, we’d be saluting President McCain. God forbid.

Tom Libby   March 20th, 2008 2:31 pm ET

Clinton has no chance, and the sooner she realizes that, and throws her support behind Obama, the better it will be for her, the party and the country. Obama needs to concentrate on debating the Republicans, instead of being diverted by Clinton’s desperate, dirty, divisive tactics. Clinton is effectively working for McCain and needs to turn over a new leaf and get busy working for Obama.

Alex in Mississippi   March 20th, 2008 2:31 pm ET

Jack, if you have to quote the disgusting Dick Morris of Fox News to downplay Hillary’s nomination prospects, then Obama must be in big trouble. The super delegates have been eerily quiet since the “Wright stuff” broke and the rumor that he had 50 more super delegates ready to roll out after the Mississippi primary has not materialized. Obama’s speech followed by the glowing media spin hasn’t worked, and his falling poll numbers prove that. I guess the voters have decided they’ll trust their own lying eyes on this one thank you very much.

Dylan Kay   March 20th, 2008 2:31 pm ET

He is the best candidate out there. I trust America. He will be the Democratic nominee.

It would truly be tragic for America and the future generations, if we make a mountain out of a mole hill on the Rev Wright issue. It was Rev. Wright who said these nasty things and it wasn’t Senator Obama. As for the question, why did Senator Obama stick around the church, that is between the Senator and his God. It doesn’t reflect on his own personal morality. This would be analogous to asking Senator Clinton why she didn’t leave her husband, when he cheated on her and betrayed the public trust. Does that reflect on her morality? Ofcourse not. That is something between a husband and a wife. The same is true on the Rev Wright matter, it is between the pastor and his parishioner.

Let’s take a page from our young people and break free from the shackles of race politics. Time to grow up America. Carpe diem, my fellow Americans.

Yvonne, Atlanta GA   March 20th, 2008 2:32 pm ET

Obama becoming the Democratic nominee is as likely as it would be for Hillary if she were in the lead. I’m sure if Hillary were in the lead the DNC would have politely asked Obama to drop out for the sake of the party and he would have done so, knowing how gracious he is. Oh…but not Hillary. This prolonged primary election was a good way for America to get to know the prize of a leader that we have running for office. Let us not miss the opportunity. I believe Obama will not only be the Democratic nominee, but he will be the next President of the United States.

Bobbie Cayce   March 20th, 2008 2:32 pm ET

I have a sinking feeling in the pit of my stomach that Hillary and the Republicans are going to fan the flames of racism, fear and bigotry to block or cripple Obama. Pray it isn’t so.
This man (I feel) is our only hope at this time, for change and a new direction.Hillary is knee deep in insider Washington politics.
Neither my husband or I voted in the primary here because we were told our vote would not count because of the violation of Party rules. I think the delegates should be split and seated. Or flip a coin 49/51. To be honest, I couln’t have voted anyway because I am an Independent but my husband could have.
Bobbie Cayce
Panama City, Fl

Jed from Chico, CA   March 20th, 2008 2:32 pm ET

Obama still has a clear delegate lead and a comfortable lead in the popular vote. A lead so insurmountable that Clinton will have to rely on superdelegates. No matter what you think of them the superdelegates aren’t idiots. There is no way a) they believe that what Obama’s 66-year-old former pastor says in 10-second sound bites is what Obama believes, b) that Rev. Wright doesn’t have a legitimate beef after growing up in the inner city as a black man in the 60’s and c) that anyone will remember this week’s news two and a half months from now when the last state has its primary. If the supers remember anything from this week it will be that Barack Obama made a stirring speech about race in America but they won’t remember why he had to make it. They know Obama is still electable come November.

Dylan Kay   March 20th, 2008 2:33 pm ET

He is the best candidate out there. I trust America. He will be the Democratic nominee.

It would truly be tragic for America and the future generations, if we make a mountain out of a mole hill on the Rev Wright issue. It was Rev. Wright who said these nasty things and it wasn’t Senator Obama. As for the question, why did Senator Obama stick around the church, that is between the Senator and his God. It doesn’t reflect on his own personal morality. This would be analogous to asking Senator Clinton why she didn’t leave her husband, when he cheated on her and betrayed the public trust. Does that reflect on her morality? Ofcourse not. That is something between a husband and a wife. The same is true on the Rev Wright matter, it is between the pastor and his parishioner.

Let’s take a page from our young people and break free from the shackles of race politics. Time to grow up America. Carpe diem, my fellow Americans.

Dylan Kay
Dartmouth, MA

Allan,Cameron Park, Ca.   March 20th, 2008 2:33 pm ET

I hope not , there is no way he can win in the general election. Hillary is the best chance to beat McCain. Even with his latest mishaps.

