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March 7, 2008
Posted: 02:04 PM ET
FROM CNN’s Jack Cafferty: It’s looking like Barack Obama will almost certainly finish up the primary season with more pledged delegates than Hillary Clinton, although it won’t be enough to clinch the nomination. In a Newsweek piece called “Hillary’s New Math Problem,” Jonathan Alter writes how despite Clinton’s three wins this week, the delegate math is working against her. He suggests Clinton needs very large margins in the 12 remaining primaries, an average of about 23 points, which is more than double the margin of her Ohio win. If Clinton is not leading in pledged delegates come June, a lead in the popular vote might help her convince superdelegates that she is the stronger candidate. But right now, Clinton trails Obama there as well, by about 600,000 votes. It all boils down to a pretty messy scenario for the Democrats where the nearly 800 superdelegates could be left to decide on the nominee. Clinton still leads Obama when it comes to the votes of these party insiders by 238-to-199. But, keep in mind, if Obama maintains a pledged delegate lead, he’ll ultimately need fewer of these superdelegates to commit to him in order to become the nominee. Alter adds that several prominent uncommitted superdelegates tell him there’s no way they would reverse the will of Democratic voters… that it would shatter young people and destroy the party. Here’s my question to you: How confident are you that the winner of the most pledged delegates in the primary season will become the Democratic nominee? Interested to know which ones made it on air?
Chris from Fort Myers, Florida writes: Charlotte writes: Janice from Whitwell, Tennessee writes: Marie from California writes: Mary writes: Filed under: 2008 Election
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