INGRID   March 20th, 2008 2:33 pm ET

THE MORE WE LEARN ABOUT OBAMA THE LESS HE IS LIKED. HE GOT A FREE RIDE FROM THE MEDIA TILL A COUPLE WEEKS AGO - THAT HAS REVERSED. IF THE MEDIA HAD DONE THEIR JOB TO BEGIN WITH HE WOULD NOT BE AHEAD IN DELEGATES RIGHT NOW. IT IS GOING TO BE HILLARY, OBAMA HAS BECOME UNELECTABLE.

Rick, Houston   March 20th, 2008 2:34 pm ET

Jack, I really am disappointed with my fellow Americans. As we know Bush & Co. scammed the nation and it appears will not to held accountable. Now we see another political family (Clintons) stacking the deck against someone as Obama as out of the main stream. Me personally would raffle off the money raised for the presidency to the contributers and hopefully some people will benefit. This country is bought and paid for. We the people should be “We the Fools” allowed money to dominate our society so bad that we believe lies before truth even though we know better. To Mr. Obama you ran a good race, get out with your dignity. The nation’s so-called majority can’t get past prejudice or rational thought to change. Maybe when China calls our debt due we’ll see. My God help us all.

Patti, Lansdowne, PA   March 20th, 2008 2:34 pm ET

If it hadn’t been for the media falling over themselves and becoming completely infatuated with Obama, then you might not now be asking this question. It is likely that he will win the nomination, but I know he will lose in the general. The part about this whole minister mess that everybody seems to be missing is that Barack Obama put himself out there as a different kind of politician. I don’t hold him accountable for Rev. Wright’s words, but I do hold him accountable for being a member of that church. He joined that church for political expediency and he stayed there because it helped him in Chicago politics. Truth be told, Barack is just more of the same. Mr. Obama talks a good game, but he doesn’t walk the walk.

James in Cape Coral, FL   March 20th, 2008 2:35 pm ET

Jack,
When you put the two democrats side by side Obama seem’s more presidential. He doesn’t come off as someone willing to slam the other democrat for his own personal gain and he speaks to a larger group of Americans not just those in the big states. Add that to his growing lead in the popular vote and delegates and you might see what I see, inevitability.

Don Leggat   March 20th, 2008 2:35 pm ET

I ‘d like to think the Barack Obama will be the Democratic candidate, but I think it much more likely that the Clintons will pull some back-room stunts to steal it away from him. That would be a shame as I think that even if Hillary wins, the Republicans in congress will NEVER work with her or cut her any slack. I think her whole presidency would be a never ending struggle to get things past the republican members of congress. On the other hand, If Obama is nominated and elevcted, I think they’ll work with him because that’s the type of thing that Barack does with very little effort.

John Donna, Texas   March 20th, 2008 2:35 pm ET

It’s up in the air. If the Wright scandal never happened than I would say definitely, but it did happen.( Another video of a different Obama supporter, Senator Meeks, preaching hate has started popping up on the news, too.) The thing that bothers most Americans is not the racism because we can’t talk about racism of fear of being branded a “racist”, but the anti-American sentiments made by Wright. Who has ever heard a pastor, of any race, so angry with America? Also, his speech wasn’t a roaring success. He still said he stands by Wright, he dragged his grandmother through the mud for Wright, and contradicted himself. He told all major news networks that he did not know about Wright’s statements and he was never in the Church then in his speech he says he knew about the statements and he had been in the church. He also has to worry about Michigan and Florida. It seems like he doesn’t want Florida or Michigan to have a revote because he thinks he will lose the nomination if those states are allowed to vote. The superdelegates need to ask themselves: A man associated with an anti-American pastor who “disenfranchised Florida and Michigan voter” up against McCain, an American war hero? I think Republicans want it to be Obama, before they just attacked him with his middlename, but now Wright has given them so much ammunition to use. It is definitely a “turn of events”.

John
Donna, Texas

IFEANYI AZUBIKE Houston, Texas   March 20th, 2008 2:35 pm ET

As likely as there will be nightfall today. It is surprising how short our memory is and how soon we have forgotten the impact of the Monica saga. Few weeks ago, it was universally concluded that Obama was already the presumptive nominee for the democrats. The successes of Hilary in Texas and Ohio coupled with the Wright controversy seems to have given a ray of hope for the Clinton campaign, but believe me it is what it is- a ray of hope. Just like Ken Starr did not trump Bills chances, nothing in the Kitchen sink as yet can trump Obama’s chances. To all intents and purposes the nomination of Obama is a faith accompli.

Michael Galvan Jr   March 20th, 2008 2:36 pm ET

In order for us good American citizens to fairly decide wether to vote Mr, Obama, we need to see the whole tape of Rev. Wright’s comments saying “God Demn America”. If he is speaking of events like “The Gorgia police and firemen (representing the Gorgia Government) using the firehoses and puting the german shepard dogs on the MLK peaceful demonstrators, then I can understand the anger that caused him to make such a terrible comment. don’t you agree? but this it is more evil for the midia to show partial, bias, pointed showings to obtain desired effect is far more evil to America then the remarks by the Rev. Wright.

Paul LeClair   March 20th, 2008 2:37 pm ET

Hi Jack ….
I’m one of those many Canadians who are following the US political scene with much interest these days. At times it seems more than a little confusing … different ways to pick delegates in differnt states seems confusing to me. However, the most confusing issue of all relates to those Super Delegates. I just can’t understand how a country that promotes itself as one of the greatest democracies in the world could have a party called the Democrates with a process that could have the leader of the party (possibly) chosen by such a few individuals. Help me out - What’s democratic about that?
Thanks
Paul LeClair

Katy   March 20th, 2008 2:37 pm ET

Not likely, because he is African-American. American are not ready for Black President, regardless what they said. Race is still a big issue in America society. No white men have a courage to see a black president or black who get ahead of them. American would rather vote for white woman instead. Obama is facing a triple thicker glass ceiling than white woman; Hillary has no ceiling because the Clintons have many wealthy and powerfull established politician & CEO supporting them. Also they know how to play jungle rules / laws and they think they are above the laws; American especially the white population allow them to do that.
America has no saying to other countries above democracy, human right, race, equality, etc.. because American are still support race, gender, age discrimination and they have no courage to face; worst of all they kill people who have the courage to stand up.

I am Asian-American babyboomer and sick and tire of this dirty prolong campaign.

Chris   March 20th, 2008 2:37 pm ET

Before the explosion of the Wright issue, Barack Obama almost secured the nomination. Though he is less likely to win the nomination due to his pastor’s comments, he is still more likely than Hillary to win the nomination and the election in November. The Rev. Wright controversy will soon become history. After all, we still have 3 months to the convention, and almost 8 months to the election. America has a very short memory, and there are always new stories that will make the Wright controversy go away, just wait and see.

Atlanta, GA

Kevin from Sacramento   March 20th, 2008 2:38 pm ET

Sure thing, Jack.
There are 2 suitcases left, and not one says “Clinton” inside. Maybe she’s waiting for the phone to ring, with an offer of Vice President. If she picks up the phone, I expect McCain is on the other line.

Fox “News” (Hannity and O’Reilly are now arguing over who gets credit for mainstreams — like CNN — looping Rev.Wright’s blunder reel) will need to do better than accuse Senator Obama with guilt by association to a preacher who at times, in his attempt to provoke thought, uses wreckless language.

I can’t wait to see what Fox will try next — maybe we can all scrutinize the lyrics in some of the songs on Senator Obama’s IPOD. Songs he has listened to for 20 years. Songs that were played at his wedding reception. Then the networks can scold him on his poor judgement for listening to such things, while simultaneously overplaying those very songs to boost ratings.

I respect Wolf Blitzer. I respect any journalist who puts themself in dangerous places to bring Americans the story.

But I’m a bit tired watching Fox “News” fool CNN into operating as if it were peacetime.

A.F. Cook, www.redzonepolitics.com   March 20th, 2008 2:38 pm ET

Less likely than it was before the Wright flap, obviously. I wish Obama would stop trying to sound so lofty in his speeches and express himself in more meat ‘n’ potatoes language. For example, reminding male voters of his bond with them as a fellow football fan and former team-sport athlete. He REALLY needs to sound down-to-earth now, after the delusions so many of us had of his autonomy from black cultural separatism have been stripped from us. He needs to play a whole new rhetorical game.

But also, he needs to talk to Jim Webb and see if he can start floating his name in public as a potential VP. If he gives people an idea of what the whole ticket would look like — especially if it diminishes the appeal of McCain, which Webb can do — it might bring more people back into his fold.

haiticuba   March 20th, 2008 2:38 pm ET

Doesn’t look good Jack! It’s getting nasty out there with all the petty manipulating and mudd slinging HRC and her supporters are throwing out there in the media. That’s why i change party’s four years ago, dems can’t seem to get nothing down. they bicker amongst themselves, and with others. Dems only get by, by pointing the finger at everyone else. oh well sucks to be them.

Obama ‘08
haiticuba independent
san francisco, ca

Michael In Maine   March 20th, 2008 2:39 pm ET

Hillary is toast. In order for her to win she’d have to win big in the remaining primaries which isn’t goin gto happen. Even the states she can claim victory she won by only small margins which is why she isn’t making any headway on Obama’s lead. Secondly she’d have to capture 75 % of the remaining uncommitted superdelegates which also isn’t going to happen. No mattter how you break down the numbers it’s Obama’s nomination. I only hope that the Democratic party leaders put a stop to the party bleeding and push Obama over the top sooner rather than later.

Robert Lauer   March 20th, 2008 2:39 pm ET

If Obama’s nomination is likely it will be because of the power of “fans”. Hillary may even have as many supporters as Obama but she very “likely” has fewer fans. The Clintons continued to come off more arrogant and disturbingly comfortable with old fashioned politics and personal attacks. This bit regarding Obama’s minister was the nail in the Clinton’s coffin. Obama reminded me of how much I loved my grandmother too and how her remarks often made me cringe.Obama taught us that we can not dis-own our loved ones and friends for their unintentional offenses…..but we can dis-own the Clintons for intentionally offending….and we should..

Jerry   March 20th, 2008 2:40 pm ET

Sounds to me that Obama and his pastor are on track with each other. Obama had a chance to say he made a mistake, but he didn’t say that. Now, he’s saying somehow the rest of us are the problem whether his grandmother or the establishment. How about saying that people like Obama’s pastor is what makes bad race relation. The pastor and now Obama’s passive acceptance of racist views is the problem.

Jay Webber   March 20th, 2008 2:41 pm ET

Senetor Obama is a shoe in for the Democratic nomination, he is definatly the leader in the popular vote. With all the leaks and mud coming from the Clinton campain, I question as to wether she should be invited along for the ride, although she has proved to be a good second fiddle!! Jay from Edgewater, Florida

Ron   March 20th, 2008 2:41 pm ET

Jack,
Even if Hillary becomes the nominee By HOOK OR CROOK, She will lose the race, 50 percent of the demcrats don’t want her at any expense and all of the republicans don’t want her.

That’s 75 percent of the people out here.

Why won’t the Hillraisers just save their donations,

The Clintons don’t need any more $$$ with all the donations they have gotton since the LIBRARY SCAMS. I read today that Hillary is still hanging around and hitting on Denise Rich.

John Edwards will be out also if he joins the Clinton Camp tonight on Lenos show.

Ron in North Dakota

Mac, FL   March 20th, 2008 2:41 pm ET

Fortuntely it is less likely with each passing day Jack!

I can only hope that the remaining primary voters and the superdelgates will realize that if Obama is nominated we are handing the White House to the Republicans. He is simply not electable. He has shown us all just how great his “judgement” really is. Just ’cause you say it’s so don’t make it so Jack.

Obama no more has this thing locked up than I do - and I opposed the war from the beginning too. How about nominating me?

Robin, Henderson Nevada   March 20th, 2008 2:42 pm ET

Jack,
senator Obama, may be the Nominee based on the current situation, lets hope and pray that no more tapes with idiotic statements from this maniac of a preacher surfaces. Hillary is a stronger candidate, regardless of how you bash her Jack. I have never seen a politician take such a beating from the media like Hillary and is still in contention.

Obama with all his premise and posturing got one speed bump and it almost overturn his chances.

Aaron B.; Champaign, IL   March 20th, 2008 2:43 pm ET

Didn’t I say something about a steel cage match a couple of days ago Jack? Case in point.

Dorothy Goldstein   March 20th, 2008 2:43 pm ET

I certainly hope not this time. I want Hillary. She’s the best and we’ll feel the safest with her. Not only that, Obama seems to have way more baggage than Hillary. I not only mean this this with his Pastor, but all the other weird things that we have heart. And being Jewish I cannot believe that Obama would continue to go to the same church for the last 20 yrs. He has heard tons of negativity from his Pastor, his wife and children have heard it, well after hearing negativity for many years, you yourself will become negative. If I would ever, ever go to a Temple or Synagogue and the Rabbi said something politically or anything else that was “off color” I would certainly never go back there again. I have never heard any negativity from any of the Rabbi’s that I have listened to for the past 40 yrs. It has all been positive. You cannot live around negativity without it becoming a part of you.

There is too much going on with Obama. I don’t trust him. I don’t think he is experienced enough to run this country. He flip flops. I’ll take HILLARY any day.

Anna, SW Missouri   March 20th, 2008 2:44 pm ET

I have sat in my Methodist church (all white) and heard my minister denounce the government on abortion and war. I have heard my minister denounce homosexuality on many occassions. My own minister was a prosecutor in a trial to remove another minister because he had performed a gay marriage ceremony in another state in which it was legal. I have not left my church and I do not think that Barack Obama should leave his church.

Judi from Dallas, TX   March 20th, 2008 2:44 pm ET

Very likely if America truly wants change for the best, and if we can stop the game playing politics of yesteryear and move forward with a positive candidate of intelligence, integrity, honesty, class, passion, wisdom, vision and the ability to movitate our country in a way that it hasn’t been motivated in my lifetime. The relentless negative spin isn’t working for Hillary, but that hasn’t seemed to stop her. Desperate times calls for desperate measures; hopefully America will not vote for desperation but for a Positive Change from old school tactics. Its time for for us to not be the Divisive States but the United States, and Barack appears to be the candidate who most understands this fact.

tim from Ravenna, OH   March 20th, 2008 2:45 pm ET

I have been saying for more than a few weeks that the best candidate would not win the Democratic nomination and that Obama will lose to McCain in Nov. Wright, Resko, flip-flopping on answers to blunders from his campaign are just the beginning, that boat is taking on water fast. Obama supporters will ultimately try to blame Clinton for what I see as a certain debacle come Nov., but they will only have themselves to blame for propping up another bad candidate without truly vetting out his shortcomings first. Hope is nice, but it doesn’t win elections.

Adam, Florida   March 20th, 2008 2:46 pm ET

Likely? That word isn’t strong enough. It’s practically a mathematical certainty. For Clinton to have a chance, the sky will need to open, the light will come down, celestial choirs will be singing, and everyone will know we should do the right thing and vote for her.

K - in Northwest CT   March 20th, 2008 2:47 pm ET

The QUESTION should be:
We the MEDIA (CNN in particular ) have chosen the next democratic canidate. ARE YOU THE VOTERS OK WITH THIS?

ANSWER: NO

I thought this was a free country. We the VOTERS get to choose.

Jay Webber   March 20th, 2008 2:47 pm ET

I think the caption for the picture above would be ” HOLD YOUR FRIENDS CLOSE, AND YOUR ENAMIES CLOSER.”Jay from Edgewater, Florida

Ron   March 20th, 2008 2:47 pm ET

Jack,
If Hillary is not smart enough to figure out that she has already lost why would I want to vote for her for PRESIDENT?

Ron in ND

Max   March 20th, 2008 2:47 pm ET

Jack,

I believe that the race is over for Clinton. It is obvious that she stays in the race ONLY to weaken and damage Obama and make easier for McCain to compete with him in November. If she wants to get out with ’some’ dignity, now is the moment to leave.. The Clintons dirty laundry is coming and it will be very hard for Democrats to dissociate their party from that in coming months…

Max

Linda from Kentucky   March 20th, 2008 2:48 pm ET

Well Jack if the vote were tomorrow…I would say his chances are real good……. I thought he made a great speech….He may be just what this country needs to bring everyone to the same place….After all, his speech the other day has made EVERYONE able to say what they have been resenting and holding in for a long while for fear of being called a racist….It’s now ok to talk about our differences… I commmend him for this….however ,we have seen anything can happen….So i am reserving my descision until i see it all played out!

obamamama   March 20th, 2008 2:48 pm ET

Isn’t it ironic that the campaign that brand anyone that question them racist, is the one that appears to be have sat through 20 years of racist and anti american sermons with his 2 young children?perhaps he just wanted the children to be exposed to these”black liberation theology”.Excellent judgment as parents huh?.

Max   March 20th, 2008 2:48 pm ET

Jack,

I believe that the race is over for Clinton. It is obvious that she stays in the race ONLY to weaken and damage Obama and make easier for McCain to compete with him in November. If she wants to get out with ’some’ dignity, now is the moment to leave.. The Clintons dirty laundry is coming and it will be very hard for Democrats to dissociate their party from that in coming months…

Max, New York

Melanie, Lake Wales, FL   March 20th, 2008 2:48 pm ET

He’s already won the nomination : Anderson got to follow him for a day, and is on Larry King live tonight.

Tom, Avon, Maine, The Heart of Democracy   March 20th, 2008 2:49 pm ET

A certainty. As Maine goes, so goes the nation. The White House is his, if it weren’t the case we would have told him in Bangor, “Can’t get there from hee-yah.”

Anthony Cox-Minneapolis,MN   March 20th, 2008 2:49 pm ET

Obama is a extremely skilled politician, he was able to beat Hillary in 14 consecutive races and at the same time prevent her from ever catching him, that is ingenious. So let hillary win the remaining states she won’t catch him. or be the nominee without cheating.

It is a foregone conclusion, Obama will be the democratic nominee and the next president. Many people think Pastor Wright weakened him, it only proved how much better a person, senator and candidate John McCain and Hillary Clinton are. Remember he has trhe lead in number of delegates, states won, popular vote.

I can see how the democratic party is on the verge of oblivion and implosion with the republicans and conservatives saying and doing anything to help that along. Amy Holmes stating her conservative opinion as if Obama now has to tell the public, “hey remember I am a black man”. What an absolute moron she is.

The only way Obama will not be the nominee is if he drops out of the race and leaves it to Hillary. Knowing that wont happen, the other option is for the democratic party to claim that he isn’t electable(using Hillary’s words) and push the superdelegates to vote for her. In essence, stealing the nomination. I hear the chains of a ghost of election 2000’s past with Al Gore. The democrats complained that election was stolen so in turn they are willing to steal it from the legitimate party nominee Barack Obama.

Allen L Wenger   March 20th, 2008 2:49 pm ET

It’s certain that he won’t lose it in an even handed convention. But this is politics.

Stacey-St. Louis   March 20th, 2008 2:50 pm ET

Oh Jack……I just don’t think Obama really wants to unify our country. If he did, he would stop fighting reach out to Hillary another trailblazer and run together to beat McCain. I am afraid this talented man will lose this election because of his insistence to be on top of the ticket and that is so unfortunate. What is wrong with being Vice President of the Free World? Neither one should bow out, the vote is far too close…….and we haven’t included Floriday and Michigan yet. Let Hillary have Florida and split Michigan 50/50. But if they don’t mend this fight soon……they will lose this race to John McCain. Why can’t these two trailblazers unite??????? Too power hungry I guess and just really politicians down deep. What a mess…..two incredible candidates may lose the whole thing.

Donna-Mobile, AL   March 20th, 2008 2:50 pm ET

If the super delates are smart, Hillary has no chance of winning the nomination, no disrespect to Hillary of course. My question is however; what are the odds that we actually have smart superdelegates?

tricia, lanark il   March 20th, 2008 2:51 pm ET

jack, no matter who gets dem. nom i’m voting dem. i am against this war! the handling of this war! this pathetic administration! have we forgotten……scooter libby, alberto gonzolas, karl rove, lack of cooperation from the white house on many occasions ect…. with mccain it’s all the same.

Ken Mattheis   March 20th, 2008 2:51 pm ET

I believe Barack Obama is likely to be the nominee. The math is on his side and Hillary’s continued desperate attempts to manipulate the Democrat’s process are not working and are likely to work against her. Showing up in Michigan with a bag full of millions of dollars and offering to fund (buy) a do-over there makes her look unscrupulous. Kind of reminds you of the folks we’ve got in the White House now doesn’t it. It looks like the release of her schedules during Bill’s administrations is going to poke holes in her “experience” argument and I suspect there will be more revaluations to come from those years. Not to mention a reexamination of what we already know. None of this works in Hillary’s favor and serves to elevate Obama in voters minds.

MARK WEIDMAN   March 20th, 2008 2:52 pm ET

I for one have decided to take my vote away from Obama, and will vote for Clinton. I hope everyone else who understands the meaning of “What Would Jesus Do?” will follow suit. Once I learned details of the minister Wright scandal, I reflected back on my own experiences, and know that if I had been sitting in a “Christian” church and heard one word along the line of Wright’s offensive sermons, I would have walked away from my minister, walked away from that church, and would never have looked back, let alone continue to attend and associate myself with such a patently offensive religious leader. And I never would have appointed that minister to a position on my campaign. I reject Obama’s compassion toward the retiring minister and reference to our grandparent’s and uncles in justifying his tolerance of this hate. People render themselves irrelevant at every age due to their racially devisive preaching, despite their other perceived “good deeds,” and must be condemned accordingly, lest they continue, to the detriment of all of us in this great nation.

Ashkan Mazinani   March 20th, 2008 2:52 pm ET

How likely is it? lets see. He has won 14 out of the last 17 states, he has gone from 100 delegates down to 100 delegate ahead, and he has won the endorsement of every majour figure in the democratic party, other than bill clinton of course. how likely is it he’ll win, lets put it this way. theres a better chance of getting out of iraq in 2008, then there is Clinton being the democratic nominee.

Craig   March 20th, 2008 2:52 pm ET

Highly likely Jack. This Rev. tempest should blow over, he’s rcvg. some type of award from Texas Christian University soon so perhaps he ain’t all bad. Besides that, America really does need a person like Senator Obama to lead this country. I don’t think I can can stand another re-run of the Clinton show.
Hiram Rapids, Oh.

Michael J. McNeal   March 20th, 2008 2:52 pm ET

Obama’s sophomoric speech on U.S. history was calculated to deflect attention from the fact that his minister and “spiritual mentor” of twenty years is a vicious racist, anti-Semite and homophobic misogynist! We do we need Obama appointing himself our leader on matters of racial prejudice: particularly as he only selectively opposes bigotry. Anyway, race relations were NOT the issue; Obama’s affiliation with a racist, Black Nationalist, anti-American extremist was. And despite Obama’s best efforts, it remains so. His speech served to underscore that he is not the conciliator he pretends to be. Rather, he gives excuses for and defends cavorting with vile bigots. He continually uses race as a subterfuge to divert the attention of the media and the American people whenever valid criticisms of him are raised. This inhibits honest discussion about the fact that he lacks coherent and practical policy positions.
By playing the apologist for his friend and minister’s bigotry Obama’s gratuitous speech on race mainly served to demonstrate his hypocrisy. His views on race are remarkable for their incoherence but a transparent ploy, nevertheless.

Ashkan Mazinani   March 20th, 2008 2:52 pm ET

How likely is it? lets see. He has won 14 out of the last 17 states, he has gone from 100 delegates down to 100 delegate ahead, and he has won the endorsement of every majour figure in the democratic party, other than bill clinton of course. how likely is it he’ll win, lets put it this way. theres a better chance of getting out of iraq in 2008, then there is Clinton being the democratic nominee.

Ashkan, Toronto, Canada

Patricia   March 20th, 2008 2:54 pm ET

I don’t know how likely it will be that Sen. Obama will be the Democratic nominee Jack. But, it will be a mortal sin if he is not on the ticket.
Patricia
Palmdale, Ca.

obamamama   March 20th, 2008 2:54 pm ET

Sitting through 20 years of anti american and racist sermons qualifies you as commander in chief??? I hope not. otherwise any follower of David duke will do.wait a minute they are only racist. I guess they are not qualified.Tell me who your friends are and I will tell you who you are.

Donna-Mobile, AL   March 20th, 2008 2:54 pm ET

If the super delates are smart, Hillary has no chance of winning the nomination, and Obama will be the nomninee for sure, no disrespect to Hillary of course. My question is however; what are the odds that we actually have smart superdelegates? I mean no disrepect to them either.

Roger (Dallas, TX)   March 20th, 2008 2:54 pm ET

Jack:

It would be an absolute tragedy if Barack Obama was not the nominee of the Democratic party for President and ultimate President of the United States. I have watched with absolute horror the past week while the media has blown this Rev. Wright business up way out of proportion. The speech Sen. Obama made in Philadelphia regarding race was not only motivating and necessary, but if people would take the time to read and listen to his words, they could intelligently join the discussion rather than concentrate on the hateful meanderings of his former pastor. After the past 8 years of horror the nation has endured under Bush/Cheney and promises of more of the same from Sen. Clinton, isn’t it time for a breath of fresh air in our politics and our government. Sen. Obama by his own admission does not have all the answers, but after the nightmare we’ve lived through, shouldn’t he be given the chance to right those wrongs? Enough of this divisiveness in America. Give change a chance!!!*

kimberley Vancouver, Canada   March 20th, 2008 2:55 pm ET

It seems he should be, by the peoples vote and, to me, the best person. He has the leadership to put the USA back on track as a world leader not a world dominator. The opertive word here is leader, isn’t that what a countries highest position means. Hillary has lost and should be supportive of her party and concentrate on the general election. She say she has the most experience so she should know that is the best way the party will be successful. So far she has been very harmful. Shame on you Hillary

Mary   March 20th, 2008 2:56 pm ET

Hi, Jack The answer to your question is very likely. You see the Clinton’s has thrown everything at him includeing getting the the media to nail him to the cross, but he keeps on going and his follower keeps standng behind him. I feel that the Lord is the wind beneath his wings. I also believe that those good old boys are afraid that if he becomes the next President they will be put to shame regarding the way they have gotten us in so much trouble today in this Country. God Bless this Country that we have a choice in this Country to vote and that, the right person to me would be him. WE have had the rest now give us the best and that is SEN. B. OBAMA. God I Love This Country.

CJ from NH   March 20th, 2008 2:56 pm ET

Jack
Very likely. For the good of the democratic party and to allow time for unification and give the candidate the same breathing room in the race that John McCain has, Hillary should concede. Historcially, candidates who find themselves in the position she is in, put the interests of the party ahead of their own personal interests. She cannot win the delegate vote, time has run out to win the popular vote, and the only remaing chance is to convince the Super delegates. They would have to go against the popular vote and this is unlikely to happen.

Larry from Georgetown, Tx   March 20th, 2008 2:56 pm ET

Very likely and the sooner the better but it may end up in the Supreme Court before Hillary will surrender. I hope those people in Pennsylvania give her a shock and realize that if they want a Democrat to win in November they need to get behind the best candidate and she’s not it. By the way Jack, I went to the library to get your book and it is checked out. We’ve cut back on unnecessary spending.

g DeMarco   March 20th, 2008 2:57 pm ET

Hillary is going to win the demacratic nomination which cause
major shock waves and a strong need for emergency room triage
among misogynists like Chris Mathews and that glorious panel
of misfits on CNN’s primary night elections broadcast. Hurrah for
Hillary.
Gerry, NY 13057

Sharon from Michigan   March 20th, 2008 2:57 pm ET

I’ve not been so excited over a candidate in my 60 years. He’s new, intelligent, and inspiring. He will be the nominee. He will outshine McCain. This primary needs to be over..

David,San Bernardino,CA.   March 20th, 2008 2:57 pm ET

Obama is now having the problem of his past catching up with him. His real-estate deal (shades of Whitewater) ,his minister,his association with a radical organization and others. It would be to his advantage to come clean and tell the truth. If he thinks Hillary is tough on him,wait until the republicans get ahold of him. Obama should get the nomination,but look out for his skeletons in the closet!

Gary In Va   March 20th, 2008 2:57 pm ET

Jack Lets take fla.It was the republicans to move up the primary,and they knew this would mess up the democrats.1st nobody told those people to stay home,2nd nobody told obama to remove his name,from mich or fla primary.I say to DNC chairman to step aside and let the delegates be counted.If Not McCain will tear obama apart and win the next election.I sure don’t want another 4 yrs of the bush administration,and 25 billion dollar a month to support a war .This country is falling apart,and most americans will agree with me.If you disagree ask your audience.

Pat / Ohio   March 20th, 2008 2:57 pm ET

In the past week his chances have cut in half. Who wants a President who associates with so many America haters. If they hate America, they should go back where they came from Who needs them

Greg, Hamilton Ontario   March 20th, 2008 2:58 pm ET

Face it Jack they just don’t get it. The Issues are not important any more and the fact that they are still gabbing about the effect of Rev. Judas is proof that mud slinging beats economy, health care and war hands down every time. Especially in an election.

Joe in DE   March 20th, 2008 2:58 pm ET

About 50% chance, but he seems to be losing ground.

Greg in Leavenworth Kansas   March 20th, 2008 2:59 pm ET

It’s not a question of “if” Obama will become the Democratic nominee, but “when” will Obama become the Democratic nominee. Hillary should do the Dems a favor and withdraw gracefully (but that just wouldn’t be Hillary would it?).

Undecided Voter (between Obama and McCain)

Bernie of Lowell, MA   March 20th, 2008 2:59 pm ET

Jack:

The issue of bitter racism has been with me since I was nine years old.

My family refused to allow my black friend and roommate at the private school we attended to visit over a holiday, telling me he would “get the sheets dirty’.

Whichever candidate wins the nomination, I hope for a campaign that will not dirty my sheets with bitter racial prejudice.

Kat from NH   March 20th, 2008 2:59 pm ET

The whining Clinton machine will try some other sneaky way to
get around the obvious…..Barack’s more popular votes, more states , more delegates……….. the kitchen sink didn’t work; she’ll have to go for the bull-dozer. But, I have faith in the superdelegates…….. and we’ll see a President Obama in the white house with the Clintons trying to put the pieces of a broken sink back into their kitchen in NY state..

Melonie   March 20th, 2008 3:00 pm ET

It is disturbing that the news media has taken this opportunity to repeatedly broadcast and discuss the ranting sermonic excerpts from Senator Obama’s retired pastor, Jeremiah Wright. While it is difficult to know what damage the constant broadcasting and discussion has had in persuading voters, I am beginning to think, that perhaps it is not a matter of Sentor Obama’s brilliance, judgement, readiness, strength, and ability to lead that is in question, but whether or not we are ready and adult enough to talk about how to fix our economy, health care, education, and foreign policies. If we did this, and the media would for once be more concerned about engaging important issues and matters rather than undermining the effectiveness of all of the candidates with unrelated reasons for character assassinations, then the public would not be so distracted.

I wonder at what point will we all we become sick, poor, homeless, and unemployed enough before we stop fiddling away our time and begin to address the real issues facing our nation and the next President of the United States. We are picking a president from among three extraordinary persons that are no more or less than human and all have flaws to pick at, and strengths to exploit.

Any one of them who wins the election, will need for us to be more concerned and engaged in helping them to address our futures rather than expecting them to be our Savior —since that job is already filled and has been for some time.

Joel K   March 20th, 2008 3:01 pm ET

It isn’t so much a question of how likely Obama will become the presidential nominee, but a question of when Hillary will drop out. It’s almost statistically impossible for her to win the Democratic nominee now unless she swift boats her own party.

Ronald   March 20th, 2008 3:01 pm ET

I still have hope that Obama will be the nominee. What he has endured over the past couple of weeks has only strengthened by belief that he is the best candidate. But when you are in a battle with the Clintons, a couple so set on gaining political power at any cost, there is not too much caution you should take around them. Watch her like a hawk Obama!

Paulette Dallas,PA   March 20th, 2008 3:02 pm ET

No, I don’t think so now. He may run in 2012 again but for now I believe the damage done by Rev. Wright is not repairable. By the way, don’t believe Dick Morris. He is only spewing sour grapes after the Clinton’s dumped him because of his kinky sexcapades with hookers during Bill’s second term.

Rob Winnipeg Canada   March 20th, 2008 3:02 pm ET

Senator Obama will be the nominee, If he isn’t I beleive the USA has lost a truly historical opportunity as this type of character is very rare and every opportunity should be made to ensure he gets this opportunity. The political hacks will come out against anyone on any side and it all gets ramped up when the candidate is ‘different’ politics as usual. this man brings a breath of fresh air that is timely in this especially important time. Jack the world is watching and is effected by what happens there. Bring the conversation back to an adult, intelligent place the exact place that Mr. Obama is trying so hard to go.

charles